• Title/Summary/Keyword: Residential Real Estate

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Real-Estate Price Prediction in South Korea via Machine Learning Modeling (머신러닝 기법을 통한 대한민국 부동산 가격 변동 예측)

  • Nam, Sanghyun;Han, Taeho;Kim, Leeju;Lee, Eunji
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2020
  • Recently, the real estate is of high interest. This is because real estate, which was considered only a residential environment in the past, is recognized as a stable investment target due to the ever-growing demand on it. In particular, in the case of the domestic market, despite the decrease in the number of people, the number of single-person households and the influx of people to large cities are accelerating, and real estate prices are rising sharply around the metropolitan area. Therefore, accurately predicting the prospects of the future real estate market becomes a very important issue not only for individual asset management but also for government policy establishment. In this paper, we developed a program to predict future real estate market prices by learning past real estate sales data using machine learning techniques. The data on the market price of real estate provided by the Korea Appraisal Board and the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport were used, and the average sales price forecast for 2022 by region is presented. The developed program is publicly available so that it could be used in various forms.

A study of the determinant factors of Negotiation Power of Real estate buyer (부동산 구매자의 협상력 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Ho-Geun;Kim, Dong Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.1553-1560
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    • 2013
  • This study focused on the residential real estate market, real estate for sale in the course of the bargaining power of buyers in terms of factors to be extracted was determined. In addition to rental housing, including the number of buyers have several alternatives, the more related information, the buyers have advantage over the sellers in the course of the housing sale process. And if the external conditions and the situations between the parties have changed, how much flexibility to respond to changing and the less costs of to changing, the buyers have advantage over the sellers in the course of the housing sale process.

Financial Structures of Real Estate and the Factors Influencing on It by Subjective Financial Adequacy for Later Years among Middle & Old Aged Households (중.고령자 가계의 주관적 노후대비충분 여부에 따른 부동산 자산구조와 영향요인)

  • Jeong, Woon-Young;Lee, Hee-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study was to find the differences of financial structures of real estate and the factors influencing on it between two groups of subjective financial adequacy and non-adequacy for later years among middle & old aged households. The data were drawn from KREIS(Korean Retirement and Income Study) surveyed by National Pension Research Institute in 2007, and 3,889 couple households with householder's age over 50 were selected. Major findings were as following. First, only 19.3% of households answered that they had enough money for later years. And they had lower real estate-to-total assets ratio (.84) and lower residential house value-to-total assets ratio (.52) than the counter part. Second, for the group who answered that they had enough money for later years, the factors influencing on total real estate were found to be income, debt, and liquid assets.

Study on the change in the Satisfaction Degree on the Residential Environment and the change in the Selection Tendency of the Residential Property - Targeting Seoul Residences - (주거환경 만족도와 주거선택요소 중요도 변화에 관한 연구 - 서울지역 거주자를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Joon-Hwan;Choi, Young-Moon
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2008
  • Recently, Seoul residential real estate market showed a big change, especially in 2007. The residential property price in Seoul had been mainly affected by 5 provideces: Kangnam-gu, Seocho-gu, Songpa-gu, Gangdong-gu and Yangchun-gu, but these providences started to show the decrease in price while the other providences ironically showed the opposite direction. Therefore, this project was derived from this phenomenon recognition and the necessity as the new market trend requires. The pre-research was carried out with the point of social-population academic view, but this project provides the analysis on the new market trend by simplifying the complex valuation indexes, originated from the pre-research. In result, the aspects of the change could be categorized into time-manner classification and territorial-manner classification, in cope with the change in the satisfaction degree on the residential environment and the selection tendency of the residential property. Based on the the moving-preferred area criteria, the territorial classification was categorized into 3 areas: 5 providences, which showed the initial decrease in real estate price (area 1), the other Kangnam area (area 2), and Kangbuk area (area 3). The result illustrated the reasonable change in the satisfaction degree on the residential environment and the selection tendency of the residential property. This project was able to reach the following conclusion : Firstly, the housing development planning should be devised by the residential environment, including the view and the natural environment, not by the area. Secondly, the housing development planning in the other Kangnam area (area 2) and Kangbuk area (area 3) should embrace the business function, not the housing development only. Last, the housing development planning in Kangbuk area (area 3) should be able to enhance education and culture function and be connected by various transportation system. This project analyzes the change in the satisfaction degree on the residential environment and the selection tendency of the residential property. Thereafter, this project has the purpose of providing the aid in understanding of the basis of housing development information.

Elasticity of Demand for Urban Housing in Western China Based on Micro-data - A Case Study of Kunming

  • Zhang, Hong;Li, Shaokai;Kong, Yanhua
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - Considering the importance of housing needs to real estate market, domestic studies on real estate prices from the perspective of demand are basically based on macro-data, but relatively few are associated with micro-data of urban real estate demand. We try to find a reliable relation of elasticity of demand and commercial housing market. Research design, data, and methodology - In this paper, we have derived housing demand theoretic method and have utilized micro-data of residential family housing survey of downtown area in Kunming City in October, 2015 to estimate income elasticity and price elasticity of housing demand respectively and make a comparative analysis. Results - The results indicate that income elasticity and price elasticity of families with owner-occupied housing are both larger than those of families with rental housing. Income elasticity of housing demand of urban residential families in Kunming is far below the foreign average and eastern coastal cities level, however, the corresponding price elasticity is far higher. Conclusions - We suggest that housing affordability of urban families in western China are constrained by the level of economic development, and the current housing price level has exceeded the economic affordability and psychological expectation of ordinary residents. Furthermore, noticing the great rigidity of housing demand, the expansion space of housing market for improvement and for commodity is limited.

Effects of Street Centrality on the Land Prices in Seoul, South Korea (서울시 가로망 중심성의 토지가격 효과 연구)

  • Kang, Chang Deok
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.51-70
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    • 2017
  • This study aimed to measure street centralities with the street width, and to analyze their effects on the residential and non-residential land prices in Seoul, South Korea. Most of the studies on urban economics and policy focusing on the urban spatial structure have evolved in terms of their perspective from monocentric to polycentric models. Recently, their themes shifted to measuring street centralities and capturing their effects on urban phenomena. To expand the existing studies and discussion, this study analyzed the street centralities with the street width, and how they changed the land prices. Multilevel regression models generated a few key findings relevant to the relationship between street centralities and land prices. While a higher detour volume and closeness to wider streets commanded premium residential land prices, higher visibility and detour volume to wider streets were associated with higher non-residential land prices. These findings suggest a robust connection between street configuration and near-land prices. Thus, the results of this study suggest a few insightful policy implications for urban planners, urban designers, real estate developers, and appraisers.

A Study on the Residential Satisfaction of Local Residents Using Latent ProfilE Analysis

  • Yoon-Jung LEE;Sun-Ju KIM
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study analyzed the factors that increase the satisfaction of local residents' housing and residential environment, and derived implications for housing suppliers and policymakers in local areas. Research design, data and methodology: The analysis method derived latent group types through latent profile analysis, and cross-analysis and covariate variance analysis (ANCOVA) were conducted to analyze the differences between these groups. Results: The analysis results are as follows. First, there are four potential group types: good neighborhood facilities and low-level surrounding environment 1 group, low-level neighborhood facilities and good surrounding environment 2 groups, overall low-level 3 groups, and overall high-level 4 groups. Second, groups 1 and 3 tend to live in relatively old apartments. Third, as a result of distributed analysis, groups with low accessibility to neighborhood facilities but good environmental conditions and groups with high overall levels had relatively high housing satisfaction. Conclusions: As an implication, we discussed the need for development that highlights natural environment-friendly characteristics as well as access to neighborhood facilities. In addition, in order to derive more specific implications, the direction of follow-up studies considering job linkage and the effects of specific and various environmental factors was presented together.

HOUSING PRICE MODEL USING GIS IN SEOUL (APPLICATIONS OF STRUCTURAL EQUATION MODELING)

  • Kyong-Hoon Kim;Jae-Jun Kim;Bong-Sik Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.366-375
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    • 2007
  • Our nation has a problem with discrimination of income distribution and inefficient of resources distribution caused by real estate price rising from a sudden economy growth and industrialization. Specially, in recent years, there is a great disparity of condominium price between the north and south of the Han river. Because the housing price is deciede by the immanent value of a house and neighborhood effects of the regional where the house is situated, the housing price is occurred difference. In this study, I analyzed the differences of housing price determinants about condominium developments in the old and new residential areas, and found the important factors that affect the condominium price using Structural Equation Modeling(SEM) The purpose of study is to analyze the influence of various factors of housing price. Also, this study tried to predict real estate market and to establish previous effective real estate policy.

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Residential Environment Satisfaction of One-person Households : Focused on Young (19-39) Women in Korea

  • KIM, Sun-Ju
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the residential environment satisfaction of young women's one-person households and the characteristics of young one-person households, and to present policy implications for their housing problems. Research design, data, and methodology: This study used 11th Korea Financial Panel Data. Analysis methods in this study include basic statistical analysis, frequency analysis, multiple regression analysis, and artificial neural network analysis. Results: As a result of the analysis of this study, 1) young one-person households showed that women had higher ratios of non-regular workers, real estate debt than men, and lower average income. The percentage of young people owning their own homes was very low at about 5%. 2) For young women, the higher the education level and monthly consumption, the lower the housing satisfaction. 3) Young women living in rental housing had lower housing satisfaction than their own. Conclusions: Women are paying more for housing security than men in young one-person households. In addition, the proportion of their own houses is very low. Therefore, there is a need for a policy on the housing safety issue of young women's one-person households. And policies to support young one-person households to own their own homes are required.

Study on equity of taxation for non-residential property by analysis of actual transaction price (실거래가격 분석을 통한 비주거용 부동산의 과세형평성 연구)

  • Kim, Hyoung June
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.639-651
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    • 2016
  • "Law on price announcement for real estate" which was revised as of Jan. 19, 2016 (will be enforced as of Sep. 1, 2016) decided the introduction of 'Price announcement system for non-residential property' for the first time. However, its introduction seems to be delayed based on two reasons. Firstly the methodology for introduction of non-property system is not definitized, despite many problems were brought up for current tax base of non-residential property. In addition, changes in tax base will place a burden on the government. In this regard, this study analyzed actual transaction price data throughout one year to analyze equity of taxation for non-residential property and to find major factor which affects on the tax base, in relation with the change of current public announcement system to actual transaction based system. And this is the first study that applied actual transaction price to non-residential property.