• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk assessment technique

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A Study on the Risk Evaluation for Chemical Transportation Tank Lorry of Chemical Plant (석유화학 사업장에서 운송 화학물질 위험관리)

  • Kim, Jeong-gon;Byun, Hun-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2008
  • Recently, the potential risks of tank lorry transportation from the petrochemical plant have been increasing, so the research was performed to build up the evaluation criterion of the transportation safety, as well as aggressive risk+assessment of a variety of chemical materials. This research was applied to the Maximum Credible Accident Analysis technique and modeled on the risk management of chemical transportation using the following four steps for risk evaluation, firstly the comparison of representative fype and standard of hand ling chemical materials transported by tank vehicles secondly, specific classification of potential hazards thirdly, grasp and recognition of virtual accident scenario at last, the risk evaluation of virtual accident scenario(qualitative/quantitative - chemical release modeling).

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Science of Falling and Injury in Older Adults - Do All Falls Lead to Death?: Literature Review (노인 낙상 - 넘어짐 그리고 인체손상의 과학, 넘어지면 다 죽는가?: 문헌 고찰)

  • Choi, Woochol Joseph;Lim, Kitaek;Kim, Seung-su;Lee, Se-young
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2021
  • Understanding sciences behind fall-related hip fractures in older adults is important to develop effective interventions for prevention. The aim of this review is to provide biomechanical understanding and prevention strategies of falls and related hip fractures in older adults, in order to guide future research directions from biomechanical perspectives. While most hip fractures are due to a fall, a few of falls are injurious causing hip fractures, and most falls are non-injurious. Fall mechanics are important in determining injurious versus non-injurious falls. Many different biomechanical factors contribute to the risk of hip fracture, and effects of each individual factors are known well. However, combining effects, and correlation and causation among the factors are poorly understood. While fall prevention interventions include exercise, vision correction, vitamin D intake and environment modification, injury prevention strategies include use of hip protectors, compliant flooring and safe landing strategies, vitamin D intake and exercise. While fall risk assessments have well been established, limited efforts have been made for injury risk assessments. Better understanding is necessary on the correlation and causation among factors affecting the risk of falls and related hip fractures in older adults. Development of the hip fracture risk assessment technique is required to establish more efficient intervention models for fall-related hip fractures in older adults.

Application of Event Tree Technique for Quantification of Nuclear Power Plant Safety (원자력발전소의 정량적인 안전 해석을 위한 사건수목 기법의 응용)

  • Kim, See-Darl;Jin, Young-Ho;Kim, Dong-Ha;Park, Soo-Yong;Park, Jong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.126-135
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    • 2000
  • Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) is an engineering analysis method to identify possible contributors to the risk from a nuclear power plant and now it has become a standard tool in safety evaluation of nuclear power plants. PSA consists of three phases named as Level 1, 2 and 3. Level 2 PSA, mainly focused in this paper, uses a step-wise approach. At first, plant damage states (PDSs) are defined from the Level 1 PSA results and they are quantified. Containment event tree (CET) is then constructed considering the physico-chemical phenomena in the containment. The quantification of CET can be assisted by a decomposition event tree (DET). Finally, source terms are quantitatively characterized by the containment failure mode. As the main benefit of PSA is to provide insights into plant design, performance and environmental impacts, including the identification of the dominant risk contributors and the comparison of options for reducing risk, this technique is expected to be applied to the industrial safety area.

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The Expression Patterns of Estrogen-responsive Genes by Bisphenol A in the Wild Medaka (Oryzias sinensis)

  • Lee, Chul-Woo;Park, Min-Kyung;Kim, Hyun-Mi;Kim, Hak-Joo;Choi, Kyung-Hee
    • Molecular & Cellular Toxicology
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.185-189
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    • 2007
  • Gene expression levels of choriogenin, vitellogenin and estrogen receptor were determined using Reverse transcription (RT)-PCR technique after exposure to estrogenic chemical bisphenol A in the Korean wild medaka (Oryzias sinensis). These genes have been known to be induced in male test fish when the fish are exposed to estrogenic chemicals. Therefore they can be suggested as a possible biomarker of endocrine disruption in fish, however, relatively little has been known about these genes expression by estrogenic chemicals in Korean wild fish. Mature male Oryzias sinensis were treated with bisphenol A at nominal concentrations of 0.02, 0.2 and 2 mg/L for 6 days and total RNA was extracted from the livers of treated fish for RT-PCR. When the five biomarker genes were amplified by RT-PCR in the same condition, mRNA induction level of each gene was elevated with different sensitivities. Conclusively, the results of this work indicated that measurement of vitellogenin and choriogenin using RT-PCR is effective as a simple tool for the screening of estrogenic chemicals and suggested that O. sinensis would be a suitable model fish for the environmental risk assessment of potential endocrine disruptors.

Exploring the Performance of Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) to Predict Good Borrowers in P2P Lending (P2P 대부 우수 대출자 예측을 위한 합성 소수집단 오버샘플링 기법 성과에 관한 탐색적 연구)

  • Costello, Francis Joseph;Lee, Kun Chang
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to identify good borrowers within the context of P2P lending. P2P lending is a growing platform that allows individuals to lend and borrow money from each other. Inherent in any loans is credit risk of borrowers and needs to be considered before any lending. Specifically in the context of P2P lending, traditional models fall short and thus this study aimed to rectify this as well as explore the problem of class imbalances seen within credit risk data sets. This study implemented an over-sampling technique known as Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE). To test our approach, we implemented five benchmarking classifiers such as support vector machines, logistic regression, k-nearest neighbor, random forest, and deep neural network. The data sample used was retrieved from the publicly available LendingClub dataset. The proposed SMOTE revealed significantly improved results in comparison with the benchmarking classifiers. These results should help actors engaged within P2P lending to make better informed decisions when selecting potential borrowers eliminating the higher risks present in P2P lending.

Study on the Improvement Method of Flood Risk Assessment by Flood Damage Area (홍수피해예상지역을 고려한 홍수위험도 산정기법 개선방안 연구)

  • Hong, Seungjin;Joo, Hongjun;Kim, Kyungtak
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.459-469
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    • 2017
  • The aim of this study is to improve Potential Flood Damage(PFD) that a flood risk assessment technique used in the National Water Resource Plan comprehensive plan for water resources, which is a top-level plan related to domestic water resources and Flood Risk Indices. Both methods are used to evaluate flood control risks. However, there is a problem of reliability because the problem of data utilization and the damage that occurred in a specific area are applied as an average concept. Therefore, this study improved the method for analysis by components and the flood inundation area was limited to flood damage area. Also, the improvement of the method and the application of the recently provided GIS data to the flood damage prediction area were proposed to improve the usability of the existing method. The existing analysis method and the improved method were applied to the test watershed by each case.

Feasibility Study of HFACS Safety Investigation Technique for Safety Risk Assessment (시스템 항공안전감독의 안전위험평가를 위한 HFACS 안전조사기법 타당성 연구)

  • Choe, Sun-Ji;Choe, Dong-Uk;Choe, Yeong-Jae
    • 한국항공운항학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.108-116
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    • 2016
  • Structured Checklist of System Aviation Safety Oversight had been categorized by HFACS. In this Study, Findings of Aviation Safety oversight, have been categorized by HFACS. Thus, those two categorized results have difference in incongruity clause that can be concluded that Structured Checklist has lack of elements. Therefore, we are able to identify validity and suitability of checklist that need to be restructured and redeveloped by performing test analysis through this study.

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Risk Assessment Technique for Gas Fuel Supply System of Combined Cycle Power Plants (I) : Based on API RBI Procedures (복합화력발전의 가스연료 공급계통에 대한 위험도 평가 기법 연구 (I) : API RBI 절차에 기반한 위험도 평가)

  • Song, Jung Soo;Yu, Jong Min;Han, Seung Youn;Choi, Jeong Woo;Yoon, Kee Bong
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2018
  • The proportion of natural gas-fueled power generation is expanding due to the change of domestic energy policy pursuing reduction of dust and increasing clean energy consumption. Natural gas fuels used for the combined-cycle power plants and the district-heating power plants are operated at high temperature and high pressure in the fuel supply system. Accidents due to leakage of the gas such as fire and explosion should be prevented by applying risk management techniques. In this study, risk assessment was performed on the natural gas fuel supply system of a combined power plant based on the API RP 581 RBI code. For the application of the API RBI code, lines and segments of the evaluation target system were identified. Operational data and input information were analyzed for the calculations of probability of failure and consequence of failure. The results of the risk assessment were analyzed over time from the initial installation time. In the code-based evaluation, the gas fuel supply system was mainly affected by thinning, external damage, and mechanical fatigue damage mechanisms. As the operating time passes, the risk is expected to increase due to the external damage caused by the CUI(Corrosion Under Insulation).

Study on Development of Automated System for Hazard Screening at Analysis (위험 선별 및 분석 통합 자동화 시스템 개발에 대한 연구)

  • 한의진;김용하;최승준;김구회;윤인섭
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2003
  • Hazard Analysis is one of the basic tasks to ensure the safety of chemical plants. However, it is an arduous, tedious, time-consuming work and requires multidisciplinary knowledge and demands considerable cognitive load from the analysts. To overcome these problems, there have been attempts to automate this work by utilizing computer technology, particularly in the area of knowledge-based technique. There is two methods in the risk assessment of Chemical plant; quantitative and qualitative risk assessment. Both of them have been applied respectively, but if the integrated method of quantitative and qualitative risk assessments is used, all of the advantage of two methods can be applied. It is difficult to carry out integrated risk management of chemical plant. Therefore, automated integration system of risk management is necessary. We developed S/W Automated System for Hazard Screening & Analysis(ASCA) and applied to practical plant. By applying ASCA to case study, we can get the information about relative ranks of equipments, variable deviation, and consequence of potential accident. In this study, we applied ASCA to the H.T.U(Hydrotreating Unit) of the process to produce aromatic material. We could know relative ranks of equipments, variable deviation of malfunction in storage tank, D-101, and consequence of potential accident using ASCA. If integrated risk management in the chemical plant is applied, we can develop the emergency plan and prevent the accident.

Probabilistic Assessment of Voltage Stability Margin in Presence of Wind Speed Correlation

  • Li, Hongxin;Cai, DeFu;Li, Yinhong
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.719-728
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    • 2013
  • Probabilistic assessment of voltage stability margin (VSM) with existence of correlated wind speeds is investigated. Nataf transformation is adopted to establish wind speed correlation (WSC) model. Based on the saddle-node bifurcation transversality condition equations and Monte Carlo simulation technique, probability distribution of VSM is determined. With correlation coefficients range low to high value, the effect of WSC on VSM is studied. In addition, two risk indexes are proposed and the possible threat caused by WSC is evaluated from the viewpoint of risk analysis. Experimental results show that the presence of correlated wind speeds is harmful to safe and stable operation of a power system as far as voltage stability is concerned. The achievement of this paper gives a detailed elaboration about the influence of WSC on voltage stability and provides a potentially effective analytical tool for modern power system with large-scale wind power sources integration.