• 한국도로학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국도로학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.349-359
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• 2008

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제34권2호
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• pp.561-571
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• 2014

전라북도내 14개 시 군의 교통사고 자료를 활용하여 고령운전자의 교통사고 피해 심각성을 분석하였다. 교통사고는 1차적으로 개인 및 운전환경 속성과 2차적으로 도시관련 속성에 의해 영향을 받는 2단계 위계적 특성을 갖는 것으로 가정하였다. 위계적 특성을 고려한 피해 심각성에 대한 영향요인을 분석하기 위해 다수준분석모형을 활용하였다. 분석결과로서 65세 이후의 고령운전자는 연령이 증가할수록 교통사고로 인한 피해상황이 심각해짐을 보여주며 안전한 운전방법의 교육과 교통사고를 미연에 방지하기 위한 대안이 필요하다. 음주운전은 고령운전자에게 사고발생시 피해 심각성을 크게 할 경향이 높은데, 사망사고에 있어서 비고령자에 비해 발생비율이 약 3.0배 이상 높았다. 고령운전자는 야간 교통사고 발생빈도가 높은 편이나, 낮 시간대의 교통사고일수록 피해 심각성은 높아졌다. 고령운전자는 비고령자보다 흐린 날씨에서 사고 발생빈도가 높으나, 심각성에서는 맑은 날에 높아짐을 보였다. 습윤상태의 노면이 피해 심각성에 큰 영향을 주고 있는데, 비고령자에 비해서 고령운전자가 중상 및 사망비율도 높은 것으로 분석되었다.

• 대한불안의학회지
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.54-60
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• 2013

Objectives : Posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is classified as an anxiety disorder. PTSD occurrence is known to be increased in middle-aged and older people, female, and individuals with a previous history of psychiatric disorders, lower education levels, low socioeconomic status, and severely injured patients. Anxiety symptoms are also related to later development of PTSD. In this study, we investigate the influences of injury severity and sociodemographic factors on severe anxiety in PTSD patients with no previous history of psychiatric disorders. Methods : Forty-one PTSD patients without previous history of psychiatric disorders were recruited from the psychiatric clinic at Chosun University Hospital. Subjects underwent psychiatric and physical examinations including the Injury Severity Score (ISS), Beck Anxiety Inventory (BAI), and Korean-Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale (K-WAIS). We defined severe anxiety as a BAI scores of 30 or more. Logistic regression analyses and multi-step model selection were applied to identify predictive factors for severe anxiety. Results : In univariate analysis, age, ISS, and socioeconomic status were found to be significant factors. Through multivariate logistic regression analyses and a stepwise model selection, we found the combination of age and ISS to be the best-fitted model for affecting severe anxiety in PTSD patients without a previous history of psychiatric disorders. Conclusion : Our findings suggest that the combination of age and ISS could develop severe anxiety in PTSD patients with no previous history of psychiatric disorders.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.89-98
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• 2011

The traffic accidents at a construction site, which happen due to construction vehicles' frequent access to a construction site, its subsequent conflicts with ordinary vehicles and pedestrians, and inappropriate installation & management of traffic security facilities, have not many proportions in all traffic accidents, but obviously, the accident damage is quite serious when comparing the level of the fatal per one accident. This research conducted an analysis of traffic accident injury severity using Ordered Probit Model in relation to 241 traffic accident cases that occurred caused by construction sites among the traffic accidents that took place in Seoul and Gyeoggi-do region for two years from 2006 until 2007. As a result, the significant variables enough to explain traffic accident injury severity were analyzed to be the state of road surface, linear shape of an accident spot & whether the damaging car belongs to the vehicle for construction, and whether vehicles have access to a construction site at the time of an accident. Through this, this research found out some fact as follows: first, there need to be more aggressive management of the vehicles for construction and a year-round placement of the manpower who can control vehicular access to a construction site. Second, it is necessary to get drivers to recognize the fact that there exists a construction site on the construction section which is on the border of curved roads in advance to prevent a traffic accident, helping to reduce socioeconomic loss & costs incurred by a traffic accident.

• 정보과학회 논문지
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• 제42권11호
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• pp.1349-1360
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• 2015

소프트웨어 품질을 향상하기 위해서는 소스에 내재된 결함을 효율적, 효과적으로 제거해야 한다. 개발현장에서는 결함 심각도와 결함 제거율로 결함을 제거하고 있다. 결함을 이용하여 품질을 향상하기 위한 연구로는 결함 발생 빈도과 ISO 품질속성을 이용하여 품질을 향상하려는 연구가 있고, 프로젝트 수행 시 결함을 심각도로 관리하여 품질을 향상시키는 연구가 있었다. 하지만, 결함 자체에 집중하여 결함을 유형화하여 결함 유형 간에는 어떤 영향력이 있는지, 그 영향력으로 인하여 어느 결함 유형이 더 중요한 지에 대한 연구는 미흡한 실정이었다. 이에 본 연구에서는 표준단체, 업체, 연구자들의 소프트웨어 결함 유형을 수집, 분류하여 ANP로 모형화하였다. 또한, 구성된 ANP 모형을 이용하여 일반 응용 소프트웨어에 대하여 결함 유형별 중요도 가중치를 산정하였다. 일반 응용 소프트웨어를 개발할 때, 산정된 가중치를 적용하여 결함을 제거한다면, 좀 더 효율적이고 효과적으로 소프트웨어 품질을 향상할 수 있으리라 기대한다.

• Acute and Critical Care
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• 제33권4호
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• pp.216-221
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• 2018

Background: In this study, we analyze the performance of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, APACHE IV, Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) 3, and Mortality Probability Model $(MPM)_0$ III in order to determine which system best implements data related to the severity of medical intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Methods: The present study was a retrospective investigation analyzing the discrimination and calibration of APACHE II, APACHE IV, SAPS 3, and $MPM_0$ III when used to evaluate medical ICU patients. Data were collected for 788 patients admitted to the ICU from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2015. All patients were aged 18 years or older with ICU stays of at least 24 hours. The discrimination abilities of the three systems were evaluated using c-statistics, while calibration was evaluated by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. A severity correction model was created using logistics regression analysis. Results: For the APACHE IV, SAPS 3, $MPM_0$ III, and APACHE II systems, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves was 0.745 for APACHE IV, resulting in the highest discrimination among all four scoring systems. The value was 0.729 for APACHE II, 0.700 for SAP 3, and 0.670 for $MPM_0$ III. All severity scoring systems showed good calibrations: APACHE II (chi-square, 12.540; P=0.129), APACHE IV (chi-square, 6.959; P=0.541), SAPS 3 (chi-square, 9.290; P=0.318), and $MPM_0$ III (chi-square, 11.128; P=0.133). Conclusions: APACHE IV provided the best discrimination and calibration abilities and was useful for quality assessment and predicting mortality in medical ICU patients.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.63-70
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• 2019

고속도로 통행량 및 주행속도 증가로 인해 중앙분리대 충돌사고가 빈번히 발생하고 있다. 특히 차량의 대형화와 통행 중차량의 증가로 인해 중앙분리대 충돌사고 시 중앙분리대의 방호 성능을 초과하는 사고 역시 증가하는 추세이다. 따라서 고속도로의 안전성을 높이기 위해 고성능 중앙분리대의 개발이 필요하다. 본 논문은 고성능 중앙분리대 설치 필요에 따라 성능개선수준(하중모델) 및 설치위치 제안을 목적으로 하고 있다. 이를 위해 고속도로 중앙분리대 충돌 사고 자료 분석을 통해 고성능 중앙분리대 개발을 위한 성능 개선 수준 SB6등급(충격도 = 420 kJ, 하중: 25 ton, 충돌속도: 80 km/h, 충돌각도: $15^{\circ}$)으로 제안하고 운전자의 운전행태 분석을 통해 개량 및 신설 고성능 중앙분리대 설치 위치를 제안하였다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제41권4호
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• pp.623-635
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• 2013

Purpose: The recent major recalls of hazardous products caused consumer product safety acts to be strengthen worldwide. Although the recall system of hazardous products in Korea has been operating based on Framework Act on Product Safety since 2011, the evaluation of product risk has been relied on not the results of objective incident data but the results of illegal product investigations. The purpose of this paper is to propose a product risk assessment model for Korea using injury data. Methods: The authors derived Korea's risk assessment method by analysing the advantages and disadvantages of the most widely used models in advanced countries such as EU's RAPEX RAG and Janpan's R-MAP. In this study, the level of relative frequency and severity of injury are determined based on the objective incident data and the length of hospitalization respectively. In addition, the injury data occurred during 2011 is applied to the proposed risk assessment model for case study. Results: The data analysed in this paper can be classified as high risk, medium risk, low risk, acceptable risk, and safe products through the matrix f rom the combination of the relative frequency and the severity derived. Conclusion: The proposed risk assessment model in this study has advantage obtaining reliable objective results because it uses actual injury data and redeems the drawbacks of the existing models used in advanced countries. Furthermore, because the proposed model shows the high risk products among many, it is expected to be useful especially for customs whose main job is inspecting the imported goods and the government when selecting the target product groups for safety investigation.

• 대한수의학회지
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• 제44권4호
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• pp.607-613
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• 2004

Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori)-infection is an important pathogen of stomach cancer after chronic gastritis and ulceration in the stomach and duodenum. However, the virulences of H. pylori strains have not been well-defined between clinical isolates. This study was designed to establish water-immersion-restraint stress (WIRS) model in mongolian gerbil for comparison of pathogenicity of H. pylori strains. To determine an optimal duration time for WIRS model in gerbil, 5-week-old Mongolian gerbils were divided into different groups by WIRS duration time. After graded duration of WIRS, the macroscopic ulcer index (UI) was measured with the stomach and duodenum of sacrificed animal. There were no significant differences between male and female in same duration group. However, the UI increased significantly in a time-dependent fashion. The group of 6 hours-WIRS animals showed severe hemorrhage and ulceration in their stomach and duodenum. On the other hand, the very mild lesions induced in 2 hours-treated animals. Therefore, we determined an optimal duration time for WIRS model in gerbil as 4 hours. Thereafter, we evaluated whether this WIRS model in gerbil could be used as an useful tool for in vivo comparison of pathogenicity of H. pylori strains by enhancement of pathological severity in H. pylori-infected gerbils. Mongolian gerbils were divided into H. pyloriinfected and PBS-inoculated groups. Thereafter, they were divided again into 4 hours-WIRS and no WIRS subgroups. After treatment, the severity of pathological changes was evaluated in a same manner with previous duration-determining experiment. When the animals were exposed to WIRS, the UI was significantly higher in the infected group than in the uninfected group. These results suggested that the established gerbil-WIRS model in this study enhanced effectively the severity of pathogenic changes in the H. pylori-infected Mongolian gerbils and could be used as an useful tool for in vivo comparison of pathogenicity of H. pylori strains.

• 한국식물병리학회지
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.331-338
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• 1998

To develop the model for prediction of potato late blight progress, the relationship between severity index of potato late blight transformed by the logit and Gompit transformation function and cumulative severity value (CSV) processing weather data during growing period in Taegwallyeong alpine area, 1975 to 1992 were examined. When logistic model and Gompertz model were compared by determining goodness of fit for progressive degree of late blight using CSV as independent variable, the coefficients of determination were higher as 0.742 in the logistic model than 0.680 in the Gompertz model. Parameters in logistic model were composed of progressive rate and initial value of logistic model. Initial value was calculated in -3.664. The progressive rate of potato late blight was 0.137 in cv. Superior, 0.136 in cv. Irish Cobbler, and 0.070 in cv. Jopung without fungicide sprays. According to in crease of the number of spray times the progressive rate was lowered, was 0.020 in cv. Superior under the conventional program of fungicide sprays, 10 times sprays during cropping season. Equation of progressive rate, b1=0.0088 ACSV-0.033 (R2=0.976), was written by examining the relationship between the parameters of progressive rate of late blight and the average CSV (ACSV) quantifing weather information. By estimating parameters of logistic function, model able to describe the late blight progress of potato, cv. Superior was formulated in Y=4/(1+39.0·exp((0.0088 ACSV-0.033)·CSV).