• 제목/요약/키워드: Seasonal trend

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울릉도 주변 해역의 극미소플랑크톤 분포 특성 (Seasonal Variability of Picoplankton Around Ulneung Island)

  • 심정민;윤석현;황재동;진현국;이용화;김영숙;윤상철
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제17권11호
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    • pp.1243-1253
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    • 2008
  • The seasonal variations of picoplankton including Prochlorococcus, Synechococcus and Picoeukayotes around Ulneung Island were investigated by flow cytometry in spring, summer and autumn in 2006. All groups of picoplankton showed clear seasonal patterns in population abundance. Among the group, Synechococcus showed the most prominent seasonal variation during the study period. The maximal abundance of Synechococcus occurred in summer and the lowest in autumn. The seasonal distribution of Prochlorococcus displayed the reverse tendency with that of Synechococcus. The abundance of Prochlorococcus ranged from $2.9{\times}10^3$ cells/ml in summer to $311{\times}10^3$ cells/ml in autumn. However, the seasonal distribution of Picoeukaryotes was shown to be relatively constant, and the maximal abundance was $81.5{\times}10^3$ cells/ml in summer. The highest abundance of Picoeukaryotes occurred in summer and the lowest in autumn and the seasonal distribution in abundance of Picoeukaryotes showed a similar trend with that of Synechococcus. The estimated total carbon biomass of picoplankton were ranged from $74.7\;mg\;C/m^2$ to $1,055.9\;mg\;C/m^2$. The highest total carbon biomass occurred in summer, but lowest occurred in autumn. The pattern of the contribution of three picoplankton to total autotrophic picoplankton carbon is different. The contribution of Synechococcus to total autotrophic picoplankton carbon is increased to 75%, but the contribution of Prochlorococcus dropped to 12% in summer. The contribution of Picoeukaryotes is ranged from 24% in summer to 72.5% in spring.

서울시 강하분진중 수용성 성분의 강하량 (Deposition Amount of Soluble Components of Dustfall in Seoul)

  • 강병욱;강공언;김민영
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.240-246
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    • 1992
  • During the period from December, 1990 to November, 1991, dustfall samples were collected by deposit jar at 28 sites in Seoul area and the amount of deposits of seven dissolved components$(SO_4^{2-}, NO_3^-, NH_4^+, Na^+, Ca^{2+}, Mg^{2+})$ were measured. The total amount of deposit was in order of Spring > Fall > Winter > Summer, and the amount of soluble components were high in the northeast region (Sanggae and Jangwe) and southwest region (Sangdo, Kuro, Siheung and Oryu). Total amount of major soluble components highly depended on regional air flow rather than emission source characteristic, and showed the regional trend-Residential > Iidustrial > Commercial > Rural, and the seasonal trend-Winter > Fall > Spring > Summer.

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한국 남해의 동물성 플랑크톤량의 경년 변화에 관한 연구 (SECULAR VARIATION OF ZOOPLANKTON BIOMASS IN THE SOUTH SEA OF KOREA)

  • 김용술
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.108-114
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    • 1972
  • 한국 남해의 동물성 플랑크톤 현존량은 $1963\~1971$년간의 자료로 분석한 결과 63개월을 일주기로 주기 변동을 하고 있으며. 그 주기성은 자기 상관 계수 $\gamma_k$=0.86으로 강한 편이다. 계절 순환 변동은 4월과 10월을 극대기로 하는 쌍봉성 변동을 하며, 그 경향은 대단히 뚜렷한데, 이것은 이 해역에 있어서 식물성 플랑크톤의 양적 소장과 중요한 관련성을 가지는 것으로 고찰된다.

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측우기 자료를 포함한 서울 강수량 시계열에 대한 추세분석 및 파엽분석 (Trend analysis and wavelet transform of time series of precipitation including the Chukwookee observation in Seoul)

  • 정현숙;박정수;임규호;오재호
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.525-540
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    • 2000
  • 본 논문에서는 측우기 관측자료와 현대 관측자료로 이루어진 서울 강수량 시계열 자료에 나타난 시간에 따른(년도별 및 계절별)변화 및 변동 특성을 파악하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 먼저 200여년 간의 강수량 시계열에 어떤 특정한 증감 추세가 있는지를 알아보는 추세분석을 실시하였다. 그리고 추세뿐만 아니라 시간에 따른 강수량의 주기성 및 변동성을 더 자세히 알기 위하여 파엽 변환(wavelet transform)을 실시하여 여러 진동 모드들의 시간에 따른 변화 양상을 분석하였다.

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Factor analysis of the trend of stream quality in Nakdong River

  • Kim, Kyong-Mu;Lee, In-Rak;Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.1201-1210
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    • 2008
  • The goal of this paper is to investigate the trend of stream quality and the quality of water in Nakdong river by the method of factor analysis. It used the fourteen different monthly time series data such as pH, BOD, COD, SS, TN and etc. of the thirty four of Nakdong River measurement points from Jan. 1998 to Dec. 2006. The result of factor analysis is that the factor 1 results from organic water pollution is occupied 29.288% such as BOD, COD, TN and EC, and the factor 2 explained from sewage and a seasonal variation is occupied 16.467% such as SS.

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남한의 지역간, 계절간 강수량의 특성 (The Variations of Interstational and Interseasonal Rainfall in South Korea)

  • 최희구
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.62-69
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    • 1978
  • Interstational and interseasonal analyses of the correlation and variability in the seasonal and annual precipitation for 10 basic synoptic stations in South Korea, on the basis of rainfall record of over 40 years, are carried out. It is found that the climatic regions of precipitation could be classified by means of the interstational analysis for the correlations. Corrleation coefficients in interstational relationship of precipitation are lowest in autumn which characterizeds a strong locality while the highest value shows a relatively weak locality in winter. Interseasonal relationship between summer and winter precipitation shows mostly 10 percent significant level with all positive values. The magnitude of the variation coefficients are appeared to be in the order of winter, autumn, spring and summer. It is shown that the highest which is winter ranges between 0.33 0.58, and for the lowest summer, 0.26-0.44, respectively in the areal distribution of the coefficient. The secular changes of the variation coefficient in the recent trend show increases in spring at two station; Seoul and Incheon, in summer at Busan and in autumn at two stations; Busan and Incheon while in winter show devreases at the whole stations. An annual variation seems to show generally a constant trend as whole for all the stations.

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MJO의 다중스케일 분석을 통한 수십년 변동성 (A multi-scale analysis of the interdecadal change in the Madden-Julian Oscillation)

  • 이상헌;서경환
    • 대기
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.143-149
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    • 2011
  • A new multi-timescale analysis method, Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD), is used to diagnose the variation of the MJO activity determined by 850hPa and 200hPa zonal winds from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) Reanalysis data for the 56-yr period from 1950 to 2005. The results show that MJO activity can be decomposed into 9 quasi-periodic oscillations and a trend. With each level of contribution of the quasi-periodic oscillation discussed, the bi-seasonal oscillation, the interannual oscillation and the trend of the MJO activity are the most prominent features. The trend increases almost linearly, so that prior to around 1978 the activity of the MJO is lower than that during the latter part. This may be related to the tropical sea surface temperature(SST). It is speculated that the interdecadal change in the MJO activity appeared in around 1978 is related to the warmer SST in the equatorial warm pool, especially over the Indian Ocean.

A Machine Learning Univariate Time series Model for Forecasting COVID-19 Confirmed Cases: A Pilot Study in Botswana

  • Mphale, Ofaletse;Okike, Ezekiel U;Rafifing, Neo
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.225-233
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    • 2022
  • The recent outbreak of corona virus (COVID-19) infectious disease had made its forecasting critical cornerstones in most scientific studies. This study adopts a machine learning based time series model - Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model to forecast COVID-19 confirmed cases in Botswana over 60 days period. Findings of the study show that COVID-19 confirmed cases in Botswana are steadily rising in a steep upward trend with random fluctuations. This trend can also be described effectively using an additive model when scrutinized in Seasonal Trend Decomposition method by Loess. In selecting the best fit ARIMA model, a Grid Search Algorithm was developed with python language and was used to optimize an Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) metric. The best fit ARIMA model was determined at ARIMA (5, 1, 1), which depicted the least AIC score of 3885.091. Results of the study proved that ARIMA model can be useful in generating reliable and volatile forecasts that can used to guide on understanding of the future spread of infectious diseases or pandemics. Most significantly, findings of the study are expected to raise social awareness to disease monitoring institutions and government regulatory bodies where it can be used to support strategic health decisions and initiate policy improvement for better management of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Analysis of Precipitation Chemistry at Rural Site in the Eastern Coast, Korea

  • Kang, Gong-Unn;Shin, Dae-Ywen;Kim, Hui-Kang
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제19권E1호
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2003
  • The 10-day interval basis measurements of precipitation samples at Yangyang, the rural and coastal area on the eastern coast of the Korea peninsula were accomplished for understanding the precipitation chemistry and the temporal variations of major ions September 1991 to February 1997. The precipitation was slightly acidic, and 37% of the samples in winter were pH less than 4.5. The concentrations of cations were found on the order $Na^+\;>\;{NH_4}^+\;>\;Ca^{2+}\;>\;Mg^{2+}\;>\;K^+$ and those of anions followed the pattern $Cl^-\;>\;{SO_4}^{2-}\;>\;{NO_3}^-$. Neglecting sea salt components, the major ions controlling precipitation chemistry were nss-${SO_4}^{2-}$ and ${NO_3}^-$ in anion and ${NH_4}^+$ and nss-$Ca^{2+}$ in cation. Concentrations of these ions were lower than those measured at urban sites in Korea, but were higher than those measured in Japan. Most of nss-${SO_4}^{2-}$ and ${NO_3}^-$ were neutralized by ammonia and calcium species, especially alkaline soil particles in spring and ammonia gas in other seasons. Considering also the annual value of [nss -${SO_4}^{2-}$]/[${NO_3}^-$] ratio of 2.62 and the neutralizing factors, ammonium sulphate compounds were dominant. Annual mean concentrations of these ions showed relatively small fluctuations, while larger seasonal variations were observed with higher levels in spring and winter. Precipitation amount, influence extent of acidic gases and alkaline particles long-range transported from China continent, and energy consumption pattern in each season might be able to explain this seasonal trend.sonal trend.