• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability calculation

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Application of Target Reliability Levels for Maintenance of Domestic Natural Gas Pipelines (국내 천연가스배관 유지관리를 위한 목표신뢰도 적용사례)

  • Lee, Jin-Han;Kim, Jeong-Hwan;Jo, Young-Do;Kim, Lae Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2018
  • Reliability based design and assessment (RBDA) methodology is one of the newest directions of natural gas pipeline design method. Reliability targets are used to ensure that safety levels are met relevant limit states in the stage of design and maintenance. The target reliability for ultimate limit states such as large leak and rupture were developed using tolerable risk criteria for individual and societal risk. This paper shows the reliability target can be met through the implementation of periodic maintenance measures during the life cycle of the pipelines. The case study involves the calculation of the failure probability due to equipment impact, the calculation of the failure probability due to corrosion, and the estimation the re-inspection interval for domestic natural gas transmission pipelines.

Reliability of TLP tethers under extreme tensions

  • Siddiqui, N.A.;Ahmad, Suhail
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2003
  • The tension leg platform (TLP) is a moored floating offshore structure whose buoyancy is more than its weight. The mooring system, known as tethers, is vulnerable to failure due to extreme (maximum and minimum) tensions. In the present study the reliability of these tethers under maximum and minimum tension (ultimate limit state) has been studied. Von-Mises failure criteria has been adopted to define the failure of a tether against maximum tension. The minimum tension failure criteria has been assumed to meet when the tethers slack due to loss of tension. First Order Reliability method (FORM) has been adopted for reliability assessment. The reliability, in terms of reliability index, and probability of failure has been obtained for twelve sea states. The probabilities of failure so obtained for different sea states have been adopted for the calculation of annual and life time probabilities of failure.

Dominant failure modes identification and structural system reliability analysis for a long-span arch bridge

  • Gao, Xin;Li, Shunlong
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.63 no.6
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    • pp.799-808
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    • 2017
  • Failure of a redundant long-span bridge is often described by innumerable failure modes, which make the structural system reliability analysis become a computationally intractable work. In this paper, an innovative procedure is proposed to efficiently identify the dominant failure modes and quantify the structural reliability for a long-span bridge system. The procedure is programmed by ANSYS and MATLAB. Considering the correlation between failure paths, a new branch and bound operation criteria is applied to the traditional stage critical strength branch and bound algorithm. Computational effort can be saved by ignoring the redundant failure paths as early as possible. The reliability of dominant failure mode is computed by FORM, since the limit state function of failure mode can be expressed by the final stage critical strength. PNET method and FORM for system are suggested to be the suitable calculation method for the bridge system reliability. By applying the procedure to a CFST arch bridge, the proposed method is demonstrated suitable to the system reliability analysis for long-span bridge structure.

Reliability Assessment of Traction System of Korean High Speed Train (한국형 고속열차 추진시스템의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Seo Sung-Il;Park Choon-Soo;Han Young-Jae;Lee Tae-Hyung;Kim Ki-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.434-438
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, as the first step to assess and enhance the reliability of Korea High Speed Train, an electric traction system is selected and reliability analysis is carried out. The electric traction system is classified into subsystems and functional block diagrams and reliability block diagrams are drawn. Expressions for evaluating the reliability are derived and Mean Kilometer Between Service Failure is calculated using the trial track test results. The calculation results show reliability growth of the proposed system.

Probability Based Resistance Model of Steel Girder Bridges Based on Field Testing (현장계측결과를 이용한 강거더교의 확률적 저항모델)

  • Eom, Jun-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2008
  • Underestimation of the capacity can have serious economic consequences, as deficient bridges must be posted, repaired or replaced. Accurate prediction of bridge behavior may allow for more bridges to remain in service with or without minor repairs. The presented research is focused on the reliability evaluation of the actual load carrying capacity of existing bridges based on the field testing. Reliability analysis is performed on 17 previously tested bridges. Bridges are first evaluated based on the code specified values and design resistance. However, after the field testing program, it is possible to apply the experimental results into the bridge reliability evaluation procedures. The girder distribution factors obtained from the tests are also applied in the reliability calculation. The results indicate that the reliability indices of selected bridges can be significantly increased due to the reduction of uncertainties without sacrificing the safety of structures, by including the result of field measurement data into calculation.

Reliability Assessment Considering PLOC and Unified Evaluation via Analytic Network Process (PLOC를 고려한 배전계통의 신뢰도 계산 및 ANP에 의한 종합적 평가)

  • Lee, Buhm;Kim, Yong-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2000
  • This paper describes the unified reliability evaluation with partial loss of continuity for Inchon international airport distribution system which is complex and difficult system to implement. To evaluate reliability considering line limitation and voltage drop of the system, PLOC technique which is based on deterministic evaluation technique and failure mode & effective analysis method is employed. And reliability indices calculation method is used. Finally, to evaluate the system performance and to improve the reliability of the system, Analytic network process method is employed. As a result, calculating accurate reliability, finding weak points, and expansion scheduling of the system is possible.

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Reliability Analysis of Door Control Unit of Korean Tilting Tran (곡선부 주행성능 향상을 가진 틸팅 열차의 DCU(Door Contol Unit)의 신뢰성 분석)

  • Song, Yong-Soo;Han, Sung-Ho;Kim, Nam-Po
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.941-946
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, as the step to assess and enhance the reliability of Korean Tilting Train eXpress (T.T.X), Door system is selected and reliability analysis is carried out. The door system is classified into subsystems and functional block diagrams and reliability block diagrams are drawn.Expessions for evaluating the reliability are derived and Mean Kilometer between Service Failure is calculated using the trial track test results. The calculation result show reliability growth of proposed system. This paper developed RAMS to make a door system of T.T.X. (Tilting Train eXpress) with maximum operation speed of 180 km/h.

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스테인레스강 저주기 피로 수명 분포의 추계적 모델링

  • 이봉훈;이순복
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.213-222
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    • 2000
  • In present study, a stochastic model is developed for the low cycle fatigue life prediction and reliability assessment of 316L stainless steel under variable multiaxial loading. In the proposed model, fatigue phenomenon is considered as a Markov process, and damage vector and reliability are defined on every plane. Any low cycle fatigue damage evaluating method can be included in the proposed model. The model enables calculation of statistical reliability and crack initiation direction under variable multiaxial loading, which are generally not available. In present study, a critical plane method proposed by Kandil et al., maximum tensile strain range, and von Mises equivalent strain range are used to calculate fatigue damage. When the critical plane method is chosen, the effect of multiple critical planes is also included in the proposed model. Maximum tensile strain and von Mises strain methods are used for the demonstration of the generality of the proposed model. The material properties and the stochastic model parameters are obtained from uniaxial tests only. The stochastic model made of the parameters obtained from the uniaxial tests is applied to the life prediction and reliability assessment of 316L stainless steel under variable multiaxial loading. The predicted results show good accordance with experimental results.

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A New Reliability-Based Optimal Design Algorithm of Electromagnetic Problems with Uncertain Variables: Multi-objective Approach

  • Ren, Ziyan;Peng, Baoyang;Liu, Yang;Zhao, Guoxin;Koh, Chang-Seop
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.704-710
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    • 2018
  • For the optimal design of electromagnetic device involving uncertainties in design variables, this paper proposes a new reliability-based optimal design algorithm for multiple constraints problems. Through optimizing the nominal objective function and maximizing the minimum reliability, a set of global optimal reliable solutions representing different reliability levels are obtained by the multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm. Applying the sensitivity-assisted Monte Carlo simulation method, the numerical efficiency of optimization procedure is guaranteed. The proposed reliability-based algorithm supplying multi-reliable solutions is investigated through applications to analytic examples and the optimal design of two electromagnetic problems.

Application of inverse reliability method to estimation of flutter safety factors of suspension bridges

  • Cheng, Jin;Dong, Fenghui
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.249-265
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    • 2017
  • An efficient and accurate algorithm is proposed to estimate flutter safety factor of suspension bridges satisfying prescribed reliability levels. Uncertainties which arise from the basic wind speed at the bridge deck location, critical flutter velocity, the wind conversion factor from a scaled model to the prototype structure and the gust speed factor are incorporated. The proposed algorithm integrates the concepts of the inverse reliability method and the calculation method of the critical flutter velocity of suspension bridges. The unique feature of the proposed method is that it offers a tool for flutter safety assessment of suspension bridges, when the reliability level is specified as a target to be satisfied by the designer. Accuracy and efficiency of this method with reference to three example suspension bridges is studied and numerical results validate its superiority over conventional deterministic method. Finally, the effects of various parameters on the flutter safety factor of suspension bridges are also investigated.