• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.43 no.8
• /
• pp.757-767
• /
• 2010

This study employs the KED method using the correlations between probability rainfall and topographical factors as single auxiliary variable for assessing the effectiveness of external variables to improve the reliability in the estimation of spatial distribution of probability rainfall. As a result, the KED method gives similar results compared with deterministic spatial interpolation methods and kriging methods in the estimation of rainfall spatial distribution and mean areal rainfall, and as a result of the cross-validations of KED and kriging methods, the KED method using terrain elevation as auxiliary variable gives the best results, which are not significantly different in comparisons with other methods.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2001.05a
• /
• pp.52-59
• /
• 2001

Methods to measure and estimate transpiration of a forest composed of evergreen broad-leaved trees (Pasania edulis Makino) are studied. Heat pulse velocity has been measured along with soil moisture and micrometeorological factors at the Fukuoka Experimental Forest, the Research Institute of Kyushu University Forests in Fukuoka, Japan (33$^{\circ}$38'N, 130$^{\circ}$31'E, alt. 75m). Tree cutting measurement was conducted to convert the heat pulse velocity into sap flow and transpiration. A big leaf model to calculate transpiration and Interception loss is examined and the estimated values are compared with the measured values obtained from the heat pulse measurement. The results show that 1) Pasania edulis Makino posessing radial pore structure had relatively high water content and high heat pulse velocity even within the central part of the stem near the pith, 2) the heat pulse velocity was well correspond to the water uptake in the tree cutting measurement, 3) the estimation of sap flow based on the heat pulse velocity is accurate, and 4) the big leaf model using the parameters obtained from measurement of a portable photosynthesis system in one day in summer gives reasonable estimation of transpiration independent of seasons and weather.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.30 no.5
• /
• pp.495-501
• /
• 1997

Pumping power being given, traditional method requires an iteration process for the solution of discharge and pipe diameter. Yoo and Kang (1996) have developed explicit equations for the estimation of discharge and pipe diameter for the cases of uniformly rough pipe on a sloping bed with a pumping power. The use of poser law for the estimation of friction factor enabled to develop the explicit form of equations. Yoo (1995a) has suggested the mean friction factor method for the estimation of friction factor of commercial pipe or composite surface pipe. With the same approach, the present work has developed the explicit equations of discharge or pipe diameter for the general case of commercial pipe on a sloping bed with a pumping power by adopting the mean friction factor method.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2011.05a
• /
• pp.327-327
• /
• 2011

본 연구에서는 영국 환경청의 지원 하에 HR Wallingford에서 2003년에 개발한 Conveyance Estimation System(CES)을 이용하여 하천 조도계수를 산정해보고자 하였다. CES프로그램은 하천지형 정보인 단면 형상, 하상경사, 하상재료, 식생 상태 등의 정보를 바탕으로 임의 단면내 각 저항요인에 따라 프로그램에서 제시하고 있는 조도계수를 적용함으로써 수위변화에 따른 단면적, 유량, 통수능, 동수반경 등의 계산 결과를 제공한다. 이러한 계산 결과들을 Manning식에 대입함으로 써 유량 변화에 따른 조도계수를 산정할 수 있다. 섬진강 곡성 지점에 CES프로그램을 적용하여 계산된 조도계수를 실측 조도계수, 하천정비기본 계획에 제시된 조도계수와 비교하였다. 산정된 조도계수는 모두 유량 증가에 따라 감소하는 경향을 보이며, 약 $1,000m^3/s$이상의 고유량에서 실측자료를 이용하여 산정된 조도계수와 유사한 값에서 수렴하는 결과를 나타내고 있다. 섬진강 곡성지점 외에 추가 지점을 분석한 결과에서도 실측 조도계수와 CES를 이용한 조도계수가 큰 차이를 보이지 않았다. 따라서 CES프로그램을 이용하면 하천의 지형 정보만을 가지고도 조도계수, 수위-유량 관계식 등의 추정이 가능하기 때문에 실무적으로 유용하게 사용될 것이다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2015.05a
• /
• pp.537-537
• /
• 2015

In recent decades, the independence and identical distribution (iid) assumption for extreme events has been shown to be invalid in many cases because long-term climate variability resulting from phenomena such as the Pacific decadal variability and El Nino-Southern Oscillation may induce varying meteorological systems such as persistent wet years and dry years. Therefore, in the current study we propose a new parameter estimation method for probability distribution models to more accurately predict the magnitude of future extreme events when the iid assumption of probability distributions for large-scale climate variability is not adequate. The proposed parameter estimation is based on a metaheuristic approach and is derived from the objective function of the rth power probability-weighted sum of observations in increasing order. The combination of two distributions, gamma and generalized extreme value (GEV), was fitted to the GEV distribution in a simulation study. In addition, a case study examining the annual hourly maximum precipitation of all stations in South Korea was performed to evaluate the performance of the proposed approach. The results of the simulation study and case study indicate that the proposed metaheuristic parameter estimation method is an effective alternative for accurately selecting the rth power when the iid assumption of extreme hydrometeorological events is not valid for large-scale climate variability. The maximum likelihood estimate is more accurate with a low mixing probability, and the probability-weighted moment method is a moderately effective option.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2009.05a
• /
• pp.1197-1201
• /
• 2009

본 논문에서는 각각의 시점에서의 변화확률을 산정하여 변화시점을 추정하는 Barry와 Hartigan(BH)의 베이지안 변화시점 추정 방법(Bayesian changing points estimation method)을 이용하여 측우기 관측자료계열(CWK)과 근대우량계 관측자료계열(MRG)간의 변화에 대한 상대확률적 절점의 발생여부를 분석하였다. 각 강우특성별로 상대확률적인 변화시점 분석을 통하여 CWK와 MRG 간의 동질성 분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과, CWK의 정성적인(본질적인) 통계적 특성은 MRG와 큰 차이가 없어 보인다. 다만, 관측정밀도의 한계로 인한 정량적인 차이가 존재하는 것으로 판단되었다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2008.05a
• /
• pp.410-413
• /
• 2008

We constructed the regional flood risk and damage magnitude using hazard and vulnerabilities which are climatic, hydrological, socio-economic, countermeasure, disaster probability components for DB construction on the GIS system. Also we developed the Excess Flood Vulnerability index estimation System(EFVS). By the construction of the System, we can perform the scientific flood management for the flood prevention and optional extreme flood defenses according to regional characteristics. In order to evaluate the performance of system, we applied EFVS to Anseong-chen in Korea, and the system's stabilization is appropriate to flood damage analysis.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
• /
• v.22 no.5
• /
• pp.533-542
• /
• 2013

In this study, estimation methods for actual evapotranspiration have been studied using the concept of potential and actual evapotranspiration. Among the diverse estimation methods, SWAT-K application is chosen for hydrological modeling. For Jeju island we have characterized annual and monthly evapotranspiration using SWAT-K. In the results, simulated potential evapotranspiration reached to the 91% of small pan evaporation. With respect to the temperature lapse rate($-6^{\circ}C/km$) depending on the altitude of Halla mountain, evapotranspiration rate decreased by 7.5% compared to the status when the temperature data from the Jeju weather station were applied to the watershed. As the average of annual rainfall increased, potential evapotranspiration was increased, actual evapotranspiration was, however, decreased.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2011.05a
• /
• pp.394-398
• /
• 2011

수자원시스템의 설계, 계획, 운영에 있어 핵심적인 수문변수의 미래거동에 대한 보다 나은 추정치가 필요하다. 예를 들어, 수력발전, 레크리에이션 이용과 하류지역의 오염희석과 같은 다중 목적 기능을 유지하기 위하여 다목적댐을 운영할 때에, 다가오는 미래시간에 대한 계획된 유량의 예측이 요구된다. 예측의 목적은 미래에 발생할 정확한 예상치를 제공하는 것이다(Keith W. Hipel, 1994). 본 연구의 주요 목적은 금강수계인 대청댐에서 다변량 추계학적 시스템의 해석을 위한 모형의 추정과 등정을 위한 과정을 개발하는데 있다. 일반적 추계학적 시스템 모형이 표현되며 그것으로부터 수문학적 시스템의 모형을 매우 적절하게 유도하기 위한 다중 입력-단일 출력 TF, TFN, ARMAX모형을 유도하는데 있다. 이 모형은 수문학적 시스템을 위한 경우인 상관된 입력을 설명할 수 있도록 개발된다. 일반적인 모형을 만드는 전략이 사용되며 실제유역시스템에 적용하여 검토해 보고자 한다.

• Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
• /
• v.19 no.E4
• /
• pp.149-155
• /
• 2003

In this study. the amounts of the total precipitable water (TPW) in both global and regional scale are estimated from the MODIS instrument, which is on-board the EOS satellites, Terra and Aqua. The estimation is made from the five near-infrared spectral bands, using a technique employing ratios of water- vapor absorbing channels centered at 0.905, 0.936, 0.940 ${\mu}{\textrm}{m}$ with atmospheric window channels at 0.865 and 1.240 ${\mu}{\textrm}{m}$. Through analyses of monthly and eight-days mean TPW, one can monitor characteristics of seasonal variations as well as amount and distribution (i.e., water resources) of TPW at both global and local regions. Long-term monitoring of TPW is essential to understand the regional variations of water resources in East Asia.