• Title/Summary/Keyword: Sensitivity and Uncertainty

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Measurement Uncertainty Analysis of a Turbine Flowmeter for Fuel Flow Measurement in Altitude Engine Test (엔진 고공 시험에서 연료 유량 측정용 터빈 유량계의 측정 불확도 분석)

  • Yang, In-Young
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.42-47
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    • 2011
  • Measurement uncertainty analysis of fuel flow using turbine flowmeter was performed for the case of altitude engine test. SAE ARP4990 was used as the fuel flow calculation procedure, as well as the mathematical model for the measurement uncertainty assessment. The assessment was performed using Sensitivity Coefficient Method. 11 parameters involved in the calculation of the flow rate were considered. For the given equipment setup, the measurement uncertainty of fuel flow was assessed in the range of 1.19~1.86 % for high flow rate case, and 1.47~3.31 % for low flow rate case. Fluctuation in frequency signal from the flowmeter had the largest influence on the fuel flow measurement uncertainty for most cases. Fuel temperature measurement had the largest for the case of low temperature and low flow rate. Calibration of K-factor and the interpolation of the calibration data also had large influence, especially for the case of very low temperature. Reference temperature, at which the reference viscosity of the sample fuel was measured, had relatively small contribution, but it became larger when the operating fuel temperature was far from reference temperature. Measurement of reference density had small contribution on the flow rate uncertainty. Fuel pressure and atmospheric pressure measurement had virtually no contribution on the flow rate uncertainty.

An approach for optimal sensor placement based on principal component analysis and sensitivity analysis under uncertainty conditions

  • Beygzadeh, Sahar;Torkzadeh, Peyman;Salajegheh, Eysa
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.59-80
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    • 2022
  • In the present study, the objective is to detect the structural damages using the responses obtained from the sensors at the optimal location under uncertainty conditions. Reducing the error rate in damage detection process due to responses' noise is an important goal in this study. In the proposed algorithm for optimal sensor placement, the noise of responses recorded from the sensors is initially reduced using the principal component analysis. Afterward, the optimal sensor placement is obtained by the damage detection equation based sensitivity analysis. The sensors are placed on degrees of freedom corresponding to the minimum error rate in structural damage detection through this procedure. The efficiency of the proposed method is studied on a truss bridge, a space dome, a double-layer grid as well as a three-story experimental frame structure and the results are compared. Moreover, the performance of the suggested method is compared with three other algorithms of Average Driving Point Residue (ADPR), Effective Independence (EI) method, and a mass weighting version of EI. In the examples, young's modulus, density, and cross-sectional areas of the elements are considered as uncertainty parameters. Ultimately, the results have demonstrated that the presented algorithm under uncertainty conditions represents a high accuracy to obtain the optimal sensor placement in the structures.

Evaluation of RPL Glass Dosimeter Characteristics and Uncertainty Evaluation of Reading Correction Factors (유리선량계 특성평가 및 판독 보정인자에 대한 불확도 평가)

  • Seong-Yun Mok;Yeong-Rok Kang;Hyo-Jin Kim;Yong-Uk Kye;Hyun An
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.219-229
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    • 2023
  • In this study, basic characteristics such as reproducibility, linearity, and directionality of RPL glass dosimeters were evaluated to improve the reliability of dose evaluation through RPL glass dosimeters, and uncertainty elements such as sensitivity by glass element and magazine slot sensitivity were evaluated. Using a mathematical model to calibrate the measured values of the RPL glass dosimeter, the measurement uncertainty was calculated assuming an example. As a result of the characteristic evaluation, the RPL glass dosimeter showed excellent performance with a standard deviation of ±1% (1 SD) for the reproducibility of the reading process, a coefficient of determination for linearity of 0.99997. And the read-out of the RPL glass dosimeter are affected by the circular rotation direction of the glass dosimeter during irradiation, fading according to the period after irradiation, the number of laser pulses of the reader, and response degradation due to repeated reading, it is judged that measurement uncertainty can be reduced by irradiation and reading in consideration of these factors. In addition, it was confirmed that the dose should be determined by calculating the correction factors for the sensitivity of each element and, the sensitivity of each reading magazine slot. It is believed that the reliability of dosimetry using glass dosimeters can be improved by using a mathematical model for correction of glass dosimeter readings and calculating measurement uncertainty.

A New Measure of Uncertainty Importance Based on Distributional Sensitivity Analysis for PSA

  • Han, Seok-Jung;Tak, Nam-IL;Chun, Moon-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.415-420
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    • 1996
  • The main objective of the present study is to propose a new measure of uncertainty importance based on distributional sensitivity analysis. The new measure is developed to utilize a metric distance obtained from cumulative distribution functions (cdfs). The measure is evaluated for two cases: one is a cdf given by a known analytical distribution and the other given by an empirical distribution generated by a crude Monte Carlo simulation. To study its applicability, the present measure has been applied to two different cases. The results are compared with those of existing three methods. The present approach is a useful measure of uncertainty importance which is based on cdfs. This method is simple and easy to calculate uncertainty importance without any complex process. On the basis of the results obtained in the present work, the present method is recommended to be used as a tool for the analysis of uncertainty importance.

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Sensitivity Analysis of Uncertainty Sources in Flood Inundation Mapping by using the First Order Approximation Method (FOA를 이용한 홍수범람도 구축에서 불확실성 요소의 민감도 분석)

  • Jung, Younghun;Park, Jeryang;Yeo, Kyu Dong;Lee, Seung Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2293-2302
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    • 2013
  • Flood inundation map has been used as a fundamental information in flood risk management. However, there are various sources of uncertainty in flood inundation mapping, which can be another risk in preventing damage from flood. Therefore, it is necessary to remove or reduce uncertainty sources to improve the accuracy of flood inundation maps. However, the entire removal of uncertainty source may be impossible and inefficient due to limitations of knowledge and finance. Sensitivity analysis of uncertainty sources allows an efficient flood risk management by considering various conditions in flood inundation mapping because an uncertainty source under different conditions may propagate in different ways. The objectives of this study are (1) to perform sensitivity analysis of uncertainty sources by different conditions on flood inundation map using the FOA method and (2) to find a major contributor to a propagated uncertainty in the flood inundation map in Flatrock at Columbus, U.S.A. Result of this study illustrates that an uncertainty in a variable is differently propagated to flood inundation map by combination with other uncertainty sources. Moreover, elevation error was found to be the most sensitive to uncertainty in the flood inundation map of the study reach.

Sensitivity Analysis of FDS Results for the Input Uncertainty of Fire Heat Release Rate (화재 열발생률 입력 불확실도에 대한 FDS 결과의 민감도 분석)

  • Cho, Jae-Ho;Hwang, Cheol-Hong;Kim, Joosung;Lee, Sangkyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2016
  • A sensitivity analysis of FDS(Fire Dynamics Simulator) results for the input uncertainty of heat release rate (Q) which might be the most influencing parameter to fire behaviors was performed. The calculated results were compared with experimental data obtained by the OECD/NEA PRISME project. The sensitivity of FDS results with the change in Q was also compared with the empirical correlations suggested in previous literature. As a result, the change in the specified Q led to the different dependence of major quantities such as temperature and species concentrations for the over- and under-ventilated fire conditions, respectively. It was also found that the sensitivity of major quantities to uncertain value of Q showed the significant difference in results obtained using the previous empirical correlations.

Parameter Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis on a Dose Calculation Model for Terrestrial Food-Chain Pathway (육상식품 섭취경로에 의한 선량계산 모델에서 파라메터의 불확실성 및 민감도 분석)

  • Lee, Chang-Woo;Choi, Yong-Ho;Chun, Ki-Jung;Lee, Jeong-Ho
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 1991
  • Parameter uncertainty and sensitivity of KFOOD model for calculating the ingestion dose via terrestrial food-chain pathway was analyzed with using Monte-Carlo approach. For the rice ingestion pathway, estimated values from KFOOD code were very conservative. Most sensitive input parameters in model were deposition velocities and soil-to-plant transfer coefficient of radionuclides.

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Uncertainty evaluation in electrochemical noise resistance measurement (전기화학적 노이즈 저항 측정에서의 불확도 평가)

  • Kim, Jong Jip;Kang, Su Yeon
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.220-226
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    • 2013
  • The uncertainty in statistical noise resistance measurement was evaluated for a type 316 stainless steel in NaCl solutions at room temperature. Sensitivity coefficients were determined for measurands or variables such as NaCl concentration, pH, solution temperature, surface roughness, inert gas flow rate and bias potential amplitude. The coefficients were larger for the variables such as NaCl concentration, pH, inert gas flow rate and solution temperature, and they were the major factors increasing the combined standard uncertainty of noise resistance. However, the contribution to the uncertainty in noise resistance measurement from the above variables was remarkably low compared to that from repeated measurements of noise resistance, and thus, it is difficult to lower the uncertainty in noise resistance measurement significantly by lowering the uncertainties related with NaCl concentration, pH, inert gas flow rate and solution temperature. In addition, the uncertainty in noise resistance measurement was high amounting to 17.3 % of the mean, indicating that the reliability in measurement of noise resistance is low.

Uncertainty Analysis of Fire Modeling Input Parameters for Motor Control Center in Switchgear Room of Nuclear Power Plants (원자력발전소 모터제어반 스위치기어실 화재 모델링 입력변수 불확실성 분석)

  • Kang, Dae-Il;Yang, Joon-Eon;Yoo, Seong-Yeon
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.40-52
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents the uncertainty analysis results of fire modeling input parameters for motor control center in switchgear room of nuclear power plants. FDS (Fire Dynamics simulator) 5.5 was used to simulate the fire scenario and Latin Hyper Cube Monte Carlo simulations were employed to generate random samples for FDS input parameters. The uncertainty analysis results of input parameters are compared with those of the model uncertainty analysis and sensitivity analysis approaches of NUREG-1934. The study results show that the input parameter uncertainty analysis approach may lead to more conservative results than the uncertainty analysis and sensitivity analysis methods of NUREG-1934.

Probabilistic seismic assessment of structures considering soil uncertainties

  • Hamidpour, Sara;Soltani, Masoud;Shabdin, Mojtaba
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.165-175
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    • 2017
  • This paper studies soil properties uncertainty and its implementation in the seismic response evaluation of structures. For this, response sensitivity of two 4- and 12-story RC shear walls to the soil properties uncertainty by considering soil structure interaction (SSI) effects is investigated. Beam on Nonlinear Winkler Foundation (BNWF) model is used for shallow foundation modeling and the uncertainty of soil properties is expanded to the foundation stiffness and strength parameters variability. Monte Carlo (MC) simulation technique is employed for probabilistic evaluations. By investigating the probabilistic evaluation results it's observed that as the soil and foundation become stiffer, the soil uncertainty is found to be less important in influencing the response variability. On the other hand, the soil uncertainty becomes more important as the foundation-structure system is expected to experience nonlinear behavior to more sever degree. Since full This paper studies soil properties uncertainty and its implementation in the seismic response evaluation of structures. For this, response sensitivity of two 4- and 12-story RC shear walls to the soil properties uncertainty by considering soil structure interaction (SSI) effects is investigated. Beam on Nonlinear Winkler Foundation (BNWF) model is used for shallow foundation modeling and the uncertainty of soil properties is expanded to the foundation stiffness and strength parameters variability. Monte Carlo (MC) simulation technique is employed for probabilistic evaluations. By investigating the probabilistic evaluation results it's observed that as the soil and foundation become stiffer, the soil uncertainty is found to be less important in influencing the response variability. On the other hand, the soil uncertainty becomes more important as the foundation-structure system is expected to experience nonlinear behavior to more sever degree. Since full probabilistic analysis methods like MC commonly are very time consuming, the feasibility of simple approximate methods' application including First Order Second Moment (FOSM) method and ASCE41 proposed approach for the soil uncertainty considerations is investigated. By comparing the results of the approximate methods with the results obtained from MC, it's observed that the results of both FOSM and ASCE41 methods are in good agreement with the results of MC simulation technique and they show acceptable accuracy in predicting the response variability.