• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제37권1호
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• pp.39-48
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• 2011

야전에 저장된 탄약의 수명을 예측하는 것은 군의 전투지원 핵심요소로 실무적으로 매우 중요한 의미가 있다. 본 연구는 6년간 수행한 155mm 추진장약(KD541)의 ASRP(Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program : 저장탄약신뢰성평가) 결과를 기초로 추진장약 추진제의 안정제함량 변화에 따른 시계열분석 (ARIMA 모델) 방법론을 적용 저장탄약수명을 예측하였다. 이번 연구는 기존의 회귀분석 모델을 활용한 연구방법과 다르게 시계열분석을 적용하되 미니 탭 프로그램을 활용하여 시계열분석을 적용 저장탄약수명을 예측하였다. 이러한 분석결과 155mm 추진장약(KD541) 저장수명은 35~43년으로 예측되었다.

• 한국축산식품학회지
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• 제38권6호
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• pp.1216-1225
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• 2018

Shelf-life is defined as the amount of time during which a food product retains its desired sensory, chemical, and physical characteristics while remaining safe for consumption. The food industry needs to rapidly obtain the necessary information for determining the shelf life of its products. Here we studied the approaches available for conducting accelerated shelf-life tests. Accelerated shelf-life testing is applied to a variety of products to rapidly estimate change in characteristics with time. The aim of this work was to use accelerated shelf-life testing to study the changes in pH, microbiology, and sensory characteristics of ice cream by the application of a kinetic approach and, based on the observations, to estimate its shelf life. As per the current law, there is no shelf life on ice cream. Our results suggest that the shelf life of an ice cream sample was 24.27 months at $-18^{\circ}C$, 2.29 months at $-6^{\circ}C$, 0.39 months at $-1^{\circ}C$, and 0.15 months at $4^{\circ}C$. Results of this study suggest that a set expiration date on ice cream might also contribute to effective management of ice cream characteristics in the retail chilled chain.

• 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.189-196
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• 1996

Based on microbiological-chemical test results under simulated time-temperature conditions, total plate count, coliform, and volatile basic nitrogen were selected as effective quality indicators for estimating probable shelf-life on Kim Pab dosirak marketed in convenience stores, and shelf-life at each storage temperature was calculated from regression equation between effective quality indicator standard limit and storage time. Estimated shelf lives of Kim Pab Dosirak were 17, 3 and 2 hours respectively under 1$0^{\circ}C$, 2$0^{\circ}C$ and 3$0^{\circ}C$. Because shelf-life was especially affected by intial values, regression analysis between initial effective quality indicator values and storage hours was performed for the estimation of probable shelf-life on Kim Pab during storage at 10, 20, or 3$0^{\circ}C$.

• 한국포장학회지
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• 제20권3호
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• pp.85-89
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• 2014

시간-온도이력 지시계(TTI)는 시간-온도 이력에 따라 색이 변하는 작은 라벨로서 온도 의존성이 매우 중요한 성능 요소이다. TTI 색변화와 식품의 Arrhenius 활성화 에너지의 차이(${\Delta}Ea$)에 따른 shelf life 예측 오차를 수리적으로 분석하였다. 수리적 분석을 위하여 TTI의 kinetics는 0차반응, 식품은 1차반응에 해당하며 모두 Arrhenius 온도의존성을 따르는 것으로 가정하였다. TTI의 Ea가 식품보다 크거나 작은 경우 그리고 그 차이의 크기에 의한 효과를 분석하였다. 식품의 Ea가 TTI보다 작은 경우 온도변화에 따른 shelf life를 연산한 결과, TTI의 shelf life(색 변화의 종료 시점)가 식품의 shelf life(부패 시점)에 먼저 도달하였고, 식품이 TTI보다 큰 경우에는 식품이 shelf life에 먼저 도달하는 반대의 결과를 나타내었다. 또한 ${\Delta}Ea$의 크기가 클수록 shelf life의 차이도 크게 증가하였다. 결론적으로 TTI의 Ea가 식품보다 크거나 그 차이가 작을수록 TTI에 의하여 식품의 부패 시점이 안전하거나(shelf $life_{Food}$ > shelf $life_{TTI}$) 정확하게(shelf $life_{Food}{\fallingdotseq}$ shelf $life_{TTI}$) 예측됨을 알 수 있었다.

• 한국식품저장유통학회지
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.573-588
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• 2023

The purpose of this study was to monitor changes in the quality of ginseng and predict its shelf-life. As the storage period of ginseng increased, some quality indicators, such as water-soluble pectin (WSP), CDTA-soluble pectin (CSP), cellulose, weight loss, and microbial growth increased, while others (Na₂CO₃-soluble pectin/NSP, hemicellulose, starch, and firmness) decreased. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed using the quality attribute data and the principal component 1 (PC1) scores extracted from the PCA results were applied to the multivariate analysis. The reaction rate at different temperatures and the temperature dependence of the reaction rate were determined using kinetic and Arrhenius models, respectively. Among the kinetic models, zeroth-order models with cellulose and a PC1 score provided an adequate fit for reaction rate estimation. Hence, the prediction model was constructed by applying the cellulose and PC1 scores to the zeroth-order kinetic and Arrhenius models. The prediction model with PC1 score showed higher R² values (0.877-0.919) than those of cellulose (0.797-0.863), indicating that multivariate analysis using PC1 score is more accurate for the shelf-life prediction of ginseng. The predicted shelf-life using the multivariate accelerated shelf-life test at 5, 20, and 35℃ was 40, 16, and 7 days, respectively.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.241-248
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• 2002

An electronic noses system including six metal oxide sensors was used to predict the characteristics of shelf-life of soybean curd. Soybean curd was stored at two different temperatures defined as low temperature(5$\^{C}$) and high temperature(25$\^{C}$). Resistance changes of the sensors were measured 13 times for 19 days at low temperature and 19 times for 120 hours at high temperature. Three different analytical methods such as graphical analysis(GA), principal component analysis(PCA), and cluster analysis(CA) were used to analyze sensors outputs. The ratio of resistance was decreased according to increasement of shelf-life. Using PCA it was possible to predict freshness and shelf-life time of soybean curds. Also, using CA it was possible to simplify an electronic nose system. Electronic nose system could be an efficient method to predict shelf-life and to evaluate quality in foods.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.628-633
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• 2020

본 논문에서는 일회성 시스템이 장기 저장되는 동안 수명을 관리하기 위한 프로그램에 대해 연구하였다. 일회성 시스템은 주로 장기간 저장 또는 비운용 상태로 유지되다 임무수행시 일회성으로 운용되는 특징이 있으며, 일회성에 해당하는 기능은 주로 화약과 같은 시효성 품목을 통해 발휘된다. 이러한 시효성 품목은 저장 기간이 경과됨에 따라 성능과 특성이 변화하는 품목으로서 장기 저장간 정상 상태를 유지하기 위한 수명 관리가 매우 중요하며, 체계적인 수명 관리를 위해서는 관리 기준 설정이 필요하다. 수명 관리 기준과 현재 신뢰도를 비교하여 수명연장을 결정하며, 차기 수명평가 시기를 결정하는 방법을 지수분포와 와이블분포별로 제시한다. 수명평가 결과 시험데이터를 지속적으로 누적하며 수명분포의 모수를 최신화하고 신뢰도 변화를 확인하여, 수명을 연장하거나 만료를 판정한다. 또한, 일회성 시스템인 K000 신관의 ASRP 시험데이터를 활용하여 제안된 수명 관리 프로그램에 따라 수명 관리가 어떻게 이뤄지게 되는지 적용 가능성을 확인하였다.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.124-132
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• 2018

This paper presents a shelf life assessment for K-1 military gas masks in the Republic of Korea using test data of Chemical Materiels Stockpile Reliability Program(CSRP). For the shelf life assessment, over 2,500 samples between 2006 and 2015 were collected from field tests and analyzed to estimate a probability of proper and improper functionality using Bayesian estimation. For this, three stages were considered; a pre-processing, a processing and an assessment. In the pre-processing, major components which directly influence the shelf life of the mask were statistically analyzed and selected by applying principal component analysis from all test components. In the processing, with the major components chosen in the previous stage, both proper and improper probability of gas masks were computed by applying Bayesian estimation. In the assessment, the probability model of the mask shelf life was analyzed with respect to storage periods between 0 and 29 years resulting in between 66.1 % and 100 % performances in accuracy, sensitivity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value.

• 생약학회지
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• 제44권2호
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• pp.200-208
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• 2013

The aim of this study was to evaluate the shelf-life of Bojungikgi-tang (Buzhongyiqi-tang in Chinese) by long-term storage test. Experiments were performed to evaluate the stability such as the selected physicochemical, pH, identification, heavy metal, microbiological experiment, and amount of marker compounds under a long-term storage test of Bojungikgi-tang decoction. The significant change was not showed in pH, heavy metal, microbiological, and identification test based on long-term storage test. Furthermore, the HPLC analysis was performed for the determinations of liquiritin, glycyrrhizin, nodakenin, and hesperidin in Bojungikgi-tang by long-term storage test. We were calculated shelf-life of Bojungikgi-tang decoction based on the amount change of four constituents. Consequently, Shelf-life by four compounds at room temperature was predicted 23 month. The suggested shelf-life would be helpful on the storage and distribution of herbal medicine.

• 한국식품조리과학회지
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.61-71
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• 2011

This study was conducted to estimate the shelf-life of Kimbab manufactured using a Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Point (HACCP). We performed a microbiological verification after applying the HACCP plan to Kimbab. Additionally, the shelf-life of Kimbab at each holding temperature was calculated as a regression equation between the aerobic plate counts and holding time during the storage period. The critical control points of the HACCP plan, that were applied to Kimbab, included: cold-holding of refrigerated foods, checking the endpoint cooking temperature of heated food, and cold-holding of cooked foods. As a result of the microbiological verification of Kimbab, the aerobic plate counts averaged 3.46 log CFU/g. In contrast, the coliforms, E. coli, Staphylococcus aureus, and Salmonella spp. were not detected in any of the samples. The estimated shelf-life of Kimbab was calculated to be 45 hours at $10^{\circ}C$, 29 hours at $15^{\circ}C$, 6 hours at $25^{\circ}C$ and 3 hours at $35^{\circ}C$. In conclusion, manufacturers should apply a prerequisite program and a HACCP system for a safe consumption of ready-to-eat foods and label products with a proper shelf-life. Distributors should control the proper holding time-temperature until sale and consumers should eat immediately after purchasing ready-to-eat foods.