• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk point

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성능위주설계에서 화재위험성 예측 과정의 문제점 및 개선방안 (The Problems and Improvements of Process to Predict Fire Risk of a Building in Performance Based Design)

  • 이세명
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.145-154
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    • 2014
  • Performance based design(PBD) is the method to make a fire safety design against them after predicting the factors of fire risk in a building. Therefore, predicting fire risk in a building is very important process in PBD. For predicting fire risk of a building, an engineer of PBD must consider various factors such as ignition location, ignition point, ignition source, first ignited item, second ignited item, flash over, the state of door and fire suppression system. But, it is difficult to trust fire safety capacity of the design because the process in Korea' PBD is unprofessional and unreasonable. This paper had surveyed some cases of PBD that had been made in Korea to find the problems of the process to predict fire risk. And it have proposed the improvements of process to predict fire risk of a building.

정량적 위험해석을 이용한 크레인 낙하물의 위험성 평가에 관한 연구 (Risk Assessment of Dropped Object in Offshore Engineering through Quantified Risk Analysis)

  • 장철호;이주성
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2017
  • Previous methods to evaluate the risk of dropped objects rely on personnel experience of the engineer or operator without analyzed data. However analyzing historical statistic data is the best approach to find the safest operation route and to achieve more reasonable and reliable calculation results. By counting the failure frequency and fatal accident rate the risk can be quantified, and so controlled or mitigated with best economical risk reducing measures. This analysis gives a crane operator with useful information for selecting the best crane operation route, and a designer with an estimation of risk level for the dropped objects from a safety point of view.

A View from the Bottom: Project-Oriented Risk Mining Approach for Overseas Construction Projects

  • Lee, JeeHee;Son, JeongWook;Yi, June-Seong
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.97-100
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    • 2015
  • Analysis of construction tender documents in overseas projects is a very important issue from a risk management point of view. Unfortunately, majority of construction firms are biased by winning contracts without in-depth analysis of tender documents. As a result, many contractors have incurred loss in overseas projects. Although a lot of risk analysis techniques have been introduced, most of them focus project's external unexpected risks such as country conditions and owner's financial standing. However, because those external risks are difficult to control and take preemptive action, we need to concentrate on project inherent risks. Based on this premise, this paper proposes a project-oriented risk mining approach which could detect and extract project risk factors automatically before they are materialized and assess them. This study presents a methodology regarding how to extract potential risks which exist in owner's project requirements and project tender documents using state of the art data analysis method such as text mining, data mining, and information visualization. The project-oriented risk mining approach is expected to effectively reflect project characteristics to the project risk management and could provide construction firms with valuable business intelligence.

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대전공단지역의 대기중 독성금속에 대한 위해도 평가 (Risk Assessment of Airborne Toxic Metals in Thejon Industrial Complex)

  • 이진홍;윤미정;남병현;왕창근;강호
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1999
  • The research centers on the concentration profile and risk assessment of toxic metals for ambient air in Taejon industrial complex. Airborne concentrations of each toxic metal for risk assessment were obtained from 2-year sampling by high volume air sampler and analysis by ICP-MS and ICP-AES in the complex. The long-term arithmetic mean of human carcinogen, arsenic, hexavalent chromium and nickel subsulfide was 5.53, 2.16 and $3.46ng/m^3$ while the mean of probable human carcinogen, beryllium, cadmium and lead was 0.08, 2.35, $293.29ng/m^3$, respectively. And the long-term arithmetic mean concentration of non-carcinogenic metal, manganese was $55.91ng/m^3$. The point risk estimate for the inhalation of carcinogenic metals was $3.6{\times}10^{-5}$, which was higher than a risk standard of $10^{-5}$. About 75% of the cancer risk was to the inhalation of human carcinogen, arsenic. Thus, it is necessary to properly manage arsenic risk in Taejon industrial complex. The point hazard index by the inhalation of manganese was 1.1. Therefore, an investigation into Taejon industrial complex is needed to obtain more fine long-term concentration data for airborne non-carcinogenic metals including manganese.

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충돌 위험 모델을 활용한 UAM 평행 항로 충돌 위험 분석 (UAM Parallel Corridor Collision Risk Analysis based on Collision Risk Model)

  • 김연실;배중원
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.561-567
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구에서는 유인기 회랑에 적용되는 충돌 위험 모델을 활용하여 UAM (Urban Air Mobility) 회랑의 충돌 위험을 분석하였다. K-UAM 로드맵과 운용개념서에 따르면 UAM은 기존 유인기 운항과 유사하게 지정된 항로를 비행하는 형태를 가지며 출발지와 도착지를 왕복하는 두 가지의 노선으로 운행될 것으로 예상된다. 국내 유인기 노선 중 김포공항-제주공항 간 유인기 운행이 이와 유사하며 두 개의 노선 간 횡 방향 분리간격을 가진 평행항로 형태를 띤다. 본 연구에서는 이와 유사한 형태의 UAM 회랑에 대해 유인기 평행 항로 충돌 위험 분석에 활용되는 충돌 위험 모델을 활용하여 횡 방향 분리간격에 따른 UAM 회랑의 충돌 위험을 분석하였다. 이를 바탕으로 최종적으로 K-UAM 실증 노선을 고려하여 한강 폭 내에 몇 개의 평행 항로가 설치될 수 있는지 분석하였다.

Consumer Perceived Risk in the Korean Mobile Phone Market

  • Chung, Lak-Chae;Cho, Young-Sang;Kim, Hak-Ryul
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권9호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - This study aims to illustrate the relationship between demographic factors and perceived risk types, supposing that Korean customers tend to postpone buying or hesitate to purchase the new version of hand sets, because of an early buying risk. Research design, data, and methodology - In addition to existing perceived risk types, the authors introduced an early buying risk. In order to measure each variable, also, the study has employed a five-point Liker-scale. To increase research reliability and validity, the research adopted an exploratory factor analysis, a confirmatory factor analysis, and one-way ANOVA. Results - First, there were statistically significant differences between financial risk and the group. Second, there weren't any statistically significant differences between the group means among the four perceived risk types (Performance Risk, Social Risk, Psychological Risk, and Physical Risk) and 4 factors (Gender, Age, Job, and Education). Lastly, job is apparently differentiated from others (Gender, Age, and Education). Conclusions - The authors found that customers regarded an early buying risk as one of the important perceived risk types, when purchasing a hand set.

낙지 카드뮴 파동과 리스크 커뮤니케이션 (The Small Octopus Cadmium Shock and Risk Communication)

  • 안종주
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제36권5호
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    • pp.435-439
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    • 2010
  • In Korea, food-risk shock announcements are made one or more times annually; such as last September, 2010 when Seoul City revealed a very high concentration of cadmium in small octopus intestines sold in Korea. As a result, consumers avoided eating domestic as well as imported small octopus. Fishermen protested against Seoul city; however, the Korean Food and Drug Administration (KFDA) announced that small octopus intestines pose no safety risk. The conflict between KFDA and Seoul City on the safety of small octopus intestines amplified the confusion of consumers. The small octopus cadmium shock resembled previous food-risk shocks in many respects. Effective risk communication is important in resolving food risk shocks as risk affects people case-by-case; for example people who do not eat small octopus intestines should not be at any risk, but those who do enjoy small octopus intestines, especially one more times per week, could be at risk. Therefore, it is necessary to communicate different risk messages to people or groups with different eating habits. From this point of view, the risk message conveyed by the KFDA on small octopus intestines was not appropriate.

화학공정 주변지역에 미치는 위험성(사회적 위험성 및 개인적 위험성) 평가방법에 관한 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study on the Risk(Individual and Societal) Assessment for Surrounding Areas of Chemical Processes)

  • 김윤화;엄성인;고재욱
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 1995
  • Two methods of the numerical method of CPQRA(Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis) and the manual method of IAEA(International Atomic Energy Agency) were used to estimate the individual risk and societal risk around the chemical plant. Where, the CPQRA is introduced to verify the theoritical background of the manual of international atomic energy agency. The Gaussian plume model which has a weather stability class D with velocity of 5m/s was applied to calculate dispersion of hazard material. Also, 8-point method was employed to the effects of accidents for wind distribution. Furthermore, historical record, FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) and ETA(Event Tree Analysis) were used to estimate the probability or frequency of accidents. Eventually, the individual risk shows isorisk contour and the societal risk shows F-N curve around hazard facility, especially in chemical plants. Caulculated results, which both individual and societal risk, by using IAEA manual show simillar results to those of calculation by numerical method of CPQRA.

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FMECA 기법을 적용한 건설현장 거푸집작업의 통합 안전위험성 평가 및 대응방안 마련 (Integrated Safety Risk Assessment and Response Preparation on Construction Site Formwork Using FMECA Method)

  • 안선주;송상훈
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2012
  • Risk Assessment to list possible safety disasters and their probability and severity is the starting point for effective safety management on construction project site. However, the safety managers in owners, construction supervisors, contractors, and sub-contractors still have difficulties in judging the priorities of safety activities and preparing responses to each potential safety disasters. Therefore, this study aimed to suggest a systematic method in assessing safety risk prior to commencement with the agreement of stakeholders. FMECA(failure mode effects and criticality analysis) was selected as a main assessment tool and it was modified according to the characteristics of construction projects and trades. Each risk is, firstly, evaluated with occurrence probability, possible loss and impacts to projects, and detections, and then risk priority number(RPN) is calculated. Subsequently, the managers of each stakeholder discuss the types, timing, and responsibilities of responses as a group decision-making process.

A Modification of the Approach to the Evaluation of Collision Risk Using Sech Function

  • Jeong, Tae-Gweon;Chao, Chen
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2006년도 International Symposium on GPS/GNSS Vol.1
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2006
  • Evaluation of collision risk plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This paper presents a new collision risk model formula that is one modification model on the basis of one approach to the evaluation of collision risk using sech function produced by Prof. Jeong in his relevant $articles^{[2][3][4][5]}$. And as a grope in collision risk evaluation field, this paper applied the new model in appraising the collision risk, suggested how to decide the safe range of own ship’'s action. Moreover this paper also analyzed theoretically how to determine the coefficients as describes in the new modification model formula, and suggested the appropriate values as applicable.

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