• Title/Summary/Keyword: Seasonal Kendall

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Trend Analysis of Water Quality in Dongjin River Watershed (동진강 유역의 수질 경향 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hye-Won;Park, Seok-Soon
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2009
  • Spatial and temporal analysis of water quality was performed for eleven monitoring stations in Dongjin River watershed in order to determine the trends of monthly water quality. The monthly water quality data of biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) during $1995{\sim}2004$, were analyzed utilizing Seasonal Mann-Kendall test, LOWESS and three-dimensional graphic approaches. The results indicated that BOD and TN concentrations had the downward trend, but TP showed the upward trend, especially in Gobucheon. This numerical and graphic analysis is the useful tool to analyze the long-term trend of water quality in a large river system.

Analysis of long-term water level change of Dongrae hot spring using time series methods (시계열 방법을 이용한 동래온천 수위의 장기적인 변화 분석)

  • Jeon, Hang-Tak;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Cheong, Jae-Yeol;Lee, Cheol-Woo;Lee, Jong-Tae;Lim, Woo-Ri
    • Journal of the Geological Society of Korea
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.529-544
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    • 2018
  • Dongrae hot spring belongs to the residual magma type and has a long history of bathing since the Silla dynasty in Korea. Due to long development of hot spring water, it is expected that the amount of hot spring water in Dongrae hot spring has been changed. In this study, long-trem water level data of Dongrae hot spring were examined for recognizing the change of the hot spring. By the fluctuation analysis of the hot spring water level from January 1992 to July 2018, the maximum and minimum annual drawdowns of no. 27 well were 137.70 and 71.60 meters, respectively, with an average drawdown of 103.39 m. On the other hand, the maximum and minimum annual drawdowns of no. 29 well were 137.80 and 71.70 meters, with an average drawdown of 103.49 m. Besides, drawdown rate became bigger in recent years. As a result of analyzing autocorrelation of the two wells, the correlation coefficient ranged from 0.919 to 0.991, showing seasonal groundwater level fluctuation. The cross correlation analysis between water level and precipitation as well as water level and hot spring discharge resulted in the correlation coefficients of -0.280 ~ 0.256 and 0.428 ~ 0.553, respectively. Therefore, using Dongnae hot-spring water level data from 1992 to 2018, the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's test showed that the continuous decline of water level was mainly caused by the pumping of the hot spring water among various reasons.

Estimations and Long-term Trend of Sea-to-air Dimethyl Sulfide (DMS) Flux using Satellite Observation Data (인공위성 관측 자료를 이용한 해양-대기 DMS flux 추정 및 장기 추세 분석)

  • Choi, Yu-Na;Song, Sang-Keun;Han, Seung-Beom;Son, Young-Baek;Park, Yeon-Hee
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.181-194
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    • 2017
  • The long-term linear trend of global sea-to-air dimethyl sulfide (DMS) flux was analyzed over a 16-year time span (2000~2015), based on satellite observation data. The emission rates of DMS (i.e. DMS flux) in the global ocean were estimated from sea surface DMS concentrations, which were constructed with chlorophyll a (Chl-a) concentrations and mixed layer depths (MLD), and transfer velocity from sea to air, which was parameterized with sea surface wind (SSW) and sea surface temperature (SST). In general, the DMS flux in the global ocean exhibited a gradual decreasing pattern from 2000 (a total of 12.1 Tg/yr) to 2015 (10.7 Tg/yr). For the latitude band ($10^{\circ}$ interval between $0^{\circ}$ and $60^{\circ}$), the DMS flux at the low latitude of the Northern (NH) and Southern hemisphere (SH) was significantly higher than that at the middle latitude. The seasonal mean DMS flux was highest in winter followed by in summer in both hemispheres. From the long-term analysis with the Mann-Kendall (MK) statistical test, a clear downward trend of DMS flux was predicted to be broad over the global ocean during the study period (NH: $-0.001{\sim}-0.036{\mu}mol/m^2/day\;per\;year$, SH: $-0.011{\sim}-0.051{\mu}mol/m^2/day\;per\;year$). These trend values were statistically significant (p < 0.05) for most of the latitude bands. The magnitude of the downward trend of DMS flux at the low latitude in the NH was somewhat higher than that at the middle latitude during most seasons, and vice versa for the SH. The spatio-temporal characteristics of DMS flux and its long-term trend were likely to be primarily affected not only by the SSW (high positive correlation of r = 0.687) but also in part by the SST (r = 0.685).

Trend Analysis for River Water Quality Change Before and After the Prohibition of Ocean Dumping of Livestock Manure (가축분뇨 해양투기 금지 전후 하천 수질 변동 경향성 분석)

  • Choi, Hyeon-Mi;Cho, Yong-Chul;Lee, Bomi;Ryu, In-Gu;Kim, Sang-hun;Shin, Dongseok;Yu, Soonju
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.75-91
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    • 2021
  • Ocean dumping manure was prohibited in Korea until the end of 2012. Undumped manure was treated by resourcification, purification, and public process in a facility. But poor storage of untreated manure and overproduced compost can pollute river water. In this study, linear regression, Mann-Kendall, Seasonal Mann-Kendall, LOWESS trend, and Spearman's correlation analysis were conducted for investigating the changes in the water quality of Bukhan and Imjin river before and after the prohibition of ocean dumping. In 2017, the Imjin Riv er basin had more than 5.7 times liv estock breeding heads than the Bukhan Riv er basin and more than 3.5 times livestock manure. The areas of land, farmland, and nutrient balance were also higher in the Imjin River basin. Since the two basins have different environments, it is expected that the characteristics of changes in water quality due to the increase in livestock manure generation and treatment methods will be different when comparing the water quality trends before and after the ban. The result of the trend analysis revealed a decrease in EC before the ban but an increase afterward. T-N and BOD of Imjin river increased slightly before the ban but demonstrated great enhancement thereafter. Other sites and T-P exhibited no trend. The correlation analysis result showed that the increase in the number of livestock rearing was correlated with the increase in T-P of Bukhan River and BOD of Imjin River. The increase in livestock manure production was not correlated with the Imjin River basin, while a correlation was observed with the Bukhan River with an increase in T-N and EC and the decrease in T-P.

On the Change of Extreme Weather Event using Extreme Indices (극한지수를 이용한 극한 기상사상의 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Bo Kyung;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.1B
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2008
  • Unprecedented weather phenomena are occurring because of climate change: extreme heavy rains, heat waves, and severe rain storms after the rainy season. Recently, the frequency of these abnormal phenomena has increased. However, regular pattern or cycles cannot be found. Analysis of annual data or annual average data, which has been established a research method of climate change, should be applied to find frequency and tendencies of extreme climate events. In this paper, extreme indicators of precipitation and temperature marked by objectivity and consistency were established to analyze data collected by 66 observatories throughout Korea operated by the Meteorological Administration. To assess the statistical significance of the data, linear regression and Kendall-Tau method were applied for statistical diagnosis. The indicators were analyzed to find tendencies. The analysis revealed that an increase of precipitation along with a decrease of the number of rainy days. A seasonal trend was also found: precipitation rate and the heavy rainfall threshold increased to a greater extent in the summer(June-August) than in the winter (September-November). In the meanwhile, a tendency of temperature increase was more prominent in the winter (December-February) than in the summer (June-August). In general, this phenomenon was more widespread in inland areas than in coastal areas. Furthermore, the number of winter frost days diminished throughout Korea. As was mentioned in the literature, the progression of climate change has influenced the increase of temperature in the winter.

An Analysis of Long-term Changes in Water Quality of Geumho River using Statistical Techniques

  • Jung, Kang-Young;Cho, Sohyun;Ha, Don-woo;Kang, Tae-woo;Lee, Yeong Jae;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Kyunghyun
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.27 no.10
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    • pp.883-899
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    • 2018
  • In this study, water quality data of eight main sites in the Geumho River watershed were collected and analyzed for long-term changes in water quality over the period from 2005 to 2015. The results showed that BOD concentration was gradually improved by the Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL), stages 1 and 2. Recently, a tendency of increasing BOD concentration was observed in the downstream section of the river. The concentration of COD was analyzed to be contaminated throughout the water system regardless of the water quality improvement project, and the TN concentration tended to increase in the midstream of the river from 2013. The TP concentration has clearly decreased from 2012 after the second stage of TMDL. For the statistical analysis of PCA ordination, monthly water qualities (pH, DO, Electrical Conductivity (EC), Water Temperature (WT), BOD, COD, TN, TP, TOC, and SS) and flow rate data for 5 years from 2012 to 2016 were used. Seasonally the Geumho River showed an increase in the TN concentration at point sources during the dry season (December to February). TP showed the effect of non-point sources in the summer, because rainfall has caused a rise in flow rate in the upstream. Besides, the origin of pollution source was changed from non-point sources with BOD, COD, and TOC.

Characterizing Changes of Water Quality and Relationships with Environmental Factors in the Selected Korean Reservoirs (우리나라 주요 호소의 수질 변동 경향성 분석 및 유형화)

  • Kwon, Yong-Su;Bae, Mi-Jung;Kim, Jun-Su;Kim, Yong-Jae;Kim, Baik-Ho;Park, Young-Seuk
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.146-159
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we evaluated the temporal changes of water quality in the 90 reservoirs in Korea and the relationships between water quality and their environmental factors in the reservoirs for effective management of reservoirs. The majority of study reservoirs were categorized as the eutrophic state based on Carlson's trophic index. Among 90 reservoirs, more than 55.0% were nutrient-rich based on $TSI_{TP}$ in each month, where more than 50.0% were nutrient-rich based on $TSI_{Chl-a}$ from June to November. Seasonal Mann-Kendall test was used to analyze temporal variation of water quality in the selected 60 reservoirs using monthly data from 2004 to 2008. The results showed that 27 (45.0%) reservoirs showed the improvement of water quality based on TP and Chl-a concentrations, while 14 (23.3%) and 11 (18.3%) reservoirs displayed the degradation of water quality based on TP and Chl-a concentrations, respectively. Meanwhile, a self-organizing map classified the study reservoirs into five groups based on differences of hydrogeomorphology (altitude, catchment area, bank height, lake age, etc.). Physicochemical factors and land use/cover types showed clear differences among groups. Finally, hydrogeomorphology of reservoirs were related to water quality, indicating that the hydrogeomorphological characters strongly affect water quality of reservoirs.

Long-term Trend Analysis of Chlorophyll a and Water Quality in the Yeongsan River (통계적 경향 분석을 통한 영산강의 클로로필 a와 수질 변동 해석)

  • Song, Eun-Sook;Jeon, Song-Mi;Lee, Eo-Jin;Park, Do-Jin;Shin, Yong-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.302-313
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    • 2012
  • Long-term trends (e.g. 1997~2010) of chlorophyll a and water quality properties of the Yeongsan River were analyzed by using water quality monitoring data collected by the water information system, ministry of environment. Nine monitoring stations were selected along the main channel of the river, and parameters of BOD, COD, TN, TP, conductivity, TSS and chlorophyll a were collected for surface water monthly through the monitoring system. Trends of water quality and chlorophyll a were analyzed by the Seasonal Mann-Kendall Test and LOWESS (Locally Weighted Scatter-plot Smoother). The results showed that the water quality parameters, including chlorophyll a, were improved in all stations except Station WC in the most-upper region, where water quality data for the determined parameters were increased, indicating a reduction in water quality. Based on the results from LOWESS analysis, chlorophyll a (algal blooms), BOD and COD recently began to increase after 2007 suggesting that an additional study on the cause of these increases in organic pollution, as well as a better management system for the region are required.

A Hydrometeorological Time Series Analysis of Geum River Watershed with GIS Data Considering Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 GIS 자료 기반의 금강유역 수문기상시계열 특성 분석)

  • Park, Jin-Hyeog;Lee, Geun-Sang;Yang, Jeong-Seok;Kim, Sea-Won
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this study is the quantitative analysis of climate change effects by performing several statistical analyses with hydrometeorological data sets for past 30 years in Geum river watershed. Temperature, precipitation, relative humidity data sets were collected from eight observation stations for 37 years(1973~2009) in Geum river watershed. River level data was collected from Gongju and Gyuam gauge stations for 36 years(1973~2008) considering rating curve credibility problems and future long-term runoff modeling. Annual and seasonal year-to-year variation of hydrometeorological components were analyzed by calculating the average, standard deviation, skewness, and coefficient of variation. The results show precipitation has the strongest variability. Run test, Turning point test, and Anderson Exact test were performed to check if there is randomness in the data sets. Temperature and precipitation data have randomness and relative humidity and river level data have regularity. Groundwater level data has both aspects(randomness and regularity). Linear regression and Mann-Kendal test were performed for trend test. Temperature is increasing yearly and seasonally and precipitation is increasing in summer. Relative humidity is obviously decreasing. The results of this study can be used for the evaluation of the effects of climate change on water resources and the establishment of future water resources management technique development plan.

Analysis of the Spatial Distribution of Pan Evaporation Trends (Pan 증발량 추세분포 분석)

  • Rim, Chang-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3B
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    • pp.243-255
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    • 2010
  • The spatial distribution of pan evaporation and pan evaporation trends have been studied. In this study, pan evaporation data from 1973 to 1990 for 56 climatological stations were analyzed. In addition to annual average daily pan evaporation, monthly average daily pan evaporation in April, July, October and January were analyzed, considering seasonal effect. The study results indicate that in case of annual average daily pan evaporation, 38 stations out of 56 stations show decreasing trend. In case of average daily pan evaporation in January, 33 stations show decreasing trend. In April, 38 stations show increasing trend. In July, 47 stations show decreasing trend. In October, 35 stations show increasing trend. Therefore, on the whole, pan evaporation tended to decrease in January, July, and annual basis. On the other hand, pan evaporation tended to increase in April and October. Furthermore, pan evaporation trend in each individual region shows also different trend even though the region is located nearby, indicating that there are geographical and topographical effects on pan evaporation trend. Pan evaporation data and climatic data from 1973 to 2006 for 11 climatological stations were used for trend analysis. Climatic variables such as temperature, relative humidity and wind speed show same or opposite trend direction compared with pan evaporation in annual or monthly basis. Annual and monthly solar radiation trends show the same direction compared with pan evaporation; however, annual and monthly precipitation trends show the opposite direction compared with pan evaporation.