• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.46 no.7
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• pp.755-765
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• 2013

This study developed a real-time dam's hydrologic variables prediction model (DHVPM) and evaluated its performance for simulating historical dam inflow and outflow in the Chungju dam basin. The DHVPM consists of the Sejong University River Forecast (SURF) model for hydrologic modeling and an autoreservoir operation method (Auto ROM) for dam operation. SURF model is continuous rainfall-runoff model with data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter technique. The four extreme events including the maximum inflow of each year for 2006~2009 were selected to examine the performance of DHVPM. The statistical criteria, the relative error in peak flow, root mean square error, and model efficiency, demonstrated that DHVPM with data assimilation can simulate more close to observed inflow than those with no data assimilation at both 1-hour lead time, except the relative error in peak flow in 2007. Especially, DHVPM with data assimilation until 10-hour lead time reduced the biases of inflow forecast attributed to observed precipitation error. In conclusion, DHVPM with data assimilation can be useful to improve the accuracy of inflow forecast in the basin where real-time observed inflow are available.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.49-58
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• 2016

Applications of drone in various fields have been increasing in recent years. Drone has great potential for forest management. Therefore this paper is using drone for forest damage areas. Forest damage areas is divided into caused by anthropogenic and occurs naturally, the possibility of disasters, such as slope sliding, slope failures and landslides, sediment runoff exists. Therefore, this research was to utilize the drone photogrammetry to perform the damage analysis of forest damage areas. Geometrical treatment processing results in Drone Photogrammetry, the plane position error RMSE was ${\pm}0.034m$, the elevation error RMSE was ${\pm}0.017m$. The plane position error of orthophoto RMSE was ${\pm}0.083m$, the elevation error of digital elevation model RMSE was ${\pm}0.085m$. In addition, It was possible to current state analysis of damage in forest damage areas of airborne LiDAR data of before forest damage and drone photogrammetry data of after forest damage. and application of drone photogrammetry for production base data for restoration and design in forest damage areas.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.1078-1083
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• 2009

HEC-HMS(Hydrologic Modeling System)은 강우-유출 모의를 위한 차세대 소프트웨어이며 HEC-1에 포함되어 있는 단위도 및 수문학적 홍수추적 이외에도 격자형 강우자료(레이더 데이터)를 이용하여 적용할 수있는 유사분포 유출변화와 장기 연속모의에 적용할 수 있는 간단한 수분감소 등을 추가적으로 포함하고 있다. 또한 GUI(Graphical User Interface)환경, 통합 수문분석 성분, 자료 저장 및 관리 능력, 그래�d 처리 및리포트 출력기능으로 구성되어 있으며 여러 가지 프로그램 언어(C, C++, Fortran)를 이용하여 개발되었다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강 수계의 금호강에 위치한 동촌 지점을 유출구로 선정하고 5개의 소유역과 두 개의 하도로 구성하여 유출모의를 실시하였으며 수문자료 선정은 2007년$^{\sim}$2008년에 발생한 홍수사상과 유량조사 사업단에서 개발한 수위-유량관계곡선식을 활용하였다. 또한, HEC-GeoHMS 모형을 GIS와 연계하여 지형인자를 추출하고 추출된 지형인자를 이용하여 매개변수를 산정하였다. HEC-HMS 모형의 계산 조건에서 손실 우량은 SCS CN, 유출변환은 Clark 단위도법을 적용하였다. 또한 관측치와 계산치의 적합도 검증은 평균제곱 근오차(root mean squar error; RMSE)와 모형 효율성 계수(model efficiency; ME)를 산정하여 분석하였다

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.411-420
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• 2017

This research aims at comparing the accuracy of flood discharge estimation. For this, we focused on the Oedo watershed of Jeju Island and compared flood discharge by analyzing the values as follows: (1) the concentration of the lumped model (HEC-HMS) and distributed model (Vflo), and (2) the in-situ data using Fixed Surface Image Velocimetry (FSIV). The flood discharge estimation from the HEC-HMS model is slightly larger than the Vflo model results. This result shows that the estimations of the HEC-HMS are larger than the flood discharge data by 4.43 to 36.24% and that of the Vflo are larger by 8.49 to 11%. In terms of the error analysis at the peak discharge occurrence time of each mapping, HEC-HMS is one hour later than the measured data, but Vflo is almost the same as the measured data.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.115-122
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• 1992

Stochastic rainfall-runoff process model which is mainly used in real-time streamflow forecasting is Transfer Function(TF) model that has a simple structure and can be easy to formulate state-space model. However, in order to forecast the streamflow accurately in real-time using the TF model, it is not only necessary to determine accurate structure of the model but also required to reduce forecasting error in early stage. In this study, after introducing 5-day Antecedent Precipitation Index (API5), which represents the initial soil moisture condition of the watershed, by using the threshold concept, the TF models in each API5 are identified by Box-Jenkins method and the results are compared with each other.

• Spatial Information Research
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.49-56
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• 2010

Considering the flood problem in urban areas, it is important to estimate disaster risk using accurate numerical analysis for inundation. In this study, it is carried out to calculate inundation depth in Samcheok city which suffered from serious flood damage in 2002. The urban flood model was developed by cording Manning n, elevation, and building's rare on ArcGIS for reducing error on data exchange, and applied for estimating flood damage by grid. This paper describes the extraction of sewer lines and buildings area, estimates its influence on flood inundation extent, and integrated 1D/2D flow to simulate inundation depth in high-density building area. This paper shows an integrated urban flood modeling including rainfall-runoff, inundation simulation, and mathematical flood damage estimation, and will serve drainage design for reducing its damage.

• Water for future
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.141-150
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• 1994

The purpose of this study is develope the algorithm of channel routing model which can be used for flood forecasting. In routing model, the hydrulic technique of the implicit scheme in the dynamic equation is chosen to route the unsteady varied flow. The channel routing model is connected with conceptual watershed model which is able to compute the flood hydrograph from each subbasin. The comparative study shows that the conceptual model can simulate the watershed runoff accurately. As a result of investigating the channel routing model, the optimal weighting factor $\theta$ which fixes two points between time line is selected. And also, the optimal error tolerance which satisfies computing time and converge of solution is chosen.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.1752-1756
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• 2007

정교한 강우-유출 모의를 위해서는 적절한 매개변수의 추정이 필수적이며, 매개변수 추정 방법은 시행착오(trial and error)에 의한 수동보정법과 최적화방법을 사용한 자동보정법으로 구분할 수 있다. 모형의 매개변수의 수가 많은 경우 수동보정법에 의한 매개변수 추정은 매우 어렵다. 자동 보정법에 사용되는 최적화방법은 Rosenbrock 알고리즘, patten search, 컴플렉스(complex) 방법, Powell 방법 등과 같은 지역최적화 방법과 전역최적화 방법으로 나눌 수 있다. 그러나 기존 방법론들은 매개변수의 최적화를 추적하기 위한 알고리즘이 대부분이며 이들 매개변수에 관련된 불확실성을 평가하는데는 미흡한 단접이 있다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 강우-유출모형의 매개변수 추정에 있어서 불확실성을 평가할 수 있는 새로운 방법론을 검토하고자 한다. 매개변수와 관련된 불확실성을 평가하기 위한 방법은 여러 가지가 있으나 통계적으로 매우 우수한 능력을 보이는 Hierarchical Bayesian 알고리즘을 Probability-Distributed 강우-유출 모형에 적용하였다. 본 방법론은 최적화와 동시에 각 매개변수에 관련된 사후분포(posterior distribution)의 추정이 가능하므로 모형이 갖는 불확실성을 효과적으로 평가할 수 있다. 따라서, 수자원 관리에 있어서 불확실성을 고려할 수 있으므로 보다 수리수문학적 위험도를 저감할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.44 no.7
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• pp.1-13
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• 2002

Two global optimization methods, the SCE-UA method and the Annealing-simplex (A-S) method for calibrating a daily rainfall-runoff model, a Tank model, was compared with that of the Downhill Simplex method. The performance of the four objective functions, DRMS (daily root mean square), HMLE (heteroscedastic maximum likelihood estimator), ABSERR (mean absolute error), and NS (Nash-Sutcliffe measure), was tested and synthetic data and historical data were used. In synthetic data study. 100% success rates for all objective functions were obtained from the A-S method, and the SCE-UA method was also consistently able to obtain good estimates. The downhill simplex method was unable to escape from local optimum, the worst among the methods, and converged to the true values only when the initial guess was close to the true values. In the historical data study, the A-S method and the SCE-UA method showed consistently good results regardless of objective function. An objective function was developed with combination of DRMS and NS, which putted more weight on the low flows.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.571-584
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• 2014

The present study aims to apply a surface image velocimetry(SIV) system to video images captured with CCTV and estimate the flood discharge. The CCTV was installed at the Hancheon Bridge of the Han Cheon in Jeju Island for disaster surveillance, and seven flood events occurred in 2012 were used. During the image analyses, input parameters, interrogation areas and searching areas were determined with proper calibration procedures. To check for accuracy and applicability of SIV, the velocities and flood discharges estimated by SIV were compared with the measured ones by an electromagnetic surface velocimeter, Kalisto. The comparison results showed fairly good agreements. The RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) values between two instruments showed a range of 4.13 and 14.2, and the determination coefficients reached 0.75 through 0.85. It means that the SIV could be used as a good alternative method for other traditional velocity measuring instruments in measuring flood discharges.