• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk evaluation and mitigation

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Risk management applicable to shield TBM tunnel: I. Risk factor analysis (쉴드 TBM 터널에 적용 가능한 리스크 관리: I. 리스크 요인 분석)

  • Hyun, Ki-Chang;Min, Sang-Yoon;Moon, Joon-Bai;Jeong, Gyeong-Hwan;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.667-681
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    • 2012
  • In general, risk management consists of a series of processes or steps including risk identification, risk analysis, risk evaluation, risk mitigation measures, and risk re-evaluation. In this paper, potential risk factors that occur in shield TBM tunnels were investigated based on many previous case studies and questionaries to tunnel experts. The risk factors were classified as geological, design or construction management features. Fault Tree was set up by dividing all feasible risks into four groups that associated with: cutter; machine confinement; mucking (driving) and segments. From the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA), 12 risk items were identified and the probability of failure of each chosen risk item was obtained.

Assessment of Earthquake Disaster Risk in Seoul Metropolitan Area (서울지역 지진 재해 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.5 no.4 s.19
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2005
  • The principal basic concepts of aseismic design minimize damage of human-life and have little probability during life of structures. For detailed understanding of the design, the best reasonable countermeasure can be possible equally the smallest damage of human-life and economic loss. As a result, it can be achieved by notion of not structure-centered but city-centered, the notion is actualized by development of a macro-level evaluation. A seismic damage between city and country is different. And the larger the city then, the greater the loss by rather collateral hazards than collapse of structures. Hence, the macro-evaluation of an earthquake disaster is suitable for an old city where is center of political and economic activity, and is concentration of population and infrastructure. This study aims to develop comprehensive earthquake desaster risk index, and assesses relative earthquake risk of six zones in Seoul metropolitan area.

Strengthening Risk Evaluation in Existing Risk Diagnosis Method

  • Wong, Shui Yee;Chin, Kwai Sang;Tang, Dawei
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2010
  • An existing risk diagnosing methodology (RDM) diagnoses corporate risk for product-innovation projects. However, it cannot evaluate and compare the risk levels of multiple alternatives in the product development stage. This paper proposes a modified risk diagnosis method to fill the gap of risk evaluation in selections of innovative product alternatives and the application of the method will be also illustrated by a case problem on alternative selections in electrical dimmer designs. With RDM as the foundation, a modified RDM (MRDM) is proposed to deal with the problem of selecting innovative project alternatives during the early stages of product development. The Bayesian network; a probabilistic graphical model, is adopted to support the risk pre-assessment stage in the MRDM. The MRDM is proposed by incorporating the risk pre-assessment stage into the foundation. By evaluating the engineering design risks in two electrical dimmer switches, an application of the MRDM in product innovation development is successfully exemplified. This paper strengthens the existing methodology for RDM in innovative product development projects to accommodate innovative alternatives. It is advantageous for companies to identify and measure the risks associated in product development so as to plan for appropriate risk mitigation strategies.

Application of risk evaluation and safety management system in urban deep tunnelling (도심지 대심도 터널에서의 리스크 평가 및 안전관리시스템 적용)

  • Moon, Joon-Shik;Jeon, Kichan;Kim, Younggeun
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.725-744
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    • 2022
  • As the construction of infrastructure using the underground tunnel in urban area have been rapidly increased, various accidents and collapses of tunnel including structure have been occurred in deep urban tunnelling. The concern and worry relating to the risk and safety of the tunnel during excavation is becoming the key issues in deep urban tunnelling. In this study, it was conducted for deep urban tunnel at GTX (Great Train Express) line which was located in Seoul metropolitan area to determine the risk characteristics for tunnel according to urban tunnelling. Also, it was reviewed the risk analysis and evaluation of the tunnel, shaft and station. And after a review of risk analysis and evaluation for risk register and hazard identification by using a risk matrix method, safety management of the tunnel according to excavation was evaluated to be secured. This study is expected to be applied as useful approach in deep urban tunnelling if you need to review the risk and safety management system of tunnel according to mitigation measures in complex urban tunnelling.

Study on the Inundation Risk Evaluation by the Relationship Analysis (다양한 침수인자간의 상관관계 분석을 통한 침수위험지역 예측)

  • Choi, Sung-Wook;Jun, Hwan-Don;Park, Moo-Jong
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.115-118
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    • 2008
  • In this study, PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the multi criteria decision making methods is applied to estimate the relative inundation risk of the urban subcatchment. For this purpose, five factors which have an effect on the inundation risk are selected and used to perform PROMETHEE. Those are elevation average, slope average, density of conduit, population and sediment yields per unit area of each subcatchment. Based on them, PROMETHEE is performed and the relative inundation risk for each subcatchment is estimated. Sensitivity anlysis is conducted to evaluate each factor's effect on subcatchment and it is found that suggested method can be used to establish a practical guide to mitigate the inundation.

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A Method for Selecting a Structural Optimal Flood Mitigation Plan Using Analytic Hierarchy Process (계층화분석기법을 통한 구조물적 홍수방어 최적대안 선정 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ho;Jun, Young-Joon;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.117-126
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    • 2009
  • Various dimensions of watershed structural/non-structural planning can be applied in comprehensive flood mitigation plan in a river basin. Especially structural counterplans have very broad and diverse nature as flood control facilities. It is not easy to find the optimum alternative to maximize the ability of a basin to reduce flood risk using a combination of structural counterplans. In addition, there is no standard for evaluating the performance of structural counterplans and for selecting optimal combination of them. This study focused on how to select the best alternative of a comprehensive watershed structural plan from various flood defense alternative candidates. By introducing an analytic hierarchy process, we would like to show how we decide the best alternative using standard worksheets developed in this study for economics and policy evaluation, and Expert Choice 11.5, which calculates weights for evaluation items. Based on the results from this study, we would like to suggest the best practice of a standardized watershed plan for flood protection.

A Risk Management Framework for New Product Development: A Case Study

  • Kasemset, Chompoonoot;Wannagoat, Jaruwan;Wattanutchariya, Wassanai;Tippayawong, Korrakot Y.
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.203-209
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    • 2014
  • This research designed and implemented a supply chain risk management platform and applied it to a case study of reduced-fat Lanna pork sausage as a new product development project. The proposed framework has three stages: risk identification, risk assessment, and risk mitigation. Seventeen risk agents with 17 risk events were identified based on SWOT analysis and the Porter Five Forces concept through the process of planning, sourcing, making and delivering, partially captured from the supply chain operations reference model in the first stage. In the second stage, an house of risk (HOR) framework was applied to present the impacts of each risk agent. In the third stage, eight risk agents with high impact were selected to design 21 preventive actions. Finally, three preventive actions with the highest effectiveness to difficulty ratio scores-'sales evaluation of familiar products', 'increasing distribution channels and promotions to improve sales', and 'work flow improvement for work safety'-were then recommended for this new product development.

Location Analysis for Emergency Medical Service Vehicle in Sub District Area

  • Nanthasamroeng, Natthapong
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.339-345
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    • 2012
  • This research aims to formulate a mathematical model and develop an algorithm for solving a location problem in emergency medical service vehicle parking. To find an optimal parking location which has the least risk score or risk priority number calculated from severity, occurrence, detection, and distance from parking location for emergency patients, data were collected from Pratoom sub-district Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Center from October 2010 to April 2011. The criteria of risk evaluation were modified from Automotive Industry Action Group's criteria. An adaptive simulated annealing algorithm with multiple cooling schedules called multi-agent simulated quenching (MASQ) is proposed for solving the problem in two schemes of algorithms including dual agent and triple agent quenching. The result showed that the solution obtained from both scheme of MASQ was better than the traditional solution. The best locations obtained from MASQ-dual agent quenching scheme was nodes #5 and #133. The risk score was reduced 61% from 6,022 to 2,371 points.

Plan for the Development of a Standardized Dummy for Persons in Need of Rescue in a Confined Space (밀폐공간 구조 요구자를 위한 더미 표준화 개발 방안)

  • Choi, Seo-Yeon;Rie, Dong-Ho;Kim, Hyung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to develop a dummy in an environment similar to the human body, to prepare a standard for evaluation and to present the process of the production in order to evaluate the performance of the robot that can detect the persons needing rescue in a confined space, who are difficult for fire-fighting officials to rescue in case of fire and disaster. As a result, a standard for evaluation was developed and standardized into four parts 'Normal,' 'Risk Stage 1,' 'Risk Stage 2' and 'Risk Stage 3'based on the number of breath cycles, carbon dioxide concentration, core temperature and criteria for hearing to recognize the voice. In addition, in order to produce a dummy, fever, breathing capacity and voice output function were compared and analyzed. This study has significance that it built up basic data of the method of producing the actual dummy, by presenting characteristics and controlling methods using the waterproof insulation heating coil for the function, solenoid valve for the consecutive output of breathing capacity and USB program sound board for voice output.

SEISMIC ISOLATION OF LEAD-COOLED REACTORS: THE EUROPEAN PROJECT SILER

  • Forni, Massimo;Poggianti, Alessandro;Scipinotti, Riccardo;Dusi, Alberto;Manzoni, Elena
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.595-604
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    • 2014
  • SILER (Seismic-Initiated event risk mitigation in LEad-cooled Reactors) is a Collaborative Project, partially funded by the European Commission in the $7^{th}$ Framework Programme, aimed at studying the risk associated to seismic-initiated events in Generation IV Heavy Liquid Metal reactors, and developing adequate protection measures. The project started in October 2011, and will run for a duration of three years. The attention of SILER is focused on the evaluation of the effects of earthquakes, with particular regards to beyond-design seismic events, and to the identification of mitigation strategies, acting both on structures and components design. Special efforts are devoted to the development of seismic isolation devices and related interface components. Two reference designs, at the state of development available at the beginning of the project and coming from the $6^{th}$ Framework Programme, have been considered: ELSY (European Lead Fast Reactor) for the Lead Fast Reactors (LFR), and MYRRHA (Multi-purpose hYbrid Research Reactor for High-tech Applications) for the Accelerator-Driven Systems (ADS). This paper describes the main activities and results obtained so far, paying particular attention to the development of seismic isolators, and the interface components which must be installed between the isolated reactor building and the non-isolated parts of the plant, such as the pipe expansion joints and the joint-cover of the seismic gap.