• Title/Summary/Keyword: Robust decision making

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The Effect of Resilience in Career Decision-Making among Specialized Technical High School Students (특성화고등학교 학생의 회복탄력성이 진로결정 자기효능감에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Najeong;Lim, Nhayoung;Lee, Chang-Hoon
    • 대한공업교육학회지
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.20-40
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    • 2018
  • This study examined resilience and career decision-making among specialized technical high school students with the aim of proposing preliminary data to suggest ways to improve self-efficacy in career decision-making through establishing proper resilience. The specific research questions were set as; first, to define the resilience status in relation to the students' personal characteristics among students; second, to describe the status of self-efficacy in career decision-making related to the students' personal characteristics among students; and last, to examine the influence of resilience on self-efficacy in career decision-making among specialized technical high school students. To accomplish such research objectives, the assessment survey was developed after reviewing the theoretical literature on specialized technical high school students' background, ego identity, and self-efficacy in career decision-making. The survey was comprised of 54 items including personal characteristics (3 items), resilience (27 items), and self-efficacy in career decision-making (24 items). A total of 990 students from industrial specialized high schools across the country completed the survey, and the responses from 775 students were used for the final analyses after excluding the surveys with unanswered items or untrustworthy responses. Results were as follows: The group with higher levels of school adaptation and satisfaction showed higher resilience and career decision-making than those with lower levels of school adaptation and satisfaction. Furthermore, for the influence of resilience on self-efficacy in career decision-making, the results showed that resilience had positive associations with self-efficacy in career decision-making, and all correlations and coefficients of determination showed a robust statistical significance. Therefore, to enhance self-efficacy in career decision-making, education that could help students better adapt to school, increase satisfaction with the school, and create positive resilience must precede.

A Genetic Algorithm-based Construction Mechanism for FCM and Its Empirical Analysis of Decision Support Performance : Emphasis on Solving Corporate Software Sales Problem (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 퍼지인식도 생성 메커니즘의 의사결정 효과성에 관한 실증연구 : 기업용 소프트웨어 판매 문제를 중심으로)

  • Chung, Nam-Ho;Lee, Nam-Ho;Lee, Kun-Chang
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.157-176
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    • 2007
  • Fuzzy cognitive map(FCM) has long been used as an effective way of constructing the human's decision making process explicitly. By taking advantage of this feature, FCM has been extensively used in providing what-if solutions to a wide variety of business decision making problems. In contrast, the goal-seeking analysis mechanism by using the FCM is rarely observed in literature, which remains a research void in the fields of FCM. In this sense, this study proposes a new type of the FCM-based goal-seeking analysis which is based on utilizing the genetic algorithm. Its main recipe lies in the fact that the what-if analysis as well as goal-seeking analysis are enabled very effectively by incorporating the genetic algorithm into the FCM-driven inference process. To prove the empirical validity of the proposed approach, valid questionnaires were gathered from a number of experts on software sales, and analyzed statistically. Results showed that the proposed approach is robust and significant.

DEVELOPMENT OF A MAJORITY VOTE DECISION MODULE FOR A SELF-DIAGNOSTIC MONITORING SYSTEM FOR AN AIR-OPERATED VALVE SYSTEM

  • KIM, WOOSHIK;CHAI, JANGBOM;KIM, INTAEK
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.624-632
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    • 2015
  • A self-diagnostic monitoring system is a system that has the ability to measure various physical quantities such as temperature, pressure, or acceleration from sensors scattered over a mechanical system such as a power plant, in order to monitor its various states, and to make a decision about its health status. We have developed a self-diagnostic monitoring system for an air-operated valve system to be used in a nuclear power plant. In this study, we have tried to improve the self-diagnostic monitoring system to increase its reliability. We have implemented three different machine learning algorithms, i.e., logistic regression, an artificial neural network, and a support vector machine. After each algorithm performs the decision process independently, the decision-making module collects these individual decisions and makes a final decision using a majority vote scheme. With this, we performed some simulations and presented some of its results. The contribution of this study is that, by employing more robust and stable algorithms, each of the algorithms performs the recognition task more accurately. Moreover, by integrating these results and employing the majority vote scheme, we can make a definite decision, which makes the self-diagnostic monitoring system more reliable.

A Handover Algorithm Using Fuzzy Set Theory (퍼지 이론을 이용한 핸드오버 알고리즘)

  • 정한호;김준철;이준환
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.824-834
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    • 1993
  • In cellular mobile communication systems, if the size of a cell is decreasing for economic utilization of frequency resources, frequent handovers may be requested because the time a mobile stays in a cell is decreasing. In general the measured parameters to decide handover including RSSI, BER, and the distance between mobile station and base station, are usually incorrect and handover decision using single parameter insufficient. Therefore, the better handover algorithm should take over the problems of this uncertain measurements, and make the decision more robust and flexible by the consideration of all those decision parameters at the same time. We propose a novel handover algorithm based the multicriteria decision making, in which those parameters are participated in the decision process using aggregation function in fuzzy set theory. As a simulation results, the overall decision making is more reliable and flexible than the conventional method using only one parameter, RSSI in terms of call force ratio, and handover request ratio.

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FUZZY HYPERCUBES: A New Inference Machines

  • Kang, Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.34-41
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    • 1992
  • A robust and reliable learning and reasoning mechanism is addressed based upon fuzzy set theory and fuzzy associative memories. The mechanism stores a priori an initial knowledge base via approximate learning and utilizes this information for decision-making systems via fuzzy inferencing. We called this fuzzy computer architecture a 'fuzzy hypercube' processing all the rules in one clock period in parallel. Fuzzy hypercubes can be applied to control of a class of complex and highly nonlinear systems which suffer from vagueness uncertainty. Moreover, evidential aspects of a fuzzy hypercube are treated to assess the degree of certainty or reliability together with parameter sensitivity.

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Evaluation of estuary reservoir management based on robust decision making considering water use-flood control-water quality under Climate Change (이수-치수-수질을 고려한 기후변화 대응 로버스트 기반 담수호 관리 평가)

  • Kim, Seokhyeon;Hwang, Soonho;Kim, Sinae;Lee, Hyunji;Kwak, Jihye;Kim, Jihye;Kang, Moonseong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.6
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    • pp.419-429
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    • 2023
  • The objective of this study was to determine the management water level of an estuary reservoir considering three aspects: the water use, flood control and water quality, and to use a robust decision-making to consider uncertainty due to climate change. The watershed-reservoir linkage model was used to simulate changes in inflow due to climate change, and changes in reservoir water level and water quality. Five management level alternatives ranging from -1.7 El.m to 0.2 El.m were evaluated under the SSP1, 2, 3, and 5 scenariosof the ACCESS-CM2 Global Climate Model. Performance indicators based on period-reliability were calculated for robust decision-making considering the three aspects, and regret was used as a decision indicator to identify the alternatives with the minimum maximum regret. Flood control failure increased as the management level increased, while the probability of water use failure increased as the management level decreased. The highest number of failures occurred under the SSP5 scenario. In the water quality sector, the change in water quality was relatively small with an increase in the management level due to the increase in reservoir volume. Conversely, a decrease in the management level resulted in a more significant change in water quality. In the study area, the estuary reservoir was found to be problematic when the change in water quality was small, resulting in more failures.

A Robust Speaker Identification Method Based on the Wavelet Filter Banks (웨이블렛 필터뱅크에 기반을 둔 강인한 화자식별 기법)

  • Lee, Dae-Jong;Gwak, Geun-Chang;Yu, Jeong-Ung;Jeon, Myeong-Geun
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.9C no.4
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    • pp.459-466
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes a robust speaker identification algorithm based on the wavelet filter banks and multiple decision-making scheme. Since the proposed speaker identification algorithm has a structure performing the identification algorithm independently for each subband, the noise effect of an subband can be localized. Through this process, we can obtain more robust results for the environmental noises which generally have band limited frequency. In the experiments, the proposed method showed more 15∼60% improvement than the vector quantization method for the various noisy environments.

Optimization Method for a Coupled Design, Considering Robustness (강건성을 고려한 연성설계의 최적화 방법)

  • Kang, Dong-Heon;Song, Byoung-Cheol;Park, Young-Chul;Lee, Kwon-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.8-15
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    • 2008
  • Current trend of design technologies shows engineers to objectify or automate the given decision-making process. The numerical optimization is an example of such technologies. However, in numerical optimization, the uncertainties are uncontrollable to efficiently objectify or automate the process. To better manage these uncertainties, Taguchi method, reliability-based optimization and robust optimization are being used. Based on the independence axiom of axiomatic design theory that illustrates the relationship between desired specifications and design parameters, the designs can be classified into three types: uncoupled, decoupled and coupled. To best approach the target performance with the maximum robustness is one of the main functional requirements of a mechanical system. Most engineering designs are pertaining to either coupled or decoupled ones, but these designs cannot currently accomplish a real robustness thus a trade-off between performance and robustness has to be made. In this research, the game theory will be applied to optimize the trade-off.

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Organizational Memory Formulation by Inference Diagram

  • Lee, Kun-Chang;Nho, Jae-Bum
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.42-46
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    • 1999
  • Knowledge management(KM) is emerging as a robust management mechanism with which an organization can remain highly intelligent and competitive in a turbulent market. Organization memory(or knowledge) is at the heart of KM success. How to create organizational memory has been debated among researchers. In literature, a wide variety of methods for creating organizational memory have been proposed only to prove that its applicability is limited to decision-making problems which require shallow or non-causal knowledge type. However, organizational memory with a sense of causal knowledge is highly required in solving complicated decision-making problems in which complex dynamics exist between various factors and influence each other with cause and effect relationship among them. In this respect, we propose a new approach to creating a causal-typed organizational memory (CATOM), which has a form of causal knowledge and is represented in a matrix form, by using an inference diagram. An algorithm for CATOM creation is suggested and applied to an illustrative example. Results show that our proposed KM approach can effectively equip an organization with semi-automated CATOM creation and inference process which is deemed useful in a highly competitive business environment.

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Development of Tele-image Processing Algorithm for Automatic Harvesting of House Melon (하우스멜론 수확자동화를 위한 원격영상 처리알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, S.C.;Im, D.H.;Chung, S.C.;Hwang, H.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.196-203
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    • 2008
  • Hybrid robust image processing algorithm to extract visual features of melon during the cultivation was developed based on a wireless tele-operative interface. Features of a melon such as size and shape including position were crucial to successful task automation and future development of cultivation data base. An algorithm was developed based on the concept of hybrid decision-making which shares a task between the computer and the operator utilizing man-computer interactive interface. A hybrid decision-making system was composed of three modules such as wireless image transmission, task specification and identification, and man-computer interface modules. Computing burden and the instability of the image processing results caused by the variation of illumination and the complexity of the environment caused by the irregular stem and shapes of leaves and shades were overcome using the proposed algorithm. With utilizing operator's teaching via LCD touch screen of the display monitor, the complexity and instability of the melon identification process has been avoided. Hough transform was modified for the image obtained from the locally specified window to extract the geometric shape and position of the melon. It took less than 200 milliseconds processing time.