• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario analysis

Search Result 1,951, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Engineering Students' Ethical Sensitivity on Artificial Intelligence Robots (공학전공 대학생의 AI 로봇에 대한 윤리적 민감성)

  • Lee, Hyunok;Ko, Yeonjoo
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
    • /
    • v.25 no.6
    • /
    • pp.23-37
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study evaluated the engineering students' ethical sensitivity to an AI emotion recognition robot scenario and explored its characteristics. For data collection, 54 students (27 majoring in Convergence Electronic Engineering and 27 majoring in Computer Software) were asked to list five factors regarding the AI robot scenario. For the analysis of ethical sensitivity, it was checked whether the students acknowledged the AI ethical principles in the AI robot scenario, such as safety, controllability, fairness, accountability, and transparency. We also categorized students' levels as either informed or naive based on whether or not they infer specific situations and diverse outcomes and feel a responsibility to take action as engineers. As a result, 40.0% of students' responses contained the AI ethical principles. These include safety 57.1%, controllability 10.7%, fairness 20.5%, accountability 11.6%, and transparency 0.0%. More students demonstrated ethical sensitivity at a naive level (76.8%) rather than at the informed level (23.2%). This study has implications for presenting an ethical sensitivity evaluation tool that can be utilized professionally in educational fields and applying it to engineering students to illustrate specific cases with varying levels of ethical sensitivity.

Estimation of Mega Flood Using Mega Rainfall Scenario (거대강우 시나리오를 이용한 거대홍수량 산정)

  • Han, Daegun;Kim, Deokhwan;Kim, Jungwook;Jung, Jeawon;Lee, Jongso;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.21 no.spc
    • /
    • pp.90-97
    • /
    • 2019
  • In recent years, flood due to the consecutive storm events have been occurred and property damage and casualties are in increasing trend. This study calls the consecutively occurred storm events as a mega rainfall scenario and the discharge by the scenario is defined as a mega flood discharge. A mega rainfall scenario was created on the assumption that 100-year frequency rainfall events were consecutively occurred in the Gyeongancheon stream basin. The SSARR (Streamflow Synthesis and Reservoir Regulation) model was used to estimate the mega flood discharge using the scenario in the basin. In addition, in order to perform more reasonable runoff analysis, the parameters were estimated using the SCE_UA algorithm. Also, the calibration and verification were performed using the objective functions of the weighted sum of squared of residual(WSSR), which is advantageous for the peak discharge simulation and sum of squared of residual(SSR). As a result, the mega flood discharge due to the continuous occurrence of 100-year frequency rainfall events in the Gyeongan Stream Basin was estimated to be 4,802㎥/s, and the flood discharge due to the 100-year frequency single rainfall event estimated by "the Master Plan for the Gyeongancheon Stream Improvement" (2011) was 3,810㎥/s. Therefore, the mega flood discharge was found to increase about 992㎥/s more than the single flood event. The results of this study can be used as a basic data for Comprehensive Flood Control Plan of the Gyeongan Stream basin.

Research on the Function and Economic Effect of Technology Opportunity Development System (기술기회발굴시스템의 기능 및 경제적 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Woo-Sung;Kim, Kang-Hoe;Coh, Byoung-Youl
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
    • /
    • v.14 no.spc
    • /
    • pp.1096-1127
    • /
    • 2011
  • This research focus on estimating the economic effects of TOD system development from the perspective of new market creation, R&D planning cost reduction and increase of R&D projects' commercialization success rates. The research is conducted through simulation and scenario analysis with assumptions about economic effect parameters. Scenario analysis shows that scenario 1 (the application ratio of the new TOD system to total Korean R&D programs' planning is 1.4%) results in total economic effects, 921.3 billion won in 2011 price with B/C ratio 6.15, that scenario 2 (the application ratio is 1.9%) results in total economic effects, 1,250.3 billion won in 2011 price with B/C ratio 8.34, and that scenario 3 (the application ratio is 0.9%) results in total economic effects, 592.2 billion won in 2011 price with B/C ratio 3.95. The research contributed to the prior evaluation of economic validity of "R&D on Technology Opportunity Development (TOD) system" and to cultivating the new methodology of economic benefit estimation in the area of R&D on system development.

  • PDF

Large-Scale Slope Stability Analysis Using Climate Change Scenario (2): Analysis of Application Results (기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 광역 사면안정 해석(2): 결과분석)

  • Oh, Sung-Ryul;Lee, Gi-Ha;Choi, Byoung-Seub;Lee, Kun-Hyuk;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-19
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study aims to assess the slope stability variation of Jeonbuk drainage areas by RCM model outputs based on A1B climate change scenario and infinite slope stability model based on the previous research by Choi et al.(2013). For a large-scale slope stability analysis, we developed a GIS-based database regarding topographic, geologic and forestry parameters and also calculated daily maximum rainfall for the study period(1971~2100). Then, we assess slope stability variation of the 20 sub-catchments of Jeonbuk under the climate change scenario. The results show that the areal-average value of safety factor was estimated at 1.36(moderately stable) in spite of annual rainfall increase in the future. In addition, 7 sub-catchments became worse and 5 sub-catchments became better than the present period(1971~2000) in terms of safety factor in the future.

A Development of Game Scenario Authoring Tool (게임 시나리오 저작도구의 개발)

  • Song, Hyun-Joo;Rhee, Dae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.29-39
    • /
    • 2009
  • Game scenarios are playing more important role as much as games are getting more sophisticated and expanded in their applications. However, general-purpose tools for production of game scenarios are still not developed. There are similar tools for the production of films or dramas and simple tools for the development of UCG. However, analysis about them shows that they are not suitable for the production of game scenarios. In this paper, we are to develop game scenario authoring tool called 'UMa' suitable for game production and easy to use. UMa is composed of synopsis entry, quest entry, DB entry, communication, display, and control component. Since UMa provides templates to make synopsis, quest, and DB, users can produce them very easily. Especially, characters and items DB are stored independently so that they may be reused to the production of scenarios for follow-up or another game. Using UMa, users can write game scenarios more easily and quickly and cooperate with each other at the same time by Web.

  • PDF

The Estimation of Water Balance at Regional Upland According to RCP8.5 Scenario from 2011 to 2020

  • Shin, Kook-Sik;Cho, Hyun-Sook;Seong, Ki-Young;Park, Tae-Seon;Kang, Hang-Won;Seo, Myung-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
    • /
    • v.47 no.1
    • /
    • pp.48-58
    • /
    • 2014
  • In order to evaluate water balance at upland according to RCP8.5 climate change scenario distributed by Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA), we simulated soil moisture using estimation model, called AFKAE0.5 for 66 sites from 2011 to 2020, and established the water balance maps. The amount of annual average precipitation by RCP8.5 scenario was highest in 2016 as recorded 2,062 mm and lowest in 2011 with 1,134 mm. As result of analysis for monthly precipitation and runoff, the amounts of precipitation and runoff have been especially intensive in July in 2014, 2016, 2019, and 2020. Overall, the area of Kyeongbuk and Gyeonggi was estimated more dried status of soil compared with precipitation. Except 2015 and 2020, soil water balance was recorded as negative value in other years which was calculated by subtracting output from input. The status of soil moisture was the most dry in 2020 among those in other years.

Effects of Message Sidedness of Fashion Salespersons on Consumer Behavior -Focusing on the Mediating Effects of Salespersons' Trust and Cognitive Effort- (패션점포 판매원 메시지의 측면성이 소비자 행동에 미치는 영향 -판매원 신뢰와 인지노력의 매개효과를 중심으로-)

  • Kwon, Ki Yong;Choo, Ho Jung;Lee, Mi Ah
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
    • /
    • v.42 no.1
    • /
    • pp.88-103
    • /
    • 2018
  • Message sidedness of fashion salespersons on consumer behavior with the consideration of the mediating roles of trust and cognitive efforts, and the moderation of a regulatory focus of consumers. Two scenarios were devised, a single message in which a salesperson explains only the advantages of a product to customers, and the second with a double message that explains both the advantages and drawbacks of the product. The results showed that participants trusted a fashion salesperson more and perceived stronger cognitive effort for two-sided messages. The two-sided messages mediated the consumer's trust in the salesperson and cognitive effort, and influenced consumers' buying behavior. This study also found that salesperson trust was stronger in the two-sided messages scenario than in the one-sided message scenario, regardless of consumers' focused preference, and that it was more effective for promotion focus customers. The analysis of the results on consumers' cognitive effort indicated that prevention focused customers did not exhibit any difference in cognitive effort concerning two-sided messages. However, promotion focused customers exhibited an increased cognitive effort in the two-sided message scenario than in the one-sided message scenario. Marketing implications were discussed based on the findings.

Safety Assessment on Disposal of HLW from P&T Cycle (핵변환 잔류 고준위 방사성 폐기물 처분 성능 평가)

  • 이연명;황용수;강철형
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.132-145
    • /
    • 2001
  • The purpose and need of the study is to quantify the advantage or disadvantage of the environmental friendliness of the partitioning of nuclear fuel cycle. To this end, a preliminary study on the quantitative effect of the partition on the permanent disposal of spent PWR and CANDU fuel (HLW) was carried out. Before any analysis, the so-called reference radionuclide release scenario from a potential repository embedded into a crystalline rock was developed. Firstly, the feature, event and processes (FEPs) which lead to the release of nuclides from waste disposed of in a repository and the transport to and through the biosphere were identified. Based on the selected FEPs, the ‘Well Scenario’which might be the worst case scenario was set up. For the given scenario, annual individual doses to a local resident exposed to radioactive hazard were estimated and compared to that from direct disposal. Even though partitioning and transmutation could be an ideal solution to reduce the inventory which eventually decreases the release time as well as the peaks in the annual dose and also minimize the repository area through the proper handling of nuclides, it should overcome major disadvantages such as echnical issues on the partitioning and transmutation system, cost, and public acceptance, and environment friendly issues. In this regard, some relevant issues are also discussed to show the direction for further studies.

  • PDF

Design of Scenario-based Requirements Extraction Tool (시나리오 기반 요구사항 추출 도구의 설계)

  • Kim, Chi-Su;Kim, Young-Tae;Kong, Heon-Tag;Lim, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.10 no.7
    • /
    • pp.1568-1574
    • /
    • 2009
  • One of the most difficult problems in user requirement engineering is the communication gap that exists between different end-users, stakeholders, and software engineers. Since scenarios allow different stakeholders to describe and review the problem in their own language instead of some abstract model, they are also a solution to the problem. We propose a progressive, iterative and interleaved process of using scenario at different requirement engineering stages including elicitation, analysis and validation. This process model has been applied to our TRES System. In our proposed system, we combine prototype, scenarios and use cases in a single and comprehensive framework to avoid most of the shortcomings in other tools. Our system is an XML-based system for scenario-driven requirement engineering. Within the TRES system, scenarios are stories capture information about users and their tasks, including the context of use. In our TRES system, scenarios are stored in XML-based database and described using XML notation.

Log Analysis Method of Separate Security Solution using Single Data Leakage Scenario (단일 정보유출 시나리오를 이용한 개별 보안솔루션 로그 분석 방법)

  • Park, Jang-Su;Lee, Im-Yeong
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
    • /
    • v.4 no.2
    • /
    • pp.65-72
    • /
    • 2015
  • According to recent statistics published by the National Industrial Security Center, former and current employees are responsible for 80.4% of companies' technology leakages, and employees of cooperative firms are responsible for another 9.6%. This means that 90% of technology leakages are intentionally or mistakenly caused by insiders. In a recent incident, a credit card company leaked private information, and the person responsible was an employee of a cooperative firm. These types of incidents have an adverse effect not only on a company's assets but also on its reputation. Therefore, most institutions implement various security solutions to prevent information from being leaked. However, security solutions are difficult to analyze and distinguish from one another because their logs are independently operated and managed. A large number of logs are created from various security solutions. This thesis investigates how to prevent internal data leakage by setting up individual scenarios for each security solution, analyzing each scenario's logs, and applying a monitoring system to each scenario.