• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk assesment

검색결과 119건 처리시간 0.029초

신뢰도 물리모델을 이용한 인간신뢰도분석 연구 (Human Reliability Analysis Using Reliability Physics Models)

  • Moo-sung Jae
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2002
  • 본 논문은 사고관리방안 수행에 있어서 발생되는 인적오류의 정량적 평가방법을 개발하여 공동범람 사고관리방안의 예제문제에 적용한 연구결과를 기술하고있다. PSA에서 사용되었던 기존의 인간오류평가 방법론인 THERP, HCR, SLIM-MAUD 방법의 특징을 검토하여 장단점을 기술하였다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 인간오류평가 방법론은 신뢰도물리모델을 이용하는 새로운 HRA 분석방법이다. 불확실성 분석을 위하여 MAAP 코드와 LHS 코드가 사용되었다. 본 연구를 통하여 제안하는 방법은 매우 유연하여 중대사고관리방안과 관련한 다양한 인간오류행위에 대한 평가에 사용될 수 있음을 보여주었다.

환기량 조건이 열차 화재 성장에 미치는 영향성에 대한 FDS 화재 시뮬레이션 (Numerical study of the Effect of Ventilation Condition on Rolling Stock Fire Growth through the FDS Simulation)

  • 양성진;이창덕;오지은;강찬용
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.124-132
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    • 2010
  • To predict and analyze the rolling stock's fire growth is considered not only important factor in estimating hazard analysis of rolling stock, but also a primary factor in aspect of a rail load facility. Because it's could be regarded as a ignition source in risk assesment for the facility i.e. tunnel and station. However, currently, standardized method to predict and analyze the fire growth has not been completed yet. it is due to the fact that fire growth is not only depended on thermal property of interior materials, but also is affected dominantly by various factors such as ignition source (characterized by location, duration, and intensity), train running condition and in/exterior ventilation condition. Especially, ventilation condition is one of the most effective factor to affect fire growth in compartment space as noticed by under-ventilation fire condition. In this study, the effect of each ventilation condition on fire growth and load were examined through the numerical method through FDS (Fire Dynamics Simulator).

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PSCAD/EMTDC를 이용한 지중함 접지방법에 따른 전격위험성 평가와 감전사고 예방대책 (electrical shock accident prevention method and risk assesment as grounding type on the low-voltage handhole using PSCAD/EMTDC)

  • 한운기;김종민;방선배;정진수;정종욱;이준
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2008년도 제39회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.2204-2205
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    • 2008
  • 2005년도에 저압 지중함에서 감전사고가 발생한 후 감전예방을 위한 다양한 개선대책이 현장에 적용되었다. 사고발생 직후에는 지중전선의 접속부에 테이핑처리에 의한 보완조치가 적용되었으며, 그 이후 전선 접속 부를 방수형접속재로 교체하는 작업이 시행되었으며 전선 접속부 위를 감전방지용 절연고무판으로 덮거나 차량의 통행이 없는 일부 지중함의 뚜껑을 절연재질인 고강도플라스틱(FRP)으로 교체하거나 그 이외에 다중접지된 중성선과 지중함의 틀을 본딩하는 개선대책 등이 현장에 적용되었다. 이러한 다양한 개선대책은 지중함에서의 감전사고를 예방하기 위한 것으로 그중 틀접지는 이미 적용된 지중함 내의 접지설비와 중성선이 공통접속된 상태에서 지중함과 맞닿는 틀에 접지도체를 연결하는 것이다. 계통의 중성선을 이용한(TN-C)방식의 틀접지는 효과가 있으나 뚜껑부분의 진동방지를 위하여 삽입한 고무패킹은 성능저하를 일으키므로 그에 대한 대책이 필요하였다.

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조종 숙련도 변화에 따른 심리적 리스크 이미지의 변화에 대한 평가 (Assesment on the Transformation of Psychological Risk Images due to Development of Flight Skills)

  • 김영관;임현교
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2003
  • The resonance behaviour needs be understood to identify the mechanisms responsible for the dynamic characteristics of human body, to allow for the non-linearity when predicting the influence of seating dynamics. and to predict the adverse effects caused by various magnitudes of vibration. However, there are currently no known studies on the effect of vibration magnitude on the transmissibility to thoracic or lumbar spine of the seated person. despite low back pain(LBP) being the most common ailment associated with whole-body vibration. The objective of this paper is to develop a proper mathematical human model for LBP and musculoskeletal injury of the crew in a maritime vehicle. In this study, 7 degree-of-freedom including 2 non-rigid mass representing wobbling visceral and intestine mass, is proposed. Also. when compared with previously published experimental results, the model response was found to be well-matching. When exposed to various of vertical vibration, the human model shows appreciable non-linearity in its biodynamic responses. The relationships of resonance for LBP and musculoskeletal injury during whole-body vibration are also explained.

간편법에 의한 소규모저수지의 수문학적 안전성 평가 (Hydrologic Safety Evaluation of Small Scale Reservoir by Simplified Assesment Method)

  • 이주헌;양승만;김성준;강부식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2011
  • Based on the statistical annual report, there are 17,649 reservoirs are operating for the purpose of agricultural water supply in Korea. 58 % of entire agricultural reservoirs had been constructed before 1948 which indicate the termination of required service life and rest of those reservoirs have also exposed to the dam break risk by extreme flood event caused by current ongoing climate change. To prevent damages from dam failure accident of these risky small size dams, it is necessary to evaluate and manage the structural and hydrological safety of the reservoirs. In this study, a simplified evaluation method for hydrologic safety of dam is suggested by using Rational and Creager formula. Hydrologic safety of small scale dams has evaluated by calculating flood discharge capacity of the spillway and compares the results with design frequency of each reservoir. Applicability and stability of suggested simplified method have examined and reviewd by comparing the results from rainfall-runoff modeling with dam break simulation using HEC-HMS. Application results of developed methodology for three sample reservoirs show that simplified assessment method tends to calculate greater inflow to the reservoirs then HEC-HMS model which lead lowered hydrologic safety of reservoirs. Based on the results of application, it is expected that the developed methodology can be adapted as useful tool for small scale reservoir's hydrologic safety evaluation.

학령기 비만아동과 정상아동의 리보플라빈 영양상태 비교 (Riboflavin Status of Obese and Nonobese Children in Primary School)

  • 김난희
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.150-161
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    • 1992
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the riboflavin status of primary school children. Fiftyone subjects were selected as obese group and fiftyfive subjects were selected as control group according to Body Mass Index(BMI) of fifth-graders at a primary school in Taegu. For each subject information on nutrient intake and daily activity pattern were obtained by questionnaire. The riboflavin status was evaluated by urinary riboflavin exvretion The daily energy expenditure per kilogram of body weight was significantly lower in obese group(=47kcal/day) than in control group(=58kcal/day) (p<0.001) However the entire energy consumption was siginificantly greater in the obese children(=2005kcal/day) than their nono-baser peers(=1837kcal/day)(p<0.001). Riboflavin intake was 0.67mg/100kcal in the control group and 0.61mg/1000kcal in the obese group. Thus intakes for both groups met the current group and control group were 86.9$\mu\textrm{g}$/day and 98.7$\mu\textrm{g}$/day. repectively. There was no significnat Assesment of clinical signs of riboflavin deficiency indicated that angular lesion was 4.7% and glossitis was 6.6% of all subjects. Thirty one percent of subjects excrete riboflavin below 78$\mu\textrm{g}$/g creatinine which is defined as deficient. Therefore this group would be considered at high risk for developing riboflavin deficiency. From this study current recommendation of 0.6mg/1000kcal of riboflavin intake may not be adequate during growth and associated stress.

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FMEA를 통한 공중발사 로켓, 미리내II의 신뢰성 설계 (Design for Reliability of Air-Launching Rocket, MirinaeII Using FMEA(Failure Modes and Effects Analysis))

  • 김진호;배보영;이재우;변영환;김경미
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제36권12호
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    • pp.1193-1200
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    • 2008
  • 신뢰성 분석과 고장형태 및 영향분석(FMEA)으로 구성된 신뢰성 설계 절차를 정립하고, 극소형 위성 발사를 위한 공중발사 로켓, 미리내 II의 신뢰도 분석을 수행하였다. 신뢰성 분석 결과를 이용하여 미리내 II가 주어진 운영환경 내에서 임무시간동안 목표 궤도 진입이 가능한지를 분석하였다. 신뢰성 분석 과정에서는 작업분류체계(WBS)를 이용하여 시스템을 목록화 하였으며, 시스템의 작동개념도를 바탕으로 신뢰도 블록 선도(RBD)를 정립하여 신뢰성 구조를 파악하였다. FMEA를 통하여 구성품 및 부품들의 위험 우선순위를 판단하였고 위험도가 높은 구성품 및 부품들을 설계 변경한 결과, 목표 신뢰도를 만족하였으며 위성이 목표 궤도에 안전하게 진입될 수 있는 신뢰성 설계를 수행하였다.

순간전압강하 보상을 위한 확률론적 위험도 분석 연구 (Probabilistic Method of Risk Assessment in Voltage Sag Mitigation Studies)

  • 한종훈;장길수;박창현
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.236-243
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    • 2010
  • 전력품질 문제는 다양한 산업분야에서 중요한 역할을 차지한다. 전력품질솔루션 선택의 폭은 점점 다양해지고 있으며, 특히 순간전압강하와 정전에 대한 보상장치를 선정하는 것은 전력회사나 수용가 모두에게 중요한 과제이다. 이것은 기술적인 관점에서 뿐만 아니라 경제적인 관점에서도 같이 고려되어야 하는데 불행히도 지금까지는 주로 경험에 의해 결정되어졌다. 본 논문에서는 순간전압강하 보상장치 선정을 위한 위험도 분석을 확정적 방법과 확률론적 방법으로 수명비용을 계산하여 두 가지 방법의 결과 해석에 대한 차이점을 모의사례를 통하여 비교하고자한다.

혹명나방저항성 GM 벼의 분자생물학적 특성 및 특이 마커를 이용한 검정 (Molecular biological characteristics and analysis using the specific markers of leaf folder-resistant GM rice)

  • 신공식;이시명;임선형;우희종;조현석;이경렬;이명철;권순종;서석철
    • Journal of Plant Biotechnology
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2009
  • In recent years, several genetically modified (GM) crops have been developed worldwide through the recombinant DNA technology and commercialized by various agricultural biotechnological companies. Commercialization of GM crops will be required the assesment of risks associated with the release of GM crops. In advance of the commercial release of GM crops, developer should submit the several information on GM crops for approval. In this study, we carried out to provide the molecular data for the risk assessment of GM rice containing insect-resistant gene, modified Cry1Ac (CryIAc1). Through the molecular analysis with CryIAc1 induced GM rice, we confirmed the steady integration and expression of transgene, the transgene copy number, the adjacent region sequences of inserted gene into rice genome, and the transgene stability in progenies. For the qualitative PCR detection methods, specific primer pairs were designed on the basis of integration sequences, and construct- and event-specific detection markers were developed for leaf folder-resistant rice, Cr7-1 line. From these results, we demonstrated that the molecular data and the PCR detection methods of leaf folderresistant GM rice could be acceptable to conduct the biosafety and environment risk assessment.

염산수용액의 농도별 간이 영향 평가 방법 연구 (A Study on the Simplified Estimating Method of Off-site Consequence Analysis by Concentration of Hydrochloric Acid)

  • 정유경;김병훈;허화진;유병태;신창현;윤이;윤준헌;마병철
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2017
  • One of the most important elements of the management of chemical accident is threat zone estimation of fires, explosions and toxic gas dispersion based on chemical releases. The threat zone estimation is going to be standard of emergency response for the first defender and base line data of off-site risk assesment (hereinafter referred to as "ORA") and risk management plan (hereinafter referred to as "RMP"). Generally, ALOHA form EPA(U.S.) and Kora(from KOREA MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT) has been used for the off-site consequence analysis in Korea. However it is hard to predict accurate consequences rapidly in case of emergency. Hydrochloric acid is a multipurpose raw material used in many industrial applications such as chemical, metal and food industries. It is usually treated in concentrations from 10 ~ 35 %, and release accident have occurred frequently. In this study, we have developed a simplified estimating method and equation to calculate threat zone easily in case of emergency due to release accident of hydrochloric acid.