• Title/Summary/Keyword: Share Rate

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Structure of Export Competition between Asian NIEs and Japan in the U.S. Import Market and Exchange Rate Effects (한국(韓國)의 아시아신흥공업국(新興工業國) 및 일본(日本)과의 대미수출경쟁(對美輸出競爭) : 환율효과(換率效果)를 중심(中心)으로)

  • Jwa, Sung-hee
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.3-49
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    • 1990
  • This paper analyzes U.S. demand for imports from Asian NIEs and Japan, utilizing the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) developed by Deaton and Muellbauer, with an emphasis on the effect of changes in the exchange rate. The empirical model assumes a two-stage budgeting process in which the first stage represents the allocation of total U.S. demand among three groups: the Asian NIEs and Japan, six Western developed countries, and the U.S. domestic non-tradables and import competing sector. The second stage represents the allocation of total U.S. imports from the Asian NIEs and Japan among them, by country. According to the AIDS model, the share equation for the Asia NIEs and Japan in U.S. nominal GNP is estimated as a single equation for the first stage. The share equations for those five countries in total U.S. imports are estimated as a system with the general demand restrictions of homogeneity, symmetry and adding-up, together with polynomially distributed lag restrictions. The negativity condition is also satisfied for all cases. The overall results of these complicated estimations, using quarterly data from the first quarter of 1972 to the fourth quarter of 1989, are quite promising in terms of the significance of individual estimators and other statistics. The conclusions drawn from the estimation results and the derived demand elasticities can be summarized as follows: First, the exports of each Asian NIE to the U.S. are competitive with (substitutes for) Japan's exports, while complementary to the exports of fellow NIEs, with the exception of the competitive relation between Hong Kong and Singapore. Second, the exports of each Asian NIE and of Japan to the U.S. are competitive with those of Western developed countries' to the U.S, while they are complementary to the U.S.' non-tradables and import-competing sector. Third, as far as both the first and second stages of budgeting are coneidered, the imports from each Asian NIE and Japan are luxuries in total U.S. consumption. However, when only the second budgeting stage is considered, the imports from Japan and Singapore are luxuries in U.S. imports from the NIEs and Japan, while those of Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong are necessities. Fourth, the above results may be evidenced more concretely in their implied exchange rate effects. It appears that, in general, a change in the yen-dollar exchange rate will have at least as great an impact, on an NIE's share and volume of exports to the U.S. though in the opposite direction, as a change in the exchange rate of the NIE's own currency $vis-{\grave{a}}-vis$ the dollar. Asian NIEs, therefore, should counteract yen-dollar movements in order to stabilize their exports to the U.S.. More specifically, Korea should depreciate the value of the won relative to the dollar by approximately the same proportion as the depreciation rate of the yen $vis-{\grave{a}}-vis$ the dollar, in order to maintain the volume of Korean exports to the U.S.. In the worst case scenario, Korea should devalue the won by three times the maguitude of the yen's depreciation rate, in order to keep market share in the aforementioned five countries' total exports to the U.S.. Finally, this study provides additional information which may support empirical findings on the competitive relations among the Asian NIEs and Japan. The correlation matrices among the strutures of those five countries' exports to the U.S.. during the 1970s and 1980s were estimated, with the export structure constructed as the shares of each of the 29 industrial sectors' exports as defined by the 3 digit KSIC in total exports to the U.S. from each individual country. In general, the correlation between each of the four Asian NIEs and Japan, and that between Hong Kong and Singapore, are all far below .5, while the ones among the Asian NIEs themselves (except for the one between Hong Kong and Singapore) all greatly exceed .5. If there exists a tendency on the part of the U.S. to import goods in each specific sector from different countries in a relatively constant proportion, the export structures of those countries will probably exhibit a high correlation. To take this hypothesis to the extreme, if the U.S. maintained an absolutely fixed ratio between its imports from any two countries for each of the 29 sectors, the correlation between the export structures of these two countries would be perfect. Therefore, since any two goods purchased in a fixed proportion could be classified as close complements, a high correlation between export structures will imply a complementary relationship between them. Conversely, low correlation would imply a competitive relationship. According to this interpretation, the pattern formed by the correlation coefficients among the five countries' export structures to the U.S. are consistent with the empirical findings of the regression analysis.

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Improving Phoneme Recognition based on Gaussian Model using Bhattacharyya Distance Measurement Method (바타챠랴 거리 측정 기법을 사용한 가우시안 모델 기반 음소 인식 향상)

  • Oh, Sang-Yeob
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2011
  • Previous existing vocabulary recognition programs calculate general vector values from a database, so they can not process phonemes that form during a search. And because they can not create a model for phoneme data, the accuracy of the Gaussian model can not secure. Therefore, in this paper, we recommend use of the Bhattacharyya distance measurement method based on the features of the phoneme-thus allowing us to improve the recognition rate by picking up accurate phonemes and minimizing recognition of similar and erroneous phonemes. We test the Gaussian model optimization through share continuous probability distribution, and we confirm the heighten recognition rate. The Bhattacharyya distance measurement method suggest in this paper reflect an average 1.9% improvement in performance compare to previous methods, and it has average 2.9% improvement based on reliability in recognition rate.

Triffin Dilemma and International Monetary System : Evidence from Pooled Mean Group Estimation

  • Guan, Long-Fei;Lau, Wee-Yeap
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2018
  • This study is motivated based on concern from some renowned scholars and central bankers whom have raised the issue of the sustainability of the International Monetary System (IMS). Using the panel data set of four major international currencies, USD, JPY, EUR and GBP from 1973 to 2013 with Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator, to re-examine whether Triffin dilemma still exists through investigating the relationship between the reserve share, current account balance and real effective exchange rate. The evidence from the result indicates that Triffin dilemma exists only in the long run, and shows that in the long-run, current account balance is proportionate to the increased real effective exchange rate while varies inversely with the reserve shares. However, the estimation for the short-run is not significant to prove the existence of Triffin dilemma. In addition, we investigated the non-dollar panel sample and found that the international monetary system still suffers from Triffin dilemma even without the dollar. To overcome Triffin dilemma, immediate step such as having currency swap mechanism is recommended. In medium term, a multi-polar Monetary System is suggested, and in the longer time, a supranational currency will be used to replace all the currencies in the world.

Rate Adaptation for HTTP Video Streaming to Improve the QoE in Multi-client Environments

  • Yun, Dooyeol;Chung, Kwangsue
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.11
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    • pp.4519-4533
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    • 2015
  • Hypertext Transfer Protocol (HTTP) adaptive streaming has become a new trend in video delivery. An HTTP adaptive streaming client needs to effectively estimate resource availability and demand. However, due to the bitrate of the video encoded in variable bitrate (VBR) mode, a bitrate mismatch problem occurs. With the rising demand for mobile devices, the likelihood of cases where two or more HTTP adaptive streaming clients share the same network bottleneck and competing for available bandwidth will increase. These mismatch and competition issues lead to network congestion, which adversely affects the Quality of Experience (QoE). To solve these problem, we propose a video rate adaptation scheme for the HTTP video streaming to guarantee and optimize the QoE. The proposed scheme estimates the available bandwidth according to the bitrate of each segment and also schedules the segment request time to expedite the response to the bandwidth variation. We used a multi-client simulation to prove that our scheme can effectively cope with drastic changes in the connection throughput and video bitrate.

Performance of GFR service for TCP traffic in ATM switches with FIFO shared buffer (FIFO 공유 버퍼를 갖는 ATM 스위치에서 TCP 트래픽을 위한 GFR 성능 평가)

  • Park Inyong
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2005
  • ATM Form has defined the guaranteed frame rate (GFR) service to provide minimum cell rate (MCR) guarantees for TCP traffic in ATM networks and allow it to fairly share residual bandwidth. GFR switch implementation consists of the frame-based generic cell rate algorithm (F-GCRA) and a frame forwarding mechanism. The F-GCRA identifies frames that are eligible for an MCR guarantee. The frame forwarding mechanism buffers cells at a frame unit according to information provided by the F-GCRA and forwards the buffered cells to an output port according to its scheduling discipline. A simple GFR mechanism with shared buffer with a global threshold is a feasible implementation mechanism, but has been known that it is insufficient to guarantee the MCR. This paper has estimated performance of GFR service for TCP traffic over ATM switches with the simple FIFO-based mechanism

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The Value of Reverse Mortgage Loans: Case Study of the Chinese Market

  • Wang, Ping;Kim, Ji-Pyo
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2014
  • This study contributes to addressing the problem of an aging population by providing important information that determines feasible monthly payments for the clients of Chinese reverse mortgage products and by promoting the implementation of reverse mortgages in China. The variables used in this study include mean values obtained from time series data, of the rate of increase of housing prices, and the probability value, interest rate, and mortality rate obtained through the geometric Brownian motion (GBM). For mortality rates, China Life Insurance female mortality rates (2000-2003) were used. This study aims to apply the main variables that affect reverse mortgage products in a monthly payment model based on Chinese financial market conditions, and determine loan values. In this study, Shanghai's reverse mortgage monthly payments, by age levels, were calculated through the loan-to-value (LTV) and payment (PMT) methods to evaluate the value of the reverse mortgages. Based on the optimal combination of the three factors of payment amount, loan interest rates, and the level of acceptance of prices, efforts must be made to extract the best value for the elderly. Only in this way can the interests of both lenders and borrowers be protected, by increasing the market share and economies of scale of the reverse mortgage industry and effectively improving the living standards of the elderly.

QoS-Guaranteed Slot Allocation Algorithm for Efficient Medium Access in HR-WPAN

  • Sung, Jung-Sik;Lee, Hyunjeong;Kang, Tae-Gyu;Huh, Jaedoo
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.1242-1250
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    • 2015
  • It is very important to provide a parameterized quality of service (QoS) using traffic specification (TSPEC), such as mean data rate, maximum burst size, and peak data rate, when packets from the application layer need to be transmitted with guaranteed services in a high-rate wireless personal area network (HR-WPAN). As medium resources are limited, the optimal medium time required for each device needs to be estimated to share the resources efficiently among devices. This paper proposes a variable-service interval-based resource allocation algorithm to efficiently make a reservation of medium resources based on a parameterized QoS. In other words, the proposed algorithm calculates the number of medium access slots (MASs) based on TSPEC, local resources, and local conditions and determines suitable locations for the MASs within a superframe to accommodate more devices. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithm can accommodate more devices and has greater than 10% resource allocation efficiency in an HR-WPAN compared to existing schemes.

Analysis of the Load Contribution of Wind Power and Photovoltaic Power to Power System in Jeju (제주지역 풍력발전 및 태양광발전의 전력계통 부하기여 분석)

  • Myung, Ho-San;Kim, Hyung-Chyul;Kang, Nam-Ho;Kim, Yeong-Hwan;Kim, Se-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2018
  • As part of the "Carbon free Island 2030" policy, the local government of Jeju Island is currently working to reduce carbon through renewable energy supply. However, renewable energy is difficult to predict due to intermittent characteristics. If the share of renewable energy increase, it is difficult to plan of supply of electricity to grid due to that characteristic of renewable. In this paper analyze the fluctuation rate and the capacity credit of wind power and PV to find out how much wind power and PV contribute to supply of electricity of power system in Jeju. As a result mean value of variation rate of wind power and PV is about 3%, 5% and capacity credit is about 10% and 2% respectively.

A Study on the Effect of Maintenance Organization over Maintenance Performance Index : Based on Paper Industry (보전조직이 보전성과지표에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 : 제지산업을 중심으로)

  • Ku, Sung Tae;Kim, Chang Eun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.599-608
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    • 2013
  • This study is intended to propose optimal maintenance organization to process industry, especially paper industry by analyzing maintenance organization of paper industry and finding out how the maintenance organization and the allocation of maintenance resources influence maintenance performance indices here in this paper. In this study, we analyzed the maintenance organization in detail and studied correlation between maintenance organization and equipment failure rate for the major top six domestic paper-mills in market share. According to the study, the maintenance organization has been changed in accordance with its business environment, but its performance was different by both the allocation way of maintenance resources and the structure of maintenance organization. For paper industry, whose availability is the most important key index that determines the success or failure of a business, it turns out to be the most effective strategy that operates the combination maintenance combined central maintenance with area maintenance and allocates the maintenance resources mainly for preventive maintenance. In particular, it turned out to be that there is the strong positive correlation between the rate of shift workers and the equipment failure rate. The results of this study is not limited to paper industry, but expandable to other industry. So it is expected that the direction of the maintenance organization would be given to the company which is struggling to improve its availability.

The Use of Preferences under the EU - Korea FTA

  • Gulczynski, Michal;Nilsson, Lars
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.66-86
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This paper describes the use of trade preferences under the EU-Korea free trade agreement (FTA) and empirically examines potential reasons for the less than full use, using data on daily EU imports from Korea at the product level. Design/methodology - We employ a probit model to analyse the relationship between the use of trade preferences on the one hand and variables such as potential duty savings, rules of origin and the characteristics of the good traded (intermediate input or final product) on the other. Findings - The paper finds that EU imports from Korea make good use of trade preferences with an overall preference utilisation rate of close to 90% in 2016, which is up from about 80% in 2012. It further shows that potential duty savings influence preference utilisation positively and that more than one quarter of the observations in our sample made use of preferences under EU-Korea FTA in 2012, despite duty savings standing at €10 or less. Originality/value - The finding that a non-negligible share of observations use preferences even when the duty savings are low has not yet figured in the literature. We further show how preference utilisation rates differ by importing EU Member State and by section of the Harmonised System and estimate the marginal impact of an increase in potential duty savings on the preference utilisation rate by broad product group, which is novel.