• 제목/요약/키워드: Run-up Model

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Impact of Exchange Rate Shocks, Inward FDI and Import on Export Performance: A Cointegration Analysis

  • NGUYEN, Van Chien;DO, Thi Tuyet
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.163-171
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    • 2020
  • The study aims to examine the effects of inward every presence of foreign investment, import, and real exchange rate shocks on export performance in Vietnam. This study employs a time-series sample dataset in the period of 2009 - 2018. All data are collected from the General Statistics Office of Ministry of Planning and Investment in Vietnam, World Development Indicator and Ministry of Finance, State Bank of Vietnam. This study employs the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test and the vector error correction model with the analysis of cointegration. The results demonstrate that a higher value of import significantly accelerates export performance in the short run, but insignificantly generates in the long run. When the volume of registered foreign investment goes up, the export performance will predominantly decrease in the both short run and long run. Historically, countries worldwide are more likely to devaluate their currencies in order to support export performance. According to the study, the exchange rate volatility has an effect on the external trade in the long run but no effect in the short run. Finally, Vietnam's export performance converges on its long-run equilibrium by roughly 6.3% with the speed adjustment via a combination of import, every presence of foreign investment, and real exchange rate fluctuations.

Run-up heights of solitary waves on a circular island with asymmetric crest lengths (비대칭 파봉선 길이에 따른 원형섬에서 고립파의 처오름높이)

  • Cho, He Rin;Cho, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.9
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    • pp.647-652
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    • 2017
  • Many islands are scattered around the southern area of the Korean Peninsula and they may be very vulnerable to unexpected tsunami attacks. During the East Japan Tsunami Event occurred on March 11, 2011, many islands located at the southern area were affected by tsunamis. In this study, maximum run-up heights of solitary waves on a circular island with asymmetrical crest lengths investigated by using a numerical model based on the shallow-water theory. The obtained results could be used by local authorities to establish a defense plan against unexpected tsunami invasion.

Scale Effects of Stability Parameters in the Hydraulic Model Tests of Rubble Mound Coastal Structures (사석구조물(捨石構造物)의 안정성(安定性)에 관한 수리모형(水理模型)의 축척효과(縮尺効果))

  • Ryu, Cheong Ro
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 1987
  • Scale effects of stability, run-up, run-down and reflection of layered coastal structures are investigated through the experiments with 7 kinds of hydraulic scale models. The occurrence mechanism and the control method of scale effects are also discussed. As a result, it is found that the similarity of permeability of inner layers plays an important role in the occurrence of scale effects, which has been neglected in the most of conventional model tests. To assure the best scale effects for permeable coastal structures, control of Reynolds numbers of the porous media flow in each layer is recommended. It is also found that Reynolds numbers in revetment, filter, and core layer must be greater than $2{\times}10^4$, $3{\times}10^3$, and $1{\times}10^3$, respectively.

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A Causality Analysis of the Prices between Imported Fisheries and Domestic Fisheries in Distribution Channel (수입 수산물과 국내산 수산물의 가격간 유통단계별 인과성 분석 : 명태, 갈치, 조기 냉동품을 대상으로)

  • Cha, Young-Gi;Kim, Ki-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.105-126
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    • 2009
  • This study applies the cointegration theory to analyse the causality of the prices between imported fisheries and domestic fisheries in distribution channel. We've focused on the prices of import, wholesale and retail about the frozen Alaska pollack, hairtail and croaker which take up high portion and are popular among most of the consumers. In process of analysis, the unit root test was adopted to find the stability of time series data prior to the cointegration test. If the time series data was found as stable one in unit root test, we should analyse the VAR model. If unstable, the cointegratioin test was adopeted to find the long-run equilibrium relationship between the data. When the long-run equilibrium relationship was found among the price of the import, wholesale and retail price, the VECM model was adoped. If not, the differenced VAR model was adopted. The main findings of this study could be summarized as follows ; First, according to the result of the analysis on VAR model, time series data of frozen Alaska pollack was found as stable and has causality relationship and close effect was existing among the import, wholesale and retail price. Second, the data of frozen hairtail was found as an unstable one in unit root test and the result of cointegration test showed the long-run equilibrium relationship at lag 1. From the results of VECM model, we could find that the coefficient of error correction is effective, and the sign is negative(-). It means that the existence of adjustment tendency to long-run equilibrium after a short-run deviation. But the short-run causality of the prices were not found except the price of wholesale. Third, according to the results of differenced VAR model, data from frozen croaker did not have the stability and long-run equilibrium. Moreover, it was found that the import price has a weak causality on the retail price. Because of having difficulties in collecting data, the result of this paper could not explain the relationship among the prices of import, wholesale and retail perfectly. However, it more or less contributed to a long-lasted debate on the direction of causality of price-setting in academic research and provided a useful guide for the policy makers in charge of the price-setting of fisheries products as well.

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On Long Wave Induced by a Sub-sea Landslide Using a 2D Numerical Wave Tank

  • Koo, Weon-Cheol;Kim, Moo-Hyun
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2007
  • A long wave induced by a Gaussian-shape submarine landslide is simulated by a 2D fully nonlinear numerical wave tank (NWT). The NWT is based on the boundary element method and the mixed Eulerian/Lagrangian approach. Using the NWT, physical characteristics of land-slide tsunami, including wave generation, propagation, particle kinematics, hydrodynamic pressure, run-up and depression, are simulated for the early stage of long wave generation and propagation. Various sliding mass heights are applied to the developed model for a systematic sensitivity analysis. In particular, the fully nonlinear NWT results are compared with linear results (exact body-boundary conditions with linear free-surface conditions) to identify the nonlinear effects in the respective cases.

Run-up Height around Axis-symmetric Topographies (축 대칭 지형에서의 처오름 높이)

  • Jung, Tae-Hwa;Ryu, Yong-Uk
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.539-546
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we develop numerical model using the elliptic mild-slope equation for waves propagating around axis-symmetric topographies where the water depth varies arbitrarily having zero at the coastline. The entire region is divided into three regions. In the both of inner and outer regions, an existing analytical solutions are used. In the middle region, the finite element technique is applied to the governing equation. To get the solution, the methods of separation of variables, Frobenius series are used. Developed solution is validated by comparing with previously developed analytical solution. We also investigate various cases with different bottom topographies.

Inundation of Tsunamis Based on Quadtree Grid System (사면구조 격자에 의한 지진해일의 범람영역)

  • Lin, Tae-Hoon;Park, Koo-Yong;Cho, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.4 no.2 s.13
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2004
  • To investigate the inundation of tsunamis in the vicinity of a circular island, a numerical model has been developed based on quadtree grids. The governing equations of the model are the nonlinear shallow-water equations. The governing equations are discretized explicitly by using a finite difference leap-frog scheme on adaptive hierarchical quadtree grids. The quadtree grids are generated around a circular island where refined with rectangular or circular domain. Obtained numerical results have been verified by comparing to available laboratory measurements of run-up heights. A good agreement has been achieved.

Numerical Simulation of Fully Nonlinear Free-Surface Flow around Seawall with Slope (경사면을 갖는 월파형 구조물 주위의 비선형성 자유표면류의 수치 시뮬레이션)

  • Park, Jong-Chun;Park, Dong-In;Lee, Sang-Beom;Hong, Gi-Yong;Sun, Sung-Bu
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.18-24
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    • 2005
  • Wave overtopping is one of the most important processes for the design of seawalls. The term "wave overtopping" is used here to refer to the processes where waves hit a sloping structure run up the slope and, if the crest level of the slope is lower than the highest run up level, overtop the structure. Wave overtopping is dependent on the processes associated with breaking wave. A numerical model based on Navier-Stokes equation and the Marker-density function for predicting wave overtopping of coastal structures is developed in this paper. In order to evaluate the present model, two simulations are tested. One is overflow without waves at vertical seawall, and the other is wave overtopping at sloping seawalls.

Analyzing off-line Noah land surface model spin-up behavior for initialization of global numerical weather prediction model (전지구수치예측모델의 토양수분 초기화를 위한 오프라인 Noah 지면모델 스핀업 특성분석)

  • Jun, Sanghee;Park, Jeong-Hyun;Boo, Kyung-On;Kang, Hyun-Suk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.181-191
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    • 2020
  • In order to produce accurate initial condition of soil moisture for global Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), spin-up experiment is carried out using Noah Land Surface Model (LSM). The model is run repeatedly through 10 years, under the atmospheric forcing condition of 2008-2017 until climatological land surface state is achieved. Spin-up time for the equilibrium condition of soil moisture exhibited large variability across Koppen-Geiger climate classification zone and soil layer. Top soil layer took the longgest time to equilibrate in polar region. From the second layer to the fourth layer, arid region equilibrated slower (7 years) than other regions. This result means that LSM reached to equilibrium condition within 10 year loop. Also, spin-up time indicated inverse correlation with near surface temperature and precipitation amount. Initialized from the equilibrium state, LSM was spun up to obtain land surface state in 2018. After 6 months from restarted run, LSM simulates soil moisture, skin temperature and evaportranspiration being similar land surface state in 2018. Based on the results, proposed LSM spin-up system could be used to produce proper initial soil moisture condition despite updates of physics or ancillaries for LSM coupled with NWP.

An Estimation of the Congestion Tolls Considering External Costs in Seoul (외부비용을 반영한 도시내 도로의 혼잡통행료 추정: 서울시를 대상으로)

  • PARK, Chanwoon;KIM, Sungsoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.520-530
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    • 2015
  • This paper formulates the methodologies to estimate optimal congestion tolls from long-run and short-run perspectives and applies them to the highways of Seoul. An optimal long-run congestion toll is estimated with an optimal volume-capacity-ratio to minimize the total costs which consist of two components: road construction and maintenance costs and traveler costs. By contrast, an optimal short-run congestion toll is estimated with a supply-demand equilibrium which is determined by using a speed-flow function and a disaggregate modal choice model. The results of a long-run analysis for the Seobu urban expressway suggest the optimal volume-capacity-ratio of 1.35 and the optimal congestion toll of 503 Won per automobile kilometer. By contrast, those of a short-run analysis for the Mia-ro urban arterial suggest 1.31 and 420 Won, respectively. Although our results are to some degree dependent on the interest rate and time value assumed, one basic conclusion holds up: the congestions toll tested could generate substantial gains in social welfare if applied to Seoul.