• 제목/요약/키워드: Scoring Model

검색결과 271건 처리시간 0.028초

Reject Inference of Incomplete Data Using a Normal Mixture Model

  • Song, Ju-Won
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제24권2호
    • /
    • pp.425-433
    • /
    • 2011
  • Reject inference in credit scoring is a statistical approach to adjust for nonrandom sample bias due to rejected applicants. Function estimation approaches are based on the assumption that rejected applicants are not necessary to be included in the estimation, when the missing data mechanism is missing at random. On the other hand, the density estimation approach by using mixture models indicates that reject inference should include rejected applicants in the model. When mixture models are chosen for reject inference, it is often assumed that data follow a normal distribution. If data include missing values, an application of the normal mixture model to fully observed cases may cause another sample bias due to missing values. We extend reject inference by a multivariate normal mixture model to handle incomplete characteristic variables. A simulation study shows that inclusion of incomplete characteristic variables outperforms the function estimation approaches.

Statistical Analysis of K-League Data using Poisson Model

  • Kim, Yang-Jin
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제25권5호
    • /
    • pp.775-783
    • /
    • 2012
  • Several statistical models for bivariate poisson data are suggested and used to analyze 2011 K-league data. Our interest is composed of two purposes: The first purpose is to exploit potential attacking and defensive abilities of each team. Particular, a bivariate poisson model with diagonal inflation is incorporated for the estimation of draws. A joint model is applied to estimate an association between poisson distribution and probability of draw. The second one is to investigate causes on scoring time of goals and a regression technique of recurrent event data is applied. Some related future works are suggested.

영작문 상황에서의 표절 측정의 신뢰성 연구 (Measuring plagiarism in the second language essay writing context)

  • 이호
    • 영어어문교육
    • /
    • 제12권1호
    • /
    • pp.221-238
    • /
    • 2006
  • This study investigates the reliability of plagiarism measurement in the ESL essay writing context. The current study aims to address the answers to the following research questions: 1) How does plagiarism measurement affect test reliability in a psychometric view? and 2) how do raters conceive the plagiarism in their analytic scoring? This study uses the mixed-methodology that crosses quantitative-qualitative techniques. Thirty eight international students took an ESL placement writing test offered by the University of Illinois. Two native expert raters rated students' essays in terms of 5 analytic features (organization, content, language use, source use, plagiarism) and made a holistic score using a scoring benchmark. For research question 1, the current study, using G-theory and Multi-facet Rasch model, found that plagiarism measurement threatened test reliability. For research question 2, two native raters and one non-native rater in their email correspondences responded that plagiarism was not a valid analytic area to be measured in a large-scale writing test. They viewed the plagiarism as a difficult measurement are. In conclusion, this study proposes that a systematic training program for avoiding plagiarism should be given to students. In addition, this study suggested that plagiarism is measured reliably in the small-scale classroom test.

  • PDF

Development of a Synthetic Multi-Agent System;The KMITL Cadence 2003 Robotic Soccer Simulation Team, Intelligent and AI Based Control

  • Chitipalungsri, Thunyawat;Jirawatsiwaporn, Chawit;Tangchupong, Thanapon;Kittitornkun, Surin
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2004년도 ICCAS
    • /
    • pp.879-884
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper describes the development of a synthetic multi-agent called KMITL Cadence 2003. KMITL Cadence 2003 is a robotic soccer simulation team consisting of eleven autonomous software agents. Each agent operates in a physical soccer simulation model called Robocup Soccer Server which provides fully distributed and real-time multi-agent system environment. All teammates have to cooperate to achieve the common goal of winning the game. The simulation models many aspects of the football field such as noise in ball movements, noisy sensors, unreliable communication channel between teammates and actuators, limited physical abilities and restricted communication. This paper addresses the algorithm to develop the soccer agents to perform basic actions which are scoring, passing ball and blocking the opponents effectively. The result of this development is satisfactory because the successful scoring attempts is increased from 11.1% to 33.3%, successful passing ball attempts is increased from 22.08% to 63.64%, and also, successful intercepting attempts is increased from 88% to 97.73%.

  • PDF

Prognostic Scores for Predicting Recurrence in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

  • Somboonporn, Charoonsak
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제17권5호
    • /
    • pp.2369-2374
    • /
    • 2016
  • Background: Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is a cancer group that shares molecular and cellular origin but shows different clinical courses and prognoses. Several prognostic factors have been reported for predicting recurrence for individual patients. This literature review aimed to evaluate prognostic scores for predicting recurrence of DTC. Materials and Methods: A search of the MEDLINE database for articles published until December 2015 was carried out using the terms "thyroid neoplasms AND (recurrent OR persistent) AND (score OR model OR nomogram)". Studies were eligible for review if they indicated the development of prognostic scoring models, derived from a group of independent prognostic factors, in predicting disease recurrence in DTC patients. Results: Of the 308 articles obtained, five were eligible for evaluation. Two scoring models were developed for DTC including both papillary and follicular carcinoma, one for papillary carcinoma, and the other two for papillary microcarcinoma. The number of patients included in the score development cohort ranged from 59 to 1,669. The number of evaluated potential prognostic factors ranged from 4 to 25. Tumor-related factors were the most common factors included in the final scores, with cervical lymph node metastases being the most common. Only two studies showed internal validation of the derived score. Conclusions: There is a paucity of prognostic scores for predicting disease recurrence in patients with DTC, in particular for follicular thyroid carcinoma. Several limitations of the created scores were found. Performance of the scores has not been adequately studied. Comprehensive validation in multiple cohorts is recommended before widespread use.

OPIc-based Speaking Test for English Classes in Korea

  • Kim, Ji-Eun
    • 영어어문교육
    • /
    • 제17권4호
    • /
    • pp.123-139
    • /
    • 2011
  • The purpose of the current study is to analyze a model of OPIc-based speaking test for Korea English classroom. The research questions were (1). What is the English teachers' opinion on the current speaking teaching and testing? (2). Is the OPIc speaking test appropriate in the Korea English class? and (3). What are the English education students' perceptions of the OPIc-based speaking test for English classes? To answer the first research question, a survey was conducted targeting one hundred and forty-seven teachers. The result of the survey shows that Korea English teachers' great concern on the English teaching and speaking test are "communicative competence," "scoring and criteria," and "condition and need." To answer the second research question, the OPIc speaking test for the class was analyzed and it was found that in terms of the communicative competence," "scoring and criteria," and "condition and need" issues, OPIc based speaking test is appropriate in Korea English class. For the third research question, Q methodology was used targeting English education students and the result shows that most English education students strongly agree to the statements that the OPIc-based speaking test has the advantage to improve communicative competence. This study may provide the information about creating and adopting tests for English classes and relating standardized test and the English classes.

  • PDF

Development of quantitative index evaluating anticancer or carcinogenic potential of diet: the anti-cancer food scoring system 1.0

  • Rim, Chai Hong
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
    • /
    • 제12권1호
    • /
    • pp.52-60
    • /
    • 2018
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Cancer is closely related to diet. One of the most reliable reports of the subject is the expert report from the World Cancer Research Fund & American Institute of Cancer Research (WCRF&AICR). However, majority of the studies including above were written with academic terms and in English. The aim of this study is to create a model, named Anti-Cancer Food Scoring System (ACFS), to provide a simple index of the anticancer potential of food. SUBJECTS/METHODS: We created ACFS codes of various food groups. The evidence of the ACFS codes was provided by the literature at a level comparable to that suggested in the WCRF&AICR report or from the WCRF&AICR report. The ACFS grade was calculated considering food group, cooking, and normalization. Application was performed for Koreans' 20 common meals, which encompass multinational recipes. RESULT: We calculated the ACFS grades of Koreans' 20 common meals. The results were not significantly different from the WCRF&AICR guidelines or information from the National Cancer Information Center of Korea. The grades were briefly interpreted as follows: grade S. ideal for cancer prevention; grade A. good for cancer prevention; grade B, might have anticancer potential; grade C, difficult to be regarded as preventive or carcinogenic; grade D, might against cancer prevention; grade E, probably against cancer prevention. CONCLUSIONS: The ACFS provides a simple index of anticancer potential of diets. This indicator can be useful for the people without expertise, and is effective in evaluating the diets including Asian foods. The ACFS can help design of future clinical or nutritional studies of cancer prevention.

중학교 수학과 수행평가의 개발과 적용 효과에 관한 분석 (Development and Implementation of Performance Assessment for Middle School Mathematics)

  • 권오남;황숙균;권기순
    • 대한수학교육학회지:수학교육학연구
    • /
    • 제9권1호
    • /
    • pp.333-350
    • /
    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study is to define performance assessment of mathematics, to make a model of performance task of mathematics for the first grade middle school students in higher group, to examine validity and reliability of performance task and to investigate the effects on the students' achievement and attitude. It first defines performance assessment and exanmines its main features and scoring methods. Based on these, nine performance assessment tasks and scoring criteria were designed for the first grade middle school students in higher group. The validity of performance tasks were examined by experts. The loaming achievement and mathematical attitude test between two groups were performed as pre and post test. The thinking of students about performance assessment was investigated by attitude survey. The results of this study are as follows: First, the validity of the performance tasks is very high. Second, The control group. Forth, there is a difference in student's attitude about mathematics between scorer reliability was high due to the scorer training. Third, there is little difference in teaming achievement between experimental and experimental and control group in 5% meaningful levels. That is, student's of both groups attitude about mathematics comes negatives, but the width of change of negative attitude in experimental group is less than control group. In the trend of negative attitude of mathematics as grade comes higher, this results showed that performance assessment of mathematics had positive influence on attitude of mathematics. The result of survey about mathematical performance assessment experience showed that students have positive attitude to performance assessment and recognized effectiveness of the performance assessment of mathematics.

  • PDF

지형공간정보체계를 적용한 농장의 적지분석에 관한 연구 (Analysis of Suitable Site for Farmastead using GIS)

  • 이신호;오무영;최진용;김한중
    • 대한공간정보학회지
    • /
    • 제3권2호
    • /
    • pp.173-181
    • /
    • 1995
  • 전형적인 도시근교 농촌지역으로서 충청북도 청원군 지역에 대하여 농장적지 선정을 위하여 지형공간 분석을 실시하였다. 본 연구에서는 논밭적지와 개발제한구역, 거주지 적합 등급이 높은 지역을 제외하고 농장적지 등급을 5등급으로 구분하였다. 수지고도자료(DEM)와 정밀토양도, 행정경계도, 수계도, 개발제한구역 등을 수치자료화 하였고, 점수표를 작성하여 등급기준을 결정할 수 있도록 하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 지형공간정보체계(CGIS)가 주변 환경에 대한 영향을 고려하고 과학적인 적지선정을 통하여 농가소득 향상을 위한 농장적지 선정에 좋은 도구임을 보여주었다.

  • PDF

A Decision Model with Expert's Biased Information Transmission

  • Kimk, Kwang-Jae;Jeong, Byong-Ho;Kim, Soung-Hie
    • 한국경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제13권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 1988
  • This study suggests on optimal process when decision maker is confronted with expert's biased information under the situation that the bias is caused mainly by the difference of their interest. In order to make honest transmission of expert's probabilistic information, the concept of expert use and scoring rule to provide expert with an incentive is used in this paper. And expected regret concept is introduced to evaluate the value of expert's information. A simple example is also shown.

  • PDF