• 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.77-82
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• 2005

본 연구에서는 식품 단일섭취 또는 식품과 일반의약품으로서의 복합비타민제의 병용섭취를 통해 niacin을 섭취한다는 노출시나리오를 설정하여 우리나라 성인의 niacin 1일 평균섭취량을 산출하였으며, 인체독성자료를 근거로 niacin의 상한섭취량(UL)을 제안하였고 그 값을 비교하여 niacin에 대한 위해지수를 산출하였다. 그 결과 식품 단일섭취 시 위해지수는 0.53,식품과 복합비타민제의 병용섭취 시 위해지수는 0.81-6.24라는 값이 얻어졌다. 일반적으로 위해지수가 1이상이면 건강한 인구집단에서 부작용 발생이 우려됨을 나타낸다 그러므로, 복합비타민제를 병용섭취 하는 일부경우에서는 악영향이 발생할 가능성이 있다고 할 수 있다. 식품을 통한 자연적인 niacin의 섭취로는 악영향이 보고되고 있지 않으나$^{3), 12),}$ 복합비타민제 또는 최근 소비량이 급증하고 있는 비타민 강화 건강기능식품 및 영양보조제 등의 섭취를 통해 niacin으로 인한 악영향의 발생이 우려되므로 지속적이고 세심한 위해성평가와 함께 민감그룹 및 임산부, 수유부 등 특정그룹에 대한 UL설정연구가 이루어져야 할 것으로 생각된다.

• 한국환경보건학회지
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• 제33권1호
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• pp.1-10
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• 2007

This study accomplished to grasp the present condition of HAPs and to examine efficiently carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic health effects through health risk assessment in new apartments from June, 2004 to May,2005. Moreover, we performed uncertainty analysis by Monte-Carlo analysis to control uncertainty of exposure factors. The major results obtained from this study were as follows. Firstly, cancer risk of formaldehyde for male was $1.67{\times}10^{-5}$ in CTE in point estimation. Cancer risk of formaldehyde was showed $2.94{\times}10^{-3}$ in RME that applied worst case used results of 95 percentile in point estimation. It exceeds $10^{-6}$ of guide line in US EPA. Moreover, cancer risks of formaldehyde for female were $3.98{\times}10^{-5}$ in CTE and $3.93{\times}10^{-3}$ RME. Secondly, every hazard index for non-carcinogenic pollutants was less than 1 of permitted standards in CTE. However, in RME of male, hazard indexes of 1,2-Dichloropropane and Toluene were 1.3 and 2.0, respectively. Hazard indexes of 1,2-Dichloropropane and Totuene for female in RME were 1.7 and 2.6, respectively.

• 한국방재안전학회논문집
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.15-21
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• 2016

국민안전처에서 발행하는 재난연감에 의하면 교통사고 화재 붕괴등 사회재난을 23가지로 분류하고 있다. 과거 재난은 주로 태풍 가뭄등 자연의 영향으로 발생한 반면 사회가 도시 중심으로 집중됨에 따라 사회재난의 종류와 빈도, 규모는 점점 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 그러나 이러한 사회재난이 가지고 있는 위해성이 어느 정도인지 객관적으로 판단할 수 있는 구체적인 기준과 평가방법이 없는 상태이다. 따라서 본 연구는 주요 사회재난 중 교통사고, 화재사고, 붕괴사고를 대상으로 최근 8년간 발생한 빈도, 인명피해규모, 재산피해규모에 관한 데이터를 활용하여 3차원 공간좌표상의 두 점간의 거리(유클리드거리)로써 재난위해지수를 산정하여 사회재난의 유형별 정량적인 평가가 가능하도록 하였다. 이 결과를 활용하여 주요 사회재난 유형별 위해성 순위를 정량적으로 평가할 수 있어 국가 재난관리체계 구축 시 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제20권6호
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• pp.835-843
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• 2017

The Technology Readiness Assessment(TRA) has the advantage of identifying immature technologies in promoting weapon system research and development project. However, a more diverse set of information is required for the determination of phase shift and technical risk management for weapons system R&D projects. In this paper, we investigate the various indexes the various indexes proposed to overcome the limitations of the Technology Readiness Level(TRL) and analyze the possibility of applying to the actual weapons system R&D projects. Based on the analysis, it was possible to provide additional information that could not be presented in TRA using technical risk indexes other than TRL, confirming that it could be used for technical risk management for weapons system R&D projects.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제13권10호
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• pp.1-8
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• 2022

Purpose: Support vector machines (SVMs) ensemble has been proposed to improve classification performance of Credit risk recently. However, currently used fusion strategies do not evaluate the importance degree of the output of individual component SVM classifier when combining the component predictions to the final decision. To deal with this problem, this paper designs a support vector machines (SVMs) ensemble method based on fuzzy integral, which aggregates the outputs of separate component SVMs with importance of each component SVM. Research design, data, and methodology: This paper designs a personal credit risk evaluation index system including 16 indicators and discusses a support vector machines (SVMs) ensemble method based on fuzzy integral for designing a credit risk assessment system to discriminate good creditors from bad ones. This paper randomly selects 1500 sample data of personal loan customers of a commercial bank in China 2015-2020 for simulation experiments. Results: By comparing the experimental result SVMs ensemble with the single SVM, the neural network ensemble, the proposed method outperforms the single SVM, and neural network ensemble in terms of classification accuracy. Conclusions: The results show that the method proposed in this paper has higher classification accuracy than other classification methods, which confirms the feasibility and effectiveness of this method.

• 한국토양비료학회지
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• 제50권1호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2017

In order to assess risk of high temperature damages about corn during reproduction stages in the future, we carried out analysis of climate change scenarios RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and RCP8.5 distributed by KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) in 2012. We established two indexes such as average of annual risk days of high temperature damage which express frequency and strengthen index of high temperature damage. As results of producing maps for 157 cities and counties about average of annual risk days of high temperature damage during total periods of scenarios, the risk of high temperature in RCP8.5 was evaluated to increase at all over nation except inland area of Gangwon province, while RCP4.5 showed similar to present, or little higher. The maps of annual risk days of high temperature damage with 10 years interval in RCP8.5 prospected that the risk for damaging corn growth would increase rapidly from 2030's. The largest risk of high temperature damage in the future of RCP8.5 was analyzed at Changnyeong county located east-south inland area in Kyeongnam province, while the smallest of risk counties were Pyeongchang, Taebaek, Inje, and Jeongseon. The prospect at 12 counties which is large to produce corn at present and contains large plains have been showed that there will be only a little increase of risk of high temperature at Goesan, Yangpyeong, Hongcheon, Seosan, and Mooju until 2060's. But considering strengthen index of high temperature damage, most regions analyzed would be prospected to increase rapidly after 2030's. To cope with high temperature damage of corn in the future, we should develop various practical technologies including breeding adapted varieties and controlling cultivation periods.

• 한국환경보건학회지
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• 제36권4호
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• pp.294-305
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• 2010

This study estimated the health risk of heavy metals in particulate matter $(PM)_{2.5}$ in a Gwangyang industrial complex. The $PM_{2.5}$ containing heavy metal was collected from January to November, 2008 using a denuder air sampler and by IC (Ion Chromatograph). The risk assessment was performed in a four-step process; hazard identification, exposure assessment, dose-response assessment and risk characterization. In the hazard identification process, $Cr^{6+}$, Ni, As, and Pb were categorized as human carcinogens and probable human carcinogens, while Ti, Mn, Se, P, $Cr^{3+}$, Cu, and Zn were not classified as human carcinogens. It was found that the excess cancer risk by Central Tendency Exposure (CTE) of $Cr^{6+}$ and As in $PM_{2.5}$ was > $10^{-6}$, and the total excess cancer risk posed by carcinogen heavy metals in $PM_{2.5}$ was > $10^{-6}$. It was also determined that the total hazard index by CTE of non-carcinogen heavy metals in $PM_{2.5}$ was <1. Taken together, these results indicate a high cancer risk associated whit inhalation of heavy metal-containing$PM_{2.5}$ in industrial areas.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제53권5호
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• pp.323-336
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• 2020

기후변화로 인하여 한국의 연 강수량은 20세기부터 증가해 왔으며 미래에도 계속 증가할 것이라 전망되고 있다. 이와 함께 홍수 발생 가능성이 동반 상승하고 있기에 합리적인 홍수위험도 평가에 기반한 국가 단위 적응정책 수립이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구는 전국의 홍수위험도를 일괄적으로 평가할 수 있는 체계를 정의하고 홍수위험지수(Flood Risk Index, FRI)를 산정했다. IPCC AR5의 개념을 참고하여 위험도를 위해, 노출, 대응능력의 조합으로 평가하는 체계를 확립하였다. FRI는 자료 기반으로 산출되었으며, 요소별 가중치를 부여하여 설명력 향상을 도모하였다. FRI와 피해자료간 스피어만(Spearman) 상관성 분석을 한 결과 적절한 수준으로 잠재적인 홍수피해 크기를 평가할 수 있다는 것이 검증되었다. 미래 홍수위험도 평가를 위해 HadGEM3-RA 기반의 RCP 4.5, 8.5 시나리오를 투영했을 때 21세기 초, 중반에는 약화되었다가 21세기 말엔 현재보다 높은 위험도를 보이는 경향이 있었다.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.206-211
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• 2017

Background: Self-reported low back pain (LBP) has been evaluated in relation to material handling lifting tasks, but little research has focused on relating quantifiable stressors to LBP at the individual level. The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) Composite Lifting Index (CLI) has been used to quantify stressors for lifting tasks. A chemical exposure can be readily used as an exposure metric or stressor for chemical risk assessment (RA). Defining and quantifying lifting nonchemical stressors and related adverse responses is more difficult. Stressor-response models appropriate for CLI and LBP associations do not easily fit in common chemical RA modeling techniques (e.g., Benchmark Dose methods), so different approaches were tried. Methods: This work used prospective data from 138 manufacturing workers to consider the linkage of the occupational stressor of material lifting to LBP. The final model used a Bayesian random threshold approach to estimate the probability of an increase in LBP as a threshold step function. Results: Using maximal and mean CLI values, a significant increase in the probability of LBP for values above 1.5 was found. Conclusion: A risk of LBP associated with CLI values > 1.5 existed in this worker population. The relevance for other populations requires further study.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.221-235
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• 2015

Risk assessment is an important phase of risk management. It is the stage in which risk is measured thoroughly to achieve effective management. Some factors such as probability and impact of risk have been used in the literature related to construction projects. Because in high-rise projects safety issues are paramount, this study has tried to develop a quantifying technique that takes into account three factors: probability, impact and Safety Performance Index (SPI) where the SPI is defined as the capability of an appropriate response to reduce or limit the effect of an event after its occurrence with regard to safety pertaining to a project. Regarding risk-related literatures which cover an uncertain subject, the proposed method developed in this research is based on a fuzzy logic approach. This approach entails a questionnaire in which the subjectivity and vagueness of responses is dealt with by using triangular fuzzy numbers instead of linguistic terms. This method returns a Risk Critical Point (RCP) on a zoning chart that places risks under categories: critical, critical-probability, critical-impact, and non-critical. The high-rise project in the execution phase has been taken as a case study to confirm the applicability of the proposed method. The monitoring results showed that the RCP method has the inherent ability to be extended to subsequent applications in the phases of risk response and control.