• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability-based analysis

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Reliability-based design optimization using reliability mapping functions

  • Zhao, Weitao;Shi, Xueyan;Tang, Kai
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.62 no.2
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    • pp.125-138
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    • 2017
  • Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is a powerful tool for design optimization when considering probabilistic characteristics of design variables. However, it is often computationally intensive because of the coupling of reliability analysis and cost minimization. In this study, the concept of reliability mapping function is defined based on the relationship between the reliability index obtained by using the mean value first order reliability method and the failure probability obtained by using an improved response surface method. Double-loop involved in the classical RBDO can be converted into single-loop by using the reliability mapping function. Since the computational effort of the mean value first order reliability method is minimal, RBDO by using reliability mapping functions should be highly efficient. Engineering examples are given to demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method. Numerical results indicated that the proposed method has the similar accuracy as Monte Carlo simulation, and it can obviously reduce the computational effort.

Structural reliability analysis of offshore structure at cold region (저온해역에서의 해양구조물에 대한 구조신뢰성 해석)

  • 이주성
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.8-19
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    • 1997
  • In this study an adequate type of offshore structure at the Sakhalin region as cold region is proposed and its structural design results are presented based on the reliability analysis. Structural safety assessment has been carried out for the proposed offshore structure at the Sakhalin area as designed by the reliability method. And a rational design procedure is presented based on the reliability analysis. Followings are drawn through the present study : - Four colum TLP structure is proposed as an adequate offshore structure type at the cold region like the Sakhalin region and the reliability-based structural design results are presented. It is seen that the proposed type is a more adequate and economic than the fixed type. - Safety assessment of the proposed structure applying the extended incremental load method is performed. - Referring the allowable safety level for offshore structures it has been found present TLP structure has sufficient structural safety at the system level as well as at the component level.

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Probabilistic Structure Design of Automatic Salt Collector Using Reliability Based Robust Optimization (신뢰성 기반 강건 최적화를 이용한 자동채염기의 확률론적 구조설계)

  • Song, Chang Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.799-807
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    • 2020
  • This paper deals with identification of probabilistic design using reliability based robust optimization in structure design of automatic salt collector. The thickness sizing variables of main structure member in the automatic salt collector were considered the random design variables including the uncertainty of corrosion that would be an inevitable hazardousness in the saltern work environment. The probabilistic constraint functions were selected from the strength performances of the automatic salt collector. The reliability based robust optimum design problem was formulated such that the random design variables were determined by minimizing the weight of the automatic salt collector subject to the probabilistic strength performance constraints evaluating from reliability analysis. Mean value reliability method and adaptive importance sampling method were applied to the reliability evaluation in the reliability based robust optimization. The three sigma level quality was considered robustness in side constraints. The probabilistic optimum design results according to the reliability analysis methods were compared to deterministic optimum design results. The reliability based robust optimization using the mean value reliability method showed the most rational results for the probabilistic optimum structure design of the automatic salt collector.

A Study on Reliability Analysis & Determination of Replacement Cycle of the Railway Vehicle Contactor (철도차량 접촉기의 신뢰성 분석 및 교환주기 결정에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Minheung;Rhee, Sehun
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.316-324
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to determine the replacement cycle applied age replacement policy by reliability analysis based on railway vehicle contactor's failure history data. Method: We performed reliability analysis based on railway vehicle contactor's failure history data. We found a suitable distribution by goodness of fit test and predicted the reliability through estimation of scale & shape parameter. Considering cost information we determined the replacement cycle that minimize the opportunity cost. Result: Suitable distribution was the Weibull and scale parameter & shape parameter are estimated by reliability analysis. The replacement cycle was predicted and MTTF, $B_6$ percentile life were suggested additionally. Conclusion: We confirmed that failure rate type of railway vehicle contactor is degradation model having a time dependent characteristic and examined the replacement cycle in our country's operating environment. We expect that this study result contribute to railway operation agency for maintenance policy decision.

Variation of reliability-based seismic analysis of an electrical cabinet in different NPP location for Korean Peninsula

  • Nahar, Tahmina Tasnim;Rahman, Md Motiur;Kim, Dookie
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.926-939
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    • 2022
  • The area of this study will cover the location-wise seismic response variation of an electrical cabinet in nuclear power point (NPP) based on classical reliability analysis. The location-based seismic ground motion (GM) selection is carried out with the help of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis using PSHRisktool, where the variation of reliability analysis can be understood from the relation between the reliability index and intensity measure. Two different approaches such as the first-order second moment method (FOSM) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) are helped to evaluate and compare the reliability assessment of the cabinet. The cabinet is modeled with material uncertainty utilizing Steel01 as the material model and the fiber section modeling approach is considered to characterize the section's nonlinear reaction behavior. To verify the modal frequency, this study compares the FEM result with recorded data using Least-Squares Complex Exponential (LSCE) method from the impact hammer test. In spite of a few investigations, the main novelty of this study is to introduce the reader to check and compare the seismic reliability assessment variation in different seismic locations and for different earthquake levels. Alongside, the betterment can be found by comparing the result between two considered reliability estimation methods.

Flutter reliability analysis of suspension bridges based on multiplicative dimensional reduction method

  • Guo, Junfeng;Zheng, Shixiong;Zhang, Jin;Zhu, Jinbo;Zhang, Longqi
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.149-161
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    • 2018
  • A reliability analysis method is proposed in this paper based on the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) principle in which constraints are specified in terms of the fractional moments instead of integer moments. Then a multiplicative dimensional reduction method (M-DRM) is introduced to compute the fractional moments. The method is applicable for both explicit and implicit limit state functions of complex structures. After two examples illustrate the accuracy and efficiency of this method in comparison to the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS), the method is used to analyze the flutter reliability of suspension bridge. The results show that the empirical formula method in which the limit state function is explicitly represented as a function of variables is only a too conservative estimate for flutter reliability analysis but is not accurate adequately. So it is not suitable for reliability analysis of bridge flutter. The actual flutter reliability analysis should be conducted based on a finite element method in which limit state function is implicitly represented as a function of variables. The proposed M-DRM provide an alternate and efficient way to analyze a much more complicated flutter reliability of long span suspension bridge.

Reliability-based design optimization of structural systems using a hybrid genetic algorithm

  • Abbasnia, Reza;Shayanfar, Mohsenali;Khodam, Ali
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.1099-1120
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of structures is addressed. For this purpose, the global search and optimization capabilities of genetic algorithm (GA) are combined with the efficiency and reasonable accuracy of an advanced moment-based finite element reliability method. For performing RBDO, three variants of GA including a real-coded, a binary-coded and an improved binary-coded GA are developed. In these methods, GA performs (finite element) reliability analyses to evaluate reliability constraints. For truss structures which include finite element modeling, reliability constraints are evaluated using finite element reliability analysis. Response sensitivity required for finite element reliability analysis is obtained by direct differentiation method (DDM) rather than finite difference method (FDM). The proposed methods are examined within four standard test examples and real-world design problems. The results illustrate the superiority and efficiency of the improved binary-coded GA. Results also illustrate that DDM significantly reduces the computational cost and improves the efficiency of the optimization procedure.

STUDY OF RELIABILITY BASED FLEXIBLE WING SHAPE DESIGN OPTIMIZATION (신뢰성을 고려한 유연 날개 형상 최적 설계에 대한 연구)

  • Kim S.W.;Kwon J.H.
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.11 no.1 s.32
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2006
  • Reliability Based Design Optimization(RBDO) is one of the optimization methods that minimize the product failure due to small changes of operating conditions or process errors. It searches the optimum that satisfies the safety margin of each constraint, and it gives stable and reliable designs. However, RBDO requires many times oj computational efforts compared with the conventional deterministic optimization(DO) to evaluate the probability of failure about each constraint, therefore it is hard to apply directly to large-scaled problems such as a flexible wing shape design optimization. For the efficient reliability analysis, the approximate reliability analysis method with the two-point approximation(TPA) is proposed In this study, the lift-to-drag ratio maximization designs are performed with 3-dimensional Navier-Stokes analysis and NASTRAN structural analysis, and the optimization results about the deterministic, FORM and SORM are compared.

A Bayesian network based framework to evaluate reliability in wind turbines

  • Ashrafi, Maryam;Davoudpour, Hamid;Khodakarami, Vahid
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.543-553
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    • 2016
  • The growing complexity of modern technological systems requires more flexible and powerful reliability analysis tools. Existing tools encounter a number of limitations including lack of modeling power to address components interactions for complex systems and lack of flexibility in handling component failure distribution. We propose a reliability modeling framework based on the Bayesian network (BN). It can combine historical data with expert judgment to treat data scarcity. The proposed methodology is applied to wind turbines reliability analysis. The observed result shows that a BN based reliability modeling is a powerful potential solution to modeling and analyzing various kinds of system components behaviors and interactions. Moreover, BN provides performing several inference approaches such as smoothing, filtering, what-if analysis, and sensitivity analysis for considering system.

RELIABILITY-BASED OPTIMIZATION OF AIRFOILS USING A MOMENT METHOD AND PARSEC FUNCTION (모멘트 기법과 PARSEC 함수를 이용한 에어포일 신뢰성 기반 최적설계)

  • Lee, Jae-Hun;Kang, Hee-Youb;Kwon, Jang-Hyuk;Kwak, Byung-Man
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.50-54
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    • 2010
  • In this study, reliability-based design optimizations of airfoils were performed. PARSEC function was used to consider the uncertainty of the aerodynamic shape for the reliability-based shape optimization of airfoils. Among aerodynamic performance. The accuracy of the reliability analysis was compared with other method and it was found that the moment method predicts the probability accurately. Deterministic and reliability-based optimizations were performed for shape of the RAE2822 airfoil and it was demonstrated that reliability-based optimizations the aerodynamic performances under uncertainties of the shape of the airfoil.

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