• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk map

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A New Methodology for Flood Prediction Mapping Using Levee Risk Map (제방 리스크 지도를 활용한 새로운 침수예상도 작성)

  • Lee, Jae Yeong;Park, Jun Hyung;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.116-116
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    • 2016
  • 최근 이상기후로 인해 다양한 원인으로 홍수가 발생하고 있으며, 이에 대한 대책으로 가상의 강우 시나리오에 대한 침수예상도가 작성되어 해당지역의 주민들에게 정보를 제공하고 있다. 하지만 이러한 침수예상도가 나타내는 모든 지역에 대해 예산을 투자하여 대비를 할 수 없는 실정이다. 이를 보완하기 위해 본 연구에서는 제방에 대한 수리학적, 지반공학적 위험도, 제방 자체의 성질과 특성을 반영한 취약도를 포함하는 제방 리스크 지도를 작성하여 외수범람에 대한 안전도를 등급화 하였다. 그 결과 침수예상도를 작성하는데 있어 제방 리스크 지도에서 등급이 높은, 즉 리스크가 높은 제방에 대한 재해대책을 수립하는 것이 효율적이다. 본 연구에서는 안성천 유역을 대상으로 제방 리스크 평가를 실시하고, 작성된 제방 리스크 지도를 바탕으로 제방의 붕괴 및 월류시나리오에 대해 1차원 외수범람 해석 및 2차원 침수해석을 실시하여 침수예상도를 작성하였다. 또한 기존의 침수예상도는 침수심에 대한 위험도만을 구분하여 나타내고 있지만, 본 연구에서는 다양한 요소에 대한 침수예상도를 제시함으로써 연구결과물이 재해예방 및 재해경감대책 수립을 위한 기초자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Encryption-based Image Steganography Technique for Secure Medical Image Transmission During the COVID-19 Pandemic

  • Alkhliwi, Sultan
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2021
  • COVID-19 poses a major risk to global health, highlighting the importance of faster and proper diagnosis. To handle the rise in the number of patients and eliminate redundant tests, healthcare information exchange and medical data are transmitted between healthcare centres. Medical data sharing helps speed up patient treatment; consequently, exchanging healthcare data is the requirement of the present era. Since healthcare professionals share data through the internet, security remains a critical challenge, which needs to be addressed. During the COVID-19 pandemic, computed tomography (CT) and X-ray images play a vital part in the diagnosis process, constituting information that needs to be shared among hospitals. Encryption and image steganography techniques can be employed to achieve secure data transmission of COVID-19 images. This study presents a new encryption with the image steganography model for secure data transmission (EIS-SDT) for COVID-19 diagnosis. The EIS-SDT model uses a multilevel discrete wavelet transform for image decomposition and Manta Ray Foraging Optimization algorithm for optimal pixel selection. The EIS-SDT method uses a double logistic chaotic map (DLCM) is employed for secret image encryption. The application of the DLCM-based encryption procedure provides an additional level of security to the image steganography technique. An extensive simulation results analysis ensures the effective performance of the EIS-SDT model and the results are investigated under several evaluation parameters. The outcome indicates that the EIS-SDT model has outperformed the existing methods considerably.

Comparison of Flooding Patterns according to the Location of the Collapse of Dam body (저수지 댐 붕괴 지점에 따른 침수 양상 비교)

  • Danxun, Liu;Lee, Gil-Ha
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.461-470
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    • 2022
  • When an agricultural soil dam collapses, the extent of inundation and the rate of diffusion vary depending on where the collapse occurs in the dam body. In this study, a dam collapse scenario was established and a two-dimensional numerical model FLO-2D was used to closely examine the inundation pattern of the downstream residential area according to the dam collapse point. The results were presented as a flood risk map showing the changes and patterns of the extent of inundation spread. The flood level and the time to reach the maximum water level vary depending on the point of collapse, and the inundation of the downstream area proceeds rapidly in the order of the midpoint, left point, and right point collapse. In the left collapse point, the submergence appeared about 0.5 hour slower than the middle point, and the right collapse point appeared about 1 hour slower than the middle point. Since the relative damage pattern is different depending on the dam collapse point, insurance and disaster countermeasures will have to be established differently.

Multivariate assessment of the occurrence of compound Hazards at the pan-Asian region

  • Davy Jean Abella;Kuk-Hyun Ahn
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.166-166
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    • 2023
  • Compound hazards (CHs) are two or more extreme climate events combined which occur simultaneously in the same region at the same time. Compared to individual hazards, the combination of hazards that cause CHs can result in greater economic losses and deaths. While several extreme climate events have been recorded across Asia for the past decades, many studies have only focused on a single hazard. In this study, we assess the spatiotemporal pattern of dry compound hazards which includes drought, heatwave, fire and wind across Asia for the last 42 years (1980-2021) using the historical data from ERA5 Reanalysis dataset. We utilize a daily spatial data of each climate event to assess the occurrence of such compound hazards on a daily basis. Heatwave, fire and wind hazard occurrences are analyzed using daily percentile-based thresholds while a pre-defined threshold for SPI is applied for drought occurrence. Then, the occurrence of each type of compound hazard is taken from overlapping the map of daily occurrences of a single hazard. Lastly, a multivariate assessment are conducted to quantify the occurrence frequency, hotspots and trends of each type of compound hazard across Asia. By conducting a multivariate analysis of the occurrence of these compound hazards, we identify the relationships and interactions in dry compound hazards including droughts, heatwaves, fires, and winds, ultimately leading to better-informed decisions and strategies in the natural risk management.

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A System Dynamics View of Safety Management in Small Construction Companies

  • Guo, Brian H.W.;Yiu, Tak Wing;Gonzalez, Vicente A.
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.92-96
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    • 2015
  • Due to unique characteristics of small construction companies, safety management is comprised of complex problems (e.g., resources constraints, a lack of formalized management structures, low level of management safety commitment etc.). In order to understand causal interdependencies between safety factors at different system levels (regulation, organization, technical and individual), this paper aims to develop a system dynamics (SD) model of safety management in small construction companies. The purpose of the SD model is to better understand why small construction companies have low level of safety performance. A causal loop diagram (CLD) was developed based on literature, with an attempt to map causal relationships between variables. The CLD was then converted into stock and flow diagram for simulation. Various tests were conducted to build confidence in the model's ability to represent the reality. A number of policies were analyzed by changing the value of parameters. The value of a system dynamics approach to safety management in small construction companies is its ability to address joint effects of multiple safety risk factors on safety performance with a systems thinking perspective. By taking into account feedback loops and non-linear relationships, such a system dynamics model provides insights into the complex causes of relatively poor safety performance of small construction companies and improvement strategies.

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PREDICTING CORPORATE FINANCIAL CRISIS USING SOM-BASED NEUROFUZZY MODEL

  • Jieh-Haur Chen;Shang-I Lin;Jacob Chen;Pei-Fen Huang
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.382-388
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    • 2011
  • Being aware of the risk in advance necessitates intricate processes but is feasible. Although previous studies have demonstrated high accuracy, their performance still leaves room for improvement. A self-organizing feature map (SOM) based neurofuzzy model is developed in this study to provide another alternative for forecasting corporate financial distress. The model is designed to yield high prediction accuracy, as well as reference rules for evaluating corporate financial status. As a database, the study collects all financial reports from listed construction companies during the latest decade, resulting in over 1000 effective samples. The proportion of "failed" and "non-failed" companies is approximately 1:2. Each financial report is comprised of 25 ratios which are set as the input variable s. The proposed model integrates the concepts of pattern classification, fuzzy modeling and SOM-based optimization to predict corporate financial distress. The results exhibit a high accuracy rate at 85.1%. This model outperforms previous tools. A total of 97 rules are extracted from the proposed model which can be also used as reference for construction practitioners. Users may easily identify their corporate financial status by using these rules.

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Cardiovascular and Perceived Exertion Response to Treadmill Running and Cycle Ergometer Exercise in Responder and Nonresponder Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients (심장재활에 참여한 급성 관상동맥증후군 환자에서 약물 반응과 운동 형태의 변화에 따른 심혈관과 운동자각도의 반응)

  • Kim, Young-Joo;Kim, Chul-Hyun
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.1263-1270
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of exercise mode and anti-hypertensive drug responding status on the cardiovascular response and perceived exertion in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. Seventy-five patients who participated in six-week exercise rehabilitation therapy performed a treadmill running and a cycle ergometer exercise at intensities of 60%HRR and 85%HRR respectively. Systolic and diastolic blood pressure, mean arterial blood pressure (MAP), rate pressure production (RPP), and ratings of perceived exertion (RPE) were measured. The results of cardiovascular response by the different exercise modes with moderate and intensive intensity of anti-hypertensive drug responder and nonresponder ACS patients were following: First cycle ergometer exercise induced significantly higher SBP, DBP, MAP, RPP and MAP than treadmill running exercise at the intensities of 60%HRR and 85%HRR in both anti-hypertensive responder and nonresponder ACS patients (p<0.05). Secondly anti-hypertensive nonresponder ACS patients had significantly higher DBP and MAP that anti-hypertensive responder ACS patients at all the exercise modes (p<0.05). Finally there was no difference of RPP between anti-hypertensive responder and nomresponder ACS patients, although anti-hypertensive nonresponder ACS patients showed higher blood pressure and RPP than anti-hypertensive responder ACS patients. In conclusion, cycle ergometer induced increased cardiovascular response at same intensities of treadmill running exercise and anti-hypertensive nonresponder ACS patients had even more increased cardiovascular response than anti-hypertensive responder ACS patients with no difference in perceived exertion during exercise. These results suggested that cycle ergometer exercise should be greatly careful with the risk of higher blood pressure, especially for those who are patients with hypertensive blood pressure.

Uncertainty of Agrometeorological Advisories Caused by the Spatiotemporally Averaged Climate References (시공간평균 기준기후에 기인한 농업기상특보의 불확실성)

  • Kim, Dae-jun;Kim, Jin-Hee;Kim, Soo-Ock
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.120-129
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    • 2017
  • Agrometeorological advisories for farms and orchards are issued when daily weather exceeds a predefined range of the local reference climate, which is a long-term average of daily weather for the location. The reference climate at local scales is prepared by various simplification methods, resulting in uncertainty in the agrometeorological advisories. We restored daily weather data for the 1981-2010 period and analyzed the differences in prediction results of weather risk by comparing with the temporal and spatial simplified normal climate values. For this purpose, we selected the agricultural drought index (ADI) among various disaster related indices because ADI requires many kinds of weather data to calculate it. Ten rural counties within the Seomjin River Basin were selected for this study. The normal value of 'temporal simplification' was calculated by using the daily average value for 30 years (1981-2010). The normal value of 'spatial simplification' is the zonal average of the temporally simplified normal values falling within a standard watershed. For residual moisture index, temporal simplification normal values were overestimated, whereas spatial simplification normal values were underestimated in comparison with non-simplified normal values. The ADI's calculated from January to July 2017 showed a significant deviation in terms of the extent of drought depending on the normal values used. Through this study, we confirmed that the result of weather risk calculation using normal climatic values from 'simplified' methods can affect reliability of the agrometeorological advisories.

A Study on the Disaster Prevention of the Royal Tomb Eureung in the Mountain Cheonjang - Estimation on Forest Fire Risk Considering Forest Type and Topography - (천장산 의릉의 방재대책에 관한 연구 - 임상과 지형인자를 고려한 산불위험성 평가 -)

  • Won, Myoung-Soo;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Choi, Jong-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Traditional Landscape Architecture
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the risk of the forest fire, considering the topography and the forest, for establishing disaster prevention measures of cultural heritage, Uireung, over in Cheonjang-mountain. To do that, we estimate the occurrence and spread of the forest fire over in Cheonjang-mountain through a forest fire probability model(logistic regression), using the space characteristic data($100m{\times}100m$). The factor, occurrence of the forest fire, are diameter class, southeast, southwest, south, coniferous, deciduous, and mixed forest. We assume the probability of the fire forest in each point as follow : [1+exp{-(-4.8081-(0.02453*diameter class)+(0.6608*southeast)+(0.507*southwest)+(0.7943*south)+(0.29498*coniferous forest)+(0.28897*deciduous forest)+(0.17788*mixed forest))}]$^{-1}$. To divide dangerous zone of the big forest fire, we make the basic materials for disaster prevention measures, through the map of coniferous forests, deciduous forests, and mixed forest. The damage of cultural heritage caused by a forest fire will be reduced through the effective preventive measures, by forecast a forest fire to using this study.

Assessing Habitat Quality and Risk of Coastal Areasin Busan (부산 연안역의 서식지 질 및 위험도 평가)

  • Jeong, Sehwa;Sung, Kijune
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2022
  • Busan, where the coastal ecosystem health is deteriorating due to high development pressure and intensity of use, needs ecosystem management that considers humans and the natural environment together for sustainable use and ecosystem preservation of the coastal areas. In this study, the InVEST model was applied to assess the habitat status of the coastal land and coastal sea to manage the ecosystem based on habitats. As a result of the assessment of the coastal land, the habitat quality of Gadeok-do, Igidae, and Sinseondae, Gijang-gun are high, and Seo-gu, Jung-gu, Dong-gu, and Suyeong-gu are low. In the case of the coastal sea, the habitat risk of the Nakdong river estuary is low, and some areas of Yeongdo-gu, Saha-gu, Gangseo-gu are high. Therefore, for the sustainable use and preservation of coastal ecosystems, it is necessary to prepare ecosystem-based management measures to improve damaged habitats and reduce threats. In addition, the impact on coastal seas should be fully considered when planning coastal land development. The results of the InVEST habitat quality model in coastal land show similar tendencies to the biotope and environmental conservation value assessment map. The results of the habitat risk assessment in the coastal sea are expected to be utilized to identify habitats in the coastal sea and management of threat factors.