• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.47-54
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• 2017

Introduction of robustness index in the structure is done in three ways: deterministic robustness index, probabilistic robustness index, and risk-based robustness index. In past decades, there have been numerous researches to evaluate robustness index in both deterministic and probabilistic ways. In this research, by using a risk analysis, a risk-based robustness index has been defined for the structure. By creating scenarios in accordance with uncertainty parameters of critical and unexpected gas blast accident, a new method has been suggested for evaluating risk-based robustness index. Finally, a numerical example for the evaluation of risk-based robustness index of a four-storey reinforced concrete moment frame, designed and built based on Eurocode 8 code, has been presented with results showing a lower risk of robustness.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.67-85
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• 2018

We propose a noise reduced risk aversion index for measuring risk aversion through a laboratory experiment to overcome disadvantages of the multiple pricing list format developed by Holt and Laury (2002). We use randomized multiple list choices with coarser classification and reward weighting, supplement the rank of risk aversion with extra individual characteristics of risk attitude, and construct an index of risk aversion by standardizing the risk aversion ranking with quantile normalization. Our method reduces multiple switching problems that noisy decision makers mistakenly commit in experimental approaches, so that it is free of the framing effect which severely occurred in the HL. Furthermore, the index doesn't utilize any specific utility function or probability weighting, which allows researcher to hold the independence axiom. Since our noise reduced index of risk aversion has many good traits, it is widely used and applied to reveal fundamental characteristics of risk-related behaviors in economics and finance regardless of experimental environment.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제35권3호
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• pp.16-23
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• 2020

The use of construction machinery has been increasing every year due to the large scale, high-rise and lack of workers in construction work. On the other hand, deaths are on the rise every year due to inadequate risk management for construction machinery work. In addition, the number of deaths caused by the lack of signals or insufficient signals during construction machinery work is increasing rapidly, and it is deemed necessary to analyze the actual conditions and take countermeasures. Therefore this study has developed the Strength Risk Index (SRI) based on the Frequency Risk Index (FRI) and the 5W1H by analyzing in-depth deaths caused by construction machinery over the past five years. The risk index (RI) was assessed using the frequency and strength risk index derived to determine whether it is acceptable (acceptable risk < 0.25 ≦ unacceptable risk) and the risk assessment method for reducing risk was proposed by applying 3E (Engineering, Education, Enforcement) measures for each level of risk for unacceptable risk. It also proposed measures to improve the system, such as requirements for signal numbers, mandatory placement standards, and mandatory installation of side and rear monitoring cameras, as measures for accidents caused by failure to deploy signals or insufficient signals, which account for the highest proportion of deaths among construction machinery operators and workers.

• 환경생물
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• 제36권4호
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• pp.672-679
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• 2018

본 연구는 MaxEnt 모형을 활용하여 가는털비름의 잠재서식지를 예측하고, 예측된 잠재서식지와 밭면적을 활용하여 가는털비름의 잡초로서의 부정적 영향에 대한 위험도 지수를 예측하기 위하여 수행되었다. 가는털비름의 분포 예측을 위하여 MaxEnt 모형을 구축하기 위하여 남한 전국의 254지점의 분포 자료와 6개의 생물 기후 인자를 활용하였다. 밭농업에 대한 두가지 방법의 위험도 평가를 수행하였고 격자 위험도 지수(raster risk index)는 $1km^2$ 격자별로 잠재 서식지 분포 확률과 밭면적의 비율을 서로 곱하여 나타냈다. 지역 위험도 지수(regional risk index)는 잠재 서식지 분포 확률의 평균과 전체 밭 면적 중 지방자치단체의 실제 밭면적의 비율을 곱하여 산출하였다. MaxEnt모형으로 예측된 가는털비름의 잠재서식지는 실제서식지와 유사하게 나타났으며 모델의 AUC 값 또한 0.711로 좋은 설명력을 지니는 것으로 분석되었다. 잠재서식지 비율이 가장 높게 나타난 지역은 광주광역시였고 격자 위험도 지수가 가장 높게 나타난 지역은 제주도였다. 지역 위험도 지수가 가장 높게 나타난 지역은 경상북도였다. 잠재 서식지 비율과 위험도 지수의 서로 다른 순위는 외래식물의 위험성을 예측할 때 잠재 서식지 비율만을 활용하여 외래식물의 위험성을 예측하는 것보다 외래식물이 부정적 영향을 주는 대상과 결합된 위험도 지수의 필요성을 제시한다. 또한 격자 위험도 지수, 지역 위험도 지수의 서로 다른 순위는 분석의 필요성에 따라서 다양한 평가 기법이 개발될 필요성을 보여준다.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제53권9호
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• pp.487-493
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• 2004

The electric power industry throughout the world is undergoing considerable changes from the vertically integrated utility structure to the deregulated market. However, the deregulated electricity market is operated with respect to theory of economical efficiency, and therefore, the system operator requires data with fast contingency ranking for security of the bulk power system. This paper compares the weather dependant probabilistic risk index(PRI) with the system performance index for power flow in the IEEE-RTS. The system performance index for power flow presents the power system stability. This paper presents fast calculation method for determining contingency ranking using the weather dependant probabilistic risk index(PRI). The probabilistic risk index can be classified into the case of normal and adverse weather. This paper proposes calculation method using the probabilistic risk index in determining contingency ranking required for security under the deregulated electricity market.

• 공업화학
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.197-204
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• 2021

본 연구는 건축용 자재인 목재 및 플라스틱의 연기 위험성 평가에 대하여 새로 고안된 연기성능지수-V (smoke performance index-V, SPI-V), 연기성장지수-V (smoke growth index-V, SGI-V), 연기위험성지수-VI (smoke risk index-VI, SRI-VI)를 중심으로 조사하였다. 시험편은 가문비나무, 나왕, polymethylmethacrylate (PMMA), polycarbonate (PC)를 사용하였다. 연기 특성은 콘칼로리미터(ISO 5660-1) 장비를 사용하여 시험편에 대하여 측정하였다. 연소반응 후 측정된 연기성능지수-V는 PMMA를 기준으로 1.0~3.4로 나타났다. 연기성능지수-V에 의한 연기위험성은 PC, 가문비나무, 나왕과 PMMA 순서로 증가하였다. 나왕과 PMMA는 유사한 값으로 나타났다. 연기성장지수-V는 PMMA를 기준으로 1.0~9.2로 나타났다. 연기성장지수-V에 의한 연기위험성은 PMMA, PC, 가문비나무, 나왕의 순서로 증가하였다. 모든 시편의 CO 피크 발생속도는 0.0021~0.0067 g/s로 측정되었다. 결론적으로 연소가 용이한 물질은 연기성능지수-V가 낮고, 연기성장지수-V가 높기 때문에 화재로 인한 연기위험성이 높은 것으로 이해된다. 이는 총괄적으로 연기위험성지수-VI로 정리된다.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.63-68
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• 2007

The purpose of this study is to verify the relation between the risk index using AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) and the risk index using Computing Model. For doing the objective, this research classified 22 work types in architectural construction work from the analysis Korean architectural standard specification and Korea occupational safety & health agency code. Based on the classified 22 work types in architectural construction work, the risk index of each work type was calculated by AHP and Computing Model. For verifying the correlation of risk index between AHP and Computing Model methods, SAS version 8.0 System, which is one of the statistics programs, was used.

• 국제강구조저널
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• 제18권5호
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• pp.1710-1722
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• 2018

Investigating remained damages from terrible earthquakes, it could be concluded that some events including explosion because of defect and failure in the building mechanical facilities or caused by gas leak, firing, aftershocks, etc., which are occurred during or a few time after the earthquake, will increase the effects of damages. In this paper, by introducing a complete risk analysis which included direct and indirect risks for earthquake (the main shock) and aftershock, the corresponding robustness index was created that called as "robustness index sequential critical events risk-based". One of the main properties of the intended robustness index is using progressive collapse percentage in its evaluation. Then, in a numerical example for a 4-storey moment resisting steel frame structure, a method is presented for obtaining all effective parameters in robustness index evaluation based on the intended risk and at last its results were reported.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.25-39
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• 2016

Asset prices decline sharply and stock markets collapse when financial crisis happens. Recently we have encountered more frequent financial crises than ever. 1998 currency crisis and 2008 global financial crisis triggered academic researches on early warning systems that aim to detect the symptom of financial crisis in advance. This study proposes a risk recovery index for detection of good opportunities from financial market instability. We use SVM classifier algorithms to separate recovery period from unstable financial market data. Input variables are KOSPI index and V-KOSPI200 index. Our SVM algorithms show highly accurate forecasting results on testing data as well as training data. Risk recovery index is derived from our SVM-trained outputs. We develop a trading system that utilizes the suggested risk recovery index. The trading result records very high profit, that is, its annual return runs to 121%.

• 공업화학
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• 제34권4호
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• pp.388-396
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• 2023

연소성 물질의 화재위험성 평가를 하기 위하여 Chung's equations-X, Chung's equations-XI, 그리고 Chung's equation-XII 를 새로 정립하였다. 화재위험성지수-XII (fire risk index-XII, FRI-XII)와 화재위험성등급(fire risk rating, FRR)을 산정하였다. 시험편은 녹나무, 벚나무, 고무나무, 느릅나무를 선택하였다. 콘칼로리미터(ISO 5660-1)를 사용하여 시험편에 대한 연소 특성을 시험하였다. Chung's equations에 의해 산정된 화재성능지수-X (fire performance index-X, FPI-X)과 화재성장지수-X (fire growth index-X, FGI-X)은 각각 89.34~1696.75 s²/kW와 0.0006~0.0107 kW/s² 로 나타났다. 또한 화재성능지수-XI (fire performance index-XI, FPI-XI)과 화재성장지수-XI (fire growth index-XI, FGI-XI)은 각각 0.08~1.48과 0.67~11.89으로 나타났다. 화재위험성 등급인 화재위험성지수-XII (FRI-XII)는 녹나무가 148.63 (화재위험성등급: G)으로 화재위험성이 매우 높은 목재로 나타났다. 그러므로 휘발성 유기 화합물을 다량 함유하고 있는 연소성 물질은 FPI-X과 FPI-XI이 낮아지고, FGI-X과 FGI-XI이 높아짐에 의하여 FRI-XII가 높은 값을 나타내었다.