• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.109-128
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• 2016

This paper presents a new combined forecasting method that is guided by the soft set theory (CFBSS) to predict business failures with different sample sizes. The proposed method combines both qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to improve forecasting performance. We considered an expert system (ES), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machine (SVM) as forecasting components whose weights are determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The proposed procedure was applied to real data sets from Chinese listed firms. For performance comparison, single ES, LR, and SVM methods, the combined forecasting method based on equal weights (CFBEWs), the combined forecasting method based on neural networks (CFBNNs), and the combined forecasting method based on rough sets and the D-S theory (CFBRSDS) were also included in the empirical experiment. CFBSS obtains the highest forecasting accuracy and the second-best forecasting stability. The empirical results demonstrate the superior forecasting performance of our method in terms of accuracy and stability.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제6권6호
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• pp.611-625
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• 2014

This paper presents a simple methodology that integrates an improved storey shear modelling, Incremental Dynamic Analysis and Monte Carlo Simulation in order to carryout vulnerability analysis towards development of fragility curves for Unreinforced Brick Masonry buildings. The methodology is demonstrated by developing fragility curves of a single storey Unreinforced Brick Masonry building for which results of experiment under lateral load is available in the literature. In the study presented, both uncertainties in mechanical properties of masonry and uncertainties in the characteristics of earthquake ground motion are included. The research significance of the methodology proposed is that, it accommodates a new method of damage grade classification which is based on 'structural performance characteristics' instead of 'fixed limiting values'. The usefulness of such definition is discussed as against the existing practice.

• 대한용접접합학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한용접접합학회 1999년도 특별강연 및 추계학술발표대회 개요집
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• pp.243-246
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• 1999

• Korean Journal of Radiology
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.189-198
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• 2024

Objective: To investigate the prognostic utility of radiomics features extracted from ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT combined with clinical factors and metabolic parameters in predicting progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in individuals diagnosed with extranodal nasal-type NK/T cell lymphoma (ENKTCL). Materials and Methods: A total of 126 adults with ENKTCL who underwent ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT examination before treatment were retrospectively included and randomly divided into training (n = 88) and validation cohorts (n = 38) at a ratio of 7:3. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operation Cox regression analysis was used to select the best radiomics features and calculate each patient's radiomics scores (RadPFS and RadOS). Kaplan-Meier curve and Log-rank test were used to compare survival between patient groups risk-stratified by the radiomics scores. Various models to predict PFS and OS were constructed, including clinical, metabolic, clinical + metabolic, and clinical + metabolic + radiomics models. The discriminative ability of each model was evaluated using Harrell's C index. The performance of each model in predicting PFS and OS for 1-, 3-, and 5-years was evaluated using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: Kaplan-Meier curve analysis demonstrated that the radiomics scores effectively identified high- and low-risk patients (all P < 0.05). Multivariable Cox analysis showed that the Ann Arbor stage, maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), and RadPFS were independent risk factors associated with PFS. Further, β2-microglobulin, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status score, SUVmax, and RadOS were independent risk factors for OS. The clinical + metabolic + radiomics model exhibited the greatest discriminative ability for both PFS (Harrell's C-index: 0.805 in the validation cohort) and OS (Harrell's C-index: 0.833 in the validation cohort). The time-dependent ROC analysis indicated that the clinical + metabolic + radiomics model had the best predictive performance. Conclusion: The PET/CT-based clinical + metabolic + radiomics model can enhance prognostication among patients with ENKTCL and may be a non-invasive and efficient risk stratification tool for clinical practice.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.154-159
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• 2004

In this study, in order to perform more efficiently reliability design and integrity assessment of structural members, the relational database management program on the engineering plastics was constructed. This program contained 476 grades for 14 kinds of the engineering plastics and was developed using MS-access and MS-visualbasic. This program consists of 3 modules; search condition, probabilistic characteristics of material property, evaluation of P-S-N curve. We perform fatigue test for probabilistic durability analysis and this results input the database program to estimate P-S-N.

• 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전기전자재료학회 2010년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.368-368
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• 2010

Using TFTs crystallized by MICC and ELA, electron mobility and threshold voltage were measured according to various substrate temperature from $-40^{\circ}C$ to $100^{\circ}C$. Basic curve, $V_G-I_D$, is also measured under various stress time from 1s to 10000s. Consequently, due to the passivation effect and number of grains, mobility of MICC is varied in the range of -8% ~ 7.6%, while that of ELA is varied from -11.04% ~ 13.25%. Also, since $V_G-I_D$ curve is dominantly affected by grain size, active layer interface, the graph remained steady under the various gate bias stress time from 1s to 10000s. This proves the point that MICC can be alternative technic to ELA.

• 콘크리트학회지
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.135-144
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• 1993

본 논문은 일정진폭의 피로하중을 받는 피리스트레스트 콘크리트 합성거더 교량의 피로해석 절차를 시간의 진행에 따른 재료 특성의 변화양상을 고려하여 정립하였다. 본 논문에서 제시된 방법은 피로하중의 재하에 따라 균열이 진전되면서 생기는 중립축의 이동현상을 고려하였으며, 해석결과는 기존의 제한된 실험자료와 부합되었다. 또한, 건설부에서 규정한 표준 I 단면의 프리스트레스트 콘크리트거더의 피로저항능력을 검토한 결과 충분한 안전도를 갖고 있음을 확인하였다. 그리고 이 방법의 적용으로 임의의 단면형상을 갖는 프리스트레스트 콘크리트 거더의 피로특성을 S-N 곡선의 형태로 나타낼 수 있도록 하였으며, 이는 향후 변동진폭하중하에서의 피로거동 해석에 유용하게 이용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.847-855
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• 2014

최근 몇 년간 여자프로골프는 상금액과 경기력에서 타 종목보다 크게 성장을 하고 있다. 그 이유로는 아시아지역에서의 스포츠마케팅의 활성화와 국제무대에서 대한민국 여자골프 선수들이 좋은 성적을 거두며 남자골프나 다른 여성스포츠 종목보다 인기가 상승하였기 때문이다. 또한, 상금액수가 타 종목과 비교해서 월등히 많고 골프와 연관된 금융상품이나 기타 의류 및 골프용품 산업의 발전 등으로 선수들의 경제적 혜택이 좋아졌다고 할 수 있다. 이러한 좋은 환경 덕분에 여성 스포츠 유망주들이 계속 유입되고 있고, 과학을 이용한 골프 장비의 발달로 선수들의 경기력이 날로 향상되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 2009년부터 최근 5년간 활동한 선수들의 반복 측정된 자료를 토대로 시간에 따른 경기력 변화를 성장곡선을 활용하여 분석하였다. 성장곡선은 여러 가지 분석방법으로 접근할 수 있으나, 본 연구에서는 반응변수들의 정규분포를 가정하고 고정, 임의효과를 고려할 수 있는 혼합모형을 적용하였다. 분석결과 골프 경기기술 중 드라이브 비거리와 평균 퍼팅은 시간에 따라 발전적이었으나 그린 적중률은 감소하였다.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제42권4호
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• pp.115-123
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• 2000

This study compared the degree of consolidation by hyperbolic, curve fitting , Asaoka's and methods using values measured with a theoretical curve in consideration of smear effect and well resistance. The degree of consolidation by the Hyperboilc method was underestimated than the degree of consolidation by Curve fitting. Asaoka's , and Monden's methods. The typical range of the coefficient of horizontal consolidation was Ch=(2-3)Cv in the case considering smear effect and well resistance, and Ch =(0.5-2.1) Cv in the case disregarding smear effect and well resistance. The degree of consolidation obtained by ground settlement monitoring was nearly the same value when the coefficient of smear zone permeability by back analysis was shown to be half that of in-situ and the diameter of the smear zone was shown to be double that of mandrel. By increasing the diameter reduction ratio of the drain, the time of consolidation was delayed. The effect of well resistance showed that the case of a small coefficient of permeability was much more than in the case of a large coefficient of permeability . It was recommended that when designing diameter reduction of a drain, well resistance should be considered.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제34권6호
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• pp.945-956
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• 2021

본 연구에서는 가중주성분분석으로부터 정준대응분석을 유도하는 Legendre와 Legendre (2012)의 알고리즘을 고찰하였다. 그리고, 가중주성분분석에 기반한 Legendre와 Legendre (2012)의 정준대응분석이 가우시안 반응모형에 기초한 Ter Braak (1986)의 정준대응분석과 동일함을 다루었다. 생태학에서 종의 발현 정도를 잘 설명할 수 있는 가우시안 반응곡선에서 도출된 Ter Braak (1986)의 정준대응분석은 종 패킹 모형(species packing model)이라는 기본 가정을 사용한 후 일반화선형모형과 정준상관분석을 결합시키는 방법으로 도출된다. 그런데 Legendre와 Legendre (2012)의 알고리즘은 이러한 가정없이 Benzecri의 대응분석과 상당히 유사한 방법으로 계산되는 특징을 지닌다. 그러므로 가중주성분석에 기초한 정준대응분석을 사용하면, 결과물 활용에 약간의 유연성을 지닐 수 있게 된다. 결론적으로 본 연구에서는 서로 다른 모형에서 출발한 두 방법이 장소점수(site score), 종 점수(species score) 그리고 환경변수와의 상관관계가 서로 동일함을 보인다.