• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk index

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Development of Risk Rating and Index for Coastal Activity Locations

  • Lee, Young-Jai;Jung, Cho-Young;Gu, Ja-Yeong
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 2020
  • This paper develops a risk index based on an indicator of risk assessment in terms of coastal activity location and accident type. The risk index is derived from a formula which adds the consequence of failure to a vulnerability value, then subtracts the mitigation value. Specifically, the consequence of failure is the number of casualties in coastal activity locations. An indicator of vulnerability refers to coastal environment elements and social elements. A pointer of mitigation includes managerial and organizational elements that indicate the capabilities of coastal activities. A risk rating of coastal activity location is found from a risk matrix consisting of the accident location and type. The purpose of this study is to prevent accidents at coastal activity locations by allowing the Coastal police guard to monitor effectively and inform visitors of potential risks.

최소 자산제약 및 인플레이션을 고려한 자산 할당에 관한 연구 (Optimal Asset Allocation with Minimum Performance and Inflation Risk)

  • 임병화
    • 경영과학
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.167-181
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    • 2013
  • We investigate the dynamic asset allocation problem under inflation risk when the wealth of an investor is constrained with minimum requirements. To capture the investor's risk preference, the CRRA utility function is considered and he maximizes his expected utility at predetermined date of the refund by participation in the financial market. The financial market is supposed to consist of three kinds of financial instruments which are a risk free asset, a risky asset, and an index bond. The role of an index bond is managing inflation risk represented by price process. The optimal wealth and the optimal asset allocation are derived explicitly by using the method to get the European call option pricing formula. From the numerical results, it is confirmed that the investments on index bond is high when the investor's wealth level is low. However, as his wealth increases, the investments on index bond decreases and he invests on risky asset more. Furthermore, the minimum wealth constraint induces lower investment on risky asset but the effect of the constraints is reduced as the wealth level increases.

Malignancy Risk Scoring of Hydatidiform Moles

  • Pradjatmo, Heru;Dasuki, Djaswadi;Dwianingsih, Ery Kus;Triningsih, Ediati
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.2441-2445
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    • 2015
  • Background: Several risk factors leading to malignant transformation of hydatidiform moles have been described previously. Many studies showed that prophylactic chemotherapy for high risk hydatidiform moles could significantly decrease the incidence of malignancy. Thus, it is essential to discover a breakthrough to determine patients with high risk malignancy so that prophylactic chemotherapy can be started as soon as possible. Objectives: Development of a scoring system of risk factors as a predictor of hydatidiform mole malignant transformation. Materials and Methods: This research is a case control study with hydatidiform mole and choriocarcinoma patients as subjects. Multiple logistic regression was used to analyze the data. Odds ratios (OR), attributable at risk (AR : OR-1) and risk index ($ARx{\beta}$) were calculated for develoipment of a scoring system of malignancy risk. The optimal cut-off point was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: This study analyzed 34 choriocarcinoma cases and 68 benign hydatidiform mole cases. Four factors significantly increased the risk of malignancy, namely age ${\geq}35$ years old (OR:4.41, 95%CI:1.07-16.09, risk index 5); gestational age ${\geq}$ 12weeks (OR:11.7, 95%CI:1.8-72.4, risk index 26); uterine size greater than the gestational age (OR:10.2, 95%CI:2.8-36.6, risk index 21); and histopathological grade II-III (OR:3.4, 95%CI:1.1-10.6, risk index 3). The lowest and the highest scores for the risk factors were zero and 55, respectively. The best cut-off point to decide high risk malignancy patients was ${\geq}31$. Conclusions: Malignant transformation of hydatidiform moles can be predicted using the risk scoring by analyzing the above four parameters. Score ${\geq}31$ implies high risk patients so that prophylactic chemotherapy can be promptly administered for prevention.

재해분석을 통한 배전선로 활선작업 공종별 위험지수 평가 (The Assessment of the Risk Index of Live-line Works on Distribution Line by the Accident Analysis)

  • 최승동;현소영;한형주;신운철
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2011
  • The live-line works are very dangerous because of direct contacts with the distribution line or neighboring contacts. So the purpose of this study is to identify the risk factor by accident occurrence form and accident case analysis, and to suggest the quantified risk index by risk occurrence frequency and risk strength analysis. And the risk index assessment is researched by accident cases analysis on work type. Accident cases of transmission distribution line are researched based on data of the Ministry of Employment and Labor in the last ten-year period (2000~2009). In results of this paper, high risk isn't always a priority of safety measures. Risk occurrence frequency and risk strength have to be considered according to detail work types, work methods and conditions of field work. And safety management measures must be planned according to risk occurrence frequency and risk strength.

TOTAL RISK INDEX FOR ASSESSING RISK LEVELS OF OVERSEAS CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS

  • Du Yon Kim;Seung Heon Han;Heedae Park
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1414-1418
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    • 2009
  • International construction projects typically manifest difficult, complex, and varied types of risk exposures; because of this, there is a need for accurate evaluation of risk-integrated performances during the timeframe of project execution. Given the financial crisis currently affecting the world economy recession, risk management has become a more crucial part for the success of international project management. However, the majority of risk management approaches, particularly for overseas projects, are focused primarily on simple forms of checklists, formalization of risk variables affecting project performance for a specific phase, or more complicated computational methods that restricting practical utilization in real-world projects; moreover, these methods lack the conceptual basis to broadly visualize the level of risk over all phases of a project. This study suggests an efficient, yet simple risk-integrated total index to successfully assess the risk levels of overseas construction projects. To this end, this paper first investigates the life cycles and key processes of decision-making for a given project and then derives formulas to represent the total risk index (TRI) along the key decision-making processes. In addition, the study examines the relationships between TRI and performance levels based on the analysis of 126 real-world project samples. Validations using the proposed TRI showed a high correlation to project performance, signifying the usefulness of the proposed approach for construction firms when investigating the level of risks and key areas for management focus.

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운송시스템의 리스크 분석방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Risk Analysis Method on the Transport System)

  • 김은지;김환성
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제40권3호
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    • pp.147-157
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    • 2016
  • 시장의 세계화와 정보통신의 발전에 의해 물류 네트워크가 장기, 복잡화되어 지며, 네트워크 내에서 발생하는 리스크에 대응할 수 있는 시스템 능력이 감퇴했다. 이러한 리스크의 발생에 의해 물류시스템의 신뢰성이 저하되어, 리스크 관리의 필요성이 함께 증가하였다. 본 연구에서는 운송시스템 상에서 발생할 수 있는 리스크를 정의하고, 운송시스템의 신뢰성과 리스크 간의 관계를 규명하였다. 또한 운송시스템의 리스크 인자를 도출하여, 운송시스템의 리스크를 수리적으로 평가하는 분석 방법론을 제안하였다. 리스크 인자의 값을 산정하기 위해 발생 지수와 영향지수를 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 제안한 분석방법론을 대형화물자동차 운송시스템에 적용하여 사례연구를 실시하였고, 적용된 운송시스템에 대한 리스크 지수를 최종적으로 도출하였다. 본 연구결과로서 운송시스템에 대한 리스크를 수치화하여 분석 할 수 있음을 보였으며, 향후 본 연구 결과가 운송시스템의 리스크 관리와 리스크 회피전략 도출을 위한 기초연구자료로 활용될 것으로 판단된다.

보험 손실액을 활용한 자연재해 위험 지도 개발 및 적용방안 연구 (Development of Natural Hazard Risk Map using Insured Claim Payouts and Its Application)

  • 김지명;박영준
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2015년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.257-258
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    • 2015
  • The amount of damages caused by natural hazards is consistently growing due to the unusual weather and extreme events. At the same time, property damage by natural hazards is rapidly increasing as well. Hence, we need systematic anti-disaster activities and consulting that can react to such a situation. To address these needs, we investigated and analyzed insured claim payouts from natural hazards by administrative area, and calculate the risk index utilizing GIS. According to the index, this map is identifying the areas of greatest natural hazard risk. The ranking of natural disaster vulnerability based on the risk index, and risk grades were divided into five based on the ranking. This map integrates the natural hazard losses to assist in comprehensive and effective loss prevention activities using analysis of regional loss claims from natural hazards. Moreover, this map can be as utilized as loss mitigation and prevention activities to verify the distribution of exposure and hazards.

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A Risk Performance Measurement System for the Construction Project

  • Seon Gyoo Kim;Jin Bong Kim;Moon Serk Young;Bong Cheol Jeon;Han Kim;Young Jeong Yu
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1591-1598
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the researches on the urban regeneration projects have been performed very actively. It is a part of the effort that solves some social and economical problems occurred by deteriorated buildings and degraded infrastructures through new urban regeneration projects or redevelopment projects. However, the urban regeneration projects show the characteristics that can not guarantee in the project performance because the projects have various and complex stakeholders related to these projects and are exposed to lots of risks due to its huge scale. This study proposed the risk performance index method to improve the efficiency of the overall performance measurement for a mega-project by extending from the traditional cost/schedule based performance measurement system. The risk performance index method proposed in this study has a similar system to the EVMS, and makes possible to perform a three dimensional integrated performance measurement in cost/schedule/risk through 18 different indexes that compose the risk performance index.

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Age-Related Loss of Skeletal Muscle and Associated Risk Factors in Middle-Aged Men: A Comprehensive Study

  • Jongseok Hwang
    • 대한물리의학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2023
  • PURPOSE: This study examined the specific clinical risk factors in middle-aged men with age-related loss of skeletal muscle mass (ALSMM). METHODS: The present research analyzed the data from a cross-sectional study of 1,564 community-dwelling participants aged between 40 to 49 years old. The participants were screened for ALSMM. The study examined various risk factors, including age, height, weight, body mass index, waist circumference, skeletal muscle mass index, smoking and drinking status, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, fasting glucose levels, and triglyceride and cholesterol levels. RESULTS: The risk factors of ALSMM were height, body mass index, waist circumference, skeletal muscle mass index, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, drinking status, fasting glucose, and triglyceride levels (p < .05). The weight, triglyceride, and smoking status variables were non-significant (p > .05). CONCLUSION: The risk factors for ALSMM among community-dwelling adults were determined. These results are expected to contribute to the existing literature on ALSMM and provide potential risk factors associated with the development of ALSMM in middle-aged males.

한국 12세 아동의 Significant Caries Index (The Significant Caries Index of 12 Years Old in Korean)

  • 안은숙;한지형
    • 치위생과학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 제4기 국민건강영양조사 자료(2007~2009)를 바탕으로 12세 아동 중 치아우식증 고위험군을 확인하고, 치아우식증 고위험군과 저위험군으로 분류하여 인구 사회과학적 특성과, 구강건강에 대한 인식 및 행태에 대한 자료를 비교 분석하여 다음과 같은 결과를 얻었다. 1. 12세 아동 중 치아우식증 저위험군의 DMFT index는 0.89, 고위험군의 SiC index는 6.04로 6배 정도 높게 나타났으며, 이는 치아우식증 비교지표인 DMFT가 정규분포하지않고 심하게 치우쳐 있다는 결과였다. 2. 성별 분석에서는 여성이 남성에 비해 치아우식증 고위험군에 포함된 확률이 높은 것으로 나타났다(p<0.01). 3. 12세 아동이 스스로 구강건강에 대해 건강하지 못하다고 생각할수록 치아우식증 고위험군에 포함될 확률이 높아지는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 4. 칫솔질 횟수에 따라 살펴봤을 때는 칫솟질이 불규칙할 경우가 1일 3회 이상 규칙적으로 시행하는 경우보다 고위험군에 포함될 확률이 적은 것으로 나타났다(p<0.01). 이상의 연구결과를 통해 12세 아동의 치아우식증 고위험집단에 영향을 미치는 위험요인들을 파악할 수 있었다. 이러한 결과를 바탕으로 보다 효과적인 구강보건 예방전략을 수립하는 기틀을 마련할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.