• 제목/요약/키워드: Robustness Index

검색결과 135건 처리시간 0.02초

전력소비를 이용한 실물경기지수 개발에 관한 연구 (Electricity Consumption as an Indicator of Real Economic Status)

  • 오승환;김태중;곽동철
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - A variety of indicators are used for the diagnosis of economic situation. However, most indicators explain the past economic situation because of the time difference between the measurement and announcement. This study aims to argue for the resurrection of an idea: electricity demand can be used as an indicator of economic activity. In addition, this study made an endeavor to develop a new Real Business Index(RBI) which could quickly represent the real economic condition based on the sales statistics of industrial and public electricity. Research design, data, and methodology - In this study monthly sales of industrial and public electricity from 2000 to 2015 was investigated to analyze the relationship between the economic condition and the amount of electricity consumption and to develop a new Real Business Index. To formulate the Index, this study followed next three steps. First, we decided the explanatory variables, period, and collected data. Second, after calculating the monthly changes for each variable, standardization and estimating the weighted value were conducted. Third, the computation of RBI finalized the development of empirical model. The principal component analysis was used to evaluate the weighted contribution ratio among 3 sectors and 17 data. Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis was used to verify the robustness of out model. Results - The empirical results are as follows. First, compatibility of the predictability between the new RBI and the existing monthly cycle of coincident composite index was extremely high. Second, two indexes had a high correlation of 0.7156. In addition, Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis demonstrated that two indexed also had accompany relationship. Third, when the changes of two indexes were compared, they were found that the times when the highest and the lowest point happened were similar, which suggested that it is possible to use the new RBI index as a complementing indicator in a sense that the RBI can explain the economic condition almost in real time. Conclusion - A new economic index which can explain the economic condition needs to be developed well and rapidly in a sense that it is useful to determine accurately the current economic condition to establish economic policy and corporate strategy. The salse of electricity has a close relationship with economic conditions because electricity is utilized as a main resource of industrial production. Furthermore, the result of the sales of electricity can be gathered almost in real time. This study applied the econometrics model to the statistics of the sales of industrial and public electricity. In conclusion, the new RBI index was highly related with the existing monthly economic indexes. In addition, the comparison between the RBI index and other indexes demonstrated that the direction of the economic change and the times when the highest and lowest points had happened were almost the same. Therefore, this RBI index can become the supplementary indicator of the official indicators published by Korean Bank or the statistics Korea.

주성분 분석(PCA)을 이용한 물관리 탄력성 지수의 가중치 산정 (Estimation of Weights in Water Management Resilience Index Using Principal Component Analysis(PCA))

  • 박정은;임광섭;이을래
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.583-583
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    • 2016
  • 다양한 평가지표가 반영된 복합 지수(Composite Index)는 물관리 정책의 우선순위 결정 및 정책성과의 모니터링에 유용한 도구로 사용되고 있다. 각 지표별 중요도를 나타내는 가중치는 최종 지수의 산정에 영향을 미칠 수 있으며, 그 결정방법도 Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA), Benefit of doubt Approach(BOD), Unobserved Component Model(UCM), Budget Allocation Process(BAP), Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP), Conjoint Analysis(CA) 등 다양하다. 본 연구에서는 여러 가지 가중치 결정방법 중 통계적 방법인 주성분 분석(Principal Component Analysis, PCA)을 사용하여 Park et al.(2016)이 제시한 물관리 탄력성 지수(Water Management Resilience Index, WMRI)에 대한 가중치를 산정하여 동일 가중치를 적용한 기존 결과와 비교하였다. 물관리 탄력성 지수는 자연조건상 물관리 취약성(Vulnerability), 기존 수자원 인프라의 견고성(Robustness), 물위기 적응전략의 다양성(Redundancy)의 3가지 부지수(sub-index)는 각각 13개, 11개, 7개의 지표(Indicator)로 구성되어 있으며, 117개 중권역을 다목적댐 하류 본류유역(범주 1), 용수공급 및 유량조절이 불가능한 지류(범주 2)와 가능한 지류(범주 3)로 분류하여 적용되었다. 각 부지수별로 추출된 3개, 5개, 3개의 주성분이 전체 자료의 76.4%, 71.2%, 63.2%를 설명하는 것으로 분석되었으며 부지수별 주성분의 고유벡터(Eigenvector)와 고유값(Eigenvalue)를 계산하고 각 지표의 가중치를 산정하였다. 주성분 분석에 의한 가중치와 동일 가중치를 적용하였을 경우와 비교해보면 취약성 부지수 1.9%, 견고성 부지수 1.9%, 다양성 부지수 2.1%의 차이가 나타나며 물관리 탄력성 지수는 0.4%의 차이를 보임에 따라 Park et al.이 제시한 연구결과의 적정성을 확인할 수 있었다. 주성분 분석은 객관적인 가중치 설정을 위한 통계적 접근방법의 하나로써 다양한 물관리 정책지수 산정시 활용될 수 있을 것이며, 향후 다른 가중치 산정방법을 적용함으로써 각 방법에 따른 지수 결과의 민감도 및 장단점을 분석할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Index-of-Max 해싱을 이용한 폐기가능한 홍채 템플릿 (Cancelable Iris Templates Using Index-of-Max Hashing)

  • 김진아;정재열;김기성;정익래
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.565-577
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    • 2019
  • 최근에 생체인증은 다양한 분야에 사용되고 있다. 생체정보는 변경이 불가능하고 다른 개인정보와 달리 폐기할 수 없기 때문에 생체정보 유출에 대한 우려가 커지고 있다. 최근 Jin et al.은 지문 템플릿을 보호하기 위해 IoM(Index-of-Max) 해싱이라는 폐기가능한 생체인증 방법을 제안했다. Jin et al.은 Gaussian random projection 기반과 Uniformly random permutation 기반의 두 가지 방법을 구현하였다. 제안된 방법은 높은 매칭 정확도를 제공하고 프라이버시 공격에 강력함을 보여주며 폐기가능한 생체인증의 요건을 만족함을 보여주었다. 그러나 Jin et al.은 다른 생체정보에 대한 인증(예: 정맥, 홍채 등)에 대한 실험 결과를 제공하지는 않았다. 본 논문에서는 Jin et al.의 방법을 적용하여 홍채 템플릿을 보호하는 방법을 제안한다. 실험 결과는 이전의 폐기가능한 홍채인증 방법과 비교했을 때 더 높은 정확도를 보여주며 보안 및 프라이버시 공격에 강력함을 보여준다.

철도차량 현수장치의 식스시그마 강건 설계 (Six Sigma Robust Design for Railway Vehicle Suspension)

  • 이광기;박찬경;한승호
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제33권10호
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    • pp.1132-1138
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    • 2009
  • The spring constants of primary suspensions for a railway vehicle are optimized by a robust design process, in which the response surface models(RSMs) of their dynamic responses are constructed via the design of experiment(DOE). The robust design process requires an intensive computation to evaluate exactly a probabilistic feasibility for the robustness of dynamic responses with their probabilistic variances for the railway vehicle. In order to overcome the computational process, the process capability index $C_{pk}$ is introduced which enables not only to show the mean value and the scattering of the product quality to a certain extent, but also to normalize the objective functions irrespective of various different dimensions. This robust design, consequently, becomes to optimize the $C_{pk}$ subjected to constraints, i.e. 2, satisfying six sigma. The proposed method shows not only an improvement of some $C_{pk}$ violating the constraints obtained by the conventional optimization, but also a significant decrease of the variance of the $C_{pk}$.

빔 구조물의 모달 변형에너지를 이용한 손상탐지 (Damage Detection in a Beam Structure Using Modal Strain Energy)

  • 박수용;최상현
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.333-342
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문의 목적은 빔 구조물에서 발생할 수 있는 손상의 위치를 탐색하고, 그 손상의 정도를 추정할 수 있는 알고리즘을 제안하는 것이다. 제안된 방법은 구조물의 모달 변형에너지의 차이를 이용한다. 구조물 내 발생한 국부적인 손상의 위치를 파악하고 그에 상응하는 손상도를 추정할 수 있는 손상지수를 손상 전과 손상 후 구조물의 모드형상에서 얻을 수 있는 모달 변위로 표현하였고 그 관계식을 정립하였다. 구조물 내 손상의 위치를 결정하는 방법은 기 개발된 손상 지표를 적용하였다. 제안된 방법의 우수성과 효용성은 수치적으로 손상을 모사한 빔 구조물을 이용하여 입증하였다.

가변 휠형 무인자율차량의 접촉휠 예측 모델 (Estimation Model of Contact Wheels for UGV with Actively Articulated Suspensions)

  • 임경빈;김선제;박석훈;윤용산;이상훈
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제33권8호
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    • pp.832-841
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    • 2009
  • Wheels of UGV can be used to get the information about the ground. However, wheels of UGV with actively articulated suspension cannot be used as the roles because the each wheel does not remain in contact with the ground. Therefore, in this study, we proposed the indexes and models to estimate the contact wheels. First, we formulated the dynamic equations about the actively articulated suspensions and wheels. Then estimation index $I_{WTC}$ and $I_{ATC}$ were developed from the equations, and analyzed the strengths and weaknesses of each index. As the results, we developed the fuzzy rule-based estimation model additionally derived from our observations. $I_{WTC}$ model and $I_{ATC}$ model could eliminate the noise of about 60% in comparison with the result without the estimation model. Fuzzy model also could reduce the noise of about 83%. In addition, fuzzy rule-based estimation model had high sensitivity and precision as well as robustness.

Identification of Genetic Relationships Among Morus alba Genotypes Based on RAPD and ISSR Fingerprinting

  • Kalpana, Duraisamy;Cha, Hyo-Jung;Choi, Tae-Ki;Lee, Yang-Soo
    • 한국자원식물학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.675-687
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    • 2011
  • Mulberries have importance in the sericulture industry as food for Bombyx mori, silkworm reared for its silk. Korean Morus alba have many cultivars and, for the protection of these cultivars and for utilization in plant-breeding programs, genetic information and the diversity among cultivars are essential. This study with 14 mulberry genotypes was undertaken using RAPD and ISSR fingerprinting to discover the genetic divergences between cultivars. Polymorphism rate among the cultivars produced by RAPD primer was found to be 64.48% and 66.29% relative to ISSR primer. The genetic relationships among the cultivars were identified using a dendrogram constructed with the UPGMA clustering method. Nei's method was used to calculate the genetic dissimilarity coefficients between each pair of genotypes, and the highest dissimilarity coefficient of 0.246 was exhibited between Suwon and Hwanggum cultivars. To determine the efficiency of each primer, a polymorphic index was calculated, and the robustness of the dendrogram was checked using cophenetic correlation coefficient. The results of this study can be utilized for the improvement of mulberry varieties in plant-breeding programs.

Co-authorship Credit Allocation Methods in the Assessment of Citation Impact of Chemistry Faculty

  • 이종욱;양기덕
    • 한국문헌정보학회지
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    • 제49권3호
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    • pp.273-289
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    • 2015
  • This study examined changes in citation index scores and rankings of thirty-five chemistry faculty members at Seoul National University using different co-authorship credit allocation models. Using 1,436 Web of Science papers published between 2007 and 2013, we applied the inflated, fractional, harmonic, network-based allocation, and harmonic+ models to calculate faculty's h-, R-, and normalization of h- and R- index scores and rankings. The harmonic+ model, which is based on our belief that contribution of primary authors should be the same regardless of collaboration, is designed to minimize the penalty for research collaboration imposed by harmonic and NBA models by boosting the contribution of collaborating primary authors to be on the equal footing with single authors. Although citation rankings by different models are correlated with each other within the same type of citation indicator, rankings of many faculty members changed across models, suggesting the importance of an accurate and relevant authorship credit allocation model in the citation assessment of researchers. The study also found that authorship patterns in conjunction with citation counts are important factors for robust authorship models such as harmonic and NBA, and harmonic+ model may be beneficial for collaborating primary authors. Future research that reexamines the models with updated empirical data would provide further insights into the robustness of the models.

Structural damage identification based on transmissibility assurance criterion and weighted Schatten-p regularization

  • Zhong, Xian;Yu, Ling
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제82권6호
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    • pp.771-783
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    • 2022
  • Structural damage identification (SDI) methods have been proposed to monitor the safety of structures. However, the traditional SDI methods using modal parameters, such as natural frequencies and mode shapes, are not sensitive enough to structural damage. To tackle this problem, this paper proposes a new SDI method based on transmissibility assurance criterion (TAC) and weighted Schatten-p norm regularization. Firstly, the transmissibility function (TF) has been proved a useful damage index, which can effectively detect structural damage under unknown excitations. Inspired by the modal assurance criterion (MAC), TF and MAC are combined to construct a new damage index, so called as TAC, which is introduced into the objective function together with modal parameters. In addition, the weighted Schatten-p norm regularization method is adopted to improve the ill-posedness of the SDI inverse problem. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed method, some numerical simulations and experimental studies in laboratory are carried out. The results show that the proposed method has a high SDI accuracy, especially for weak damages of structures, it can precisely achieve damage locations and quantifications with a good robustness.

Exploiting Neural Network for Temporal Multi-variate Air Quality and Pollutant Prediction

  • Khan, Muneeb A.;Kim, Hyun-chul;Park, Heemin
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.440-449
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    • 2022
  • In recent years, the air pollution and Air Quality Index (AQI) has been a pivotal point for researchers due to its effect on human health. Various research has been done in predicting the AQI but most of these studies, either lack dense temporal data or cover one or two air pollutant elements. In this paper, a hybrid Convolutional Neural approach integrated with recurrent neural network architecture (CNN-LSTM), is presented to find air pollution inference using a multivariate air pollutant elements dataset. The aim of this research is to design a robust and real-time air pollutant forecasting system by exploiting a neural network. The proposed approach is implemented on a 24-month dataset from Seoul, Republic of Korea. The predicted results are cross-validated with the real dataset and compared with the state-of-the-art techniques to evaluate its robustness and performance. The proposed model outperforms SVM, SVM-Polynomial, ANN, and RF models with 60.17%, 68.99%, 14.6%, and 6.29%, respectively. The model performs SVM and SVM-Polynomial in predicting O3 by 78.04% and 83.79%, respectively. Overall performance of the model is measured in terms of Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE).