• Title/Summary/Keyword: Short-Term Trend

Search Result 182, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

A Study on the Sea Level Variations in Korean Coastal Area (한국연안해역에서의 해면수위의 변동에 관한 연구)

  • 이경연;김동수;손창배;김창제
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-27
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper is to estimate the long and short term variations of mean sea level in Korean coastal waters by identifying interrelations among the mean sea level, atmospheric pressure and air temperature along the coast. For this, long-term tidal data observed at tidal and weather observation stations were brought into a statistical analysis. It was noted that, in a general sense, an inverse relationship exists between the sea level and the atmospheric pressure and a positive relationship between the sea level and air temperature, respectively. The maximum difference of monthly mean sea level was in the range of 21 to 25 cm at the eastern and southeastern coasts, meanwhile more than 30 cm being in both in southern and western coasts. It was also noted that mean sea level continues to rise in a long-term basis. Long-term variation of mean sea level trends to rise 0.10 ∼ 0.44 cm per year for each region. However, the long-term variation of mean sea level in the isolated islands shows a different trend, Ullngdo being 0.41 cm fall per year and Chejudo being 0.44 cm rise per year.

  • PDF

Investigation of short-term stability in high efficiency polymer : nonfullerene solar cells via quick current-voltage cycling method

  • Lee, Sooyong;Seo, Jooyeok;Kim, Hwajeong;Song, Dong-Ik;Kim, Youngkyoo
    • Korean Journal of Chemical Engineering
    • /
    • v.35 no.12
    • /
    • pp.2496-2503
    • /
    • 2018
  • The short-term stability of high efficiency polymer : nonfullerene solar cells was investigated by employing a quick (ten cycles) current density-voltage (J-V) cycling method. Polymer : nonfullerene solar cells with initial power conversion efficiency (PCE) of >10% were fabricated using bulk heterojunction (BHJ) films of poly[(2,6-(4,8-bis(5-(2-ethylhexyl)thiophen-2-yl)-benzo[1,2-b:4,5b']dithiophene))-alt-(5,5-(1',3'-di-2-thienyl-5,7'-bis(2-ethylhexyl)benzo[1',2'-c:4',5'-c']dithiophene-4,8-dione))] (PBDB-T) and 3,9-bis(2-methylene-((3-(1,1-dicyanomethylene)-6/7-methyl)-indanone))-5,5,11,11-tetrakis(4-hexylphenyl)-dithieno[2,3-d:2',3'-d']-s-indaceno[1,2-b:5,6-b']dithiophene (IT-M). One set of the BHJ (PBDB-T : IT-M) films was thermally annealed at $160^{\circ}C$ for 30min, while another set was used without any thermal treatment after spin-coating. The quick J-V scan (cycling) measurement disclosed that the PCE decay was relatively slower for the annealed BHJ layers than the unannealed (as-cast) BHJ layers. As a result, after ten cycles, the annealed BHJ layers delivered higher PCE than the unannealed BHJ layers due to higher and more stable trend in fill factor. The present quick J-V cycling method is simple but expected to be useful for the prediction of short-term stability in organic solar cells.

Comparative Study of Performance of Deep Learning Algorithms in Particulate Matter Concentration Prediction (미세먼지 농도 예측을 위한 딥러닝 알고리즘별 성능 비교)

  • Cho, Kyoung-Woo;Jung, Yong-jin;Oh, Chang-Heon
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
    • /
    • v.25 no.5
    • /
    • pp.409-414
    • /
    • 2021
  • The growing concerns on the emission of particulate matter has prompted a demand for highly reliable particulate matter forecasting. Currently, several studies on particulate matter prediction use various deep learning algorithms. In this study, we compared the predictive performances of typical neural networks used for particulate matter prediction. We used deep neural network(DNN), recurrent neural network, and long short-term memory algorithms to design an optimal predictive model on the basis of a hyperparameter search. The results of a comparative analysis of the predictive performances of the models indicate that the variation trend of the actual and predicted values generally showed a good performance. In the analysis based on the root mean square error and accuracy, the DNN-based prediction model showed a higher reliability for prediction errors compared with the other prediction models.

Forecasting Fish Import Using Deep Learning: A Comprehensive Analysis of Two Different Fish Varieties in South Korea

  • Abhishek Chaudhary;Sunoh Choi
    • Smart Media Journal
    • /
    • v.12 no.11
    • /
    • pp.134-144
    • /
    • 2023
  • Nowadays, Deep Learning (DL) technology is being used in several government departments. South Korea imports a lot of seafood. If the demand for fishery products is not accurately predicted, then there will be a shortage of fishery products and the price of the fishery product may rise sharply. So, South Korea's Ministry of Ocean and Fisheries is attempting to accurately predict seafood imports using deep learning. This paper introduces the solution for the fish import prediction in South Korea using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method. It was found that there was a huge gap between the sum of consumption and export against the sum of production especially in the case of two species that are Hairtail and Pollock. An import prediction is suggested in this research to fill the gap with some advanced Deep Learning methods. This research focuses on import prediction using Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning methods to predict the import amount more precisely. For the prediction, two Deep Learning methods were chosen which are Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). Moreover, the Machine Learning method was also selected for the comparison between the DL and ML. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) was selected for the error measurement which shows the difference between the predicted and actual values. The results obtained were compared with the average RMSE scores and in terms of percentage. It was found that the LSTM has the lowest RMSE score which showed the prediction with higher accuracy. Meanwhile, ML's RMSE score was higher which shows lower accuracy in prediction. Moreover, Google Trend Search data was used as a new feature to find its impact on prediction outcomes. It was found that it had a positive impact on results as the RMSE values were lowered, increasing the accuracy of the prediction.

Topic Modeling Analysis of Social Media Marketing using BERTopic and LDA

  • YANG, Woo-Ryeong;YANG, Hoe-Chang
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
    • /
    • v.13 no.9
    • /
    • pp.37-50
    • /
    • 2022
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to explore and compare research trends in Korea and overseas academic papers on social media marketing, and to present new academic perspectives for the future direction in Korea. Research design, data and methodology: We used English abstract of research paper (Korea's: 1,349, overseas': 5,036) for word frequency analysis, topic modeling, and trend analysis for each topic. Results: The results of word frequency and co-occurrence frequency analysis showed that Korea researches focused on the experiential values of users, and overseas researches focused on platforms and content. Next, 13 topics and 12 topics for Korea and overseas researches were derived from topic modeling. And, trend analysis showed that Korean studies were different from overseas in applying marketing methods to specific industries and they were interested in the short-term performance of social media marketing. Conclusions: We found that the long-term strategies of social media marketing and academic interest in the overall industry will necessary in the future researches. Also, data mining techniques will necessary to generate more general results by quantifying various phenomena in reality. Finally, we expected that continuous and various academic approaches for volatile social media is effective to derive practical implications.

Short-term Associations of Air Pollution with Postneonatal Infant Death in Seoul, Korea, 1999-2003

  • Lee, Jong-Tae;Cho, Yong-Sung;Son, Ji-Young
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
    • /
    • v.34 no.5
    • /
    • pp.361-368
    • /
    • 2008
  • Objective to assess whether exposure to air pollutants is associated with postneonatal infant death, using a timeseries methodology, between 1999 and 2003 in Seoul, Korea.. Methods We investigated the short-term effects of air pollution for 548,725 live births during the study period. The daily count of postneonatal infant deaths from all causes and from SIDS (sudden infant death syndrome) by birth order was analyzed by a Generalized Additive Poisson model, with controlling for the effects of seasonal trends, air temperature, relative humidity, barometric pressure, and day of the week as covariates. Results During the study period, we observed 699 deaths from all causes and 47 deaths from SIDS. We did not find any significant associations between daily mortality and ambient levels of air pollutants except for CO and $NO_2$. The estimated relative risk of postneonatal infant death from all causes was 1.17 (95% CI=1.04-1.32) and 1.16 (95% CI=1.03-1.29) by IQR (interquartile range) for CO and $NO_2$ respectively. Also, we observed no clear trend of the mortality effects of air pollution by birth orders. Conclusion In conclusion, our findings suggest that air pollution, in general, influenced adversely postneonatal infant death from all-cause and SIDS although it was not statistically significant. This study may support that the rationale.

Short term Sensor's Drift Compensation by using Three Drift Correction Techniques (세 가지 드리프트 보정 기법을 이용한 단기 센서 드리프트 보정)

  • Jeon, Jin-Young;Choi, Jang-Sik;Byun, Hyung-Gi
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.291-296
    • /
    • 2016
  • The ideal chemical sensor must show the similar result under the same condition for accurate measurement of gases regardless of time. However, the actual responses of chemical sensors have been shown the lacks of repeatability and reproducibility because of the drift which has been caused by aging and pollution of the sensor and the environment change such as temperature and humidity. If the problems are not properly taken into considerations, the stability and reliability of the system using chemical sensors would be decreased. In this paper, we analyzed the sensor's drift and applied the three different compensation methods(DWT( Discrete Wavelets Transform), Baseline Manipulation, Internal Normalization) for reducing the effects of the drift in order to improve the stability and the reliability of short term of the chemical sensors. And in order to compare the results of the methods, the standard deviation was used as a criterion. The sensor drift was analyzed by a trend line graph. We applied the three methods to the successive data measured for three days and compared the results. As a result of comparison, the standard deviation of DWT showed lowest value. (Before compensation: 7.1219, DWT: 1.3644, Baseline Manipulation: 2.5209, Internal Normalization: 3.1425).

The Impact of Financial Integration on Monetary Policy Independence: The Case of Vietnam

  • TRAN, Ha Hong;LE, Thao Phan Thi Dieu;NGUYEN, Vinh Thi Hong;LE, Dao Thi Anh;TRINH, Nam Hoang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.791-800
    • /
    • 2021
  • Along with the trend of financial globalization, Vietnam has undergone a process of increasing financial integration. The great capital inflow poses a problem for the monetary policy's ability to follow a planned target during the changes in the global financial markets. This paper aims to examine the impact of financial integration on monetary policy independence in Vietnam and investigate the role of foreign exchange reserves on this relationship. The research borrows from Mundell-Fleming's Trilemma theory. The results show that increasing financial integration reduces the independence of monetary policy in the short term, and foreign exchange reserves have not shown an apparent role in Vietnam. In addition, increasing exchange rate stability has a negative impact on the independence of monetary policy, but it has an impact on growing market confidence and partly supporting the management process of monetary policy in the short term. Therefore, in the long run, Vietnam needs to allow exchange rate flexibility more, but there should not be sudden changes; the size of foreign exchange reserves should be strengthened to facilitate the implementation of an independent monetary policy with an obvious impact in the context of an increasing scale of international capital flows in the future.

Search Trend's Effects On Forecasting the Number of Outbound Passengers of the Incheon Airport (포탈의 검색 트렌드를 활용한 인천공항 출국자 수 예측 연구)

  • Shin, Euiseob;Yang, Dong-Heon;Sohn, Sei Chang;Huh, Moonhaeng;Baek, Seokchul
    • Journal of IKEEE
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.13-23
    • /
    • 2017
  • Short-term prediction of the number of passengers at the airport is very essential for the efficient and stable operation of the airport. Here, to forecast the immigration of Incheon International Airport, we perform the predictive modeling of Korean and Chinese outbound travelers comprising most of immigration. We conduct the Granger Causality test between the number of outbound travelers and related search trend data to confirm the correlation. It is found that the forecasting with both "outbound travelers" and "search term trends" data outperforms the one only with "outbound travelers" data. This is because search activities are done before doing something and this study confirms that search trend data inherently possess the potential for prediction.

Indirect Assessment on Helth affect of Air Pollutants Generated by Photo-Chemical Reaction (광화학반응에 의해 생성된 대기오염물질이 인체에 미치는 영향의 간접평가 (우리 나라 대기오존농도 추이와 문헌고찰을 중심으로))

  • 신찬기;김대선
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.32-40
    • /
    • 1994
  • The concentration of ozone in 5 major cities in Korea( Seoul, Pusan, Taegu, Kwangjoo, Incheon ) has been shown increasing trend after 1984, while decreasing trend in Hsan. According to the data from 12 monitoring stations in 9 cities of metropolitan area from January 1994 to August 1994, ozone concentration exceeded short term standard 99 times and 87%(861imes) of those was occurred during July and Augusta while the maximum ozone concentration was appeared mainly between 14: 00 and 17: 00 daily. As the result of epidemiological survey, main substances which irritate eyes were identified to be PAN and formaldehyde rather than ozone while ozone was identified to be reachable to deep part of respiratory system main target organ of ozone.

  • PDF