• 제목/요약/키워드: Science and Technology Predictions

검색결과 335건 처리시간 0.024초

난류 예혼합 화염에서의 프랙탈 차원의 통계적 특성 (Statistical Characteristics of Fractal Dimension in Turbulent Prefixed Flame)

  • 이대훈;권세진
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.18-26
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    • 2002
  • With the introduction of Fractal notation, various fields of engineering adopted fractal notation to express characteristics of geometry involved and one of the most frequently applied areas was turbulence. With research on turbulence regarding the surface as fractal geometry, attempts to analyze turbulent premised flame as fractal geometry also attracted attention as a tool for modeling, for the flame surface can be viewed as fractal geometry. Experiments focused on disclosure of flame characteristics by measuring fractal parameters were done by researchers. But robust principle or theory can't be extracted. Only reported modeling efforts using fractal dimension is flame speed model by Gouldin. This model gives good predictions of flame speed in unstrained case but not in highly strained flame condition. In this research, approaches regarding fractal dimension of flame as one representative value is pointed out as a reason for the absence of robust model. And as an extort to establish robust modeling, Presents methods treating fractal dimension as statistical variable. From this approach flame characteristics reported by experiments such as Da effect on flame structure can be seen quantitatively and shows possibility of flame modeling using fractal parameters with statistical method. From this result more quantitative model can be derived.

강제어초에 작용하는 유체항력에 관한 연구 (A study of Fluid Drag Forces Acting on Artificial Steel Reefs)

  • 신현경;양창섭;이형락;김태무;엄호섭
    • 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양공학회 2002년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.273-276
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    • 2002
  • Many artificial steel reefs are being built in Japan, however, in Korea, only few steel reefs were manufactured by POSCO, recently. In order to develop their novel types suitable for marine environments near the Korean Peninsula, it is very important to carry out model tests in the initial design stage. In the Ocean Engineering Wide Tank($L{\times}B{\times}D=30{\times}20{\times}2.5m$) and the Circulating Water Channel of the University of Ulsan, Korea, fluid drag forces acting on models of steel reefs with different sizes are measured in waves and currents. Also numerical predictions based on the Wavier-Stokes equation are made and compared with experimental results.

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An evolutionary approach for predicting the axial load-bearing capacity of concrete-encased steel (CES) columns

  • Armin Memarzadeh;Hassan Sabetifar;Mahdi Nematzadeh;Aliakbar Gholampour
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.253-265
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    • 2023
  • In this research, the gene expression programming (GEP) technique was employed to provide a new model for predicting the maximum loading capacity of concrete-encased steel (CES) columns. This model was developed based on 96 CES column specimens available in the literature. The six main parameters used in the model were the compressive strength of concrete (fc), yield stress of structural steel (fys), yield stress of steel rebar (fyr), and cross-sectional areas of concrete, structural steel, and steel rebar (Ac, As and Ar respectively). The performance of the prediction model for the ultimate load-carrying capacity was investigated using different statistical indicators such as root mean square error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (R), mean absolute error (MAE), and relative square error (RSE), the corresponding values of which for the proposed model were 620.28, 0.99, 411.8, and 0.01, respectively. Here, the predictions of the model and those of available codes including ACI ITG, AS 3600, CSA-A23, EN 1994, JGJ 138, and NZS 3101 were compared for further model assessment. The obtained results showed that the proposed model had the highest correlation with the experimental data and the lowest error. In addition, to see if the developed model matched engineering realities and corresponded to the previously developed models, a parametric study and sensitivity analysis were carried out. The sensitivity analysis results indicated that the concrete cross-sectional area (Ac) has the greatest effect on the model, while parameter (fyr) has a negligible effect.

Development and Validation of a Predictive Model for Listeria monocytogenes Scott A as a Function of Temperature, pH, and Commercial Mixture of Potassium Lactate and Sodium Diacetate

  • Abou-Zeid, Khaled A.;Oscar, Thomas P.;Schwarz, Jurgen G.;Hashem, Fawzy M.;Whiting, Richard C.;Yoon, Kisun
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • 제19권7호
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    • pp.718-726
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study was to develop and validate secondary models that can predict growth parameters of L. monocytogenes Scott A as a function of concentrations (0-3%) of a commercial potassium lactate (PL) and sodium diacetate (SDA) mixture, pH (5.5-7.0), and temperature (4-37DC). A total of 120 growth curves were fitted to the Baranyi primary model that directly estimates lag time (LT) and specific growth rate (SGR). The effects of the variables on L. monocytogenes Scott A growth kinetics were modeled by response surface analysis using quadratic and cubic polynomial models of the natural logarithm transformation of both LT and SGR. Model performance was evaluated with dependent data and independent data using the prediction bias ($B_f$) and accuracy factors ($A_f$) as well as the acceptable prediction zone method [percentage of relative errors (%RE)]. Comparison of predicted versus observed values of SGR indicated that the cubic model fits better than the quadratic model, particularly at 4 and $10^{\circ}C$. The $B_f$and $A_f$for independent SGR were 1.00 and 1.08 for the cubic model and 1.08 and 1.16 for the quadratic model, respectively. For cubic and quadratic models, the %REs for the independent SGR data were 92.6 and 85.7, respectively. Both quadratic and cubic polynomial models for SGR and LT provided acceptable predictions of L. monocytogenes Scott A growth in the matrix of conditions described in the present study. Model performance can be more accurately evaluated with $B_f$and $A_f$and % RE together.

사파이어 단결정의 Kyropoulos 성장시 도가니 형상에 따른 유동장 및 결정성장 거동의 CFD 해석 (CFD analysis for effects of the crucible geometry on melt convection and growth behavior during sapphire single crystal growth by Kyropoulos process)

  • 류진호;이욱진;이영철;조형호;박용호
    • 한국결정성장학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2012
  • 사파이어 단결정은 GaN계 화합물 증착이 용이하여 고휘도의 청색을 구현하기 위한 LED(Light Emitting Diode)용 기판으로 크게 각광받고 있다. 공업용 사파이어의 제조 방법으로는 Kyropoulos법, Czochralski법 HEM(Heat Exchager Method)등 다양한 방법이 시도되고 있으며, 그 중 Kyropoulos법은 고품질의 대구경 사파이어 단결정 성장이 가능한 대표적인 방법으로 알려져 있다. 그러나 Kyropoulos 공정의 특성상 결정성장로 내에서 용융 사파이어의 유동장이 단결정의 최종 품질을 결정하는데, 유동장의 변화와 이에 따르는 결정성장 거동을 관찰하기가 어렵다는 단점이 있다. 대구경화와 동시에 고품질의 사파이어 단결정을 생산하기 위해서는 성장로내의 유동장 해석을 통해 결정 성장조건을 최적화 하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 유한요소법을 기반으로 한 전산유동해석을 통해 Kyropoulos 성장로 내의 도가니 형상의 종횡비(h/d)에 따른 용융 사파이어의 대류거동을 관찰하여 도가니의 형상이 단결정 성장에 미치는 영향을 분석하였으며, 성장로의 설계시 도가니의 종횡비를 작게 고려하면 용융 사파이어의 대류속도를 늦추고 계면의 convexity를 줄여 사파이어 단결정의 품질향상에 도움이 된다는 결과를 얻었다.

빅데이터를 활용한 영화 흥행 분석 -천만 영화의 웃음과 눈물 요소를 중심으로 (The Box-office Success Factors of Films Utilizing Big Data-Focus on Laugh and Tear of Film Factors)

  • 황영미;박진태;문일영;김광선;권오영
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.1087-1095
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    • 2016
  • 이 연구는 빅데이터를 활용하여 영화흥행 요인을 분석하는 것이 목적이다. 한국의 영화산업 규모는 날로 커지고 있지만, 현재까지 진행되어온 영화 흥행 요인 분석 및 예측과 관련된 논의는 관련 데이터를 망라하지 못해 정확성을 담보할 수 없는 상황이었다. 지금까지 한국에서의 천만 영화는 총 13편이 있었고, 이 연구에서는 천만 흥행에 눈물과 웃음이 주된 텍스트 내적 요인으로 작용함을 밝혔다. 이에 빅데이터를 활용해 영화에 대한 댓글 중 웃음과 눈물과 관련된 용어를 수집한 후, 영화의 구성 5단계(발단-전개-위기-절정-결말) 중 어느 부분에 웃음과 눈물 요소가 많은지를 도표화하여 천만 영화의 장르별 구성 방식을 논증하였다. 이러한 분석 결과는 앞으로 영화 제작 전 단계에서 시나리오 상에서의 흥행 예측을 하는 종합적인 데이터베이스 구축에 기여하게 될 것이다.

In silico characterisation, homology modelling and structure-based functional annotation of blunt snout bream (Megalobrama amblycephala) Hsp70 and Hsc70 proteins

  • Tran, Ngoc Tuan;Jakovlic, Ivan;Wang, Wei-Min
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제57권12호
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    • pp.44.1-44.9
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    • 2015
  • Background: Heat shock proteins play an important role in protection from stress stimuli and metabolic insults in almost all organisms. Methods: In this study, computational tools were used to deeply analyse the physicochemical characteristics and, using homology modelling, reliably predict the tertiary structure of the blunt snout bream (Ma-) Hsp70 and Hsc70 proteins. Derived three-dimensional models were then used to predict the function of the proteins. Results: Previously published predictions regarding the protein length, molecular weight, theoretical isoelectric point and total number of positive and negative residues were corroborated. Among the new findings are: the extinction coefficient (33725/33350 and 35090/34840 - Ma-Hsp70/ Ma-Hsc70, respectively), instability index (33.68/35.56 - both stable), aliphatic index (83.44/80.23 - both very stable), half-life estimates (both relatively stable), grand average of hydropathicity (-0.431/-0.473 - both hydrophilic) and amino acid composition (alanine-lysine-glycine/glycine-lysine-aspartic acid were the most abundant, no disulphide bonds, the N-terminal of both proteins was methionine). Homology modelling was performed by SWISS-MODEL program and the proposed model was evaluated as highly reliable based on PROCHECK's Ramachandran plot, ERRAT, PROVE, Verify 3D, ProQ and ProSA analyses. Conclusions: The research revealed a high structural similarity to Hsp70 and Hsc70 proteins from several taxonomically distant animal species, corroborating a remarkably high level of evolutionary conservation among the members of this protein family. Functional annotation based on structural similarity provides a reliable additional indirect evidence for a high level of functional conservation of these two genes/proteins in blunt snout bream, but it is not sensitive enough to functionally distinguish the two isoforms.

MODELING OF INTERACTION LAYER GROWTH BETWEEN U-Mo PARTICLES AND AN Al MATRIX

  • Kim, Yeon Soo;Hofman, G.L.;Ryu, Ho Jin;Park, Jong Man;Robinson, A.B.;Wachs, D.M.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제45권7호
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    • pp.827-838
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    • 2013
  • Interaction layer growth between U-Mo alloy fuel particles and Al in a dispersion fuel is a concern due to the volume expansion and other unfavorable irradiation behavior of the interaction product. To reduce interaction layer (IL) growth, a small amount of Si is added to the Al. As a result, IL growth is affected by the Si content in the Al matrix. In order to predict IL growth during fabrication and irradiation, empirical models were developed. For IL growth prediction during fabrication and any follow-on heating process before irradiation, out-of-pile heating test data were used to develop kinetic correlations. Two out-of-pile correlations, one for the pure Al matrix and the other for the Al matrix with Si addition, respectively, were developed, which are Arrhenius equations that include temperature and time. For IL growth predictions during irradiation, the out-of-pile correlations were modified to include a fission-rate term to consider fission enhanced diffusion, and multiplication factors to incorporate the Si addition effect and the effect of the Mo content. The in-pile correlation is applicable for a pure Al matrix and an Al matrix with the Si content up to 8 wt%, for fuel temperatures up to $200^{\circ}C$, and for Mo content in the range of 6 - 10wt%. In order to cover these ranges, in-pile data were included in modeling from various tests, such as the US RERTR-4, -5, -6, -7 and -9 tests and Korea's KOMO-4 test, that were designed to systematically examine the effects of the fission rate, temperature, Si content in Al matrix, and Mo content in U-Mo particles. A model converting the IL thickness to the IL volume fraction in the meat was also developed.

공정 범주에 따른 ECETOC TRA 모델 평가로부터 도출한 한국 작업장 노출 평가 개선 방안 (Enhancement of Occupational Exposure Assessment in Korea through the Evaluation of ECETOC TRA according to PROCs)

  • 김기은;김종운;전현표;김상헌;정연승
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.173-185
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: The objectives of this study are to evaluate the accuracy and precision of exposure model ECETOC TRA v.3.1 by comparing model predictions with repeated exposure measurements in Korean workplaces and to investigate the applicability of ECETOC TRA to Korean workplace exposure assessment in K-REACH. Methods: Measured values and work conditions for 14 kinds of chemicals collected from exposure field surveys conducted at 10 companies in Korea were utilized for this study. All possible process categories (PROCs) considered to be relevant to each work process classification were selected and applied to ECETOC TRA as major determining parameters. In order to quantify the accuracy of the model, the lack of agreement (bias, relative bias, precision) was calculated and the risk ratios for each exposure situation between estimated and measured were also compared. Results: The estimated values varied between five and 25 times according to the PROCs for all exposure situations (ESs) based on tasks/chemicals. The results showed that most of the estimated values were below the measured values, and just 13 of 53 tasks were above the measured values. The overall bias and precision were $-2.91{\pm}1.62$ with ECETOC TRA, and we found that ECETOC TRA showed a low level of conservatism when applied to Korean workplaces, similar to previous studies. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that the existed PROC codes have limitations in fully covering various ESs in Korea. In order to improve the applicability of ECETOC TRA in K-REACH, the addition of new PROCs for Korean industries are necessary.

생태계 서비스 가치평가를 위한 멸종위기 포유류의 종분포 연구 - 전국자연환경조사 자료를 중심으로 - (Species Distribution Modeling of Endangered Mammals for Ecosystem Services Valuation - Focused on National Ecosystem Survey Data -)

  • 전성우;김재욱;정휘철;이우균;김준순
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.111-122
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    • 2014
  • The provided habitat of many services from natural capital is important. But because most ecosystem services tools qualitatively evaluated biodiversity or habitat quality, this study quantitatively analyzed those aspects using the species distribution model (MaxEnt). This study used location point data of the goat(Naemorhedus caudatus), marten(Martes flavigula), leopard cat(Prionailurus bengalensis), flying squirrel(Pteromys volans aluco) and otter(Lutra lutra) from the 3rd National Ecosystem Survey. Input data utilized DEM, landcover classification maps, Forest-types map and digital topographic maps. This study generated the MaxEnt model, randomly setting 70% of the presences as training data, with the remaining 30% used as test data, and ran five cross-validated replicates for each model. The threshold indicating maximum training sensitivity plus specificity was considered as a more robust approach, so this study used it to conduct the distribution into presence(1)-absence(0) predictions and totalled up a value of 5 times for uncertainty reduction. The test data's ROC curve of endangered mammals was as follows: growing down goat(0.896), otter(0.857), flying squirrel(0.738), marten(0.725), and leopard cat(0.629). This study was divided into two groups based on habitat: the first group consisted of the goat, marten, leopard cat and flying squirrel in the forest; and the second group consisted of the otter in the river. More than 60 percent of endangered mammals' distribution probability were 56.9% in the forest and 12.7% in the river. A future study is needed to conduct other species' distribution modeling exclusive of mammals and to develop a collection method of field survey data.