• Title/Summary/Keyword: Safety Estimation

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Damage Identification Technique for Bridges Using Static and Dynamic Response (정적 및 동적 응답을 이용한 교량의 손상도 추정 기법)

  • Park Woo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.20 no.2 s.70
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2005
  • Load bearing structural members in a wide variety of applications accumulate damage over their service life. From a standpoint of both safety and performance, it is desirable to monitor the occurrence, location, and extent of such damage. Structures require complicated element models with a number of degrees of freedom in structural analysis. During experiment much effort and cost is needed for measuring structural parameters. The sparseness and errors of measured data have to be considered during the parameter estimation Of Structures. In this paper we introduces damage identification algorithm by a system identification(S.I) using static and dynamic response. To study the behaviour of the estimators in noisy environment Using Monte Carlo simulation and a data measured perturbation scheme is adopted to investigate the influence of measurement errors on identification results. The assessment result by static and dynamic response were compared, and the efficiency and applicabilities of the proposed algorithm are demonstrated through simulated static and dynamic responses of a truss bridge. The assessment results by each method were compared and we could observe that the 5.1 method is superior to the other conventional methods.

Estimation of the Lower Explosion Limits Using the Normal Boiling Points and the Flash Points for the Ester Compounds (에스테르화합물에 대한 표준끓는점과 인화점을 이용한 폭발하한계 추산)

  • Ha, Dong-Myeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.84-89
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    • 2007
  • The lower explosion limit(LEL) is one of the major combustion properties used to determine the fire and explosion hazards of the combustible substances. In this study, the lower explosion limits of the ester compounds were predicted by using the normal boiling points and the flash points based on the liquid thermodynamic theory. As a results, the A.A.P.E.(average absolute percent error) and the A.A.D.(average absolute deviation) of the reported and the calculated the LEL for the ester are 8.80 vol% and 0.18 vol%, respectively and the coefficient of correlation was 0.965. From a given results, by the use of the proposed methodology, it is possible to predict the lower explosion limits of the other flammable materials.

A Study on the Fire Risk Assessment of Combustible Exhaust Duct-fume (가연성 배기덕트-흄 화재위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Yeo-Song;Lee, Young-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.32-37
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    • 2010
  • When back-out & firing Process applies heat, hume is piled up in exhaust duct by organic compound and it have high dangerousness. There by, the process is happening a lot of damage that is exhaust duct fire. However we do not have certain fire dangerousness estimation and digestion countermeasure. So we need preventive measure. Back-out & firing is a process which has fine structure, electrical and mechanical characteristics, such as firing kiln and back-out kiln which has pipe line and box type. The box oven is made of heating coil, fan motor and control panel. Back-out & firing process has air circulation institution of quick ventilation type. When we operate this process for long time, fire can break out easily. Duct is made by zinc shredder. If fire breaks out in duct inside, fire by deposit fume can be dispersed easily. Accordinglym, This project estimate danger for back-out & firing process exhaust duct through real fire test. And there is purpose of study to establish preventive measure.

Slope Displacement Data Estimation using Principal Component Analysis (주성분 분석기법을 적용한 사면 계측데이터 평가)

  • Jung, Soo-Jung;Kim, Yong-Soo;Ahn, Sang-Ro
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.03a
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    • pp.1358-1365
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    • 2010
  • Estimating condition of slope is difficult because of nonlinear time dependency and seasonal effects, which affect the displacements. Displacements and displacement patterns of landslides are highly variable in time and space, and a unique approach cannot be defined to model landslide movements. Characteristics of movements are obtained by using a statistical method called Principal Component Analysis(PCA). The PCA is a non-parametric method to separate unknown, statistically uncorrelated source processes from observed mixed processes. In the non-parametric approaches, no physical assumptions of target systems are required. Instead, since the "best" mathematical relationship is estimated for given data sets of the input and output measured from target systems. As a consequence, non-parametric approaches are advantageous in modeling systems whose geomechanical properties are unknown or difficult to be measured. Non-parametric approaches are consequently more flexible in modeling than parametric approaches. This method is expected to be a useful tool for the slope management of and alarm systems.

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Estimation of the Dynamic Behavior for Korean High Speed Train at 350km/h using the Accelerations according to the UIC Code 518OR (UIC 518의 진동 가속도 계측을 통한 한국형 고속전철의 350km/h 주행 동적 거동 평가)

  • Kim, Ki-Whan;Kim, Young-Guk;Kim, Seok-Won;Mok, Jin-Yong;Park, Chan-Kyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.5 s.36
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    • pp.544-549
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    • 2006
  • The characteristics of dynamic vibration are generally analyzed by an acceleration of a car body of high speed train and the acceleration can be applied to evaluation of running safety. The test of process and the analysis method about it are well explained on UIC Code 518 OR which is the spacial international standard about running safety and dynamic behavior on the line test for railway vehicle. Korean High Speed Train designed to operate at speed 350km/h has been tested on high speed line since it was developed in 2002 and it recorded the highest speed 352.4km/h at the 16th Dec. 2004 in Korea. This paper includes the analysis of running behavior of this train at speed 350km/h and the analysis of dynamic safety is presented in it, extending to the range of high speed while the UIC 518 limit the speed below 200km/h.

A Study on the Individual and Societal Risk Estimation for the Use and Storage Facility with Toxic Materials (독성물질 사용.저장시설에 대한 개인적 위험성 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, S.B.;Kim, Y.H.;Lee, C.;Um, S.I.;Ko, J.W.;Baek, J.B.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 1997
  • These days leakage incidents of toxic materials cause serious effects on the nearby residents as well as the workers around the accidents accompanying massive material losses and human damages through widening influential areas. The risk measure through adequate quantitative analysis as well as the qualitative analysis of the leakage incidents of toxic materials becomes an urgent issue. The damage of the leakage incident on the surrounding area of the dangerous toxic material facilities was calculated quantitatively by adopting several models in this research. First, the calculations of the leakage velocity from the factories were performed by using source model for the assessment of the influential area, and the damages on the nearly residents were calculated by using the dispersion model and the effort model. The probability of the Incidents was computed based on "The manual for classification and priorization of major incidents" published by IAEA( International Atomic Energy Agency ). Above calculated damage area and incident probability were further adopted in this study to induce the individual and societal risk, quantitatively. The calculated data of the real Incident of the toxic material leakage showed reasonable agreements to the actual damage of the incidents, which showed a validity of this study. The result of this study might be a helpful measure for predicting damages and preparing safety systems for similar kinds of incidents.incidents.

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Comparison and validation on shotcrete modelling method for the quantitative stability estimation of a tunnel (터널의 정량적 안정성 평가를 위한 숏크리트 모델링 방법 비교 검증에 관한 연구)

  • You, Kwang-Ho;Lee, Min-Ho;Park, Yeon-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2007
  • A method was suggested by You et al. (2000) to calculate safety factor of a tunnel based on numerical analysis with the shear strength reduction technique. In the method, the shotcrete is assumed to fail when its stress exceeds the allowable stress. The proposed method had been steadily developed by You et al. (2005) and Han et al. (2006). In this study, the previous routine was corrected so that tunnel construction sequences could be considered in calculating the safety factor of a tunnel. In addition, a proper way to model shotcrete is to be suggested by comparing with the previous studies.

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Containment Closure Time Following the Loss of Shutdown Cooling Event of YGN Units 3&4

  • Seul, Kwang-Won;Bang, Young-Seok;Kim, Hho-Jung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.68-79
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    • 1999
  • The YGN Units 3&4 plant conditions during shutdown operation were reviewed to identify the possible event scenarios following the loss of shutdown cooling (SDC) event. For the five cases of typical reactor coolant system (RCS) configurations under the worst event sequence, such as unavailable secondary cooling and no RCS inventory makeup, the thermal hydraulic analyses were performed using the RELAP5/MOD3.2 code to investigate the plant behavior following the event. The thermal hydraulic analyses include the estimation of time to boil, time to core uncovery, and time to core heat up to determine the containment closure time to prevent the uncontrolled release of fission products to atmosphere. The result indicates that the containment closure is recommended to be achieved within 42 minutes after the loss of SDC for the steam generator (SG) inlet plenum manway open case or the large cold leg open case under the worst event sequence. The containment closure time is significantly dependent on the elevation and size of the opening and the SG secondary water level condition. It is also found that the containment closure needs to be initiated before the boiling time to ensure the survivability of the workers in the containment. These results will provide useful information to operators to cope with the loss of SDC event.

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HAZARD ANALYSIS OF TYPHOON-RELATED EXTERNAL EVENTS USING EXTREME VALUE THEORY

  • KIM, YOCHAN;JANG, SEUNG-CHEOL;LIM, TAE-JIN
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2015
  • Background: After the Fukushima accident, the importance of hazard analysis for extreme external events was raised. Methods: To analyze typhoon-induced hazards, which are one of the significant disasters of East Asian countries, a statistical analysis using the extreme value theory, which is a method for estimating the annual exceedance frequency of a rare event, was conducted for an estimation of the occurrence intervals or hazard levels. For the four meteorological variables, maximum wind speed, instantaneous wind speed, hourly precipitation, and daily precipitation, the parameters of the predictive extreme value theory models were estimated. Results: The 100-year return levels for each variable were predicted using the developed models and compared with previously reported values. It was also found that there exist significant long-term climate changes of wind speed and precipitation. Conclusion: A fragility analysis should be conducted to ensure the safety levels of a nuclear power plant for high levels of wind speed and precipitation, which exceed the results of a previous analysis.

Expected Annual Damage Estimation with Uncertainty (불확실성을 고려한 연피해 기대치 산정)

  • Kim, Hung Soo;Kim, Yoo Jin;Lee, Ji-Won
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2003
  • The flood damage reduction studies have been performed by the channel improvement plan and the levee has mainly constructed with the freeboard concept. However, the freeboard concept might be an inappropriate choice as a safety factor of the levee because many uncertainties are involved in the procedure of the channel improvement plan studies. So, we considered the uncertainties In the discharge-probability, stage-discharge, and stage-damage functions and estimate the expected annual damage. The Monte Carlo technique for uncertainty analysis is used. As our results, the expected annual damage with uncertainty shows the larger value than without uncertainty. Since the expected annual damage with uncertainty already considers the safety factor it is the proper result. However, the expected annual damage without uncertainty does not consider the safety factor yet. Thus, if the expected annual damage without uncertainty considers the freeboard concept, it could be compared with the expected annual damage with uncertainty for the evaluation of the overestimation or underestimation of the levee construction.

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