• Title/Summary/Keyword: Resource estimation

Search Result 594, Processing Time 0.034 seconds

Decision Support System for Project Duration Estimation Model (프로젝트기간예측모델을 위한 의사결정지원시스템)

  • 조성빈
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.91-98
    • /
    • 2000
  • Despite their wide application of some traditional project management techniques like the Program Evaluation and Review Technique, they lack of learning, one of important factors in many disciplines today, due to a static view for project progression. This study proposes a framework for estimation by loaming based on a Linear Bayesian approach. As a project Progresses, we sequentially observe the durations of completed activities. By reflecting this newly available information to update the distribution of remaining activity durations and thus project duration, we can implement a decision support system that updates e.g., the expected project completion time as well as the probabilities of completing the project within the due bate and by a certain date. By implementing such customized system, project manager can be aware of changing project status more effectively and better revise resource allocation plans.

  • PDF

Estimation of Reference Wind Speeds in Offshore of the Korean Peninsula Using Reanalysis Data Sets (재해석자료를 이용한 한반도 해상의 기준풍속 추정)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo;Kim, Boyoung;Kang, Yong-Heack;Ha, Young-Cheol
    • New & Renewable Energy
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2021
  • To determine the wind turbine class in the offshore of the Korean Peninsula, the reference wind speed for a 50-y return period at the hub height of a wind turbine was estimated using the reanalysis data sets. The most recent reanalysis data, ERA5, showed the highest correlation coefficient (R) of 0.82 with the wind speed measured by the Southwest offshore meteorological tower. However, most of the reanaysis data sets except CFSR underestimated the annual maximum wind speed. The gust factor of converting the 1 h-average into the 10 min-average wind speed was 1.03, which is the same as the WMO reference, using several meteorological towers and lidar measurements. Because the period, frequency, and path of typhoons invading the Korean Peninsula has been changing owing to the climate effect, significant differences occurred in the estimation of the extreme wind speed. Depending on the past data period and length, the extreme wind speed differed by more than 30% and the extreme wind speed decreased as the data period became longer. Finally, a reference wind speed map around the Korean Peninsula was drawn using the data of the last 10 years at the general hub-height of 100 m above the sea level.

Status of EAF Dust Management in Taiwan (대만(臺灣)의 EAF 더스트(전기로(電氣爐) 제강소진(製鋼紹塵))의 처리(處理)에 관하여)

  • Chen, Wei-Sheng;Chou, Wei-Shan;Tsai, Min-Shing
    • Resources Recycling
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.3-13
    • /
    • 2011
  • Taiwan's annual steel production reached 21.29 million tons. EAF accounted for about half of this total, or 11.2 million tons in 2008. The other 10.09 million tons came from blast furnace and converter process methods. The annual EAF carbon steel production is about 9.76 million tons, and the quantity of dust generated from the EAF process is 160 thousand tons, or about 16kg of dust per ton of steel was produced. In 2009, there is Walez process for carbon steel EAF dust recycling, and the capacity is about 70,000 tons per year; and there is RHF/SAF process for stainless steel EAF dust, the capacity is 60,000 tons per year which is enough to treat stainless steel EAF dust in Taiwan. There are many new treatment facilities processes will be that introduced to recycle the EAF dust in the near future, these processes will perform smoothly and successfully in Taiwan. The estimation of recycled crude ZnO is about 90,000 tons each year. The recycling and upgrading crude zinc oxide will be the next important issue in Taiwn zinc and steel industry.

Analysis of Shadows Effect in Seoul Area for the Estimation of Roof-type PV Power Calculation (지붕형 태양광 발전량 산정을 위한 서울지역 그림자 효과 분석)

  • Yun, ChangYeol;Jung, BoRin;Kim, ShinYoung;Kim, ChangKi;Kim, JinYoung;Kim, HyunGoo;Kang, YongHeack;Kim, YongIl
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.38 no.2
    • /
    • pp.45-53
    • /
    • 2018
  • For the preliminary step for estimating the performance of roof-type photovoltaic system in urban areas, we analyzed the solar radiation reduction ratio by shadow effect by buildings using DSM (Digital Surface Model) and GIS (Geographical Information System) tools. An average loss by the shadow is about 19% in Seoul. The result was related to the building density and distribution. Monthly results show that the winter season (December and January) was more affected by the shading than during the summer season (June and July). It is expected that useful empirical formulas can be made if more detailed correlation studies are performed.

Estimation of Optimal Angle for PV Panels Considering Building's Shadow in Daejeon (대전지역 건물음영을 고려한 PV 최적각도 산정)

  • Lee, Jung-Tae;Kim, Hyun-Goo;Kang, Yong-Heack;Yun, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Chang Ki;Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Bo-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.40 no.3
    • /
    • pp.43-52
    • /
    • 2020
  • By blocking irradiance, shadows cast by high-rise buildings in urban areas can reduce the power generation efficiency of PV panels installed on low-rise buildings. As the conventionally installed PV panel is not suitable for the urban environment, which is unfavorable for power generating, a more radical solution is required. This study aims to help solve this problem by estimating the optimal PV panel angle. Using the proposed method, the optimal PV angle was calculated by considering shadows that could be cast by nearby buildings throughout the year, and the correlation between solar shading and elevation angle was discovered based on the calculated data.

3D Modeling For Resources Estimation of Ilmenite Deposits in Jikjeon-Ri, Hadong Korea (하동군 북천면 직전리에서 산출되는 티탄철석광상의 자원량 평가를 위한 광체 3D 모델링)

  • Kwak, Ji Young;Choi, Jin Beom;Cho, Hyen Goo
    • Journal of the Mineralogical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.285-297
    • /
    • 2013
  • Ilmenite deposits are developed along the Precambrian intercumulated anorthosite body in Jikjeon-Ri, Bukcheon-Myeon, Hadong, Korea. Both detailed geological survey and drilling prospecting data for seven boreholes can be used to do resource estimation with GOCAD S/W. 3D modeling using geostatistics is applied to predict the shape and size of Ti ore bodies. As a result, 5 Ti ore veins occurred along N-S direction and average grade of Ti and ilmenite resources are calculated as 2.98 wt% Ti and 7,494,303 metric tons ilmenite ore reserves (Ti 223,330 t). This 3D modeling will be applied to the whole ilmenite deposits in Hadong-Sancheong area to predict the exact distribution and resources estimations of Ti ores.

Empirical Analysis of the Effect of EU ETS on the CO2 Emission (유럽공동체 배출권거래제 도입 효과에 대한 실증분석)

  • Kim, Hyun;Lee, Gwanghoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.875-896
    • /
    • 2010
  • Using the difference in differences (DID) estimation method, this paper analyzes the effect of European Union's Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) on the reduction of per capita $CO_2$ emission among the twenty five participating countries. For this, the panel dataset of forty two European countries for the period 1990~2007 is constructed. Special attention is paid to the bias of the standard errors in the DID estimation due to the presence of serial correlation in the error terms. The results shows quite a robust effect of EU ETS on the reduction of per capita $CO_2$ emission among the participating countries regardless of the calculation methods of standard errors. The results also shows that the increased implicit tax rate on energy has a robust effect on the reduction of per capita $CO_2$ emission. On the contrary, the estimation results regarding the effects of per capita GDP and population density on the per capita $CO_2$ emission seem inconsistent. In particular, the environmental Kuznets curve is not statistically supported with the use of robust standard errors.

  • PDF

An Estimation of Domestic Regional Energy Efficiency Using Stochastic Distance Function (확률적 거리함수를 활용한 지역별 에너지효율성 추정)

  • Jeong, Dasom;Kang, Sangmok
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.581-605
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to provide basic data for improving energy efficiency by estimating the regional energy efficiency in Korea using the stochastic frontier approach beyond the energy intensity that has been traditionally used as an indicator of energy efficiency. In this paper, energy efficiency and energy intensity efficiency were estimated as a stochastic distance function from 1998 to 2018 for 16 cities and provinces in Korea. In addition, the robustness of energy efficiency according to the capital stock estimation methods which had been mixed in previous studies was reviewed. As a result of the analysis, there is a significant change in regional rankings according to the three energy efficiency indicators, so they should be used complementary to each other. Second, while the energy efficiency improved little by little over time, the energy intensity efficiency decreased slightly though. Lastly, energy efficiency by region according to the capital stock estimation method was not robust. Care must be taken in estimating capital stock, which is important in economic analysis.

A Study on the AI-based Fish Classification and Weight Estimation System (인공지능 기반 어류 분류 및 무게 추정 시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Go, Jun-Hyeok;Oh, dong-Hyub;Lee, Ji-won;Im, Tae-ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2022.10a
    • /
    • pp.229-232
    • /
    • 2022
  • Recently, production of offshore fisheries in Korea has been decreasing. Since production of offshore fisheries in 2016 fell below 1 million tons for the first time in 44 years, it has not recovered and has been decreasing. In order to cope with such a decrease in fishery resources, the TAC (total allowable catch) system is implemented internationally for fisheries resource management. Since 1999, South Korea has introduced the TAC system to perform resource management. In this paper, we propose an artificial intelligence-based fish classification and weight estimation system that can be used to investigate fishery resources of land observers essential for the implementation of the TAC system. The system consists of an app and a cloud server that automatically measures the body size and height of fish and takes photos using a terminal equipped with a lidar sensor. In the cloud server, fish classification is performed using a CNN-based efficientnet model and the weight of fish is predicted using automatically measured body length and body height information. Using this system, it is possible to improve the existing method in which the land observer manually writes after measuring the tape measure and weight in the stomach market.

  • PDF

Estimation of Resource Efficiency and Its Demand for Photovoltaic Systems Using the Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) Method (LCA기법을 활용한 태양광 시스템의 자원효율성 및 자원요구량 예측)

  • Lim, Ji-Ho;Hwang, Yong-Woo;Kim, Jun-Beum;Moon, Jin-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
    • /
    • v.35 no.7
    • /
    • pp.464-471
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this study, the resource efficiency and future metal resource requirement in photovoltaic (PV) production system were evaluated by using material balance data and life cycle assesment (LCA) method. As a result, in the resource efficiency of ferrous and non-ferrous metal, lead and tin had higher resource efficiency than other materials in all PV systems (SC-Si, MC-Si, CI(G)S, CdTe). In the resource efficiency of rare metals, gallium and rhenium in silicon system and rhenium and rhodium in thin-film system ranked as the first and second high resource efficiency. In case of rare earth metal, gadolinium and samarium took higher resource efficiency. The results of the future metal resource requirement in PV systems showed that 2,545,670 ton of aluminium, 92,069 ton of zinc, 22,044 ton of copper, 1,695 ton of tin and 31 ton of nickel will be needed by 2030 in South Korea, except resource recycling supplement.