• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Management Model

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A Case Study on Risk Analysis of Large Construction Projects (대형건설공사의 리스크 분석에 관한 사례적용연구)

  • Kang In-Seok;Kim Chang-Hak;Son Chang-Baek;Park Hong-Tae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.2 no.2 s.6
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    • pp.98-108
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    • 2001
  • This research proposes a new risk analysis model in order to guarantee successful performance of construction projects. The risk analysis model, called Construction Risk Analysis System(CRAS), is introduced to help contractors Identify project risks through RBS and through the procedures in risk analysis model. The proposed CRAS model consists of three phases. First step, CRAS model can help contractors decide whether or not they bid for a project by analysing risks involved in the project. Second step, the influence diagraming, decision tree and Monte Carlo simulation are used as tools to analyze and evaluate project risks quantitatively. Third step, Monte Carlo simulation is used to assess risk for groups of activities with probabilistic branching and calendars. Consequently, it will help contractors identify risk elements in their projects and quantify the impact of risk on project time and cost.

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Fraud Risk Management Model: A Content Analysis Approach

  • MADAH MARZUKI, Marziana;NIK ABDUL MAJID, Wan Zurina;AZIS, Nur Kamaliah;ROSMAN, Romzie;HAJI ABDULATIFF, Nik Kamaruzaman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.717-728
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study is to explore the whole process of fraud risk management strategies that should be implemented by the organizations. Secondly, this study discusses the governance issues that arise at each stage of the process. For the purpose of this study, a content analysis of previous literatures is used as a technique for gathering data. This process usually involves codifying qualitative and quantitative information into pre-defined categories in order to derive patterns in the presentation and reporting of information. Based on our content analysis, we found that the fraud risk management process should be made of at least five stages which are inculcating the culture of managing risks in an organization, identifying the risks, evaluating the risks, determining preventive actions and implementing and reviewing stages. Our extended analysis of the fraud risk management process finds that a lot of governance issues arise in the fraud risk management process that should be solved by regulators and companies in order to ensure that fraud risk management process is embedded as corporate culture, not merely as a process. Among them are how to create the risk culture in an organization and whether auditors and risk management committees identify risks from each available source.

An Empirical Study on Estimation model of Suhyup Bank's Risk-Weighted Assets, related Basel III (Basel III 관련 수협은행의 위험가중자산 추정모형에 관한 실증연구)

  • Choi, Kye-Jung;Kim, Byung-Ho
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2016
  • Suhyup Bank became to be subject to regulation of capital ratio by Basel III which was introduced in order to enhance stability of the financial institution. Accordingly, Suhyup Bank will require recapitalization. It is important to estimate the risk-weighted assets in calculating of Suhyup Bank's recapitalization scale. Therefor, this study aimed to present a scientific model as estimated the risk-weighted assets. Risk-weighted assets are calculated by applying different risk weights for loans, may have a certain relationship with the loans. Results show that the risk-weighted assets is affected by the previous year's risk-weighted assets and influenced the increase in loans during the year. Since the required basic capital adequacy ratio was specified, the risk-weighted assets should be predicted reasonably. Accordingly, on this study it was tried to derive the accounting equation to predict the risk-weighted assets based on management data of a bank since introduction of Basel III. As the risk-weighted assets were weighted differently according to the type of loans, if the accounting equation is derived by using the type of loans, then it would be helpful for the risk management of banks in the long-term. According to this, the increase of loan would be predicted on the basis of past management performance of Suhyup Bank, and for this reason, the future risk-weighted assets of Suhyup Bank were predicted. The result of this study was showed that 98.3% of risk-weighted assets of the previous year, 62.4% of the secured loan changes and 95.1% of the credit loan changes affected risk-weighted assets.

A Solution for Sourcing Decisions under Supply Capacity Risk (공급능력 리스크를 고려한 최적 구매계획 해법)

  • Jang, Won-Jun;Park, Yang-Byung
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.38-49
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a mathematical model-based solution for sourcing decisions with an objective of minimizing the manufacturer's total cost in the two-echelon supply chain with supply capacity risk. The risk impact is represented by uniform, beta, and triangular distributions. For the mathematical model, the probability vector of normal, risk, and recovery statuses are developed by using the status transition probability matrix and the equations for estimating the supply capacity under risk and recovery statuses are derived for each of the three probability distributions. Those formulas derived are validated using the sampling method. The results of the simulation study on the test problem show that the sourcing decisions using the proposed solution reduce the total cost by 1.6~3.7%, compared with the ones without a consideration of supply capacity risk. The total cost reduction increases approximately in a linear fashion as the probability of risk occurrence or reduction rate of supply capacity due to risk events is increased.

A Basic Study of Dynamic Simulation Model for In-situ Production and Erection of Precast Concrete Members (PC의 현장생산-설치 통합관리를 위한 동적 시뮬레이션 모델 기초연구)

  • Son, Seung-Hyun;Kim, Ki-Ho;Kim, Sun-Kuk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2019.11a
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    • pp.42-43
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    • 2019
  • In-situ production of PC (precast concrete) members can reduce costs by about 14.5% -21.6% compared to in-plant production due to the reduction of transportation costs, factory profits and overhead costs. However, in-situ production of PC members presents a variety of risks, including member production and yard area securing, and lead time for production within the installation period. To solve this, it is necessary be able to analyze and control and monitor the risk factors that influence in-situ production for PC member. The purpose of this study is to develop a dynamic simulation model for in-situ production and erection integrated management for PC members. For this study, risk factor identification, causal loop diagram, and dynamic simulation model construction were performed sequentially. The results of this study will be used as a basis for developing a risk management model for PC in-situ production.

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A Study on Risk Assessment Model for Occupational Health and Safety Management System - Focused on Organization Using Chemical Material - (안전보건경영시스템 구축을 위한 위험성평가모델에 대한 연구 - 화학물질 사용조직을 중심으로 -)

  • Cho, Kyeong-Seok;Lee, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2014
  • The occupational health and safety accidents were continuously increased during handling, usage and manufacturing the chemical materials according to increase of small and medium sized enterprises in domestic industries. These accidents mainly resulted from insufficient occupational health and safety management and deteriorative facilities and focused on corresponding operation to minimize the damage of accidents after occurrence. But, it was required that we grasped the occurrence causes of occupational health and safety risk in handling, usage and manufacturing the chemical materials and develop the adequate corresponding operation and system according to the possible occurrence of occupational health and safety risk. This study deals with the development of risk assessment model to derive the risk and important risk of occupational health and safety and then help to construct the self-controlled occupational health and safety system for small and medium sized enterprises handling the chemical materials.

A Study on the Development of Integrated Risk Management System: Object-Oriented Approach (국내 은행금융기관의 통합 위험관리시스템 개발에 대한 연구: 객체지향적 접근)

  • Jung, Chul-Yong
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.361-376
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes a framework for integrated credit risk management system in domestic bank financial institutions. Credit evaluation system, loan processing system, credit monitoring system, and credit risk management system are integrated for efficient and effective risk-adjusted performance management in this framework. Risk exposures, not only for each credit, but also for bank's whole credit portfolio need to be measured and analyzed through the concept of Value-at-Risk (VaR). The effects of changes in credit ratings of individual loaners on bank's credit risk exposure are also considered. We tried to model this integrated credit risk management system by using object-oriented modeling language, UML.

Background and Develpoment of Caries Management based on Risk Assesssment(CAMBRA) (임상가를 위한 특집 2 - 우식위험도 평가에 근거한 치아우식증 관리(CAMBRA)의 이론적 배경 및 발전 과정)

  • Cho, Young-Sik
    • The Journal of the Korean dental association
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    • v.52 no.8
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    • pp.464-471
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    • 2014
  • This article reviewed theological background and historicak development in dental caries management by risk assessment. Dental caries prevention and treatment according to CAMBRA model is patient-centered, risk-based, evidence-based practice. Team approach is necessary and clinician need to integrate science, practice and product. Dental hygienist take a important role in implementing CAMBRA. CAMBRA model could be incorporated into dental and dental hygiene education. Dentist and dental hygienist able to provide scientific and ethical care managing dental caries by risk assessment.

An Application Study of Accident Analysis Method Based on Epidemiological Model to Improve Occupational Safety and Health Management System (사업장 안전보건관리체계 향상을 위한 역학모형 기반의 사고분석기법 활용 방안 연구)

  • Kyunghwan Kim;Kihyo Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2023
  • The Severe Disaster Punishment Act had recently been established in order to promote safety and health (OSH) management system for severe accident prevention. OSH management system is primarily designed based on risk assessments; however, companies in industries have been experiencing difficulties in hazard identification and selecting proper measures for risk assessments and accident prevention. This study intended to introduce an accident analysis method based on epidemiological model in finding hazard and preventive measures. The accident analysis method employed in this study was proposed by the U.S. Department of Energy. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the accident analysis method, this study applied it to two accident cases occurred in construction and manufacturing industries. The application process and results of this study can be utilized in improving OSH management system and preventing severe accidents.

Internal Control Risk Assessment System Using CRAS-CBR

  • Hwang, Sung-Sik;Taeksoo Shin;Ingoo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.338-346
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    • 2003
  • Information Technology (IT) and the internet have been major drivers the changes in all aspects of the business processes and activities. They have brought major changes to the financial statements audit environment as well, which in turn has required modifications in audit procedures. There exist, however, certain difficulties with current audit procedures especially for the assessment of the level of control risk. This assessment is primarily based on the auditors' professional judgment and experiences, not based on the objective hies or criteria. To overcome these difficulties, this paper proposes a prototype decision support model named CRAS-CBR using case based reasoning (CBR) to support auditors in making their professional judgment on the assessment of the level of control risk of the general accounting system in the manufacturing industry. To validate the performance, we compare our proposed model with benchmark performances in terms of classification accuracy for the level of control risk. Our experimental results showed CRAS-CBR outperforms a statistical model (MDA) and staff auditor performance in average hit ratio.

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