• Title/Summary/Keyword: Shelf Life Analysis

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Prediction of the shelf-life of ammunition by time series analysis (시계열분석을 적용한 저장탄약수명 예측 기법 연구 - 추진장약의 안정제함량 변화를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Jung-Woo;Kim, Hee-Bo;Kim, Young-In;Hong, Yoon-Gee
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2011
  • To predict the shelf-life of ammunition stockpiled in intermediate have practical meaning as a core value of combat support. This research is to Predict the shelf-life of ammunition by applying time series analysis based on report from ASRP of the 155mm, KD541 performed for 6 years. This study applied time series analysis using 'Mini-tab program' to measure the amount of stabilizer as time passes by is different from the other one that uses regression analysis. The average shelf-life of KD541 drawn by time series analysis was 43 years and the lowest shelf-life assessed on the 95% confidence level was 35 years.

Predicting Shelf-life of Ice Cream by Accelerated Conditions

  • Park, Jung-Min;Koh, Jong-Ho;Kim, Jin-Man
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.1216-1225
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    • 2018
  • Shelf-life is defined as the amount of time during which a food product retains its desired sensory, chemical, and physical characteristics while remaining safe for consumption. The food industry needs to rapidly obtain the necessary information for determining the shelf life of its products. Here we studied the approaches available for conducting accelerated shelf-life tests. Accelerated shelf-life testing is applied to a variety of products to rapidly estimate change in characteristics with time. The aim of this work was to use accelerated shelf-life testing to study the changes in pH, microbiology, and sensory characteristics of ice cream by the application of a kinetic approach and, based on the observations, to estimate its shelf life. As per the current law, there is no shelf life on ice cream. Our results suggest that the shelf life of an ice cream sample was 24.27 months at $-18^{\circ}C$, 2.29 months at $-6^{\circ}C$, 0.39 months at $-1^{\circ}C$, and 0.15 months at $4^{\circ}C$. Results of this study suggest that a set expiration date on ice cream might also contribute to effective management of ice cream characteristics in the retail chilled chain.

The Predicton of the Shelf-life of Packaged Meals (Kim Pab) Marketed in Covenience Stores Using Simulation Study (모의실험을 통한 편의점 판매용 김밥 도시락의 유통기한 예측)

  • 곽동경;김성희
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.189-196
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    • 1996
  • Based on microbiological-chemical test results under simulated time-temperature conditions, total plate count, coliform, and volatile basic nitrogen were selected as effective quality indicators for estimating probable shelf-life on Kim Pab dosirak marketed in convenience stores, and shelf-life at each storage temperature was calculated from regression equation between effective quality indicator standard limit and storage time. Estimated shelf lives of Kim Pab Dosirak were 17, 3 and 2 hours respectively under 1$0^{\circ}C$, 2$0^{\circ}C$ and 3$0^{\circ}C$. Because shelf-life was especially affected by intial values, regression analysis between initial effective quality indicator values and storage hours was performed for the estimation of probable shelf-life on Kim Pab during storage at 10, 20, or 3$0^{\circ}C$.

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Mathematical Analysis on TTI's Estimation Accuracy of Food Shelf Life Depending on its Discrepancy in Temperature Dependence (상호 온도의존성의 차이에 따른 TTI의 식품 shelf life 예측 정확성에 대한 수리적 분석)

  • Kang, Jin Won;Choi, Jung Hwa;Park, Soo Yeon;Kim, Min Jung;Kim, Min Jung;Lee, Man Hi;Jung, Seung Won;Lee, Seung Ju
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF PACKAGING SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.85-89
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    • 2014
  • TTI is a small label of which the color changes by time-temperature history during food storage. The food shelf life (SL) was compared with that of TTI, the time for TTI to reach the end-point of its color change, for the various discrepancies in two Arrhenius activation energies (Ea), an important parameter of temperature dependence. The SL of TTI and food were mathematically simulated, based on zero-order and first-order kinetics, respectively. In the case Ea of food was smaller than that of TTI, the SL of food was larger than that of TTI, meaning TTI reaches the end-point of color change earlier even though food is still fresh. In the case of Ea of food > Ea of TTI, the food reaches the SL earlier than the TTI. In addition, the magnitude of ${\Delta}Ea$ between food and TTI led to the bigger ${\Delta}SL$. To be safe, $SL_{Food}$ > $SL_{TTI}$ would be practical although $SL_{Food}{\fallingdotseq}SL_{TTI}$ is ideal.

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Shelf-life prediction of fresh ginseng packaged with plastic films based on a kinetic model and multivariate accelerated shelf-life testing

  • Jong-Jin Park;Jeong-Hee Choi;Kee-Jai Park;Jeong-Seok Cho;Dae-Yong Yun;Jeong-Ho Lim
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.573-588
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to monitor changes in the quality of ginseng and predict its shelf-life. As the storage period of ginseng increased, some quality indicators, such as water-soluble pectin (WSP), CDTA-soluble pectin (CSP), cellulose, weight loss, and microbial growth increased, while others (Na2CO3-soluble pectin/NSP, hemicellulose, starch, and firmness) decreased. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed using the quality attribute data and the principal component 1 (PC1) scores extracted from the PCA results were applied to the multivariate analysis. The reaction rate at different temperatures and the temperature dependence of the reaction rate were determined using kinetic and Arrhenius models, respectively. Among the kinetic models, zeroth-order models with cellulose and a PC1 score provided an adequate fit for reaction rate estimation. Hence, the prediction model was constructed by applying the cellulose and PC1 scores to the zeroth-order kinetic and Arrhenius models. The prediction model with PC1 score showed higher R2 values (0.877-0.919) than those of cellulose (0.797-0.863), indicating that multivariate analysis using PC1 score is more accurate for the shelf-life prediction of ginseng. The predicted shelf-life using the multivariate accelerated shelf-life test at 5, 20, and 35℃ was 40, 16, and 7 days, respectively.

Characteristics of Shelf-life of Soybean Curd by Electronic Noses - Using PCA and cluster analysis (전자코를 이용한 두부의 저장특성 분석 주성분 분석과 군집분석을 이용하여 -)

  • 김성민;노봉수
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.241-248
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    • 2002
  • An electronic noses system including six metal oxide sensors was used to predict the characteristics of shelf-life of soybean curd. Soybean curd was stored at two different temperatures defined as low temperature(5$\^{C}$) and high temperature(25$\^{C}$). Resistance changes of the sensors were measured 13 times for 19 days at low temperature and 19 times for 120 hours at high temperature. Three different analytical methods such as graphical analysis(GA), principal component analysis(PCA), and cluster analysis(CA) were used to analyze sensors outputs. The ratio of resistance was decreased according to increasement of shelf-life. Using PCA it was possible to predict freshness and shelf-life time of soybean curds. Also, using CA it was possible to simplify an electronic nose system. Electronic nose system could be an efficient method to predict shelf-life and to evaluate quality in foods.

A Study on Shelf-life Management Program of Long-term Storage One-shot System (장기 저장되는 일회성 시스템의 수명 관리 프로그램에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Dong-in;Shim, Hang-Geun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.628-633
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents an analysis of the shelf-life management program of the long-term storage one-shot system. The one-shot system is mainly maintained with long-term storage or non-operating status and is operated once at execution of the mission. The function corresponding to one-shot is mainly operated through a shelf-life item such as an explosive. The performance and characteristics of shelf-life item are subject to change as the storage period passes. Therefore, shelf-life management for maintaining good condition is very important during long-term storage, and criteria for management is necessary. We present a method for optimizing shelf-life extension by comparing criteria for management with current reliability. Next, the shelf-life evaluation schedule was decided by utilizing the reliability function of exponential distribution and Weibull distribution. Continuously accumulated test data from the shelf-life evaluation were analyzed, and the parameter of distribution was updated. The extension or expiration of shelf-life was selected by monitoring changes in reliability. In addition, we confirmed the applicability of the presented shelf-life management program by applying ASRP test data of the one-shot system K000 fuse.

Bayesian Estimation based K-1 Gas-Mask Shelf Life Assessment using CSRP Test Data (CSRP 시험데이터를 사용한 베이시안 추정모델 기반 K-1 방독면 저장수명 분석)

  • Kim, Jong-Hwan;Jung, Chi-jung;Kim, Hyunjung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.124-132
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    • 2018
  • This paper presents a shelf life assessment for K-1 military gas masks in the Republic of Korea using test data of Chemical Materiels Stockpile Reliability Program(CSRP). For the shelf life assessment, over 2,500 samples between 2006 and 2015 were collected from field tests and analyzed to estimate a probability of proper and improper functionality using Bayesian estimation. For this, three stages were considered; a pre-processing, a processing and an assessment. In the pre-processing, major components which directly influence the shelf life of the mask were statistically analyzed and selected by applying principal component analysis from all test components. In the processing, with the major components chosen in the previous stage, both proper and improper probability of gas masks were computed by applying Bayesian estimation. In the assessment, the probability model of the mask shelf life was analyzed with respect to storage periods between 0 and 29 years resulting in between 66.1 % and 100 % performances in accuracy, sensitivity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value.

Evaluation of Shelf-life of Bojungikgi-tang by Long-term Storage Test (장기보존시험에 따른 보중익기탕 전탕팩의 유통기한 평가)

  • Seo, Chang-Seob;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Seong-Sil;Lim, Soon-Hee;Shin, Hyeun-Kyoo
    • Korean Journal of Pharmacognosy
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.200-208
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    • 2013
  • The aim of this study was to evaluate the shelf-life of Bojungikgi-tang (Buzhongyiqi-tang in Chinese) by long-term storage test. Experiments were performed to evaluate the stability such as the selected physicochemical, pH, identification, heavy metal, microbiological experiment, and amount of marker compounds under a long-term storage test of Bojungikgi-tang decoction. The significant change was not showed in pH, heavy metal, microbiological, and identification test based on long-term storage test. Furthermore, the HPLC analysis was performed for the determinations of liquiritin, glycyrrhizin, nodakenin, and hesperidin in Bojungikgi-tang by long-term storage test. We were calculated shelf-life of Bojungikgi-tang decoction based on the amount change of four constituents. Consequently, Shelf-life by four compounds at room temperature was predicted 23 month. The suggested shelf-life would be helpful on the storage and distribution of herbal medicine.

Determining Kimbab Shelf-life with a HACCP System (HACCP을 적용하여 생산한 김밥의 유통기한 설정)

  • Lee, Jin-Hyang;Bae, Hyun-Joo
    • Korean journal of food and cookery science
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to estimate the shelf-life of Kimbab manufactured using a Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Point (HACCP). We performed a microbiological verification after applying the HACCP plan to Kimbab. Additionally, the shelf-life of Kimbab at each holding temperature was calculated as a regression equation between the aerobic plate counts and holding time during the storage period. The critical control points of the HACCP plan, that were applied to Kimbab, included: cold-holding of refrigerated foods, checking the endpoint cooking temperature of heated food, and cold-holding of cooked foods. As a result of the microbiological verification of Kimbab, the aerobic plate counts averaged 3.46 log CFU/g. In contrast, the coliforms, E. coli, Staphylococcus aureus, and Salmonella spp. were not detected in any of the samples. The estimated shelf-life of Kimbab was calculated to be 45 hours at $10^{\circ}C$, 29 hours at $15^{\circ}C$, 6 hours at $25^{\circ}C$ and 3 hours at $35^{\circ}C$. In conclusion, manufacturers should apply a prerequisite program and a HACCP system for a safe consumption of ready-to-eat foods and label products with a proper shelf-life. Distributors should control the proper holding time-temperature until sale and consumers should eat immediately after purchasing ready-to-eat foods.