• 제목/요약/키워드: Safety Estimation

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철도교량 동적안정성 확보를 위한 거동한계기준에 대한 분석 (Investigation of Traffic Safety Requirements for Railway Bridge)

  • 김성일;정한욱;이두재;문제우;김종태
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1416-1423
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    • 2007
  • Dynamic instability of the railway bridge can cause track irregularities and be directly connected with unstable passenger comfort and derailment of the train. Europe and Japan had studied on this problem for a long time since 1960's, Results of those studies are reflected in recent Eurocode and the bridge design code of Japanese railway bridges. However, even though some traffic safety requirements were applied in Kyoung-bu highspeed railway by French engineers, we experienced many difficulties from insufficient information of criteria background and application procedures. In this paper, a investigation of recent traffic safety requirements of Europe and Japan for railway bridges will be introduced and application procedures for the estimation of dynamic performance will be proposed.

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철도 중대사고의 위험지수 추정에 관한 연구 (Research on the assessment of the risk factors of serious railway accidents)

  • 한순우;조연옥;윤혁진;김상암
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1871-1876
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    • 2007
  • To establish the national railway safety system, the railway total safety technology development project has been promoted by Ministry of Construction and Transportation (MOCT) since August 2004. The project has producted successful results in many areas of railway safety, however, it is required that the research field should be re-examined to meet the aim of the project. To do that, the precedence of the investment of research resources should be reviewed and determined. The risk of serious railway accidents such as train collision, derailment and level crossing accidents are estimated. From the estimation result and the statistics on the railway accidents over fast few years, the risk factors of railway accidents can be calculated.

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교량의 경관설계 방법과 구조형상의 시각적 안전성 평가 (Landscape Design Method of Bridges and Visual Safety Estimation of Structural Shape)

  • 양승현;시오미 히로유키
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.235-244
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    • 1998
  • In the design of bridges, the points of concem are the landscape design, the function, safety and economical efficiency. But most of studies have been performed on structural engineering. The study on the landscape design of bridges has not been done in korea. Therefore, in this research, the design method of bridges by the judgement of structural engineering and landscape engineering has been proposed, through the process to decide the shape of bridges. Also, the research studies a problem about the visual safety of the structural shape in the landscape design of bridges. The visual experiments applied to the seven models about the shape of hunch in bridge pier. The experiment was made in moving velocity of view point, steady looking time and track of eyeball movement.

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확률론적 기법을 활용한 철도터널의 화재사고 시나리오의 구성 (Application of Probabilistic Technique for the Development of Fire Accident Scenarios in Railway Tunnel)

  • 곽상록;홍선호;왕종배;조연옥
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.302-306
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    • 2004
  • Many long railway tunnels without emergency evacuation system or ventilation system are under construction or in-use in Korea. In the case of tunnel-fire, many fatalities are occur in current condition. Current safety level is estimated in this study, for the efficient investment on safety. But so many uncertainties in major input parameters make the safety estimation difficult. In this study, probabilistic techniques are applied for the consideration of uncertainties in major input parameters. As results of this study, accident scenarios and survival ratio under tunnel fire accident are determined for various conditions.

Kalman Filtering 이론에 의한 하천 유출 안전관리에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Safety Management of Streamflows by the Kalman Filtering Theory)

  • 박종권;박종구;이영섭
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.122-127
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study has been studied and investigated to prediction algorithms of the Kalman Filtering theory which are based on the state-vector description, including system identification, model structure determination, parameter estimation. And the prediction algorithms applied of rainfall-runoff process, has been worked out. The analysis of runoff process and runoff prediction algorithms of the river-basin established, for the verification of prediction algorithms by the Kalman Filtering theory, the observed historical data of the hourly rainfall and streamflows were used for the algorithms. In consisted of the above, Kalman Filtering rainfall-runoff model applied and analysised to Wi-Stream basin in Nak-dong River(Basin area : $472.53km^2$).

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인적특성을 고려한 고령 운전자 교통사고 영향요인 분석 (Analysis of Old Driver's Accident Influencing Factors Considering Human Factors)

  • 김태호;김은경;노정현
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2009
  • This paper reports the aging driver traffic accident severity modeling results. For the modeling, Poisson regression approach is applied using the data set obtained from the Korea Transportation Safety Authority's simulator-based driver aptitude test results. The test items include the estimations of moving objects' speed and stopping distance, drivers' multi-task capability, and kinetic depth perception and so on. The resulting model with the response variable of equivalent property damage only(EPDO) indicated that EPDO is significantly influenced by moving objects' speed estimation and drivers' multi-task capabilities. More interestingly, a comparison with the younger driver model revealed that the degradation of such capabilities may result in severer crashes for older drivers as suggested by the higher estimated parameters for the older driver model.

A SOFTWARE RELIABILITY ESTIMATION METHOD TO NUCLEAR SAFETY SOFTWARE

  • Park, Gee-Yong;Jang, Seung Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2014
  • A method for estimating software reliability for nuclear safety software is proposed in this paper. This method is based on the software reliability growth model (SRGM), where the behavior of software failure is assumed to follow a non-homogeneous Poisson process. Two types of modeling schemes based on a particular underlying method are proposed in order to more precisely estimate and predict the number of software defects based on very rare software failure data. The Bayesian statistical inference is employed to estimate the model parameters by incorporating software test cases as a covariate into the model. It was identified that these models are capable of reasonably estimating the remaining number of software defects which directly affects the reactor trip functions. The software reliability might be estimated from these modeling equations, and one approach of obtaining software reliability value is proposed in this paper.

레이다 전파굴절에 의한 발사체 추적오차 추정 (Estimation of Launch Vehicle Tracking Error due to Radio Refraction)

  • 서광교;김윤수;신블라디미르;송하룡;최용태
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제45권12호
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    • pp.1076-1083
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    • 2017
  • 본 논문은 발사체를 추적하는 단일 레이다 시스템에서 측정한 데이터에 포함된 오차를 추정하는 기법에 관한 내용을 다룬다. 레이다 시스템의 발사체 추적 데이터에는 발사체의 실제 위치, 방위각 혹은 고각 정보와 무작위 잡음, 그리고 전파굴절에 의한 바이어스가 포함되어져 있는 것으로 알려져 있다. 본 논문에서는 기존연구내용과는 달리, GPS와 같은 타 추적 데이터를 사용하지 않고 단일 레이다 시스템의 발사체 추적 데이터만을 사용해 레이다 추적 데이터에 포함된 바이어스를 정확하게 추정하는 기법을 소개한다. 제안된 기법을 실제 나로호(KSLV-I) 추적 데이터에 적용하여 그 정확성을 검증하였다.

미생물 위해성 평가 방법을 이용한 살모넬라 발생수 추정 (Estimation of the Number of Salmonellosis Using Microbial Risk Assessment Methodology)

  • 최은영;박경진
    • 한국지역사회생활과학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 2004
  • 미생물 위해성 평가 방법론을 이용하여 살모넬라 발생 수를 추정하고, 기존의 연구 결과와 비교하여 그 활용 가능성에 대해 알아보았다. 살모넬라균의 오염수준은 국내에 발표된 각종 문헌(1997∼2000)과 관련 기관의 모니터링 자료(1999∼2001)를 수집하여 추정하였고, 식품 섭취 량은 2001 국민건강영양조사, 용량-반응 모델은 외국에서 발표된 연구 결과를 이용하였다. 각 변수를 시뮬레이션을 통해 추정한 결과 1년 동안 국내에서 발생 가능한 살모넬라 환자 수는 753,368명으로 나타났는데, 이는 보고된 환자수의 약 115배로 WHO의 추정배수보다는 낮은 결과를 보였다. 이상의 결과를 볼 때, 미생물 위해성 평가 방법은 식중독 발생 환자 수를 추정하고 식중독 관리에 있어서의 우선순위를 결정하는 데 이용이 가능한 것으로 보인다. 그러나 아직까지 검증 방법이 확립되어 있지 않고, 식중독균의 오염농도, 식품 섭취량, 용량-반응 관계, 유통ㆍ보관ㆍ조리 등의 실태에 관한 연구가 좀더 필요할 것으로 생각된다.

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선박 연료유 잔존량 추정모델을 이용한 침몰선박 위해도 평가 (A Study on the Development of Risk Assessment for Sunken Vessels Using Remaining-Fuel Estimations Model)

  • 장우진;이승현;염홍준;이인철
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.90-97
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    • 2016
  • 침몰선박은 침몰 당시뿐만 아니라 오랜 시간이 경과된 후에도 선체 내에 잔존하고 있는 연료유 등 유해물질의 지속적 혹은 일시적 유출로 2차 해양오염사고를 발생시킬 수 있다. 정부에서는 1999년부터 침몰선박에 대한 관리업무를 수행하고, 침몰선박의 잠재적 위해도를 정량적으로 평가할 수 있는 위해도 평가표를 개발하여 운영함으로써 침몰선박에 대한 국가적 관리체계를 구축하고 있다. 그러나 현재의 침몰선박의 위해도 평가는 침몰선박에 잔존하고 있는 연료유 등의 양에 의해 평가점수가 판이하게 달라짐에도 불구하고, 침몰선박 현황보고자료 중 상당수가 연료유 잔존량 항목이 누락되고 있는 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 선박 연료유 잔존량에 대한 추정모델을 개발하여, 현행 침몰선박 위해도 평가에 적용함으로써 보다 정확한 평가를 수행할 수 있는 방안을 마련하였다.