• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Likelihood

검색결과 375건 처리시간 0.026초

금관 수복치료 후 발생한 좌측 기관지 내로의 금관 흡인에 관한 증례보고 (The Aspiration of Foreign Body in the Left Tracheobronchial Tree during Gold Crown Restoration -A Case Report-)

  • 신터전;서광석;김현정
    • 대한치과마취과학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.54-57
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    • 2010
  • Foreign body aspiration (FBA) into the tracheobronchial tree could be life threatening requiringprompt intervention. Any objects placed in the oral cavity put patients at a risk of aspirating or swallowing the objects slipped or broken by physical injuries. Here, we report a case of 30 yr old patient with FBA during gold crown replacement was successfully treated with the use of the flexible bronchoscope. Case: A 30 yr old woman was admitted to Seoul National Dental Hospitalfor an amalgam restoration. She was scheduled to gold crown restoration for replacement of the damaged amalgam at #37 site. After performing crown lengthening procedure, the aspiration of gold crown occurred during the cementation of the crown. After aspiration, the patients complained of the subjective distress of respiration. Chest radiograph revealed that gold crown was enlodged to the left bronchus. Flexible fiberoptics was inserted to the bronchus to remove the aspirated crown. Fiberoptic assisted removal of the aspiratedcrown was successfully performed. After removal, there was no radiopaque material in the left bronchus on follow-up chest radiograph. Discussion: When aspiration of dental materials occurs, flexible fiberoptic can be used in the treatment of FBA. It is also very useful to take preventive management such as rubber dam, application of dental floss in dental procedure where there is high likelihood of FBA.

Lack of any Association of the CTLA-4 +49 G/A Polymorphism with Breast Cancer Risk in a North Indian Population

  • Minhas, Sachin;Bhalla, Sunita;Shokeen, Yogender;Jauhri, Mayank;Saxena, Renu;Verma, Ishwar Chandra;Aggarwal, Shyam
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.2035-2038
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    • 2014
  • Cytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen 4 (CTLA-4) is an important protein involved in the regulation of the immune system. The +49 G/A polymorphism is the only genetic variation in the CTLA-4 gene that causes an amino acid change in the resulting protein. It is therefore the most extensively studied polymorphism among all CTLA-4 genetic variants and contributions to increasing the likelihood of developing cancer are well known in various populations, especially Asians. However, there have hiterto been no data with respect to the effect of this polymorphism on breast cancer susceptibility in our North Indian population. We therefore assayed genomic DNA of 250 breast cancer subjects and an equal number of age-, sex- and ethnicity-matched healthy controls for the CTLA-4 +49 G/A polymorphism but no significant differences in either the gene or allele frequency were found. Thus the CTLA-4 +49 G/A polymorphism may be associated with breast cancer in other Asians, but it appears to have no such effect in North Indians. The study also highlights the importance of conducting genetic association studies in different ethnic populations.

A Pilot Study on Screening of BRCA1 Mutations (185delAG, 1294del40) in Nepalese Breast Cancer Patients

  • Bhatta, Bibek;Thapa, Roshina;Shahi, Sanjay;Bhatta, Yogesh;Pandeya, Dipendra Raj;Poudel, Bal Hari
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.1829-1832
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    • 2016
  • Background: Breast cancer is the second most common malignancy among Nepalese women, accounting for 60% of the total cancer cases in females. Women diagnosed with germline mutations in BRCA1 like 185delAG, 1294del40 develop breast and/or ovarian cancer with a lifelong likelihood of up to 85% whereas presence of a mutation increases the risk for mutations to occur in other genes. The major objective of this study was to find the prevalence of these mutations in Nepalese cancer patients. Materials and Methods: This prospective study was carried out at two cancer hospitals in the Kathmandu valley over a period of 11 months. Irrespective of age group and stage of canceran appropriate amount of blood was withdrawn from 50 breast cancer patients and 20 controls. DNA was extracted manually and subjected to PCR using primers for 185delAG and 1294del40 mutations. PCR products were then digested with restriction enzyme (DdeII) followed by electrophoresis. Results: Prevalence of 185delAG in reference breast cancer patients was found to be 4/50 (8%) but no 1294del40 was apparent. Conclusions: Several mutations occurring in different exons of BRCA1 as well as mutations in other genes like BRCA2, for example, should also be taken in account.

Clinical Course and Results of Surgery for Chronic Subdural Hematomas in Patients on Drugs Affecting Hemostasis

  • Dziedzic, Tomasz Andrzej;Kunert, Przemyslaw;Marchel, Andrzej
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제60권2호
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    • pp.232-238
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    • 2017
  • Objective : An apparent increase of use of drugs affecting hemostasis in our neurosurgical department since the 1990s has encouraged us to investigate whether these drugs influence the clinical course and results of surgery for chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH). Methods : This retrospective analysis included 178 patients admitted for CSDH from 2007 to 2011 who were divided into two groups : on drugs affecting hemostasis (40; 22%) and no bleeding disorders (138; 78%). Medications in the first group included oral anticoagulants (33; 82.5%), antiplatelets (5; 12.5%) and low molecular weight heparins (2; 5%). Results : The patients on drugs affecting hemostasis were older ($74.3{\pm}7.4$ vs. $68.4{\pm}14.8$; p-value 0.01) and the group without bleeding disorders had more head trauma history (61% vs. 38%, p-value 0.01). The groups did not differ in bilateral hematoma rates (25% vs. 20%, p-value=NS). At diagnosis, mean hematoma thickness was lower in patients on drugs affecting hemostasis ($18.7{\pm}7.4mm$ vs. $21.9{\pm}7.9mm$, p-value<0.01). Average stay of hospital was 1 day longer in patients on drugs affecting hemostasis ($11.7{\pm}4.1$ vs.$10.9{\pm}5.3$, p-value=NS) and was related to the necessity of bleeding disorder reversal. Mean neurological status at presentation was similar between the groups (p-value=NS) as was the likelihood of hematoma recurrence (p-value=NS). Glasgow Outcome Scale results were comparable. Conclusion : Patients on drugs affecting hemostasis are less often aware of a head trauma history, possibly suggesting a higher CSDH risk after minor trauma in this group. In these patients, smaller hematomas are symptomatic, probably due to faster hematoma formation. Drugs affecting hemostasis do not affect treatment results.

로버스트추정에 바탕을 둔 주성분로지스틱회귀 (Principal Components Logistic Regression based on Robust Estimation)

  • 김부용;강명욱;장혜원
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.531-539
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    • 2009
  • 로지스틱회귀분석은 고객관계관리를 위한 데이터마이닝 분야에서 많이 사용되는 기법인데, 이 분야의 모형설정 과정에서는 연관성이 매우 높은 설명변수들이 모형에 함께 포함되어 다중공선성의 문제를 유발하며, 더욱이 회귀자료에 이상점들이 포함되면 최우추정량은 심각한 결함을 갖게 된다. 두 가지 문제점을 동시에 해결하기 위하여 로버스트주성분로지스틱회귀를 적용할 수 있는데, 본 논문에서는 주성분의 선정기준을 결정하는 모형을 개발하고, 주성분모형에서의 추정치에 미치는 이상점의 영향을 축소하기 위한 로버스트추정법을 제안하였다. 제안된 추정법은 다중공선성과 이상점이 유발하는 문제들을 적절히 해결해 준다는 사실이 모의실험을 통하여 확인되었다.

SWAT-CUP을 이용한 유출 및 유사모의 불확실성 분석 (Uncertainty Analysis on the Simulations of Runoff and Sediment Using SWAT-CUP)

  • 김민호;허태영;정세웅
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.681-690
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    • 2013
  • Watershed models have been increasingly used to support an integrated management of land and water, non-point source pollutants, and implement total daily maximum load policy. However, these models demand a great amount of input data, process parameters, a proper calibration, and sometimes result in significant uncertainty in the simulation results. For this reason, uncertainty analysis is necessary to minimize the risk in the use of the models for an important decision making. The objectives of this study were to evaluate three different uncertainty analysis algorithms (SUFI-2: Sequential Uncertainty Fitting-Ver.2, GLUE: Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation, ParaSol: Parameter Solution) that used to analyze the sensitivity of the SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) parameters and auto-calibration in a watershed, evaluate the uncertainties on the simulations of runoff and sediment load, and suggest alternatives to reduce the uncertainty. The results confirmed that the parameters which are most sensitive to runoff and sediment simulations were consistent in three algorithms although the order of importance is slightly different. In addition, there was no significant difference in the performance of auto-calibration results for runoff simulations. On the other hand, sediment calibration results showed less modeling efficiency compared to runoff simulations, which is probably due to the lack of measurement data. It is obvious that the parameter uncertainty in the sediment simulation is much grater than that in the runoff simulation. To decrease the uncertainty of SWAT simulations, it is recommended to estimate feasible ranges of model parameters, and obtain sufficient and reliable measurement data for the study site.

Socioeconomic Disparities in Osteoporosis Prevalence: Different Results in the Overall Korean Adult Population and Single-person Households

  • Kim, Jungmee;Lee, Joongyub;Shin, Ju-Young;Park, Byung-Joo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.84-93
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: The present study was conducted in order to examine the association between socioeconomic status (SES) and osteoporosis prevalence in Korea and to assess whether different associations are found in single-person households. Methods: A cross-sectional population-based study was conducted using the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, from 2008 to 2011. The study subjects were people aged ${\geq}50$ years with osteoporosis as defined by bone mineral density. Multivariate logistic models were used to estimate prevalence odds ratios (pORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Gender differences in the likelihood of osteoporosis were analyzed based on household income, education level, and residential area. Results: There were 8221 osteoporosis patients aged ${\geq}50$ years, of whom 927 lived in single-person households. There was a gender-specific association between osteoporosis prevalence and all three SES factors that we analyzed: income, education, and residential area. After adjusting for age, SES, and health behaviors, including body mass index (BMI), low household income was only significantly associated with osteoporosis in men, whereas education level had an inverse relationship with osteoporosis only in women (p=0.01, p<0.001, respectively). However, after controlling for age and BMI, rural residency was only associated with osteoporosis in women living in single-person households (pOR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.05 to 2.43). Conclusions: The Korean adult population showed a gender-specific relationship between SES and osteoporosis prevalence, with a different pattern found in single-person households.

국내 방사선작업종사자에게 발생한 암의 방사선 인과도를 평가하기 위한 인과확률 계산 프로그램 (Program for Estimating the Probability of Causation to Korean Radiation Workers with Cancer)

  • 정미선;진영우;김종순
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2004
  • 방사선작업종사자에게 발생한 암의 방사선 인과도를 평가하기 위한 통계적 측도로 인과확률(Probability of Causation)이 주로 이용된다. 인과확률의 계산 과정에는 다양한 형태의 불확실성이 존재하며, 따라서 인과확률은 하나의 점추정치(point estimate)가 아니라 여러 불확실성을 반영한 분포 또는 신뢰구간으로 평가되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 국내 방사선작업종사자에게서 발생한 암의 방사선 인과도를 평가하기 위하여, 한국인의 기저자료를 반영하며 가장 최근에 발표된 NCI-CDC 모형에 근거하여 인과확률의 분포를 계산하도록 개발된 전산 프로그램 RHRI-PEPC를 소개한다. 또한 방사선작업종사자의 가상 피폭시나리오에 대한 모의실험을 통해, 인과확률의 점추정치와 불확실성 분포에 의한 방사선 인과도 평가 결과의 차이를 살펴보고 분포에 의한 평가의 경우 적절한 신뢰도 선택의 필요성을 제시한다.

남녀 대학생들의 수직착지 시 성에 따른 무릎 외반각도의 차이 (Gender Differences of Knee Valgus Angle during Vertical Drop Landing in College Students)

  • 이충휘;박소연;유원규
    • 한국전문물리치료학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to determine whether gender differences existed in knee valgus kinematics in college students when performing a vertical drop landing. The hypothesis of this study was that females would demonstrate greater knee valgus motion. These differences in knee valgus motion may be indicative of decreased dynamic knee joint control in females. This study compared the initial knee valgus angle and maximum knee valgus angle at the instant of impact on vertical drop landings between healthy men and women. In this study, 60 participants (30 males, 30 females) dropped from a height of 43 cm. A digital camera and two-dimensional video motion analysis software were used to analyze the kinematic data. There was significant difference in the mean knee valgus angle at initial contact landing between the two groups (Mean=$7.88^{\circ}$, SD=$4.24^{\circ}$ in males, Mean=$12.93^{\circ}$, SD=$2.89^{\circ}$ in females). The range of knee valgus angle on landing (Mean=$3.25^{\circ}$, SD=$5.72^{\circ}$ in males, Mean=$11.44^{\circ}$, SD=$6.39^{\circ}$ in females) was differed significantly (p<.05). The maximal angle of knee valgus on landing (Mean=$10.91^{\circ}$, SD=$6.89^{\circ}$ in males, Mean=$24.25^{\circ}$, SD=$6.38^{\circ}$ in females) was also differed significantly (p<.05). The females landed with a larger range of knee valgus motion than the males and this might have increased the likelihood of a knee injury. The absence of dynamic knee joint stability may be responsible for increased rates of knee injury in females. No method for accurate and practical screening and identification of athletes at increased risk of ACL injury is currently available to target those individuals that would benefit from neuromuscular training before sports participation.

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Priority Setting for Occupational Cancer Prevention

  • Peters, Cheryl E.;Palmer, Alison L.;Telfer, Joanne;Ge, Calvin B.;Hall, Amy L.;Davies, Hugh W.;Pahwa, Manisha;Demers, Paul A.
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.133-139
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    • 2018
  • Background: Selecting priority occupational carcinogens is important for cancer prevention efforts; however, standardized selection methods are not available. The objective of this paper was to describe the methods used by CAREX Canada in 2015 to establish priorities for preventing occupational cancer, with a focus on exposure estimation and descriptive profiles. Methods: Four criteria were used in an expert assessment process to guide carcinogen prioritization: (1) the likelihood of presence and/or use in Canadian workplaces; (2) toxicity of the substance (strength of evidence for carcinogenicity and other health effects); (3) feasibility of producing a carcinogen profile and/or an occupational estimate; and (4) special interest from the public/scientific community. Carcinogens were ranked as high, medium or low priority based on specific conditions regarding these criteria, and stakeholder input was incorporated. Priorities were set separately for the creation of new carcinogen profiles and for new occupational exposure estimates. Results: Overall, 246 agents were reviewed for inclusion in the occupational priorities list. For carcinogen profile generation, 103 were prioritized (11 high, 33 medium, and 59 low priority), and 36 carcinogens were deemed priorities for occupational exposure estimation (13 high, 17 medium, and 6 low priority). Conclusion: Prioritizing and ranking occupational carcinogens is required for a variety of purposes, including research, resource allocation at different jurisdictional levels, calculations of occupational cancer burden, and planning of CAREX-type projects in different countries. This paper outlines how this process was achieved in Canada; this may provide a model for other countries and jurisdictions as a part of occupational cancer prevention efforts.