• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Threshold

검색결과 276건 처리시간 0.023초

AERMOD를 활용한 건강위해성평가 및 배출저감제도에 관한 연구 (A Study on Health Impact Assessment and Emissions Reduction System Using AERMOD)

  • 박성수;김덕한;김홍관;천영우
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.93-105
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    • 2024
  • 연구목적: 사업장 주변에 배출되는 화학물질의 양을 선정하여 대기확산 프로그램으로 농도를 예측하여 인근 주민들에게 영향을 정량적으로 파악하는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 연구방법: 연구물질의 선정은 반감기, 독성, 이용 가능한 측정소 자료의 유무를 고려하였다. 또한 연구대상물질에서 배출되는 지역을 연구대상 지역으로 선정하였으며, 유동인구가 있는 4개 지역을 선정하여 건강위해성을 평가하였다. 연구결과: AERMOD를 구동하기 위하여 지형 및 기상 처리를 실시 후 예측 농도를 구하였다. 위해성 평가 결과 어린이에서만 디클로로메탄이 초과되는 것으로 나타났으나, 테트라클로로에틸렌과 클로로포름은 어린이와 성인 모두 무시할 수 없는 수준으로 나타났다. 결론: 현재 국내 건강위해성평가는 "환경보건법"의 규정에 따라 위해지수가 일정 기준을 초과할 경우 위해성이 있는 것으로 간주된다. 향후 화학물질배출계획서 대상물질이 2030년에는 415종으로 확대되어 사업장에서 효율적인 관리가 필요함을 시사한다. 위해성 평가에서 위해성지수를 초과하는 경우 대기확산 모델링을 통해 배경농도와 예측농도를 고려하여 우선순위를 부여함으로써 화학물질 관리를 효과적으로 수행할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

산업안전보건법 상 유해성.위험성 평가제도 적용을 위한 양-반응 평가의 통일화 방안 연구 (A Harmonized Method for Dose-response Risk Assessment Based on the Hazard & Risk Evaluation of Chemicals (HREC) According to the Industrial Safety and Health Act (ISHA))

  • 임철홍;양정선;박상용
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.175-183
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: This study developed a harmonized method for risk assessment based on the Hazard & Risk Evaluation of Chemicals (HREC) according to the Industrial Safety and Health Act (ISHA). Methods: Three preliminary studies, performed during 2010 and 2011 by the Occupational Safety and Health Research Institute and three academic research groups, were compared. The differences in risk assessment, especially in the dose-response assessment method, were analyzed. A new harmonized method for dose-response assessment was suggested and its applicability for the HREC was examined. Results: Considering the various steps of each dose-response assessment, the equivalent steps in quantitative correction, uncertainty factor 2 (UF2) for intra-species uncertainty, and UF3 for the experimental period in the uncertainty correction were relatively high. Using our new method, the total correction values (quantitative correction plus uncertainty correction) ranged from 72~15,789 to 30~60, and the ratio of the threshold limit value (TLV) to the reference concentration decreased from 12.8~1900 to 5.4~11.8. Furthermore, when we performed risk characterization by our new method, hazard quotient (HQ) values for chloroethylene, epichlorohydrin, and barium sulfate became 3.0, 14.1, and 1.13 respectively, whereas three previous studies reported HQ values of 7.1, 4580, and 87.3 considering reasonable maximum exposure (RME) conditions. HQs of the three chemicals were calculated to be 0.6, 2.4, and 0.1 respectively, when compared to their TLVs. Conclusions: Our new method could be applicable for the HREC because the total correction values and the ratio of TLVs were within reasonable ranges. It is also recommended that additional risk management measures be applied for epichlorohydrin, for which the HQ values were greater than 1 when compared with both reference values and the TLV. Our proposed method could be used to harmonize dose-response assessment methods for the implementation of risk assessment based on the HREC according to ISHA.

Educational Intervention Based on the Health Belief Model to Modify Risk Factors of Cardiovascular Disease in Police Officers in Iran: A Quasi-experimental Study

  • Saffari, Mohsen;Sanaeinasab, Hormoz;Jafarzadeh, Hassan;Sepandi, Mojtaba;O'Garo, Keisha-Gaye N.;Koenig, Harold G.;Pakpour, Amir H.
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제53권4호
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    • pp.275-284
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: Police officers may be at a greater risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) than the general population due to their highstress occupation. This study evaluated how an educational program based on the health belief model (HBM) may protect police officers from developing CVD. Methods: In this single-group experimental study, 58 police officers in Iran participated in a 5-week intervention based on HBM principles. Outcomes included changes in scores on an HBM scale, time spent on moderate to vigorous physical activity (International Physical Activity Questionnaire), body mass index (BMI), blood lipid profile, blood glucose, and blood pressure. The intervention consisted of 5 HBM-based educational sessions. Follow-up was conducted at 3 months post-intervention. The paired t-test was used to examine differences between baseline and follow-up scores. Results: All aspects of the HBM scale improved between baseline and follow-up (p<0.05), except the cues to action subscale. Self-efficacy and preventive behaviors improved the most. BMI decreased from 26.7±2.9 kg/㎡ at baseline to 25.8±2.4 kg/㎡ at follow-up. All components of the lipid profile, including triglycerides, cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and low-density lipoprotein, showed significant improvements post-intervention. Blood glucose and blood pressure also decreased, but not significantly. Nearly 25% of participants who were not physically active at baseline increased their physical activity above or beyond the healthy threshold. Conclusions: A relatively brief educational intervention based on HBM principles led to a significant improvement in CVD risk factors among police officers. Further research is needed to corroborate the effectiveness of this intervention.

Risk Assessment of Baby Powder Exposure through Inhalation

  • Moon, Min-Chaul;Park, Jung-Duck;Choi, Byung-Soon;Park, So-Young;Kim, Dong-Won;Chung, Yong-Hyun;Hisanaga, Naomi;Yu, Il-Je
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.137-141
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    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to assess the exposure risk through inhalation to baby powder for babies and adults under simulated conditions. Baby powder was applied to a baby doll and the amount of baby powder consumed per application was estimated. The airborne exposure to baby powder during application was then evaluated by sampling the airborne baby powder near the breathing zones of both the baby doll and the person applying the powder (the applicator). The average amount of baby powder consumed was 100 mg/application, and the average exposure concentration of airborne baby powder for the applicator and baby doll was 0.00527 mg/$m^3$ (range 0.00157~0.01579 mg/$m^3$) and 0.02207 mg/$m^3$ (range 0.00780~0.04173 mg/$m^3$), respectively. When compared with the Occupational Exposure Limit of 2 mg/$m^3$ set by the Korean Ministry of Labor and the Threshold Limit Value (TLV) of 2 mg/$m^3$ set by the ACGIH (American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists), the exposure concentrations were much lower. Next, the exposure to asbestos-containing baby powder was estimated and the exposure risk was assessed based on the lung asbestos contents in normal humans. As a result, the estimated lung asbestos content resulting from exposure to asbestos-containing baby powder was found to be much lower than that of a normal Korean with no asbestos-related occupational history.

사고선박의 고객위치파악용 위험관리 통신연구 (Risk Management and Telecommunications Research for customers of the accident location)

  • 곽은영;박대우
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2016년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.331-335
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    • 2016
  • 세월호 사태와 같은 선박사고 시, 고객의 위험관리 문제가 대두되고 있다. 선박과 같은 한정된 공간에서 위험 사고 시에는 고객의 위치파악을 통해 위험관리와 위험사태의 수습이 가능하다. 본 논문에서는 선박에 승선할 고객의 정보 취득에 대한 동의 후에, 고객에게 손목 띠나 휴대용 기기 및 웨어러블디바이스에 내장된 센서 정보를 부착하여, 일회용 고객정보를 입력한다. 선박 내에서 고객정보에 따른 위치 추적과 위치분석을 위한 통신 protocol을 설정하고, 선박 각 층에 2D, 3D 기반의 화면에 고객의 위치정보를 실시간 통보 할 수 있도록 설계한다. 현재 위치와 오차 측정 한계값을 분석하여 위치정보의 오차를 줄이도록 설계한다. 또한 사고 선박의 시스템 마비 사태를 통제할 수 있도록, 비상재난국의 서버에 실시간으로 정보 전송이 되어, 비상재난 시의 외부에서 정보 검색과 재난구조가 가능하도록 한다.

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Validity of the scoring system for traumatic liver injury: a generalized estimating equation analysis

  • Lee, Kangho;Ryu, Dongyeon;Kim, Hohyun;Jeon, Chang Ho;Kim, Jae Hun;Park, Chan Yong;Yeom, Seok Ran
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The scoring system for traumatic liver injury (SSTLI) was developed in 2015 to predict mortality in patients with polytraumatic liver injury. This study aimed to validate the SSTLI as a prognostic factor in patients with polytrauma and liver injury through a generalized estimating equation analysis. Methods: The medical records of 521 patients with traumatic liver injury from January 2015 to December 2019 were reviewed. The primary outcome variable was in-hospital mortality. All the risk factors were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression analysis. The SSTLI has five clinical measures (age, Injury Severity Score, serum total bilirubin level, prothrombin time, and creatinine level) chosen based on their predictive power. Each measure is scored as 0-1 (age and Injury Severity Score) or 0-3 (serum total bilirubin level, prothrombin time, and creatinine level). The SSTLI score corresponds to the total points for each item (0-11 points). Results: The areas under the curve of the SSTLI to predict mortality on post-traumatic days 0, 1, 3, and 5 were 0.736, 0.783, 0.830, and 0.824, respectively. A very good to excellent positive correlation was observed between the probability of mortality and the SSTLI score (γ=0.997, P<0.001). A value of 5 points was used as the threshold to distinguish low-risk (<5) from high-risk (≥5) patients. Multivariate analysis using the generalized estimating equation in the logistic regression model indicated that the SSTLI score was an independent predictor of mortality (odds ratio, 1.027; 95% confidence interval, 1.018-1.036; P<0.001). Conclusions: The SSTLI was verified to predict mortality in patients with polytrauma and liver injury. A score of ≥5 on the SSTLI indicated a high-risk of post-traumatic mortality.

Performance of HPV DNA Testing with Hybrid Capture 2 in Triaging Women with Minor Cervical Cytologic Abnormalities (ASC-US/LSIL) in Northern Thailand

  • Khunamornpong, Surapan;Settakorn, Jongkolnee;Sukpan, Kornkanok;Srisomboon, Jatupol;Suprasert, Prapaporn;Siriaunkgul, Sumalee
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권24호
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    • pp.10961-10966
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    • 2015
  • Background: Minor cervical cytologic abnormalities include atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US) and low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL). Approximately 10-20% of women with minor cytologic abnormalities have histologic high-grade squamous intraepithelial or worse lesions (HSIL+). In Thailand, women with minor cytologic abnormalities have a relatively high risk of cervical cancer, and referral for colposcopy has been suggested. A triage test is useful in the selection of women at risk for histologic HSIL+ to reduce the colposcopy burden. The aim of this study was to assess the performance of high-risk HPV DNA test in triage of women with minor cytologic abnormalities in northern Thailand. Materials and Methods: All women with ASC-US/LSIL cytology who were referred to our colposcopy clinic from October 2010 to February 2014 were included. HPV DNA testing was performed using Hybrid Capture 2 (HC2). All patients received colposcopic examination. Accuracy values of HC2 in predicting the presence of histologic HSIL+ were calculated. Results: There were 238 women in this study (121 ASC-US and 117 LSIL). The HC2 positivity rate was significantly higher in the LSIL group than in ASC-US group (74.8% versus 41.0%, p<0.001). Histologic HSIL+ was detected in 9 women (7.4%) in the ASC-US group and 16 women (13.7%) in the LSIL group (p=0.141). There was no histologic HSIL+ detected among HC2-negative cases (sensitivity and negative predictive value of 100%). The performance of HC2 triage was highest among women aged >50 years with ASC-US cytology. An increase in the cut-off threshold for positive HC2 resulted in a substantial decrease of sensitivity and negative predictive value. Conclusions: HPV DNA testing with HC2 shows very high sensitivity and negative predictive value in triage of women with minor cervical cytologic abnormalities in northern Thailand. An increase of the cut-off threshold for HC2 triage is not recommended in this region.

항공안전 데이터를 이용한 항공기 공중충돌위험식별 모형 검증 및 고도화 (Validation of Mid Air Collision Detection Model using Aviation Safety Data)

  • 백현진;박배선;김혜욱
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2021
  • In case of South Korea, the airspace which airlines can operate is extremely limited due to the military operational area located within the Incheon flight information region. As a result, safety problems such as mid-air collision between aircraft or Traffic alert and Collision Avoidance System Resolution Advisory (TCAS RA) may occur with higher probability than in wider airspace. In order to prevent such safety problems, an mid-air collision risk detection model based on Detect-And-Avoid (DAA) well clear metrics is investigated. The model calculates the risk of mid-air collision between aircraft using aircraft trajectory data. In this paper, the practical use of DAA well clear metrics based model has been validated. Aviation safety data such as aviation safety mandatory report and Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast is used to measure the performance of the model. The attributes of individual aircraft track data is analyzed to correct the threshold of each parameter of the model.

Estimating dose-response curves using splines: a nonparametric Bayesian knot selection method

  • Lee, Jiwon;Kim, Yongku;Kim, Young Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.287-299
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    • 2022
  • In radiation epidemiology, the excess relative risk (ERR) model is used to determine the dose-response relationship. In general, the dose-response relationship for the ERR model is assumed to be linear, linear-quadratic, linear-threshold, quadratic, and so on. However, since none of these functions dominate other functions for expressing the dose-response relationship, a Bayesian semiparametric method using splines has recently been proposed. Thus, we improve the Bayesian semiparametric method for the selection of the tuning parameters for splines as the number and location of knots using a Bayesian knot selection method. Equally spaced knots cannot capture the characteristic of radiation exposed dose distribution which is highly skewed in general. Therefore, we propose a nonparametric Bayesian knot selection method based on a Dirichlet process mixture model. Inference of the spline coefficients after obtaining the number and location of knots is performed in the Bayesian framework. We apply this approach to the life span study cohort data from the radiation effects research foundation in Japan, and the results illustrate that the proposed method provides competitive curve estimates for the dose-response curve and relatively stable credible intervals for the curve.

Minimum Inhibitory Concentration (MIC) of Propionic Acid, Sorbic Acid, and Benzoic Acid against Food Spoilage Microorganisms in Animal Products to Use MIC as Threshold for Natural Preservative Production

  • Yeongeun Seo;Miseon Sung;Jeongeun Hwang;Yohan Yoon
    • 한국축산식품학회지
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.319-330
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    • 2023
  • Some preservatives are naturally contained in raw food materials, while in some cases may have been introduced in food by careless handling or fermentation. However, it is difficult to distinguish between intentionally added preservatives and the preservatives naturally produced in food. The objective of this study was to evaluate the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) of propionic acid, sorbic acid, and benzoic acid for inhibiting food spoilage microorganisms in animal products, which can be useful in determining if the preservatives are natural or not. The broth microdilution method was used to determine the MIC of preservatives for 57 microorganisms. Five bacteria that were the most sensitive to propionic acid, benzoic acid, and sorbic acid were inoculated in unprocessed and processed animal products. A hundred microliters of the preservatives were then spiked in samples. After storage, the cells were counted to determine the MIC of the preservatives. The MIC of the preservatives in animal products ranged from 100 to 1,500 ppm for propionic acid, from 100 to >1,500 ppm for benzoic acid, and from 100 to >1,200 ppm for sorbic acid. Thus, if the concentrations of preservatives are below the MIC, the preservatives may not be added intentionally. Therefore, the MIC result will be useful in determining if preservatives are added intentionally in food.