• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.416-416
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• 2015

기후변화는 미래 강수량 변동을 야기하여 하천유량 관리에 큰 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 중장기 하천유량 관리를 위하여 금호강 유역을 대상으로 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 중장기 하천유량을 예측하였다. 임하댐 상류지역의 2008~2012년 유량자료에 대하여 보정 완료된 SWAT 모형을 기반으로, 지역기후모형(RCM)인 HadGEM3-RA모형을 활용한 IPCC 제5차 보고서 RCP 4.5, RCP 8.5 시나리오를 적용하였다. 금호강 표준유역별 기후변화에 의한 영향을 모의하기 위하여 편이보정(Bias Correction)방법을 적용하였으며, 금호강 유역 내 과거 30년(1975~2005년, Baseline) 기상자료와 비교하여 통계적인 유사성을 가지도록 보정을 실시하였다. 기후변화 시나리오 적용결과는 S1(2011~2040년), S2(2041~2070년), S3(2071~2099년)으로 분할하여 월별, 계절별, 연도별 미래 강수량과 기온을 분석하였다. 분석 결과, RCP 4.5 시나리오의 경우 봄철(3~5월)의 강수량은 기준년도에 비해 약 57%가 증가하였으나, 가을철(6~8월)에는 7.9% 감소하였으며, 첨두 강수시기는 8~9월에서 6~7월로 이동하였다. 평균기온은 각 구분 시기별 $0.2^{\circ}C$, $1.1^{\circ}C$, $1.8^{\circ}C$ 정도 상승할 것으로 예측되었다. RCP 8.5 시나리오에서는 기준년도 대비 강우량은 봄철에 61% 증가, 가을철에는 14.9% 감소하는 것으로 모의되었다. 평균기온은 약 $0.4^{\circ}C$, $2.1^{\circ}C$, $4.2^{\circ}C$ 정도 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 기후변화에 따른 유출량 결과 비교는 2001~2010년을 기준으로 하였으며, RCP 4.5 시나리오에서는 S1, S2, S3 시기별 각각 -10.9%, -7%, -3.6% 감소하였으며, RCP 8.5 시나리오에서는 약 -12.3%, 4.9%, -1.2% 변동하는 것으로 나타냈다. 금호강 유역 전반에 걸쳐 유출량이 감소하는 추세를 보였으며, 특히 본류에 비해 지류유역의 건천화가 심해지는 양상을 보였다. 또한 현재에 비해 여름철 유출패턴 시기가 앞당겨져 봄철 유량이 증가하고 겨울철에 감소하는 경향을 보이고 있다. 기후변화로 인한 수문패턴의 변화로 현재 하천유량관리의 변화가 필요할 것으로 판단되며, 향후 본 연구결과를 바탕으로 물수지 분석을 추가하여 유지유량 만족을 위한 해당유역의 이수기 유량관리 방안 연구를 수행할 예정이다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.395-395
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• 2018

기후변화 및 토지이용변화에 따라 강우량 및 증발산량 등과 같은 물순환계 구성요소가 변화하면 유역에서의 물순환계가 영향을 받게 된다. 이렇게 변화된 유역의 물순환계를 종합적으로 관리하기 위해서는 물순환 개선 기술을 통한 지속가능하고 건전한 물순환체계의 구축이 필요하다. 유역 물순환 개선 기술은 기후변화가 진행 중에 있거나 예상되는 지역에 대하여 강우-유출수를 지연, 저류, 침투시켜 지속가능한 물순환체계를 유지 회복하도록 하는 기술이라 할 수 있다. 한국건설기술연구원에서는 기후변화 대비 수자원 적응기술 개발 연구단(CCAW, Climate Change Adaptation for Water resources)의 연구비 지원을 받아 유역 건전성 및 취약성을 평가 하고 취약한 유역에 대한 물순환 개선기술을 확보하기 위한 연구를 수행 중에 있다. 특히, 수년간 국가연구개발사업을 통해 개발되고 사업화에 성공한바 있는 유역 물순환 평가 모형인 CAT(Catchment hydrologic cycle Assessment Tool)을 수정 개선하여 수요자 중심의 활발한 현장 적용을 도모하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 개발된 유역 물순환 개선 및 평가시스템의 적용성 평가를 위하여 대상유역으로 태국의 Lam Takhong 저수지 유역을 선정하였다. Lam Takhong 저수지 유역은 유역면적은 $1,423km^2$이며 저류량은 약 $440{\times}106m^3$이다. 입력자료인 DEM, Land Cover 자료는 USGS Hydro1K (https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/), 하천망 및 유역경계 자료는 USGS HydroSHEDS (https://hydrosheds.cr.usgs.gov/dataavail.php), 기상 및 관측 유입량, 저수지 제원 등의 자료는 APEC 기후센터의 협조를 받아 1976년부터 2016년까지의 일단위 자료를 이용하였다. 모의결과는 저수지 월별 관측 유입량과 상류 유역의 모의 유출량을 이용하여 비교-분석 하였다. Lam Takhong 저수지 상류 유역은 APEC 기후센터에서 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 저수지 유입량 분석을 수행한 바 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 결과를 SWAT 모의결과와 비교하여 그 적용성을 검증하였다. 월별 관측 유입량과 저수지 상류 유역 모의 유출량을 비교한 결과 CAT의 경우 결정계수(R2) 값이 0.86, SWAT은 0.76으로 나타나 CAT의 적용 결과가 좀 더 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 모의 결과는 매개변수 최적화 과정을 거치지 않은 결과이며 SWAT 모형과의 결과 비교를 위하여 매개변수는 동일하게 적용하였다. 향후 매개변수 최적화 모듈을 통해 검 보정 단계를 거친다면 정밀한 분석이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.473-479
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• 2008

Environment problem has been arising in many countries. Especially, soil erosion has been deemed as one of the biggest issues because sediment causes muddy water and pollutants, such as agricultural chemicals, flow in the stream with this sediment. Many studies, regarding soil loss and non-point source pollution from watershed, has been performed while serious problem has been known. Soil loss occurred in most agricultural area by rainfall and runoff. It makes hydraulic structure unstable, causes environmental economical problems because muddy water destroys ecosystem and causes intake water deterioration. As revealing serious effects of muddy water by sediment, many researches have been doing with various methods. Hydraulic structures establishments such as soil erosion control dams and grit chamber are common. Vegetative filter strip is investigated in this study because vegetative filter strip is designed for reducing sediment from upland areas of the watershed, and it has many functions, not only sediment reduction but also runoff water quality improvement and wildlife habitat. With these positive functions of the vegetative filter strip, the study about vegetative filter strip has been increasing for reducing sediment because it is more effective than hydraulic structures from an environmental perspective. But the sediment trapping efficiency by vegetative filter strip, needs to be investigated and designed first. Therefore the model, VFSMOD-W, was used in this study as it can estimate sediment trapping efficiency of vegetative filter strip under various field, vegetation, weather condition. Sensitive factors to sediment trapping efficiency are studied with VFSMOD-W, and sediment trapping efficiency equation has been derived using two most sensitive factors. It is thought that the equation suggested in this study can be used in Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), to overcome the limit of SWAT filter strip module, which is based solely on filter strip width.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.210-218
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• 2018

It is very important to analyze water balance in the mountain wetland for the sustainable management of the wetland. In this study, the SWAT model was used to analyze the water balance of Janggun wetland located in Geumjeong mountain of Gyungnam province, Korea. The data such as rainfall and water level measured in Janggun wetland were used for water balance analysis and from the analysis we have known that the rainfall of 10mm within 8 days is required for maintaining an appropriate water level in Janggun wetland. Also, water balance analysis in the wetland for the period of 2009 to 2017 was performed by using hydro-meteorological data obtained from Yangsan weather station which is located around Janggun wetland. From the analysis results, we have known that the amount of rainfall was relatively small in 2010, 2012 and 2015 and water shortage was occurred in the wetland. Especially, water shortage was occurred during the summer that we had intensive rainfall for very short time and faster removal of the runoff from the wetland. Therefore, we may need extend water courses from a wetland watershed to the wetland for preventing land-forming of the wetland and also store water by banking up the wetland for preventing the decrease of water level in the wetland.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.29 no.4
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• pp.447-457
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• 2015

Water cycle within the human civilization has become important with urbanization. To date, water cycle in the eco-system has been the focus in identifying the degree of water cycle in cities, but in practicality, water cycle within the human civilization system is taking on an increasing importance. While in recent years plans to reuse water have been implemented to restore water cycle in cities, the effect that such reuse has on the entire water cycle system has not been analyzed. The analysis on the effect that water reuse has on urban areas needs to be go beyond measuring the cost-savings and look at the changes brought about in the entire city's water cycle system. This study uses a SWAT model and water balance analysis to review the effects that water reuse has on changes occurring in the urban water cycle system by linking the water cycle within the eco-system with that within the human civilization system. The SWAT model to calculate the components of water cycle in the human civilization system showed that similar to measured data, the daily changes and accumulative data can be simulated. When the amount of water reuse increases in urban areas, the surface outflow, amount of sewer discharge and the discharged amount from sewage treatment plants decrease, leading to a change in water cycle within our human civilization system. The determinant coefficients for reduced surface outflow amount and reduced sewer discharge were 0.9164 and 0.9892, respectively, while the determinant coefficient for reduced discharge of sewage treatment plants was 0.9988. This indicates that with an increase in water reuse, surface flow, sewage and discharge from sewage treatment plants all saw a linear reduction.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.11
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• pp.1095-1106
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• 2008

Climate change and global warming are prevalent all over the world in this century and many researchers including hydrologists have studied on the climate change. This study also studied the impact of climate change on streamflows of a basin in Korea. The SWAT model was used to assess the impacts of potential future climate change on the streamflows of the Daecheong Dam Basin. Calibration and validation of SWAT were performed on a monthly basis for the year of 1982-1995 and 1996-2005, respectively. The impact of seven 15-year(1988-2002) scenarios were then analyzed for comparing it to the baseline scenario. Among them, scenario 1 was set to show the result of doubling $CO_2$, scenario 2-6 were set to show the results of temperature and precipitation change, and scenario 7 was set to show the result of the combination of climatologic components. A doubling of atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration is predicted to result in an maximum monthly flow increase of 11 percent. Non-linear impacts were predicted among precipitation change scenarios of -42, -17, 17, and 42 percent, which resulted in average annual flow changes in Daecheong Dam Basin of -55, -24, 25, and 64 percent. The changes in streamflow indicate that the Daecheong Dam Basin is very sensitive to potential future climate changes and that these changes could stimulate the increased period or severity of flood or drought events.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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• v.28 no.6
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• pp.923-932
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• 2012

The purpose of this study was to determine parameters of surface cover materials and evaluation the effects on runoff and sediment reductions with rice straw mat with PAM at watershed scale using the SWAT model. In this study, 1) regression equation of CN for rice straw mat + PAM using SCS curve number method was developed, 2) the USLE P factor, being able to reflect simulation of rice straw mat + PAM in the agricultural field, was estimated for various slope scenarios with VFSMOD-w. Then regression equation for CN and USLE P factor were used as input data in the SWAT model. Assuming rice straw mat + PAM is applied to radish and potato fields, occupying 24% of agricultural fields at the study watershed. Result of direct runoff without rice straw mat + PAM was $65,964,368\;m^3,$ with rice straw mat + PAM, direct runoff was $65,637,336\;m^3$, $327,031.8\;m^3$ reductions compared without it. Also, result of sediment without rice straw mat + PAM was 163,531 ton, with rice straw mat + PAM, sediment was 84,779 ton, 78,752 ton reduction compared without it. This analysis showed that about 48% sediment reductions would be expected with rice straw mat + PAM. As shown in this study, rice straw mat + PAM would be used as an efficient site-specific BMPs to reduce runoff and sediment discharge from field.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.359-359
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• 2017

하천관리청은 유량변동이 큰 환경에서도 평상시 하천의 기능을 유지하고 안정적인 용수공급이 이루어지도록 하천수 허가관리를 수행하고 있다. 이때, 하천수 사용허가 검토시 기준으로 사용되는 유량은 자연상태의 기준갈수량에서 하천유지유량을 감안하여 적용하고 있는데, 이는 하천유량의 변동에도 최대 용수수요를 만족할 수 있게끔 관리하기 위한 것으로 최대 사용량일 때의 물의 과부족을 계산하여 허가 여부를 결정한다. 본 연구에서는 Park et al.(2016)이 제안한 시기별(홍수기/이수기, 비관개기/관개기 고려) 하천수 사용허가 기준유량 설정방법을 기반으로, 수질오염총량제(Total Maximum Daily Loads, TMDLs)에서 적용하는 안전율(Margin of Safety, MOS)의 개념을 접목하여 허가기준유량의 불확실성을 정량적으로 고려할 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다. 허가기준 유량은 수문모델에 의해 자연상태의 모의유량을 유황분석하여 도출하게 되므로 유량의 연도별 변도성(Margin of Variability, MOV)과 예측모델 매개변수의 불확실성(Margin of Uncertainty, MOU)을 고려하는 Walker Jr.(2003)의 안전율 산정방법을 적용하였다. 본 연구에서는 금호강 유역을 대상으로 시기별 자연유량 산정시 고려한 SWAT 모형결과를 기반으로 하였으며, 모의자료의 변이계수를 산정하여 시간적 변동성에 의한 불확실성을 도출하고 SWAT-CUP모형을 활용하여 모형의 불확실성을 도출하여 안전율을 계산하였다. 단, 기준갈수량이 허가기준유량으로 사용되는 기간(1월 1일~3월 31일)에는 안전율까지 고려할 경우 지나치게 보수적이라고 판단되어 적용에서 제외하였다. 본 연구에서 제안된 불확실성을 고려한 하천수 관리방법론은 시기별 하천수 허가기준유량 설정에 대한 의사결정자들의 판단을 지원하는데 기여함으로써 정책적 활용도를 높일 뿐만아니라 탄력적인 하천유량관리를 위한 기초연구로 활용될 수 있을 것이며, 타 분야 기술과의 융합이라는 점에서도 의의를 가질 수 있을 것으로 생각된다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.11
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• pp.1079-1094
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• 2008

This study is to evaluate the impact of varying spatial resolutions on the uncertainty of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) predicted streamflow, non-point source (NPS) pollution loads transport in a small agricultural watershed (1.21 $km^2$) for three cases of model input; Case A is the combination of 2 m DEM, QuickBird land use, Case B is the combination of 10 m DEM, 1/25,000 land use, and Case C is the combination of 30 m DEM, Landsat land use, soil data is used 1/25,000 for three cases respectively. The model was calibrated for 2 years (1999-2000) using daily streamflow and monthly water quality records, and verified for another 2 years (2001-2002). The average Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiency was 0.59 for streamflow and RMSE were 2.08, 4.30 and 0.70 tons/yr for sediment, T-N and T-P respectively. The model was run for a small agricultural watershed with three cases of spatial input data. The hydrological results showed that output uncertainty was biggest by spatial resolution of land use. Streamflow increase the watershed average CN value of QucikBird land use was 0.4 and 1.8 higher than those of 1/25,000 and Landsat land use caused increase of streamflow. On the other hand, The NPS loadings from the model prediction showed that the sediment, T-N and T-P of QuickBird land use (Case A) showed 23.7 %, 43.3 % and 48.4 % higher value than 1/25,000 land use (Case B) and 50.6 %, 50.8 % and 56.9 % higher value than Landsat land use (Case C) respectively.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.5
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• pp.483-489
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• 2008

Recently, we have a growing interest in the washland construction for the function of flood defense in flood season and also as an ecosystem in non flood season. Therefore this study performed the hydraulic and hydrologic analysis for washland construction plan as sustainable flood defense alternative in flood season and wetland application possibility. The study area is Topyoung-cheon basin in Changnyeong-gun, Gyeongnam. A Topyoung-cheon basin includes a Woopo wetland which is the largest nature wetland in Korea and a Topyoung-cheon is ond of the tributaries of Nakdong river. We assume that the artificial washland is constructed in upperstream and downstream of Woopo wetland, and In flood season, the hydraulic analysis for the investigation of the effectiveness of flood level mitigation is performed by HEC-RAS model. Simulation of model is performed from 7 scenarioes of washland construction. As the result in flood season, the flood level is reduced by maximum 0.56 meter as we construct the washlands by 7 scenarios. Also, we performed hydrologic analysis for the investigation of water balance in washland in non flood season using SWAT model. From the result of water balance analysis, we found that the minimum water level of washland was maintained in about 1.3 meter for one year.