• 제목/요약/키워드: Seasonal Changes

검색결과 1,133건 처리시간 0.031초

기후 및 계절정보를 이용한 딥러닝 기반의 장기간 태양광 발전량 예측 기법 (Deep Learning Based Prediction Method of Long-term Photovoltaic Power Generation Using Meteorological and Seasonal Information)

  • 이동훈;김관호
    • 한국전자거래학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2019
  • 최근 온실가스의 증가로 인한 기후변화 대응의 필요성과 전력수요의 증가로 인해 태양광발전량(PV) 예측의 중요성은 급격히 증가하고 있다. 특히, 태양광 발전량을 예측하는 것은 합리적인 전력 가격결정과 시스템 안정성 및 전력 생산 균형과 같은 문제를 효과적으로 해결하기 위해 전력생산 계획을 합리적으로 계획하는데 도움이 될 수 있다. 그러나 일사량, 운량, 온도 등과 같은 기후정보 및 계절 변화로 인한 태양광 발전량이 무작위적으로 변화하기 때문에 정확한 태양광 발전량을 예측하는 것은 도전적인 일이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 딥러닝 모델을 통해 기후 및 계절정보를 이용하여 학습함으로써 장기간 태양광 발전량 예측 성능을 향상시킬 수 있는 기법을 제안한다. 본 연구에서는 대표적인 시계열 방법 중 하나인 계절형 ARIMA 모델과 하나의 은닉층으로 구성되어 있는 ANN 기반의 모델, 하나 이상의 은닉층으로 구성되어 있는 DNN 기반의 모델과의 비교를 통해 본 연구에서 제시한 모델의 성능을 평가한다. 실데이터를 통한 실험 결과, 딥러닝 기반의 태양광 발전량 예측 기법이 가장 우수한 성능을 보였으며, 이는 본 연구에서 목표로 한 태양광 발전량 예측 성능 향상에 긍정적인 영향을 나타내었음을 보여준다.

위성 해색자료에서 추정한 동중국해 클로로필 선형경향의 계절별 차이 (Seasonal Difference in Linear Trends of Satellite-derived Chlorophyll-a in the East China Sea)

  • 손영백;장찬주;김상현
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.147-155
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate seasonal difference in linear trends in satellite-derived chlorophyll-a concentration (Chl-a) and their related environmental changes in the South Sea of Korea (SSK) and East China Sea (ECS) for recent 15 years (Jan. 1998~Dec. 2012) by analyzing climatological data of Chl-a, Rrs(555), sea surface wind (SSW) and nutrient. A linear trend analysis of Chl-a data reveals that, during recent 15 years, the spring bloom was enhanced in most of the ECS, while summer and fall blooms were weakened. The increased spring (Mar. - May) Chl-a was associated with strengthened winter (Dec. - Feb.) wind that probably provided more nutrient into the upper ocean from the deep. The causes of decreased summer (Jun. - Aug.) Chl-a in the northern ECS were uncertain, but seemed to be related with the nutrient limitation. Recently (after 2006), low-salinity Changjiang diluted water in the south of Jeju and the SSK had lower phosphate that caused increase in N/P ratio with Chl-a decrease. The decreased fall (Sep. - Nov.) Chl-a was associated with weakened wind that tends to entrain less nutrient into the upper ocean from the deep. This study suggests that phytoplankton in the ECS differently changes in response to environmental changes depending on season and region.

소셜 빅데이터를 이용한 낙태의 경향성과 정책적 예방전략 (Induced Abortion Trends and Prevention Strategy Using Social Big-Data)

  • 박명배;채성현;임진섭;김춘배
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2017
  • Background: The purpose of this study is to investigate the trends on the induced abortion in Korea using social big-data and confirm whether there was time series trends and seasonal characteristics in induced abortion. Methods: From October 1, 2007 to October 24, 2016, we used Naver's data lab query, and the search word was 'induced abortion' in Korean. The average trend of each year was analyzed and the seasonality was analyzed using the cosinor model. Results: There was no significant changes in search volume of abortion during that period. Monthly search volume was the highest in May followed by the order of June and April. On the other hand, the lowest month was December followed by the order of January, and September. The cosinor analysis showed statistically significant seasonal variations (amplitude, 4.46; confidence interval, 1.46-7.47; p< 0.0036). The search volume for induced abortion gradually increased to the lowest point at the end of November and was the highest at the end of May and declined again from June. Conclusion: There has been no significant changes in induced abortion for the past nine years, and seasonal changes in induced abortion have been identified. Therefore, considering the seasonality of the intervention program for the prevention of induced abortion, it will be effective to concentrate on the induced abortion from March to May.

가압비장임파여포배중심(家鴨脾臟淋巴濾胞胚中心) 및 혈액내(血液內) 임파구(淋巴球)의 계절적(季節的)인 소장(消長)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) (STUDIES ON THE SEASONAL CHANGES OF GERMINAL CENTERS OF SPLENIC LYMPH NODULES AND OF BLOOD LYMPHOCYTES OF DUCKS)

  • 김용필;이현범
    • 대한수의학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 1961
  • For the purpose of investigating seasonal changes of germinal centers of splenic lymph nodules and of blood lymphocytes of ducks, the spleens of 8 ducks from a flock were observed histologically every season; 2 cases in spring (March and April), 2 in summer (July and August), 2 in autumn (October and November) and 2 in winter (December and January). Blood cells of 8 ducks from the same flock also were counted during the summer (from July to August) and autumn (from October to November) The results obtained were summarized as follows: 1. There were seasonal changes in the germinal centers of lymph nodules, that is, the germinal centers were formed in spring and disappeared in autumn. In summer these were at the stage of transition from formation in spring to disappearance in autumn. In winter, on tile other hand. the process was reversed from the stage of disappearance in autumn to the stage of formation in spring. 2. The germinal center of splenic lymph nodule was encapsulated with a fibrous capsule which disappeared concommitantly with its germinal center. 3. The percentage and absolute value of lymphocytes in autumn were higher than those in summer, the fact that seemed to be not in agreement with Flemming's view that the lymphocytic clear germinal center may be functionally at the stage of lymphocyte formation, but in agreement with Maximow's view that the large lymphocytic clear germinal center is functionally at the stage of resting and medium-sized lymphocytic germinal center may be functionally at the stage of lympocyte formatiom.

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비모수 경향분석법 적용을 통한 금강수계 총량관리 단위유역의 수질변화 연구 (A Study on the Water Quality Changes of TMDL Unit Watershed in Guem River Basin Using a Nonparametric Trend Analysis)

  • 김은정;김용석;류덕희;류지철;박배경
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.148-158
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    • 2014
  • In order to assess the effect of TMDLs management and improve that in the future, it is necessary to analyze long-term changes in water quality during management period. Therefore, long term trend analysis of BOD was performed on thirty monitoring stations in Geum River TMDL unit watersheds. Nonparametric trend analysis method was used for analysis as the water quality data are generally not in normal distribution. The monthly median values of BOD during 2004~2010 were analyzed by Seasonal Mann-Kendall test and LOWESS(LOcally WEighted Scatter plot Smoother). And the effect of Total Maximum Daily Loads(TMDLs) management on water quality changes at each unit watershed was analyzed with the result of trend analysis. The Seasonal Mann-Kendall test results showed that BOD concentrations had the downward trend at 10 unit watersheds, upward trend at 4 unit watersheds and no significant trend at 16 unit watersheds. And the LOWESS analysis showed that BOD concentration began to decrease after mid-2009 at almost all of unit watersheds having no trend in implementation plan watershed. It was estimated that TMDLs improved water quality in Geum River water system and the improvement of water quality was made mainly in implementation plan unit watershed and tributaries.

저서식물의 군집구조와 생산성(동해안, 죽도) II. 해조류 식생의 계절변화와 대형갈조류 성장상태의 관계 (Community Structure and Productivity of Phytobenthos in Juckdo (Eastern Coast of Korea) II. Seasonal Changes of Algal Vegetation in Relation to Annual Growth of Large Brown Algae)

  • 고철환
    • Journal of Plant Biology
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.181-190
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    • 1983
  • Seasonal occurrence of benthic algae and changes of subtidal vegetation were studied for their species composition, diversity and biomass during 1982 and 1983 at several selected sites at Juckdo Island (38$^{\circ}$12'N, 128$^{\circ}$32'E), eastern coast of Korea. Three large brown algae which played a role in change of algal vegetation through their great biomass were investigated with regard to their seasonal growth. Large brown algae such as Undaria pinnatifida, Costaria costata, Laminaria japonica, Agarum cribrosum, Sargassum confusum and S. hornerii constitute the major portion of vegetation in this area throughout the year. Algal vegetation in spring time is characterized by dominance of species U. pinnatifida and C. costata, whereas the summer vegetation by S. confusum and S. hornerii. In autumn large brown algae are shedded and only small algae, such as Chondrus ocellatus and Grateloupia filicina, remain. The vegetation in winter is dominated by the growth of U. pinnatifida and C. costata. Monthly changes in mean length and weight of randomly collected U. pinnatifida, C. costata and S. confusum are as follows; U. pinnatifida occurs from December to June and shows their maximum growth during March (120 cm in length, 201 g/individual in wet weight), its maximum growth rate is 1.4 cm/day, 3.3 g/day in this month. The growth season of C. costata is very similar to U.pinnatifida, but their average maximum length(110 cm) and weight (106 g/ind.) are lower than U. pinnatifida. The greatest growth rate is during March (1.8 cm/day, 2.0g/day). S. confusum is present throughout the year and reaches the maximum growth (102 cm, 63g/ind.) in July. Maximum growth rate (1.5 cm/day, 1.2 g/day) occurs also during this month. U. pinnatifida and C. costata show different months of maximum growth evidently during the two year. This seems to be caused by a considerable damage to the local vegetation followed by heavy storm in February 1983.

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토지이용이 농업소유역의 수질에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Land Use on the Water Quality of Small Agricultural Watersheds in Kangwon-do)

  • 최중대;이찬만;최예환
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.501-510
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    • 1999
  • 북한강 수계의 농업소유역에 대하여 하천수(2년)와 지하수(1년) 수질을 모니터링하여 분석하였다. 농업소유역의 주요한 비점원 오염물질인 총질소, 질산성 질소, 총인, BOD, TSS 및 대장균 농도를 주기적으로 측정하였다. 계절에 따른 수질의 변화 및 지하수와 하천수 수질과의 관계 비교를 통하여 토지이용이 수질에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 연구유역의 지하수 수위와 총질소, 질산성 질소의 농도의 벼농사와 밀접한 관련이 있었고 지하수와 하천수의 질소농도의 변화도 밀접한 관련이 있음이 나타나 벼농사가 하천의 질소농도에 많은영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 토지이용(벼농사)과 지하수 및 하천수의 총인, BOD, 대장균 농도 사이에는 일정한 관계를 발견할 수 없었다. 본 연구결과는 농업소유역의 수질변화를 이해하고 소하천의 수질관리정책을 개발하는데 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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NDVI 시계열 시리즈에 의한 한반도 지표면 변화 추적

  • 이상훈
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.97-100
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    • 2009
  • 육상의 지표면 파라미터는 기후와 주로 연관되어 있으므로 육상 관측 위성 영상에 나타나는 많은 물리적 과정은 계절 주기에 따른 시간적 변화를 보인다. 본 연구에서는 계절에 따라 변하는 물리적 과정을 포함하는 시계일 원격 탐사 영상 시리즈를 어댑티브 피드백 시스템에 의해 복원한다. 이 시스템에서는 계절적 변화를 추적하기 위하여 하모닉 모델을 사용하고 수치 영상 모형의 공간적 의존성을 나타내기 위해 깁슨 랜덤 필드를 사용한다. 복원과정을 통하여 구성된 하모닉 모델과 어댑티브 계수에 의해 지표면 연속적 변화를 감시할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 1996년부터 2000년까지 한반도로부터 관측된 AVHRR 영상 시리즈를 일주일 간격으로 정적 합성하여 NOVI 시리즈를 구하고 하모닉 모델을 사용하는 어댑티브 복원 시스템을 이 NDVI 시리즈를 적용하여 한반도 지표면 변화를 추적하였다. 연구 결과는 하모닉 어댑티브 복원시스템이 거의 실시간으로 지표면 변화를 감시하는데 매우 효과적인 수단이 될 것이라는 잠재성을 보여준다.

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변위센서를 이용한 적응적 PID제어기반 자동차 변속기 샤프트 교정시스템 (Car transmission shaft distortion correction system based on adaptive PID controller using displacement sensors)

  • 최상복;반상우;김기택
    • 센서학회지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.375-384
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we proposed a new shaft distortion correction system having an adaptive PID controller using displacement sensors, which is adaptively reflecting variations of shaft strength owing to irregular heat treatment during an annealing process and sensitivity to the seasonal temperature changes. Generally, the shafts are annealed by heat treatment in order to enlarge the strength of the shaft, which causes an distortion of a shaft such as irregular bending of the shaft. In order to correct such a distortion of the shaft, a mechanical pressure is properly impacted to the distorted shaft. However, the strength of every shaft is different from each other owing to irregular annealing and seasonal temperature changes. Especially, the strength of a thin shaft such as a car transmission shaft is much more sensitive than that of a thick shaft. Therefore, it is very important for considering the strength of each shaft during correction of the car transmission shaft distortion in order to generate proper mechanical pressure. The conventional PID controller for the shaft distortion correction system does not consider each different strength of each shaft, which causes low productivity. Therefore, we proposed a new PID controller considering variations of shaft strength caused by seasonal temperature changes as well as irregular heat treatment and different cooling time. Three displacement sensors are used to measure a degree of distortion of the shaft at three different location. The proposed PID controller generates adaptively different coefficients according to different strength of each shaft using appropriately obtained pressure times from long-term experiments. Consequently, the proposed shaft distortion correction system increases the productivity about 30 % more than the conventional correction system in the real factory.

Effects of Photoperiod Treatment on Histological Changes in Testis Tissues of the Golden Hamster

  • Kang, Jae-Won;Kim, Seol-Ah;Park, Chang-Eun
    • 대한임상검사과학회지
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2012
  • Many mammals in temperate zones are affected by the distinctive changes of the four seasons in these zones. Their reproductive status is active in the summer climate and inactive during severe winter weather. The golden hamster (Mesocricetus auratus) is seasonal breeding animal whose sexual activities are regulated by photoperoidism. The reproduction and metabolism are activated by long summer days (LD) and inhibited by short winter days (SD). After several months of SD, animals become refractory to this inhibitory photoperiod and spontaneously revert to LD-like physiology. The suprachiasmatic nuclei (SCN) house the primary circadian oscillator in mammals. Seasonal changes in the photic input to this structure control many annual physiological rhythms via SCN-regulated pineal melatonin secretion, which provides an internal endocrine signal representing photoperiod. The aim of this study was to assess the variation in the morphology of the testis in relation to the natural photoperiod in male golden hamsters. The hamsters were castrated at different weeks (2, 5, 8, and 15). The cell numbers of tubules with spermatogonia (SG), spermatocyte (SC), spermatids (ST), and spermatozoa (SZ) were recorded in each sample. The results showed that testicular regression of golden hamsters occurred in the SD-treated animals. The present investigation determines that the effects of the photoperiod on the reproduction of male golden hamsters. It was also found that the circadian period increases the rate of reproductive inhibition in animals exposed to inhibitory photoperiods.

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