• Title/Summary/Keyword: Runoff Error

Search Result 215, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

A Study on Computation Methods of Monthly Runoff by Water Balance Method (물수지 개념을 이용한 월유출량 산정방법에 관한 연구)

  • Im, Dae-Sik;Kim, Hyeong-Su;Seo, Byeong-Ha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.34 no.6
    • /
    • pp.713-724
    • /
    • 2001
  • Hydrologists have tried to develop monthly runoff simulation models which are important factor in wafer resources planning. One of the models called Kajiyama formu]a is widely used for monthly runoff simulation in Korea. In recent work by Xiong and Guo (1999), they suggested Two-parameter monthly water balance model to simulate the runoff and showed that the model can be used for the water resources planning program and the climate impact studies. However, they estimated two parameters of transformation of time scale, c and of the field capacity, SC by the trial and error method. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to suggest the estimation methodologies of c and SC, and compare Kajiyama formula with a Two-parameter monthly water balance model to simulate the runoff in Han river and IHP representative basins in Korea. The c is estimated by using the relationship of actual and potential evaporations, and SC is estimated from association with CN. We show that the estimated c and SC can be used as the initial or optimal values in the model.

  • PDF

Runoff assessment using radar rainfall and precipitation runoff modeling system model (레이더 강수량과 PRMS 모형을 이용한 유출량 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kim, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Sung-Ho;Kim, Chang-Sung;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.53 no.7
    • /
    • pp.493-505
    • /
    • 2020
  • The rainfall-runoff model has been generally adopted to obtain a consistent runoff sequence with the use of the long-term ground-gauged based precipitation data. The Thiessen polygon is a commonly applied approach for estimating the mean areal rainfall from the ground-gauged precipitation by assigning weight based on the relative areas delineated by a polygon. However, spatial bias is likely to increase due to a sparse network of the rain gauge. This study aims to generate continuous runoff sequences with the mean areal rainfall obtained from radar rainfall estimates through a PRMS rainfall-runoff model. Here, the systematic error of radar rainfall is corrected by applying the G/R Ratio. The results showed that the estimated runoff using the corrected radar rainfall estimates are largely similar and comparable to that of the Thiessen. More importantly, one can expect that the mean areal rainfall obtained from the radar rainfall estimates are more desirable than that of the ground in terms of representing rainfall patterns in space, which in turn leads to significant improvement in the estimation of runoff.

Evaluation and complementation of observed flow in the Hancheon watershed in Jeju Island using a physically-based watershed model (유역모형을 활용한 제주도 한천 유역의 관측유량 평가 및 보완)

  • Kim, Chul Gyum;Kim, Nam Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.11
    • /
    • pp.951-959
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to evaluate observed runoff data collected every 10 minutes at stream gauging stations in Jeju Island using a physically-based model, SWAT. The Hancheon watershed was selected as study area, and ephemeral stream algorithm suggested by previous research was incorporated into the model, which is able to simulate ephemeral runoff pattern of Jeju streams. Simulated runoff and runoff rates were compared to observations during 2008-2013, which showed 'very good' performance rating in Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (ME) and determination coefficient ($R^2$). Some observations had problems such that runoff rates were very high for some rainfall events with little amount of antecedent rainfall, and were very low or missing with much rainfall comparing to previous researches. Additionally, regression equation between precipitation and simulated runoff was generated with high degree of correlation. The equation can be utilized to simply predict reasonable runoff, or to investigate and complement the abnormal or missing data of observations on the assumption that modelling results were sufficiently reliable and satisfactory. As results, minimizing the error in calibrating the model by evaluation of observed data would be helpful to accurately model the rainfall-runoff characteristics and analyze the water balance components of watersheds in Jeju Island.

Runoff Hydrological Analysis in Soyanggang-dam watershed using SLURP Model (SLURP 모형을 이용한 유출수문분석 - 소양강댐 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Lim, Hyuk Jin;Shin, Hyung Jin;Kwon, Hyung Joong;Jang, Cheol Hee;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2004.05b
    • /
    • pp.1142-1146
    • /
    • 2004
  • The objective of this study is to the test applicability of SLURP on Soyanggang-dam watershed. The area of this watershed is $2,694km^2$ and mean elevation and slope is 650 m and $23^{\circ}$ respectively. Topographical parameters were derived from DEM using TOPAZ and SLURPAZ. NDVI was calculated from multi-temporal NOAA/AVHRR images. The daily meteorological data and hydrograph during $1999\~2001$ were selected for model calibration and performance tests. Weather elements (dew-point temperature, solar radiation, maximum and minimum temperature, relative humidity) were required from the S meteorological stations near the study area. The model parameters of each land cover class were optimized by sensitivity analysis and SCE-UA method. Runoff rate shows $49.33\%\~64.06\%$. Simulated results during 4 years were estimated by Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency and WMO volume error. Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency shows $0.61\~0.75$ and WMO volume error shows $6.1\%-18.8\%$.

  • PDF

Analysis of Livestock Nonpoint Source Pollutant Load Ratio for Each Sub-watershed in Sancheong Watershed using HSPF Model (HSPF 모형을 이용한 산청 유역의 소유역별 축산비점오염부하량 비중 분석)

  • Kim, So Rae;Kim, Sang Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.62 no.1
    • /
    • pp.39-50
    • /
    • 2020
  • The objective of this study was to assess the livestock nonpoint source pollutant impact on water quality in Namgang dam watershed using the HSPF (Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran) model. The input data for the HSPF model was established using the landcover, digital elevation, and watershed and river maps. In order to apply the pollutant load to the HSPF model, the delivery load of the livestock nonpoint source in the Namgang dam watershed was calculated and used as a point pollutant input data for the HSPF model. The hydrologic and water quality parameters of HSPF model were calibrated and validated using the observed runoff data from 2007 to 2015 at Sancheong station. The R2 (Determination Coefficient), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient), and RMAE (Relative Mean Absolute Error) were used to evaluate the model performance. The simulation results for annual mean runoff showed that R2 ranged 0.79~0.81, RMSE 1.91~2.73 mm/day, NSE 0.7~0.71 and RMAE 0.37~0.49 mm/day for daily runoff. The simulation results for annual mean BOD for RMSE ranged 0.99~1.13 mg/L and RMAE 0.49~0.55 mg/L, annual mean TN for RMSE ranged 1.65~1.72 mg/L and RMAE 0.55 mg/L, and annual mean TP for RMSE ranged 0.043~0.055 mg/L and RMAE 0.552~0.570 mg/L. As a result of livestock nonpoint pollutant loading simulation for each sub-watersehd using the HSPF model, the BOD ranged 16.6~163 kg/day, TN ranged 27.5~337 kg/day, TP ranged 1.22~14.1 kg/day.

Surface Cover Effect for Reducing Nitrogen Load in Organic Farming Fields using APEX Model (APEX 모형을 이용한 유기농경지에서의 질소 부하량 저감을 위한 지표피복 효과)

  • So, Hyunchul;Jang, Taeil;Kim, Dong-Hyeon;Seol, Dong-Mun;Yoon, Kwangsik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.60 no.5
    • /
    • pp.55-67
    • /
    • 2018
  • The objectives of this study were to monitor organic farming upland compared with conventional upland field and to evaluate nutrient loads reduction of surface cover effect with long-term historical climate data. APEX(Agricultural Policy Environmental eXtender) model was validated with experimental data and used for assessing surface cover scenarios for 30-year simulation periods. The validated values of RMSE(Root Mean Square Error), RMAE(Root Mean Absolute Error), $R^2$ and E(Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency) for runoff were 1.17-1.37 mm/day, 0.28-0.45 mm/day, 0.88-0.90 and 0.82-0.94 in two treatments, respectively. Those for water quality (nitrogen) were 0.05-0.16 kg/ha, 0.52-0.75 kg/ha, 0.67-0.72 and 0.32-0.70 in two treatments, respectively, and therefore the validated model showed good agreement with the observed runoff and nitrogen load for the study period. When decreasing the surface cover rate of organic farming field to 75%, 50%, 25%, and 0% (conventional field), average annual runoff increased by 7%, 15%, 23% and 31%, respectively. Under same condition of decreasing the surface cover rate, average annual nitrogen loads increased by 1.4 times, 1.7 times, 2.0 times, and 2.3 times compared with organic farming field, respectively. This study showed that it is possible to present an appropriate surface cover ratio to maintain conventional production and minimize nonpoint sources pollution for organic farming system, although long-term monitoring is needed to determine its effects on environmental concerns, crop competition, and other uncertainty.

Characteristics of Runoff on Urban Watershed in Jeju island, Korea (제주도 도심하천 유역의 유출특성 해석)

  • Jung, Woo-Yul;Yang, Sung-Kee;Lee, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.22 no.5
    • /
    • pp.555-562
    • /
    • 2013
  • Jeju Island, the heaviest raining area in Korea, is a volcanic Island located at the southernmost of Korea, but most streams are of the dry due to its hydrological/geological characteristics different from those of inland areas. Therefore, there are limitations in applying the results from the mainland to the studies on stream run-off characteristics analysis and water resource analysis of Jeju Island. In this study, the SWAT(soil & water assessment tool) model is used for the Hwabuk stream watershed located east of the downtown to calculate the long-term stream run-off rate, and WMS(watershed modeling system) and HEC-HMS(hydrologic modeling system) models are used to figure out the stream run-off characteristics due to short-term heavy rainfall. As the result of SWAT modelling for the long-term rainfall-runoff model for Hwabuk stream watershed in 2008, 5.66% of the average precipitation of the entire basin was run off, with 3.47% in 2009, 8.12% in 2010, and root mean square error(RMSE) and determination coefficient($R^2$) was 496.9 and 0.87, respectively, with model efficient(ME) of 0.72. From the results of WMS and HEC-HMS models which are short-term rainfall-runoff models, unless there was a preceding rainfall, the runoff occurred only for rainfall of 40mm or greater, and the run-off duration averaged 10~14 hours.

A Study on the Estimation Methods of Nonpoint Pollutant Unit Load - Focus on Nonpoint Pollutant Unit Load in Paddy Field - (비점오염 발생 원단위 산정방법에 대한 고찰 - 논 비점오염 원단위를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, DongHo;Choi, Soon-Kun;Kim, Min-Kyeong;Hur, Seung-Oh;Hong, Sung Chang;Yeob, So-Jin;Yoon, KwangSik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.61 no.3
    • /
    • pp.15-22
    • /
    • 2019
  • In order to preserve water environment, Total Maximum Daily Load(TMDL) is used to manage the total amount of pollutant from various sources, and the annual average load of source is calculated by the unit load method. Determination of the unit load requires reliable data accumulation and analysis based on a reasonable estimation method. In this study, we propose a revised unit load estimation method by analyzing the unit load calculation procedure of National Institute of Environment Research(NIER) method. Both methods were tested using observed runoff ratio and water quality data of rice paddy fields. The estimated values with the respective NIER and revised NIER methods were highly correlated each other. However, the Event Mean Concentration(EMC) and the runoff ratio considered in the NIER method appeared to be influenced by rainfall classes, and the difference in unit load increases as the runoff and EMC increase. The error can be further increased when the EMC and runoff ratio are changed according to changes in rainfall patterns by climate change and change of agricultural activities. Therefore, it is recommended to calculate unit load by applying the revised NIER method reflecting the non point pollution runoff characteristics for different rainfall classes.

Development of a Grid-based Daily Watershed Runoff Model and the Evaluation of Its Applicability (분포형 유역 일유출 모형의 개발 및 적용성 검토)

  • Hong, Woo-Yong;Park, Geun-Ae;Jeong, In-Kyun;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.30 no.5B
    • /
    • pp.459-469
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study is to develop a grid-based daily runoff model considering seasonal vegetation canopy condition. The model simulates the temporal and spatial variation of runoff components (surface, interflow, and baseflow), evapotranspiration (ET) and soil moisture contents of each grid element. The model is composed of three main modules of runoff, ET, and soil moisture. The total runoff was simulated by using soil water storage capacity of the day, and was allocated by introducing recession curves of each runoff component. The ET was calculated by Penman-Monteith method considering MODIS leaf area index (LAI). The daily soil moisture was routed by soil water balance equation. The model was evaluated for 930 $km^2$ Yongdam watershed. The model uses 1 km spatial data on landuse, soil, boundary, MODIS LAI. The daily weather data was built using IDW method (2000-2008). Model calibration was carried out to compare with the observed streamflow at the watershed outlet. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency was 0.78~0.93. The watershed soil moisture was sensitive to precipitation and soil texture, consequently affected the streamflow, and the evapotranspiration responded to landuse type.

Analysis of the Runoff Characteristics of Small Mountain Basins Using Rainfall-Runoff Model_Danyang1gyo in Chungbuk (강우-유출모형을 활용한 소규모 산지 유역의 유출특성 분석_충북 단양1교)

  • Hyungjoon Chang;Hojin Lee;Kisoon Park;Seonggoo Kim
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
    • /
    • v.24 no.12
    • /
    • pp.31-38
    • /
    • 2023
  • In this study, runoff characteristics analysis was conducted as a basic research to establish a forecasting and warning system for flood risk areas in small mountainous basins in South Korea. The Danyang 1 Bridge basin located in Danyang-gun, Chungcheongbuk-do was selected as the study basin, and the watershed characteristic factors were calculated using Q-GIS based on the digital elevation model (DEM) of the basin. In addition, nine heavy rainfall events were selected from 2020 to 2023 using hydrometeorological data provided by the National Water Resources Management Comprehensive Information System. HEC-HMS rainfall-runoff model was used to analyze the runoff characteristics of small mountainous basins, and rainfall-runoff model simulation was performed by reflecting 9 heavy rainfall events and calculated basin characteristic factors. Based on the rainfall-runoff model, parameter optimization was performed for six heavy rain events with large error rates among the simulated events, and the appropriate parameter range for the Danyang 1 Bridge basin, a small mountainous basin, was calculated to be 0.8 to 3.4. The results of this study will be utilized as foundational data for establishing flood forecasting and warning systems in small mountainous basin, and further research will be conducted to derive the range of parameters according to basin characteristics.