• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability index method

검색결과 506건 처리시간 0.029초

The hybrid uncertain neural network method for mechanical reliability analysis

  • Peng, Wensheng;Zhang, Jianguo;You, Lingfei
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.510-519
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    • 2015
  • Concerning the issue of high-dimensions, hybrid uncertainties of randomness and intervals including implicit and highly nonlinear limit state function, reliability analysis based on the hybrid uncertainty reliability mode combining with back propagation neural network (HU-BP neural network) is proposed in this paper. Random variables and interval variables are as input layer of the neural network, after the training and approximation of the neural network, the response variables are obtained through the output layer. Reliability index is calculated by solving the optimization model of the most probable point (MPP) searching in the limit state band. Two numerical cases are used to demonstrate the method proposed in this paper, and finally the method is employed to solving an engineering problem of the aerospace friction plate. For this high nonlinear, small failure probability problem with interval variables, this method could achieve a good analysis result.

PHC 매입말뚝의 하중저항 설계정수 제안 (Suggestion of Load and Resistance Factored Design Value for PHC Bored Pile)

  • 박종배;박용부;이범식;김상연
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.279-286
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    • 2012
  • 뢰성에 기반한 한계상태설계법은 국제표준화기구인 ISO뿐만 아니라 국내의 각종 건설관련 기준에서도 적용되는 등 국내외적으로 기존 허용응력설계법을 대체하고 있는 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 국내에서 건축물의 기초로 많이 사용되고 있는 PHC 매입말뚝을 대상으로 한계상태설계법의 일종인 LRFD 설계정수를 제안하였다. PHC 매입말뚝의 LRFD 설계정수를 제안하기 위해 81개의 현장 동재하 시험자료와 이들 말뚝에 대한 지지력 설계(Meyerhof 설계법, SPT-CPT 전환 설계법) 자료를 분석하고 목표 신뢰도 지수 2.33과 3.0에 대해 하중저항계수를 제시하였다. PHC 매입말뚝의 저항계수는 목표 신뢰도 지수에 따라 Meyerhof 방법, SPT-CPT 전환법은 각각 0.36~0.44, 0.24~0.31을 나타내었다.

부분안전계수를 이용한 케이슨식안벽의 신뢰성설계법 (Reliability Based Design of Caisson type Quay Wall Using Partial Safety Factors)

  • 김동현;윤길림
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.224-229
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    • 2009
  • 케이슨식 안벽의 Level I 신뢰성설계를 위한 부분안전계수를 산정하였다. 일계신뢰도법에 의한 부분안전계수는 한계상태함수의 확률변수에 대한 민감도, 목표신뢰도지수, 확률특성치 및 설계특성치 등의 함수로써 표현하였으며 전면조위와 잔류수위에 대해서는 현행설계법과의 연계성을 유지하기 위하여 수정부분안전계수를 새롭게 정의하였다. 수치해석을 통하여 목표신뢰도지수에 대한 부분안전계수를 산정하였으며 지진계수의 확률분포는 극치분포를 사용하였다. 지진계수의 설계치를 적용함에 있어서 재현주기가 길수록 부분안전계수가 작게 산정됨을 확인하였다.

Reliability-based design optimization using reliability mapping functions

  • Zhao, Weitao;Shi, Xueyan;Tang, Kai
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제62권2호
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    • pp.125-138
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    • 2017
  • Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is a powerful tool for design optimization when considering probabilistic characteristics of design variables. However, it is often computationally intensive because of the coupling of reliability analysis and cost minimization. In this study, the concept of reliability mapping function is defined based on the relationship between the reliability index obtained by using the mean value first order reliability method and the failure probability obtained by using an improved response surface method. Double-loop involved in the classical RBDO can be converted into single-loop by using the reliability mapping function. Since the computational effort of the mean value first order reliability method is minimal, RBDO by using reliability mapping functions should be highly efficient. Engineering examples are given to demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method. Numerical results indicated that the proposed method has the similar accuracy as Monte Carlo simulation, and it can obviously reduce the computational effort.

전자기 시스템의 신뢰성 기반 위상최적설계 (Reliability-based Topology Optimization for Electromagnetic Systems)

  • 강제남;김좌일;왕세명
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.741-743
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    • 2003
  • A reliability-based topology optimization (RBTO) for electromagnetic systems using the finite element method is presented. Permeability and applied current density are considered as uncertain variable. In order to compute reliability constraints, performance measure approach is used. To find the reliability index, the limit state function is linearly approximated at each iteration. Numerical examples show the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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생애주기비용을 이용한 잔교식 안벽의 신뢰도지수 최적화 (Reliability Index Optimization for Pier Type Quay Walls Using Life Cycle Cost)

  • 김동현;윤길림
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.422-428
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    • 2011
  • 잔교식 안벽의 생애주기비용(Life Cycle Cost, LCC)을 이용하여 신뢰도지수의 최적값을 구하였다. 응답면 기법을 이용한 신뢰성해석을 통해 횡잔교와 돌제식 잔교의 파괴확률을 산정하였다. 파괴확률은 잔교의 파괴 시 복구비용을 산출하는데 활용하였으며 초기공사비와 유지관리비를 모두 고려한 LCC를 최소화시킬 수 있는 신뢰도지수를 찾았다. 지진하중과 접안하중에 대한 다양한 조건에서의 최적 신뢰도지수를 구하였고 이를 통해 신뢰성설계에 사용할 수 있는 목표신뢰도지수를 제안하였다.

목구조 설계를 위한 확정론적 구조 설계법과 확률 기반 구조 설계법의 비교 연구 (Methods for wooden structural design- A comparative research between deterministic design and probability based design)

  • 박문재;김광철
    • 한국가구학회지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.358-373
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    • 2009
  • Probability based design(PBD)method has some advantages against current design methods. First, it can provide the quantitative values for the structural safety or capacity through the reliability index, $^{\beta}$. That presented the certainty on the corresponding structure for the designer or user, also that permitted the broad consideration in the safety of structures. In addition, it can give the quantitative lifetime of the related structure in the calculation process of target reliability index. Also, incidental economical efficiency can be expected because decrease of required structural material can be obtained by using the practical material data. Unlikely current deterministic structural design methods, main advantage is the reflection of real condition in the structural design process by application of the data with not small clear specimen but structural size material. Advanced countries, namely America, Canada, Europe, Australia and New Zealand already converted from allowable stress design(ASD) method to PBD method and used as a standard wooden structures code in the late 1980s and 1990s. Other domestic constructions standards such as the steel or concrete constructions accepted and used the PBD methods already. Accordingly, wooden structural design method also should be converted from deterministic ASD to probabilistic LRFD(Load and resistance factor design) in order to keep pace with worldwide demands for PBD. Hence, to suggest the reason of introduction the PBD in domestic wooden structural design and analysis, a brief example was used to show the different reliability index by using the different design methods. Definition, merits and demerits of deterministic ASD and probabilistic LRFD were followed. Also the three examples were presented to show the similarity and differences between ASD and LRFD. Finally, connection problems that might cause a disputation in wooden structural design and analysis were broadly examined.

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중환자 분류도구(WMSCN)의 신뢰도, 타당도 및 환산지수 검증 (Reliability, Validity, and Conversion Index of the Workload Management System for Critical Care Nurses(WMSCN))

  • 유정숙;권은옥;김순희;조용애
    • 중환자간호학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.48-57
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to establish reliability and validity and to identify the conversion index. Method: The WMSCN for ICU was revised from Workload Management System for Nurses(WMSN) of Walter Reed Army Hospital. Reliability of the WMSCN was evaluated interrater reliability between head nurses and staff nurses at 124 patients in April 2008. Validity through the correlation between direct nursing care hours and WMSCN score was conducted at 20 ICUs of 10 hospitals. Finally the conversion index was identified by total nursing hours and it divided by WMSCN score. Results: The scores by nurses were highly correlated with head nurses’(p=.967), and also scores of the WMSCN were highly correlated with the direct nursing care hours(p<.001). The distribution of patient classification ranks into class V(61.3%), class IV(24.2%) and class VI(11.3%). The scores of the WMSCN were no differences between MICU and SICU. Finally, the conversion index was 8.2 minutes. Conclusion: WMSCN is available to classify the nursing workload for critical care patients. The repeated evaluation of validity and reliability are requisite to use WMSCN effectively. And the conversion index should be adjusted to estimate the appropriate staffing in Korea.

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전압품질을 고려한 배전계통의 신뢰도 평가 (Reliability Evaluation for Considering the Voltage Quality in Power Distribution Systems)

  • 윤상윤;김언석;배주천;김낙경;박중신;김재철
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.525-527
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a reliability evaluation method for considering the voltage quality. The proposed evaluation methods are contained the sustained interruption, momentary interruption and voltage sag. For momentary interruption, evaluation indexes are divided the duration based index and the interruption cost index. For voltage sag, the final result of evaluation method represents the magnitude for customers' risk due to the voltage sag. The proposed method is tested using the RBTS model and a reliability data in KEPCO's system.

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Analysis of Structural Reliability under Model and Statistical Uncertainties: a Bayesian Approach

  • Kiureghian, Armen-Der
    • Computational Structural Engineering : An International Journal
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2001
  • A framework for reliability analysis of structural components and systems under conditions of statistical and model uncertainty is presented. The Bayesian parameter estimation method is used to derive the posterior distribution of model parameters reflecting epistemic uncertainties. Point, predictive and bound estimates of reliability accounting for parameter uncertainties are derived. The bounds estimates explicitly reflect the effect of epistemic uncertainties on the reliability measure. These developments are enhance-ments of second-moment uncertainty analysis methods developed by A. H-S. Ang and others three decades ago.

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