• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario evaluation

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An Economic Evaluation on the Direct Payment System for Environment-friendly Agriculture in Korea Using AGE Model (AGE모형을 이용한 친환경농업직불제의 경제적 성과계측)

  • Kim, Myung-Su;Lee, Young-Ho;Kim, Bae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2016
  • This study analyses the macroeconomic effects of the direct payment system (DPS) for environment-friendly agriculture in Korea. We utilized the applied general equilibrium model (AGE model) for the general agricultural sector as well as the environmentally-friendly agricultural sector. We considered several scenarios based on various direct payment amounts to measure and analyze economic impacts. Scenario 1 considers the current direct payment system. Scenario 2 examines an additional 5% increase from the direct payment amount in scenario 1. Scenario 3 reviews an increase of 10% in direct payment amount while Scenario 4 considers an additional increase of 15% compared with Scenario 1. Lastly, scenario 5 examines a 20% increase in direct payment amounts compared with scenario 1. In addition, the baseline considers conditions prior to the introduction of the direct payment system. The simulation analysis results show that capital formation, production volume, and labor productivity increased in the environment-friendly agricultural sector. In contrast, employment in the environment-friendly agricultural sector decreased. The price of environment-friendly agricultural products following the introduction of the DPS remain consistent with the price of environment-friendly agricultural product before introducing the DPS. This results from price elasticity of supply and demand are inelastic, and there is no change in the income of consumers during the analysis period. However, additional research is necessary for improvement of the model using complementary statistical data for the environmental-friendly agriculture sector.

Development of Response Scenario for a Simulated HNS Spill Incident (위험유해물질 유출사고 대응을 위한 가상시나리오 개발)

  • Lee, Moonjin;Oh, Sangwoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.677-684
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    • 2014
  • In response to possible HNS (Hazardous and Noxious Substance) spill accident, HNS spill accident scenario and response scenario were developed. The accident area listed in scenarios is the coastal area of Busan, and scenario for possible accident in the designated area and strategies to respond the accident were developed, respectively. The scenario for accident was developed by designating HNS spill according to risk evaluation of HNS and analysis of HNS spill probability along the coastal area of Busan, and then estimating possible and potential impact from the accident. The scenario for response has been suggested as a systematical responding operations in order to effectively reduce the estimated impact from the accident. The possible HNS spill accident on the seas around Busan, has been designated by the spillage of 1,000ton of xylene due to collision accident in Gamcheon Port, and the possible impacts occurred by the accident has been simulated with the help of the atmospheric and oceanic dispersion model of xylene. In the responding scenario for the accident, a phased strategies regarding emergency rescue of peoples, protection and recovery of xylene, protective measures for the responders, and post management of the accident have been suggested.

Uncertainty Management on Human Intrusion Scenario Assessment of the Near Surface Disposal Facility for Low and Intermediate-Level Radioactive Waste: Comparative Analysis of RESRAD and GENII (중저준위방사성폐기물 표층처분시설의 인간침입 시나리오 평가에 대한 불확실성 관리: RESRAD와 GENII의 비교분석)

  • Kim, Minseong;Hong, Sung-Wook;Park, Jin Beak
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.369-380
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    • 2017
  • In order to manage the uncertainty about the evaluation and analysis of the human intrusion scenario of the Gyeongju Low and Intermediate Level Radioactive Waste(LILW) disposal facility, the calculation result by the GENII code was assessed using the RESRAD code, which was developed to evaluate the radiation effects of contaminated soil. The post-drilling scenario was selected as a human intrusion scenario into the near-surface disposal facility to analyze the uncertainty of the modeling by identifying any limitations in the simulation of each code and comparing the evaluation results under the same input data conditions. The results revealed a difference in the migration of some nuclides between the codes, but confirmed that the dose trends at the end of the post-closure control period were similar for all exposure pathways. Based on the results of the dose evaluation predicted by RESRAD, sensitivity analysis on the input factors was performed and major input factors were derived. The uncertainty of the modeling results and the input factors were analyzed and the reliability of the safety evaluation results was confirmed. The results of this study can be applied to the implementation 'Safety Case Program' for the Gyeongju LILW disposal facility.

Study on Cost of Energy(COE) Reduction Scenario of Korean Offshore Wind Power (해상풍력발전의 에너지단가(COE)절감 시나리오 연구)

  • Sung, Jin Ki;Lee, Jong Hoon;Kang, Kung Suk;Lee, Tae Jin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.11
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    • pp.1520-1527
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to derive COE reduction targets of offshore wind power in Korea. In addition, innovation factors for achieving the COE reduction targets were derived. Also the COE reduction targets of offshore wind power was to improve that national policy, technology, industry and improving regulations would like to help. The results of this study has been created based on the various assumptions, scenarios and experts' discussions. Currently, offshore wind power generation price is 229.72won/kWh in 2012. According to the study, COE of offshore wind power has been proposed 88.8won/kWh at third scenario by 2030. This result has shown competitiveness with fossil fuel power generation.

Stationary Distribution for the Mobilities in Catastrophe Rescue Scenario

  • Wang, Yong;Peng, Wei;Dou, Qiang;Gong, Zhenghu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.308-326
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    • 2013
  • Mobility Model has drawn more and more attentions since its critical role in Mobile Wireless Networks performance evaluation. This paper analyzes the mobility patterns in the catastrophe rescue scenario, and proposes the Random Waypoint with Base Point mobility model to model these characteristics. We mathematically analyze the speed and spatial stationary distributions of the nodes and derive explicit expressions for the one dimensional case. In order to keep the stationary distribution through the entire simulation procedure, we provide strategies to initialize the speed, location and destination of the nodes at the beginning of the simulation. The simulation results verify the derivations and the proposed methods in this paper. This work gives a deep understanding of the properties of the Random Waypoint with Base Point mobility model and such understanding is necessary to avoid misinterpretation of the simulation results. The conclusions are of practical value for performance analysis of mobile wireless networks, especially for the catastrophe rescue scenario.

SECURITY FRAMEWORK FOR VANET: SURVEY AND EVALUATION

  • Felemban, Emad;Albogamind, Salem M.;Naseer, Atif;Sinky, Hassan H.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.8
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2021
  • In the last few years, the massive development in wireless networks, high internet speeds and improvement in car manufacturing has shifted research focus to Vehicular Ad-HOC Networks (VANETs). Consequently, many related frameworks are explored, and it is found that security is the primary issue for VANETs. Despite that, a small number of research studies have taken into consideration the identification of performance standards and parameters. In this paper, VANET security frameworks are explored, studied and analysed which resulted in the identification of a list of performance evaluation parameters. These parameters are defined and categorized based on the nature of parameter (security or general context). These parameters are identified to be used by future researchers to evaluate their proposed VANET security frameworks. The implementation paradigms of security frameworks are also identified, which revealed that almost all research studies used simulation for implementation and testing. The simulators used in the simulation processes are also analysed. The results of this study showed that most of the surveyed studies used NS-2 simulator with a percentage of 54.4%. The type of scenario (urban, highway, rural) is also evaluated and it is found that 50% studies used highway urban scenario in simulation.

An Evaluation of Crashworthiness for the car-bodies of KHST (한국형 고속전철 차체의 충돌안전도 평가 연구)

  • 노규석;구정서;송달호
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.223-228
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, crashworthiness of the KHST carbodies is evaluated by numerical simulation under the SNCF accident scenario (collision against a movable rigid mass of 15 ton at 110 kph) and the scenario of train-to-train collision at 30 kph. The numerical results of the several simulations, such as the accident collided against a deformable dump truck of 15 tons at 110 kph, the driver's dummy analysis using the integrated analysis method, and the accident of train-to-train collision for the first three units at 30 kph, show good performances in the viewpoint of energy absorption and survival space.

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Analysis of Security Overhead in Secure Operating System (보안 운영체제의 오버헤드 분석)

  • Ko Young-Woong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.10 no.2 s.34
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2005
  • The importance of this Paper is to develop a standard Performance evaluation model and scenario for the secure OS. According to the scenario that was conducted for Performance evaluation, benchmarking was Performed. All the benchmarking result was thoroughly analyzed. Our result contribute to evaluating Secure 05 that contains various security policy affecting system Performance. In this paper, it is expected to Provide guidelines of secure operating system for the consumer, developer and evaluator. It will also contribute to the systematic basis for evaluation of security 05 and the promotion of domestic information security industry by retaining basic technology for international trends.

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A Study on the Risk Evaluation for Chemical Transportation Tank Lorry of Chemical Plant (석유화학 사업장에서 운송 화학물질 위험관리)

  • Kim, Jeong-gon;Byun, Hun-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2008
  • Recently, the potential risks of tank lorry transportation from the petrochemical plant have been increasing, so the research was performed to build up the evaluation criterion of the transportation safety, as well as aggressive risk+assessment of a variety of chemical materials. This research was applied to the Maximum Credible Accident Analysis technique and modeled on the risk management of chemical transportation using the following four steps for risk evaluation, firstly the comparison of representative fype and standard of hand ling chemical materials transported by tank vehicles secondly, specific classification of potential hazards thirdly, grasp and recognition of virtual accident scenario at last, the risk evaluation of virtual accident scenario(qualitative/quantitative - chemical release modeling).

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A Study on Evaluation Method of the Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC 차량의 시험평가 방법에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Bong Ju;Lee, Seon Bong
    • Journal of Drive and Control
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.8-17
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    • 2017
  • With automobiles sharply increasing in numbers worldwide, we are faced with critical social issues such as traffic accidents, traffic jams, environmental pollution, and economic inefficiency. In response, research on ITS is promoted mainly by regions with advanced automotive industry such as the U.S., Europe, and Japan. While Korea is working on moving forward in the global market through developing and turning to global standards systems related to ASV (Advanced Safety Vehicle), the country is not fully prepared for such projects. The purpose of ACC (Adaptive Cruise Control) is to control a vehicle's longitudinal speed and distance and minimize driver workload. Such a system should be valuable in preventing accidents, as it reduces driver workload in the 21st-century world of telematics created by development of the automobile culture industry. In this light, the thesis presents a method to test and evaluate ACC system and a mathematical method to assess distance. For the proposed test and evaluation, theoretical values are tested with vehicle test and a database is acquired, by using vehicles equipped with an ACC system. Theoretical evaluation criteria for developing ACC system may be used and scenario-specific evaluation methods may find useful application through testing the formula proposed by comparing the database and mathematical method.