• Title/Summary/Keyword: Residuals

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Development of a Wood Recovery Estimation Model for the Tree Conversion Processes of Larix kaempferi (낙엽송 제재에 따른 이용재적 산출 모델의 개발)

  • Kwon, Kibeom;Han, Hee;Seol, Ara;Chung, Hyejean;Chung, Joosang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.102 no.4
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    • pp.484-490
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    • 2013
  • This study was conducted to develop a simulation model for estimating the amount of such products as round wood, dimension lumber and the residual wood biomass produced by processing the individual trees of Larix kaempferi. In the model, the stem volume is assessed using the taper equations of the species to estimate the stem forms. Then, the model simulates the conversion processes of logs to round wood or lumber and assesses the maximum amount of the wood products by the lumber dimensions or round wood size. Also the model provides information on the amount of residuals for kerf and slabs produced on the conversion processes for sawn timber or round wood. According to the results of an application of the model to a L. kaempferi process, the trees greater than 12 cm of DBH can be converted to logs for lumber or round wood production. For the trees, of which DBH is available for log conversion, the maximum amount of final products by dimensions were analyzed. In this analysis, production of the bigger dimension lumber was assumed to be preferred to that of the smaller or round wood. This model can be used for assesment of forest economic value through estimation of merchantable volume for the trees, and assessment of mill residues which has the potential to provide significant amount of feedstock for bioenergy production as well.

Chemical Weathering Index of Clastic Sedimentary Rocks in Korea (국내 쇄설성 퇴적암의 화학적 풍화지수 고찰)

  • Kim, Sung-Wook;Choi, Eun-Kyoung;Kim, Jong-Woo;Kim, Tae-Hyung;Lee, Kyu-Hwan
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2017
  • Evaluation of the weathering index using the quantitative element composition of rocks is very effective in predicting the degree of weathering of rocks and the secondary weathering residuals. While the process of weathering varies according to the types of rocks, the study of weathering in Korea is concentrated on acidic igneous rocks. This study calculated the weathering indices using whole rock analysis (X-ray fluorescence analysis) of sandstone, mudstone, and shale belonging to clastic sedimentary rocks. The statistical significance of the indices was examined based on the correlation of the calculated weathering indices. Clastic sedimentary rocks showed higher significance of Wp, CIA, CIW and PIA weathering index indicating weathering of feldspar. Chemical Index of alteration (CIA) has the advantage of predicting weathering pathway and clay mineral production, but it is effective to consider chemical index of weathering index (CIW) simultaneously to improve accuracy. In order to reduce uncertainties due to carbonate rocks and to estimate the accurate weathering index, rock samples with high CaO content should be excluded from the evaluation of weathering index.

Calibration of WASP7 Model using a Genetic Algorithm and Application to a Drinking Water Resource Reservoir (유전알고리즘을 이용한 WASP7 모형의 보정과 상수원 저수지에 대한 적용)

  • Bae, Sang-Mok;Cho, Jae-Heon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.432-444
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    • 2014
  • When the water quality modelling is done with a manual calibration, it is possible that the researcher's opinion may affect the objectivity of the research. Hence, the role of the automatic calibration is highly important. This research applies a technique to automatically calibrate the water quality parameters by implementing an optimization method. This involves estimating the optimum water quality parameters targeting influential parameters towards the lake's BOD, DO, Phosphorus, Nitrogen and Phytoplankton. To accurately calculate the water temperature and hydraulic characteristics of a deep, stratifying lake, EFDC, a 3-dimensional hydraulic model which can be linked to the WASP7 was applied. With EFDC, the segment of the lake is formed and utilized as an input data of the WASP7. For the calibration of the water quality parameters of the WASP7, an influence coefficient algorithm and a genetic algorithm was applied. Of the five water quality variables for calibration, the normalized residuals of the observed and calculated values of DO, TN, CBOD were relatively small and the three water quality variables were calibrated properly. Yet the accuracy of the calibration of TP and Chl-a was relatively low.

An Experimental Study on the Automobile Engine Room Fire Using the Extinguishing Agents (소화약제를 이용한 자동차 엔진룸 화재 실험에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Yong-Taek;Kim, Dong-Ho;Kwon, Sung-Pil
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2014
  • Several complex devices and equipments are installed in the car's engine room, including various kind of oils or other flammable materials. So re-ignition is very likely to take place in it. In addition, it is restrictive for the driver or the occupant to open the bonnet and to spray the fire extinguisher in the engine room due to the high possibility of explosion. Therefore, a fire extinguishing system, which can detect a fire and inject the fire extinguishing agent to extinguish it, and fire extinguishing agents including HFC-227ea, which can stand the high temperature within the engine room and hold the viscosity sufficient to keep it in the kind of foam, were developed and tested. And the suffocation effect and the cooling effect come from the fire extinguishing principle of the foam fire extinguishing agent and the inhibiter catalyst effect come from the one of HFC-227ea was led simultaneously, and fire extinguishing agents without the secondary damage caused by residuals after the fire extinguishment like a case of the powder fire extinguishing agent, were developed. And experiments using a vehicle collision after the discharge is complete, foreign material can be removed without extinguishing the advantage that experimental results obtained.

The Comprehensive Proportional Hazards Model Incorporating Time-dependent Covariates for Water Pipes (상수관로에 대한 시간종속형 공변수를 포함한 포괄적 비례위험모형)

  • Park, Su-Wan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.445-455
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    • 2009
  • In this paper proportional hazards models for the first through seventh break of 150 mm cast iron pipes in a case study area are established. During the modeling process the assumption of the proportional hazards for covariates on the hazards is examined to include the time-dependent covariate terms in the models. As a result, the pipe material/joint type and the number of customers are modeled as time-dependent for the first failure, and for the second failure only the number of customers is modeled as time-dependent. From the analysis on the baseline hazard functions the failure hazards are found to be generally increasing for the first and second failure, while the hazards of the third break and beyond showed a form of a bath-tub. Furthermore, the changes in the baseline hazard rates according to the time and number of break reflect that the general condition of the pipes is deteriorating. The factors causing pipe break and their effects are analyzed based on the estimated regression coefficients and their hazard ratios, and the constructed models are verified using the deviance residuals of the models.

Spatial and Temporal Occurrence of Edwardsiella tarda at Flounder Farms in Jeju (제주도 넙치 양어장의 Edwardsiella tarda균의 분포에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Su;Rho, Sum;Heo, Moon-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2001
  • To find the appearance period and distribution of Edwardsiella tarda which causes severe damage to flounder (Paralichthys olivaceus) farms in Jeju-do, the rearing seawater (inflow, rearing water, outflow) and internal organs of flounders from 5 flounder farms were examined from June, 1997 to May, 1998. The number of bacteria in seawater was counted by plating the seawater on DSSS (Double Strength Salmonella-Shigella) agar plates or by plating after cultivation of bacteria. Bacteria in internal organs were counted by plating series of dilution of homogenized organ. The results are summarized as follows. E. tarda was detected in inflow seawater of five flounder farms in July, September and November, 1997 and February, March, April of 1998. In the rearing water and outflow water, the bacterium was detected throughout the year and the number of bacteria was much higher in summer than any other seasons. A large number of E. tarda in the internal organs were detected at farm B where a track-shaped tank was used, which has the characteristics of low circulation rate and bad discharge of excrement and residuals. In contast, none of E. tarda was detected at farm A where high circulation rate and good discharge of organic materials were applied. A few number of E. tarda at farm E were detected at the same condition as the farm A. A large number of E. tarda was observed in liver and intestines among the internal organs, and the number was higher from June to September in summer.

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Genome-wide Association Study to Identify Quantitative Trait Loci for Meat and Carcass Quality Traits in Berkshire

  • Iqbal, Asif;Kim, You-Sam;Kang, Jun-Mo;Lee, Yun-Mi;Rai, Rajani;Jung, Jong-Hyun;Oh, Dong-Yup;Nam, Ki-Chang;Lee, Hak-Kyo;Kim, Jong-Joo
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.1537-1544
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    • 2015
  • Meat and carcass quality attributes are of crucial importance influencing consumer preference and profitability in the pork industry. A set of 400 Berkshire pigs were collected from Dasan breeding farm, Namwon, Chonbuk province, Korea that were born between 2012 and 2013. To perform genome wide association studies (GWAS), eleven meat and carcass quality traits were considered, including carcass weight, backfat thickness, pH value after 24 hours (pH24), Commission Internationale de l'Eclairage lightness in meat color (CIE L), redness in meat color (CIE a), yellowness in meat color (CIE b), filtering, drip loss, heat loss, shear force and marbling score. All of the 400 animals were genotyped with the Porcine 62K SNP BeadChips (Illumina Inc., USA). A SAS general linear model procedure (SAS version 9.2) was used to pre-adjust the animal phenotypes before GWAS with sire and sex effects as fixed effects and slaughter age as a covariate. After fitting the fixed and covariate factors in the model, the residuals of the phenotype regressed on additive effects of each single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) under a linear regression model (PLINK version 1.07). The significant SNPs after permutation testing at a chromosome-wise level were subjected to stepwise regression analysis to determine the best set of SNP markers. A total of 55 significant (p<0.05) SNPs or quantitative trait loci (QTL) were detected on various chromosomes. The QTLs explained from 5.06% to 8.28% of the total phenotypic variation of the traits. Some QTLs with pleiotropic effect were also identified. A pair of significant QTL for pH24 was also found to affect both CIE L and drip loss percentage. The significant QTL after characterization of the functional candidate genes on the QTL or around the QTL region may be effectively and efficiently used in marker assisted selection to achieve enhanced genetic improvement of the trait considered.

Modeling Age-specific Cancer Incidences Using Logistic Growth Equations: Implications for Data Collection

  • Shen, Xing-Rong;Feng, Rui;Chai, Jing;Cheng, Jing;Wang, De-Bin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.22
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    • pp.9731-9737
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    • 2014
  • Large scale secular registry or surveillance systems have been accumulating vast data that allow mathematical modeling of cancer incidence and mortality rates. Most contemporary models in this regard use time series and APC (age-period-cohort) methods and focus primarily on predicting or analyzing cancer epidemiology with little attention being paid to implications for designing cancer registry, surveillance or evaluation initiatives. This research models age-specific cancer incidence rates using logistic growth equations and explores their performance under different scenarios of data completeness in the hope of deriving clues for reshaping relevant data collection. The study used China Cancer Registry Report 2012 as the data source. It employed 3-parameter logistic growth equations and modeled the age-specific incidence rates of all and the top 10 cancers presented in the registry report. The study performed 3 types of modeling, namely full age-span by fitting, multiple 5-year-segment fitting and single-segment fitting. Measurement of model performance adopted adjusted goodness of fit that combines sum of squred residuals and relative errors. Both model simulation and performance evalation utilized self-developed algorithms programed using C# languade and MS Visual Studio 2008. For models built upon full age-span data, predicted age-specific cancer incidence rates fitted very well with observed values for most (except cervical and breast) cancers with estimated goodness of fit (Rs) being over 0.96. When a given cancer is concerned, the R valuae of the logistic growth model derived using observed data from urban residents was greater than or at least equal to that of the same model built on data from rural people. For models based on multiple-5-year-segment data, the Rs remained fairly high (over 0.89) until 3-fourths of the data segments were excluded. For models using a fixed length single-segment of observed data, the older the age covered by the corresponding data segment, the higher the resulting Rs. Logistic growth models describe age-specific incidence rates perfectly for most cancers and may be used to inform data collection for purposes of monitoring and analyzing cancer epidemic. Helped by appropriate logistic growth equations, the work vomume of contemporary data collection, e.g., cancer registry and surveilance systems, may be reduced substantially.

Development of TANK_GS Model to Consider the Interaction between Surface Water and Groundwater (지표수-지하수 상호흐름을 고려한 TANK_GS 모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Woo-Seok;Chung, Eun-Sung;Kim, Sang-Ug;Lee, Kil-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.10
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    • pp.893-909
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to consider the interaction between surface water and groundwater in basin scale by developing TANK_GS model. The soil moisture structure of tank model with 3 tanks is improved to simulate the appropriate stream-aquifer interactions. Maximum likelihood method is applied to calibrate parameters with variance functions to deal with heteroscedasticity of residuals. The parameters of improved TANK_GS model and variance function are simultaneously estimated by Simulated Annealing method, a global optimization technique. The results of TANK-GE are compared to those of the SWMM-GE model which had been developed to consider the stream-aquifer interactions. The new TANK_GS model and SWMM-GE model are applied to Gapcheon basin, which belongs to Geum River basin. TANK_GS model showed better model performance compared to the original TANK model and characterized the relationship of stream-aquifer interactions as satisfactorily as the SWMM-GE model. The sustainable groundwater yield can be estimated for the regional water resources planning using the TANK_GS model

Predicting the Concentration of Obesity-related Metabolites via Heart Rate Variability for Korean Premenopausal Obese Women: Multiple Regression Analysis (심박변이도를 통한 폐경 전 한국인 비만 여성의 비만 관련 대사체 농도 예측을 위한 회귀분석)

  • Kim, Jongyeon;Yang, Yo-Chan;Yi, Woon-Sup;Kim, Je-In;Maeng, Tae-Ho;Yoo, Duk-Joo;Shim, Jae-Woo;Cho, Woo-Young;Song, Mi-Yeon;Lee, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2014
  • Objectives Advanced researches on the relationship between obesity and heart rate variability (HRV), heretofore, focused on characteristics of HRV depending on the state of obesity. However, the previous researches have not quantified predictive power of HRV toward the obesity-related variables, which is rather more meaningful for clinicians who regularly treat obese patients. Hence, we designed a research to investigate whether HRV could predict serum levels of obesity-related metabolites. Methods Ninety obese premenopausal women meeting the inclusion criteria were recruited. The HRV test, blood sampling, and measurement of physical traits were conducted. Multiple regression analysis of the measurement data was carried out, putting obesity-related metabolites (insulin, glucose, triglyceride, hs-CRP, HDL, LDL, total cholesterol) as outcome variables and the others as predictors. To select appropriate predictive variables, the Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) was applied. Normality and homoskedasticity of residuals for each model were tested to identify if there were any violations of the regression analysis's basic assumption. Logarithm transformation was used for the values of the concentration of metabolites and the HRV. Results The regression model including Total Power (TP) value and BMI had significant predictive power for serum insulin concentration (F(2, 88)=835.7, p<0.001, $R^2=0.95$). The regression coefficient of ln (TP) was -0.1002. However, it was not sure if the HRV could predict concentrations of other metabolites. Conclusions The results suggest that the Total Power (TP) value of the HRV can predict the level of serum insulin. If the BMI could be assumed as being constant, when the TP value is multiplied by n, the predicted change of insulin could be drawn by multiplying $n^{-0.1002}$. The uncertainty of this model can be assumed as approximately 5%.