• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario Planning

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Scenario Planning and Risk Failure Mode Effect and Analysis (RFMEA) based Management

  • Paul, Virendra Kumar;Basu, Chaitali
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.24-29
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    • 2016
  • This paper elaborates the significance of scenario planning in risk management, and presents an integrated approach which takes into account the 'Risk Events' derived from scenario planning for risk prioritisation. This research integrates scenario planning with Risk Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (RFMEA) through examples from construction litigations of project schedule and cost overrun cases as a simplified approach to project risk management. The proposed methodology incorporates scenarios developed from realistic events of dispute and arbitration cases from construction projects, and thereby increasing potential to foresee risks and their effects well in advance. The results from this methodology shall be validated against outcome of survey study conducted by KPMG-PMI (2013) on project schedule and cost overruns that was based on Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) Project Monitoring data for 2012-13.

A study on the planing of game scenario (게임시나리오 기획에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.12-18
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    • 2003
  • A good game comes from an original and unique scenario. Game development must precede with the game's scenario because this is where the contents of the game are expressed. Scenario planing brings the result of the game scenario. scenario planning is the draft for game development. The circumstances of gaming today, from the company which produce games to the academic world which educate game development, do not have planning for their game scenarios. A habit that many Korean game developers have is to just insert a rough scenario into a game or even worse no proper form for one at all. The Purpose of this book is to simply search for a scenario planning method and suggest the contents for game planning. paper, we researched technical considerations in initial game software planning, focusing on platform, game engine, game service, network infrastructure.

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The Activation Strategy of Electronic Payment Industry Using Scenario Planning : Focusing Simple Payment (시나리오 플래닝을 통한 국내 전자결제 산업의 활성화 전략 : 간편결제를 중심으로)

  • Han, Chejin;Cho, Keuntae
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.59-75
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    • 2016
  • The domestic simple payment service was not activated yet compared to foreign countries and there are many things to complement in the legal, institutional, and technical aspects. The future image of the domestic electronic payment propulsion was considered by the scenario planning focusing on the simple payment. Total 6 future scenarios were drawn through the scenario planning, and 3 major strategy directions for attaining the preferred future scenario were drawn. This study drew a meaningful scenario through various analyses and industry specialist questionnaire about the future of the simple payment service which will be a crucial change of the domestic electronic payment under the uncertain future situation, and suggested an implication for the government and every interested party who provides the industrial service to prepare for the future.

An Analysis of Examination of Eco-City Planning Scenario for Constructing Urban Integrated Energy System (차세대에너지시스템 구축을 위한 친환경 도시계획 시나리오 검토)

  • Yeo, In-Ae;Yee, Jurng-Jae;Yoon, Seong-Hwan
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.181-184
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    • 2009
  • This study aimed at framing alternative urban planning scenarios reflecting urban planning factors, performing urban climate simulation and evaluating eco-friend and low energy characteristics of each scenario on the viewpoint of urban temperature and energy savings on the target of the costal city including Haeundae District in Busan The results are as follows. 1)The fact that urban higher temperature is approximately 2.5 times higher in the building constructed area than whole urban area was represented severe higher temperature phenomenon in the built-up area. Ground greening, water scenario and soil scenario could be expected peek air temperature alleviating effect in order. Especially water scenario had significant effect(maximum $2.5^{\circ}C$) on lowering of air temperature.

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Methods for the Modularization of Simulation Model and the Management Scheme of Simulation Scenario for Shipbuilding Process Planning (조선 공정 계획을 위한 시뮬레이션 모델의 모듈화 및 시나리오 처리 방법론)

  • Cha, Ju-Hwan;Ku, Nam-Kug;Roh, Myung-Il;Cho, Doo-Yeoun;Lee, Kyu-Yeul
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2012
  • Recently, requests for accurate process planning using simulation have been increasing in many engineering fields including the shipbuilding industry, and many application systems for simulation have been developed. It is difficult, however, for a user to reuse the developed systems, because simulation models in the system are defined by its own method. In addition, the simulation model should be modified whenever a simulation sequence, which is called simulation scenario, is changed. Therefore, in this study, an elementary simulation object is proposed to modularize a simulation model. And the management scheme of simulation scenario is proposed to manage the scenario outside of the simulation models. Also, a simulation template is proposed to increase the development efficiency. To verify the efficiency of the proposed methods, application examples for shipbuilding process planning are implemented.

DEVELOPING U-CITY MARKET SCENARIOS THROUGH A SCENARIO PLANNING APPROACH

  • Yong-Ho Kwon;Jae-Jun Kim;Suk-Hee Han;Jin-Sik Kim;Yoon-Sun Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.459-468
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    • 2007
  • The u-City construction project has become a hot topic in the construction market because it seems economic value-added field for construction firms. However, construction firms don't willingly participate in the u-City construction market because environments of the future business for the u-City are very uncertain. Scenario planning is a very powerful method in managing this uncertain planning situation and is based on scenarios that help each enterprise appropriately adapt itself to its own business environments. Therefore it is based on the main principles of systems thinking and multiple futures. For the purpose of dealing with such uncertainties, this paper attempts to develop the possible market scenarios of the u-City construction market in S.Korea through a scenario planning approach. From this perspective, we considered various aspects of the u-City construction such as market demands, technology development, policy level and management environment. After considering the relevant issues, we identified the main trends and key uncertainties. Finally, we developed three coherent u-City construction market scenarios. Construction firms can use these scenarios as a basic reference for market analysis and business strategy. Therefore, this paper is able to enhance the participation of construction firms in the u-City construction market.

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A Study on Scenario-Centered Design Process for Multimedia Contents Planning & Design - through a Case Study of Contents design of Internet Shopping Mall "Shop 'n' Chat" (멀티미디어 컨텐츠 디자인 프로세스에서의 시나리오 활용에 관한 연구 - 인터넷 쇼핑몰 “Shop 'n' Chat“의 컨텐츠 디자인 사례연구를 중심으로)

  • 김현정
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2002
  • As human-centered design has become new paradigm in the field of design, it is also needed to apply scenario-centered design methodology in planning and design new multi-media contents. In this paper, scenario-centered design process for multimedia contnets planning & design was identified through a case study of contents design of internet shopping mall "Shop 'n' Chat". The study was preceded with three kinds of scenarios during design process, which are present situation scenario to find needed contents, behavior prototype scenario to make contents concrete, and future usage scenario to design visual interface. These three stages of scenario are exampled by of finally shopping scenario between 20's girls, internet shopping scenario with using messenger, and finally navigation/interaction scenario in future internet shopping mall.

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THE RESEARCH ON CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF LNG PLANT PROJECT PLANNING EXPERT SYSTEM

  • Moon-Sun Park;Young-Ai Kim;Seung-Wook Lee;Sung-Ryul Bae;Hyun-Wook Kang;Byoung-Jun Min;Yong-Su Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1570-1575
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this research is to propose the conceptual model of Scenario-based Project Planning Expert System which has not been used in domestic LNG plant industry. This research examines data on the plant project planning expert system of domestic and oversea, analyzes the components of project planning expert systems and benchmark excellent cases. The conceptual model of LNG plant project planning expert system is established through the procedure as has been noted above. The results of this research are as follows: First, this research draws out such components of LNG plant project planning expert system as feasibility, cost control, contract management and risk management. Second, this research proposes the conceptual model of LNG plant project planning expert system which core module is consist of feasibility evaluation, life cycle cost evaluation and decision making. Finally, each module of LNG plant project planning expert system would be integrated into the Scenario-based Project Planning Expert System.

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Analysis of Korean Medicine Market and Strategies after the conclusion of a Korea-China FTA through the Scenario Planning Approach (시나리오 플래닝기법을 활용한 한.중 FTA 체결이후의 한의서비스 시장 분석 및 대응전략)

  • Kim, Jung-Min;Lim, Byung-Mook;Shin, Mi-Sook
    • Journal of Society of Preventive Korean Medicine
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.53-65
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    • 2012
  • Objectives : This study aimed to analyze the fundamentals of a Korea-China FTA and suggest strategies for Korean medicine market that correspond with each scenario selected from foreseen circumstances after the conclusion of the FTA through the scenario planning, which is one of management techniques. Methods : Four scenarios have been established by means of key questions : the scope of FTA, health care policies, and the combination of western medicine(WM) and Korean medicine(KM). Each scenario is defined as the Maximized Competitive Market, Neutral Market, General Completive Market, and Conservative Market. This study suggests brand marketing, extending of health insurance coverage, launching local network, and strategy for Korean medicine based health promotion programs. Results and Conclusions : Although Korean medicine could be prompted by the trade policies between countries, related studies are very limited. Therefore, more research is needed to suggest the detailed strategies for change of Korean medicine market through various strategic analysis tools.

Development of a Scenario-based GIS Tool for Planning and Design of Eco-Village (시나리오 기반의 생태마을 계획 및 설계 지원 GIS도구 개발)

  • Park, Sung-Woo;Kim, Doo-Soon;Ahn, Kyung-Mo
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2013
  • A tool to assist in designing an eco-village was developed using GIS(Geographical Information System) and RS(Remote Sensing) data and images. The difficulties of using GIS by untrained designers are resolved by simplifying the usage and making it a user friendly scenario-based tool, so that the designers with limited knowledge in GIS can use as a design tool. For this task, Da-Mu-Po, a village in Pohang, Gyeongbuk was picked as a site to test the design tool; through planning and designing as an eco friendly village, we tested the flexibility and usability of our newly developed design tool. From this experiment we also introduced test version of stand-alone GIS design tool by constructing program scenario and GUI(Graphic User Interface).