• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability index method

Search Result 506, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Probabilistic Arrival Power Evaluation considering Voltage Stability (전압안정도를 고려한 확률론적 도달전력 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Seung-Pil;Chang, Byung-Hoon;Lee, Jae-Gul;Choi, Jae-Seok
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.59 no.8
    • /
    • pp.1366-1373
    • /
    • 2010
  • Purpose of the electric power system planning and operation is to supply the electric energy to customers continuously and economically. With the mutual exclusive laws of nature between reliability and economic, finding the meeting point is very important but not easy. Commonly the probabilistic reliability indices of the electric power systems are represented with negatively. And the effectiveness of FACTS on the probabilistic reliability could not be reflected with common methods. In this paper, a method to evaluate the probabilistic arrival power at each load point is presented. With this new proposed method, probabilistic reserve margin at load points can be calculated and which can be used with positive reliability index also. Using the P-V analysis, the voltage stability is considered in reliability evaluation. It is expected that the proposed method will be useful expecially in reliability evaluation of electric power system which has voltage restriction.

Estimation of Reliability Level and Applicability of LRFD Based on Standard Drawings of Railway Cantilever Retaining Walls (철도 옹벽 표준도의 신뢰도수준 및 LRFD 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, In-Soo;Lim, Heui-Dae;Park, Joon-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.31 no.10
    • /
    • pp.61-76
    • /
    • 2015
  • Recently, geotechnical engineering researches have been conducted on the Limit State Design (LSD) for deep and shallow foundations; however, there are very few studies on the retaining wall. As a basic study for the introduction of the LSD of a railway retaining wall, this study evaluates whether the reliability index satisfies the target reliability index for each failure mode in the standard drawing of the retaining wall. It also analyzes the feasibility of the LSD method by using the Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) for the standard drawing of a retaining wall. In a portion of the standard drawing of the railway retaining wall, the reliability indices of the sliding and bearing capacity failure modes did not satisfy the target reliability index, and could not satisfy the limit state by the LRFD. Hence, the standard drawing of the railway retaining wall will need to be revised if the LSD is to be applied.

A Study on the Decision of Optimum Installed Reserve Rate by Loss of Load Expectation (공급지장기대치에 의한 적정설비예비율 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jeong-Je;Liang, Wu;Choi, Jae-Seok;Cha, Jun-Min;Yun, Yong-Bum
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2008.07a
    • /
    • pp.103-104
    • /
    • 2008
  • This paper proposes an alternative methodology for deciding an optimum deterministic reliability level (IRR; Installed Reserve Rate) by using probabilistic reliability criterion (LOLE; Loss of Load Expectation). Additionally, case studies using the proposed method induce the characteristics of relationship between the probabilistic reliability index (LOLE) and deterministic reliability index (IRR) for 2008 year in Korea power system. The case study presents a possibility that an optimum IRR level in Korea can be assessed using the proposed method. Korea power system has been using the LOLE criterion to determine the adequacy of installed capacity (ICAP) requirement. The criterion in Korea is that the loss of load expectation shall not exceed the available capacity more than five day in ten years (=0.5[days/year]). The probabilistic reliability evaluation and production cost simulation program which is called PRASim is used in order to evaluate the relationship and optimum IRR in this paper.

  • PDF

Reliability-based Redundancy Evaluation Method for Steel Plate Girder Bridges (신뢰도 기반 플레이트 거더교의 여유도 평가 기법)

  • Joe, Woom Do Ji;Park, Yong Myung;Jin, Seung Hoon;Hwang, Min Oh;Chung, Heung Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
    • /
    • v.21 no.5
    • /
    • pp.493-503
    • /
    • 2009
  • Bridge redundancy is defined as the capability of a bridge to sustain loads after one of its main members incurs damage. It is affected by many parameters, including the number of girders, span length, girder height, internal supports, and secondary members. The present AASHTO and Korean Bridge design codes, however, define bridge redundancy only as the number of girders, and neither the evaluation method nor the required level of redundancy is given. This study presented a redundancy evaluation method for plate girder bridges with severe fatigue damage based on the reliability method,by considering the essential parameters. A required level of redundancy was also proposed as a target system reliability index from the load capacity analysis and reliability analysis of the basis bridge designed by LRFD. Finally, the level of redundancy of simple and continuous plate girder bridges with a variable number of girders designed by ASD was evaluated and presented.

Reliability and validity of the patellofemoral disability index as a measure of functional performance and subjective pain in subjects with patellofemoral pain syndrome

  • Alshaharani, Mastour Saeed;Lohman, Everett Bernell;Bahjri, Khaled;Harp, Travis;Alameri, Mansoor;Daher, Noha S.
    • Physical Therapy Rehabilitation Science
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.61-66
    • /
    • 2018
  • Objective: Patellofemoral pain syndrome (PFPS) is a condition that is characterized by patellar discomfort or pain that is aggravated during certain activities such as ascending/descending stairs. The Patellofemoral Disability Index (PDI) was developed to assess the effect of pain on functional activities in individuals with PFPS. The objectives of the current study were to determine the internal consistency, test-retest reliability, and validity of this index. Design: Cross-sectional study. Methods: Forty-one subjects who had PFPS with a mean age of $28.8{\pm}5.0years$ and a mean body mass index of $25.6{\pm}4.7kg/m^2$ participated in the study. All subjects were concurrently enrolled in a clinical trial for which they were instructed to complete hamstring-resistance exercises for 4 weeks. Over the course of the intervention, they completed both the PDI and the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) at baseline after two weeks, and after four weeks. Pearson correlation coefficient was used to assess the criterion validity. Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ was used to examine the internal consistency. Intraclass correlation coefficients with 95% confidence interval were computed to examine test-retest reliability. Results: Subjects' responses within both the PDI and the ODI yielded Pearson correlation coefficient values that were positive and highly significant (range, 0.73-0.97; p<0.001). There was a high level of internal consistency (Cronbach's ${\alpha}{\geq}0.8$), with the exception of stair climbing (Cronbach's ${\alpha}=0.65$). Intraclass correlation ranged from 0.87 to 0.92, indicating high levels of test-retest reliability. Conclusions: The PDI is a valid, reliable, and feasible method of assessing pain and functional ability in patients with PFPS.

Reliability Updates of Driven Piles Using Proof Pile Load Test Results (검증용 정재하시험 자료를 이용한 항타강관말뚝의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Park, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Dong-Wook;Kwak, Ki-Seok;Chung, Moon-Kyung;Kim, Jun-Young;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2010.03a
    • /
    • pp.324-337
    • /
    • 2010
  • For the development of load and resistance factor design, reliability analysis is required to calibrate resistance factors in the framework of reliability theory. The distribution of measured-to-predicted pile resistance ratio was constructed based on only the results of load tests conducted to failure for the assessment of uncertainty regarding pile resistance and used in the conventional reliability analysis. In other words, successful pile load test (piles resisted twice their design loads without failure) results were discarded, and therefore, were not reflected in the reliability analysis. In this paper, a new systematic method based on Bayesian theory is used to update reliability index of driven steel pile piles by adding more pile load test results, even not conducted to failure, into the prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Fifty seven static pile load tests performed to failure in Korea were compiled for the construction of prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Reliability analyses were performed using the updated distribution of pile resistance ratio and the total load distribution using First-order Reliability Method (FORM). The challenge of this study is that the distribution updates of pile resistance ratio are possible using the load test results even not conducted to failure, and that Bayesian update are most effective when limited data are available for reliability analysis or resistance factors calibration.

  • PDF

A Statistical Analysis Method for Image Processing Errors in the Position Alignment of BGA-type Semiconductor Packages (BGA형 반도체 패키지의 위치정렬용 영상처리기법 오차의 통계적 분석 방법)

  • Kim, Hak-Man;Seong, Sang Man;Kang, Kiho
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
    • /
    • v.19 no.11
    • /
    • pp.984-990
    • /
    • 2013
  • Pick and placement systems need high speeds and reliability for the position alignment process of semiconductor packages in picking up and placing them on placement trays. Image processing is usually adopted for position aligning where finding out the most suitable method is considered most important aspect of the process. This paper proposes a method for judging the performance of different image processing algorithms based on the PCI (Process Capability Index). The PCI is an index which represents the error distribution acquired from many experimental data. The bigger the index, the more reliable the results or the lower the deviation. Two compared and candidate methods are Hough Transform and PCA (Principal Component Analysis), both of which are very suitable for oblong or rectangular type packages such as BGA's. Comparing the two approaches through a CPI with enough experimental results leads to the conclusion that the PCA is much better than the Hough Transform in not only reliability, but also processing speed.

A Study of Limit State Design Method in Soil Slope (토사면의 한계상태 설계법에 관한 연구)

  • Joung, Gi-Hun;Kim, Jong-Min;Jang, Bum-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2005.03a
    • /
    • pp.129-136
    • /
    • 2005
  • The deterministic analysis method has generally used to evaluate the slope stability and it evaluates the slope stability with decision value that is a representative value of design variables. However, one of disadvantages in the deterministic approach is there is not able to consider the uncertainty of soil strength properties, even though it is the biggest influential parameter of the slope stability. On the other hand, the limit state design(LSD) can take a consideration of uncertainties and computes both the reliability index and the probability of failure. LSD method is capable of overcoming the disadvantages of deterministic method and evaluating the slope stability more reliably. In this study, both the mean value and standard deviation of the internal land's representative soil strength properties applied to process the LSD method. The major purpose of this study is to gauge the general applicability of the limit state design in soil slope and to weigh the comparative validity of the proposed partial safety factor. In order to reach the aim of this study, the partial safety factor and resistance factor which totally satisfied the slope's overall safety factor were calculated by the load and resistance safety factor design (LRFD).

  • PDF

Corrosion initiation time models in RC coastal structures based on reliability approach

  • Djeddi, Lamine;Amirat, Abdelaziz
    • Advances in concrete construction
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.149-159
    • /
    • 2020
  • The present work proposes new engineering models for determining corrosion initiation time in concrete reinforcing steels in marine environment. The models are based on Fick's second law that is commonly used for chloride diffusion. The latter is based on deterministic analyses involving the most influencing parameters such as distance of the concrete structure from the seaside, depth of steel concrete cover, ambient temperature, relative humidity and the water-cement ratio. However, a realistic corrosion initiation time cannot be estimated because of the uncertainties associated to the different parameters of the models. Therefore a reliability approach using FORM/SORM method has been applied to develop the proposed engineering models integrating a limit state function and a reliability index β. As a result, the corrosion initiation time is expressed by new exponential engineering models where the uncertainties are associated to the model parameters. The main emerging result is a realistic decision tool for corrosion planning inspection.

Condition Assessment Models and Fuzzy Reliability Analysis of Structural Systems (구조시스템의 퍼지신뢰성해석 및 상태평가모델)

  • 이증빈;손용우;박주원
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
    • /
    • 1998.10a
    • /
    • pp.61-68
    • /
    • 1998
  • It has become important to evaluate the qualitive reliability and condition assessment of existing structural systems in order to establish a rational program for repair and maintenance. Since most of if existing structural system may suffer from defect corrosion and damage, it is necessary to account for their effects in fuzzy reliability analysis, In this paper, an attempt is made to develope a reliability analysis for damaged structural systems using failure possibility theory. Damage state is specified in terms of linguistic valiables using natural language information and numerical information, which are defined by fuzzy sets. Using a subjective condition index of failure possibility and information of the damage state is introduced into the calculation of failure probability. The subjective condition index of quantitative and qualitative analysis method is newly proposed based on the fuzzy set operations, namely logical product, drastic product, logical sum and drastic sum

  • PDF