• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Assessment Techniques

검색결과 218건 처리시간 0.029초

건설공사의 위험도 분석평가 및 모델개발 (Development of a Risk Analysis Assessment Models for the Construction Projects)

  • 이정식
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제3권2호
    • /
    • pp.233-240
    • /
    • 1999
  • Even though the recent construction safety disasters not only result in the loss inside construction sites but also become to a large public disasters, safety activities are managed in an irrational way and safety rules are ignored in the construction sites which leads to occur same type of disasters repeatedly. In this paper, a fuzzy set theoretic approach to risk analysis is proposed as an alternative to the techniques currently used in the general construction projects safety. Then the concept of risk evaluation using linguistic representation of the likelihood, exposure and consequences is introduced. A risk assessment model using approximate reasoning technique base on fuzzy logic is presented to drive fuzzy values of risk and numerical example for risk analysis is also presented to illustrate the results.

  • PDF

철도 사상사고 위험도 평가 모델 개발에 관한 연구 (Development of Risk Assessment Models for Railway Casualty Accidents)

  • 박찬우;왕종배;김민수;최돈범;곽상록
    • 한국철도학회논문집
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.190-198
    • /
    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 승객, 공중 및 직원의 철도 사상사고를 대상으로 위험도 평가모델을 개발하였다. 이를 위해 철도 사상사고의 위험요인을 분석하여 관련 위험사건을 정의하였고, 위험사건의 발생을 초래하는 위험요인들의 논리적 연계성을 사건발생 시나리오로 구성하여 사건발생빈도 평가모델을 고장수목(Fault Tree)을 이용하여 개발하였다. 또한 사건수목(Event Tree)을 이용하여 인명피해를 초래하는 영향인자를 사건진전 시나리오로 구성하고, 위험사건별 사고 심각도를 등가사망지수로 환산하여 계산하는 위험도 평가모델을 개발하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 비용효과 분석, 안전대책의 민감도 분석 등에 다양하게 활용될 수 있다.

Recent research towards integrated deterministic-probabilistic safety assessment in Korea

  • Heo, Gyunyoung;Baek, Sejin;Kwon, Dohun;Kim, Hyeonmin;Park, Jinkyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제53권11호
    • /
    • pp.3465-3473
    • /
    • 2021
  • For a long time, research into integrated deterministic-probabilistic safety assessment has been continuously conducted to point out and overcome the limitations of classical ET (event tree)/FT (fault tree) based PSA (probabilistic safety assessment). The current paper also attempts to assert the reason why a technical transformation from classical PSA is necessary with a re-interpretation of the categories of risk. In this study, residual risk was classified into interpolating- and extrapolating-censored categories, which represent risks that are difficult to identify through an interpolation or extrapolation of representative scenarios due to potential nonlinearity between hardware and human behaviors intertwined in time and space. The authors hypothesize that such risk can be dealt with only if the classical ETs/FTs are freely relocated, entailing large-scale computation associated with physical models. The functional elements that are favorable to find residual risk were inferred from previous studies. The authors then introduce their under-development enabling techniques, namely DICE (Dynamic Integrated Consequence Evaluation) and DeBATE (Deep learning-Based Accident Trend Estimation). This work can be considered as a preliminary initiative to find the bridging points between deterministic and probabilistic assessments on the pillars of big data technology.

Non-chemical Risk Assessment for Lifting and Low Back Pain Based on Bayesian Threshold Models

  • Pandalai, Sudha P.;Wheeler, Matthew W.;Lu, Ming-Lun
    • Safety and Health at Work
    • /
    • 제8권2호
    • /
    • pp.206-211
    • /
    • 2017
  • Background: Self-reported low back pain (LBP) has been evaluated in relation to material handling lifting tasks, but little research has focused on relating quantifiable stressors to LBP at the individual level. The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) Composite Lifting Index (CLI) has been used to quantify stressors for lifting tasks. A chemical exposure can be readily used as an exposure metric or stressor for chemical risk assessment (RA). Defining and quantifying lifting nonchemical stressors and related adverse responses is more difficult. Stressor-response models appropriate for CLI and LBP associations do not easily fit in common chemical RA modeling techniques (e.g., Benchmark Dose methods), so different approaches were tried. Methods: This work used prospective data from 138 manufacturing workers to consider the linkage of the occupational stressor of material lifting to LBP. The final model used a Bayesian random threshold approach to estimate the probability of an increase in LBP as a threshold step function. Results: Using maximal and mean CLI values, a significant increase in the probability of LBP for values above 1.5 was found. Conclusion: A risk of LBP associated with CLI values > 1.5 existed in this worker population. The relevance for other populations requires further study.

통계적 기법을 이용한 휴폐광산의 중금속 위해성 평가 (Risk Assessment for Heavy Metal Pollutants of Abandoned Mines Using Statistical Techniques)

  • 도현승;김성덕;이승주
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제11권3호
    • /
    • pp.41-48
    • /
    • 2009
  • The risk assessment for heavy metal pollutions were analyzed by using statistical techniques including correlation and cluster analyses. The contamination data in this investigation obtained were from the Chungcheongnam-do abandoned mines. The descriptive statistical analysis showed that the values of Pb and Zn were relatively higher than other heavy metal values. The detection of heavy metals by distance from abandoned mines within 1,000m were mostly As, Cd, Pb, and Zn. It was noted, especially, that Zn was even detected at 4,000m The results of coefficient correlation showed that Zn to Cd was the highest values. The cluster and dendogram analyses were generated. The results showed the two clear groups by heavy metal characteristics.

A Study of Institutional Status of Risk Management for Radiotherapy in Foreign Country

  • Lee, Soon Sung;Shin, Dong Oh;Ji, Young Hoon;Kim, Dong Wook;An, Sohyoun;Park, Dong-Wook;Cho, Gyu Suk;Kim, Kum-Bae;Koo, Jihye;Oh, Yoon-Jin;Choi, Sang Hyoun
    • 한국의학물리학회지:의학물리
    • /
    • 제27권3호
    • /
    • pp.139-145
    • /
    • 2016
  • With the development in field of industry and medicine, new machines and techniques are being launched. Moreover, the complexity of the techniques is associated to an increasing risk of incident. Especially, a small error in radiotherapy can lead to a serious patient-related incident, risk management is necessary in radiotherapy in order to reduce the risk of incident. However, in field of radiotherapy, there are no legally binding clauses for risk management and there is an absence of risk management systems at an institutional level. Therefore, we analyzed institutional status of risk management, reporting & classification systems, and risk assessment & analysis in 31 countries. For risk management and reporting systems, 65% of countries investigated had legislation or regulations; however, only 35% of countries used classification systems. It was found that 43% more countries had legislation for risk management in healthcare than those for radiotherapy; 19% more countries had reporting systems for healthcare than those for radiotherapy. For classification systems, 60% more countries had legislation, recommendation, and guidelines in the field of radiotherapy than those for healthcare. Recently, international institutes have published several reports for risk management and patient safety in radiotherapy, owing to which, countries adopting risk management for radiotherapy will gradually increase. Before adopting risk management in Korea, we should precisely understand the procedures and functions of risk management, in order to increase efficiency of risk management because classification & reporting system and risk assessment & analysis are connected organically, and institutional management is needed for high quality of risk management in Korea.

An Analysis on the Relative Importance of the Risk Factors for the Marine Traffic Environment using Analytic Hierarchy Process

  • Lee, Hong-Hoon;Kim, Chol-Seong
    • 해양환경안전학회지
    • /
    • 제19권3호
    • /
    • pp.257-263
    • /
    • 2013
  • The classification of risk factors and the identification of risk acceptance criteria are core works to assess risk levels with high enough confidential level in the field of marine traffic environment. In the previous study work, the twenty kinds of risk factors and its assessment criteria for the domestic marine traffic environment were proposed. In this paper, with these previous studying results, the relative importance of the risk factors were analyzed by questionnaire survey of marine traffic experts using the analytic hierarchy process. The analysis results showed that the relative importance of the visibility restriction is the highest among the twenty kinds of risk factors, and the relative importance of the traffic condition is the highest among the five kinds of risk categories. As results from analysis, it is expected that the approaching method on the relative importance is to be one of basic techniques for the development of risk assessment models in the domestic marine traffic environment.

관상동맥질환의 예후 및 위험도 평가 (Assessment of Prognosis and Risk Stratification in Coronary Artery Disease)

  • 임석태
    • Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging
    • /
    • 제43권3호
    • /
    • pp.222-228
    • /
    • 2009
  • Risk stratification and assessment of prognosis in patients with known or suspected CAD is of crucial important for the practice of contemporary medicine. Noninvasive testing such as myocardial perfusion scintigraphy, coronary artery calcium scoring or CT coronary angiography is increasingly being used to determine the need for aggressive medical therapy and to select patients for catheterization. The integrated anatomic and functional information may provide more additional information for the cardiologist or other clinician by the improved risk stratification and diagnostic accuracy of integrated techniques. The development of SPECT/CT or PET/CT hybrid systems is therefore of important value for the nuclear cardiology.

CT Assessment of Myocardial Perfusion and Fractional Flow Reserve in Coronary Artery Disease: A Review of Current Clinical Evidence and Recent Developments

  • Chun-Ho Yun;Chung-Lieh Hung;Ming-Shien Wen;Yung-Liang Wan;Aaron So
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
    • /
    • 제22권11호
    • /
    • pp.1749-1763
    • /
    • 2021
  • Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is routinely used for anatomical assessment of coronary artery disease (CAD). However, invasive measurement of fractional flow reserve (FFR) is the current gold standard for the diagnosis of hemodynamically significant CAD. CT-derived FFRCT and CT perfusion are two emerging techniques that can provide a functional assessment of CAD for risk stratification and clinical decision making. Several clinical studies have shown that the diagnostic performance of concomitant CCTA and functional CT assessment for detecting hemodynamically significant CAD is at least non-inferior to that of other routinely used imaging modalities. This article aims to review the current clinical evidence and recent developments in functional CT techniques.