• Title/Summary/Keyword: Simplified assessment model

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AGAPE-ET: A Predictive Human Error Analysis Methodology for Emergency Tasks in Nuclear Power Plants (원자력발전소 비상운전 직무의 인간오류분석 및 평가 방법 AGAPE-ET의 개발)

  • 김재환;정원대
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.104-118
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    • 2003
  • It has been criticized that conventional human reliability analysis (HRA) methodologies for probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) have been focused on the quantification of human error probability (HEP) without detailed analysis of human cognitive processes such as situation assessment or decision-making which are crticial to successful response to emergency situations. This paper introduces a new human reliability analysis (HRA) methodology, AGAPE-ET (A guidance And Procedure for Human Error Analysis for Emergency Tasks), focused on the qualitative error analysis of emergency tasks from the viewpoint of the performance of human cognitive function. The AGAPE-ET method is based on the simplified cognitive model and a taxonomy of influencing factors. By each cognitive function, error causes or error-likely situations have been identified considering the characteristics of the performance of each cognitive function and influencing mechanism of PIFs on the cognitive function. Then, overall human error analysis process is designed considering the cognitive demand of the required task. The application to an emergency task shows that the proposed method is useful to identify task vulnerabilities associated with the performance of emergency tasks.

Naval ship's susceptibility assessment by the probabilistic density function

  • Kim, Kwang Sik;Hwang, Se Yun;Lee, Jang Hyun
    • Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.266-271
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    • 2014
  • The survivability of the naval ship is the capability of a warship to avoid or withstand a hostile environment. The survivability of the naval ship assessed by three categories (susceptibility, vulnerability and recoverability). The magnitude of susceptibility of a warship encountering with threat is dependent upon the attributes of detection equipment and weapon system. In this paper, as a part of a naval ship's survivability analysis, an assessment process model for the ship's susceptibility analysis technique is developed. Naval ship's survivability emphasizing the susceptibility is assessed by the probability of detection, and the probability of hit. Considering the radar cross section (RCS), the assessment procedure for the susceptibility is described. It's emphasizing the simplified calculation model based on the probability density function for probability of hit. Assuming the probability of hit given a both single-hit and multiple-hit, the susceptibility is accessed for a RCS and the hit probability for a rectangular target is applied for a given threat.

Development of Method for Deciding Automatically Parameters of Water Quality Simulation Models (수질모형의 매개변수 자동보정 프로그램 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Kwang-Duck;Paik, Do Hyeon;Lee, Yong Woon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2006
  • Water quality simulation models include the difference between the measured and estimated values as an inevitable consequence because they represent the complicated natural phenomena as simplified mathematical equations. The major reason of the difference occurrence is due to the use of the imprecise values of the model parameters, but the parameter values are currently determined by the try and error method directly performed by humans. However, the use of this method requires many time and endeavor of humans, and generally does not obtain the most suitable parameter values. A method for deciding model parameter values is, therefore, developed in this study. The method minimizes the difference between the measured and estimated values and also distributes uniformly the measured values on the upper and lower sides of the line representing the estimated values. A user interface based on this method is also developed by using the Visual Basic 6.0 of Microsoft, and it can be operated in the environment of Windows 98/2000. In this study, the method for deciding model parameter values is applied for estimating the water quality of the stream Ko-heung. The results of the application show that the method, including its computer program, can effectively obtain the most suitable parameter values and also save many working time in comparison with the existing method directly performed by humans.

Multi-unit Level 1 probabilistic safety assessment: Approaches and their application to a six-unit nuclear power plant site

  • Kim, Dong-San;Han, Sang Hoon;Park, Jin Hee;Lim, Ho-Gon;Kim, Jung Han
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.50 no.8
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    • pp.1217-1233
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    • 2018
  • Following a surge of interest in multi-unit risk in the last few years, many recent studies have suggested methods for multi-unit probabilistic safety assessment (MUPSA) and addressed several related aspects. Most of the existing studies though focused on two-unit nuclear power plant (NPP) sites or used rather simplified probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) models to demonstrate the proposed approaches. When considering an NPP site with three or more units, some approaches are inapplicable or yield very conservative results. Since the number of such sites is increasing, there is a strong need to develop and validate practical approaches to the related MUPSA. This article provides several detailed approaches that are applicable to multi-unit Level 1 PSA for sites with up to six or more reactor units. To validate the approaches, a multi-unit Level 1 PSA model is developed and the site core damage frequency is estimated for each of four representative multi-unit initiators, as well as for the case of a simultaneous occurrence of independent single-unit initiators in multiple units. For this purpose, an NPP site with six identical OPR-1000 units is considered, with full-scale Level 1 PSA models for a specific OPR-1000 plant used as the base single-unit models.

A Study on Simplified Sloshing Impact Response Analysis for Membrane-Type LNG Cargo Containment System (LNG 화물창 단열구조의 슬로싱 충격응답 간이해석법에 관한 연구)

  • Nho, In-Sik;Ki, Min-Seok;Kim, Sung-Chan
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.451-456
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    • 2011
  • To ensure structural integrity of membrane type LNG tank, the rational assessment of the sloshing impact responses of tank structures should be preceded. The sloshing impact pressures acting on the insulation system of LNG tank are typical irregular loads and the resulting structural responses show very complex behaviors accompanied with fluid structure interaction. So it is not easy to estimate them accurately and immense time consuming calculation process would be necessary. In this research, a simplified method to analyse the dynamic structural responses of LNG tank insulation system under pressure time histories obtained by sloshing model test or numerical analysis was studied. The proposed technique based on the concept of linear combination of the triangular response functions which are the transient responses of structures under the unit triangular impact pressure acting on structures. The validity of suggested method was verified through the example calculations and applied to the dynamic structural response analysis of a real Mark III membrane type insulation system using the sloshing impact pressure time histories obtained by model test.

An Assessment Study for Design Load of a Small Wind Turbine (소형풍력발전기의 설계하중 평가 연구)

  • Hyun, Seung-Gun;Kim, Keon-Hoon;Huh, Jong-Chul
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.48-53
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    • 2011
  • In this study, it is to verify the applicability for a simplified model(IEC61400-2, Design Require-ments for Small Wind Turbines, 2006-03) is the international standard is used to the structural design. In the design process of a wind turbine, the safety of a designed wind turbine is one of the most important factors. The simplified model can be used to determine the design load for small wind turbines. So, this paper has been re-evaluated a small wind turbine design loads that produced already. As a result, the material characteristic value(Rchar) of Blade, Rotor shaft and the tower are $90E6[N/m^2]$, $441E6[N/m^2]$ and $94E6[N/m^2]$. Therefore, the value of the applied safety factor to each part of the survival probability of 95% are satisfied.

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Effects of Various Factors on the Energy Consumption of Korean-Style Apartment Houses (한국형 아파트의 냉난방 에너지에 미치는 제 인자의 영향)

  • 유호선;현석균;홍희기
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.972-980
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    • 2002
  • This work is aimed at estimating the effects of various factors on the energy consumption of Korean-style apartment houses using TRNSYS. The factors considered here include the nominal size of floor area, type of remodeling, azimuth, sidewall insulation, and window type. Based on some assumptions, an actual apartment house is simplified into a model that is used for thermal load calculations. The simplified model is validated by showing a good agreement with the actual one in the predicted result. Remodeling balconies into unconditioned buffer spaces yields a favorable thermal performance in comparison with the original type regardless of the nominal size. Incorporating balconies into a conditioned indoor space leads to sharp increases in thermal loads, which must be avoided in view of energy conservation as well as structural problem. A quantitative assessment on the azimuthal effect indicates that the heating energy can be saved up to 16% by taking the south or southeast direction. Reduction in the heating load with enhancing the sidewall insulation is gradual, so that a cost-effectiveness analysis may be needed when amending the regulations concerned. Glazing appears to significantly affect the heat transfer through window. A typical case illustrates that the heating load is decreased about 25% by simply adopting triple glazing instead of double glazing.

Earthquake induced torsion in buildings: critical review and state of the art

  • Anagnostopoulos, S.A.;Kyrkos, M.T.;Stathopoulos, K.G.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.305-377
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    • 2015
  • The problem of earthquake induced torsion in buildings is quite old and although it has received a lot of attention in the past several decades, it is still open. This is evident not only from the variability of the pertinent provisions in various modern codes but also from conflicting results debated in the literature. Most of the conducted research on this problem has been based on very simplified, highly idealized models of eccentric one-story systems, with single or double eccentricity and with load bearing elements of the shear beam type, sized only for earthquake action. Initially, elastic models were used but were gradually replaced by inelastic models, since building response under design level earthquakes is expected to be inelastic. Code provisions till today have been based mostly on results from one-story inelastic models or on results from elastic multistory idealizations. In the past decade, however, more accurate multi story inelastic building response has been studied using the well-known and far more accurate plastic hinge model for flexural members. On the basis of such research some interesting conclusions have been drawn, revising older views about the inelastic response of buildings based on one-story simplified model results. The present paper traces these developments and presents new findings that can explain long lasting controversies in this area and at the same time may raise questions about the adequacy of code provisions based on results from questionable models. To organize this review better it was necessary to group the various publications into a number of subtopics and within each subtopic to separate them into smaller groups according to the basic assumptions and/or limitations used. Capacity assessment of irregular buildings and new technologies to control torsional motion have also been included.

A Conservative Safety Study on Low-Level Radioactive Waste Repository Using Radionuclide Release Source Term Model (선원항 모델을 사용한 저준위 방사성폐기물 처분장의 보수적인 안전성고찰)

  • Kim, Chang-Lak;Lee, Myung-Chan;Cho, Chan-Hee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 1993
  • A simplified safety assessment is carried out on rock-cavern type disposal of LLW using the analytical repository source term (REPS) model. For reliable prediction of the leach rates for various radionuclides, degradation of concrete structures, corrosion rate of waste container, degree of corrosion on the container surface, and the characteristics of radionuclides are considered in the REPS model. The results of preliminary assessment show that Cs-137, Ni-63, and Sr-90 are dominant. For the parametric uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, Latin hypercube sampling technique and rank correlation technique are applied. The results of the potential public health impacts show that radiological dose to intruder in the worst case scenario will be negligible and that more attention should be given to near-field performance.

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Assessment of speckle image through particle size and image sharpness

  • Qian, Boxing;Liang, Jin;Gong, Chunyuan
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.659-668
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    • 2019
  • In digital image correlation, speckle image is closely related to the measurement accuracy. A practical global evaluation criterion for speckle image is presented. Firstly, based on the essential factors of the texture image, both the average particle size and image sharpness are used for the assessment of speckle image. The former is calculated by a simplified auto-covariance function and Gaussian fitting, and the latter by focusing function. Secondly, the computation of the average particle size and image sharpness is verified by numerical simulation. The influence of these two evaluation parameters on mean deviation and standard deviation is discussed. Then, a physical model from speckle projection to image acquisition is established. The two evaluation parameters can be mapped to the physical devices, which demonstrate that the proposed evaluation method is reasonable. Finally, the engineering application of the evaluation method is pointed out.