• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability based design

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CAROD: Computer-Aided Reliable and Optimal Design as a concurrent system for real structures

  • Kharmanda, Ghias;Mohamed, Alaa;Lemaire, Maurice
    • International Journal of CAD/CAM
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2002
  • Computer-Aided Reliable and Optimal Design (CAROD) system is an efficient tool defining the best compromise between cost and safety. Using the concurrent engineering concept, it can supply the designer with all numerical information in the design process. This system integrates several fields such as multidisciplinary optimization, reliability analysis, finite element analysis, geometrical modeling, sensitivity analysis and concurrent engineering. When integrating these disciplines, many difficulties are found such as model coupling and computational time. In this paper, we propose a new concurrent methodology satisfying the reliability requirement, allowing the coupling of different models and reducing the computational time. Two applications (rotating disk and hook structures) demonstrate that CAROD system can be a practical concurrent engineering application for designers.

Optimization of preventive maintenance of nuclear safety-class DCS based on reliability modeling

  • Peng, Hao;Wang, Yuanbing;Zhang, Xu;Hu, Qingren;Xu, Biao
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.10
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    • pp.3595-3603
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    • 2022
  • Nuclear safety-class DCS is used for nuclear reactor protection function, which is one of the key facilities to ensure nuclear power plant safety, the maintenance for DCS to keep system in a high reliability is significant. In this paper, Nuclear safety-class DCS system developed by the Nuclear Power Institute of China is investigated, the model of reliability estimation considering nuclear power plant emergency trip control process is carried out using Markov transfer process. According to the System-Subgroup-Module hierarchical iteration calculation, the evolution curve of failure probability is established, and the preventive maintenance optimization strategy is constructed combining reliability numerical calculation and periodic overhaul interval of nuclear power plant, which could provide a quantitative basis for the maintenance decision of DCS system.

Partial safety factors for retaining walls and slopes: A reliability based approach

  • GuhaRay, Anasua;Baidya, Dilip Kumar
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.99-115
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    • 2014
  • Uncertainties in design variables and design equations have a significant impact on the safety of geotechnical structures like retaining walls and slopes. This paper presents a possible framework for obtaining the partial safety factors based on reliability approach for different random variables affecting the stability of a reinforced concrete cantilever retaining wall and a slope under static loading conditions. Reliability analysis is carried out by Mean First Order Second Moment Method, Point Estimate Method, Monte Carlo Simulation and Response Surface Methodology. A target reliability index ${\beta}$ = 3 is set and partial safety factors for each random variable are calculated based on different coefficient of variations of the random variables. The study shows that although deterministic analysis reveals a safety factor greater than 1.5 which is considered to be safe in conventional approach, reliability analysis indicates quite high failure probability due to variation of soil properties. The results also reveal that a higher factor of safety is required for internal friction angle ${\varphi}$, while almost negligible values of safety factors are required for soil unit weight ${\gamma}$ in case of cantilever retaining wall and soil unit weight ${\gamma}$ and cohesion c in case of slope. Importance of partial safety factors is shown by analyzing two simple geotechnical structures. However, it can be applied for any complex system to achieve economization.

Target Reliability Index and Load-resistance Factors for the Gravitational Loads-governed Limit States for a Reliability-based Bridge Design Code (신뢰도기반 교량설계기준의 중력방향하중 지배 한계상태에 대한 목표신뢰도지수 및 하중-저항계수)

  • Kim, Jeong-Gon;Kim, Ho-Kyung;Lee, Hae Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.299-309
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents a new class of the vehicular live load factor for a reliability-based bridge design code. The significance of the current vehicular live load factor of 1.8 is investigated based on the return period of the vehicular live load and the design life of a bridge. It is shown that the current vehicular live load factor corresponds to a return period of 6.7 million years for a 100-year design life, which seems to be unrealistic in an engineering sense, and that the target reliability of 3.72 is set to too high without any reasoning for the gravitational load-governed limit state compared with that of the other limit states. In case the same return period as the design wind velocity or the ground acceleration is employed for the vehicular live load, the corresponding vehicular live load factor becomes around 1.15, and the target reliability index for the return period may be selected as 2.0 or 2.5 depending on the governing load effect. The complete sets of the load-resistance factors for the proposed target reliability indices are evaluated through optimization.

Reliability-based Structural Design Optimization Considering Probability Model Uncertainties - Part 2: Robust Performance Assessment (확률모델 불확실성을 고려한 구조물의 신뢰도 기반 최적설계 - 제2편: 강인 성능 평가)

  • Ok, Seung-Yong;Park, Wonsuk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2012
  • This paper, being the second in a two-part series, presents the robust performance of the proposed design method which can enhance a reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) under the uncertainties of probabilistic models. The robust performances of the solutions obtained by the proposed method, described in the Part 1, are investigated through the parametric studies. A 10-bar truss example is considered, and the uncertain parameters include the number of data observed, and the variations of applied loadings and allowable stresses. The numerical results show that the proposed method can produce a consistent result despite of the large variations in the parameters. Especially, even with the relatively small data set, the analysis results show that the exact probabilistic model can be successfully predicted with optimized design sections. This consistency of estimating appropriate probability model is also observed in the case of the variations of other parameters, which verifies the robustness of the proposed method.

Proposal of Return Period and Basic Wind Speed Map to Estimate Wind Loads for Strength Design in Korea (강도설계용 풍하중 평가를 위한 재현기간과 기본풍속지도의 제안)

  • Ha, Young-Cheol
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2018
  • Strength design wind loads for the wind resistance design of structures shall be evaluated by the product of wind loads calculated based on the basic wind speed with 100 years return period and the wind load factor 1.3 specified in the provisions of load combinations in Korean Building Code (KBC) 2016. It may be sure that the wind load factor 1.3 in KBC(2016) had not been determined by probabilistic method or empirical method using meteorological wind speed data in Korea. In this paper, wind load factors were evaluated by probabilistic method and empirical method. The annual maximum 10 minutes mean wind speed data at 69 meteorological stations during past 40 years from 1973 to 2012 were selected for this evaluation. From the comparison of the results of those two method, it can be found that the mean values of wind load factors calculated both probability based method and empirical based method were similar at all meteorological stations. When target level of reliability index is set up 2.5, the mean value of wind load factors for all regions should be presented about 1.35. When target level of reliability index is set up 3.0, wind load factor should be presented about 1.46. By using the relationship between importance factor(conversion factor for return period) and wind load factor, the return periods for strength design were estimated and expected wind speeds of all regions accounting for strength design were proposed. It can be found that return period to estimate wind loads for strength design should be 500 years and 800 years in according to target level of reliability index 2.5 and 3.0, respectively. The 500 years basic wind speed map for strength design was suggested and it can be used with a wind load factor 1.0.

Design for Flight Control System Focused on Reliability (신뢰성 목표를 위한 비행제어 시스템 설계)

  • Kim, Sung-Su;Park, Choon-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.33 no.11
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2005
  • The reliability of flight control system(FCS) for Unmanned Air Vehicle(UAV) is underestimated because of the design restrictions such as small size, low cost and light weight. However because the failure of FCS may cause the loss of aircraft, the reliability of FCS must be analysed and validated whether it meet the reliability requirements in design phase.In this paper the failure rate of subsystems was divided with its function based on the design experience of FCS. The redundancy models which satisfy the system reliability requirements were suggested. These results may be utilized in the hardware design of FCS.

A reliability-based approach to investigate the challenges of using international building design codes in developing countries

  • Kakaie, Arman;Yazdani, Azad;Salimi, Mohammad-Rashid
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.80 no.6
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    • pp.677-688
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    • 2021
  • The building design codes and standards in many countries usually are either fully or partially adopted from the international codes. However, regional conditions like the quality of construction industry and different statistical parameters of load and resistance have essential roles in the code calibration of building design codes. This paper presents a probabilistic approach to assess the reliability level of adopted national building codes by simulating design situations and considering all load combinations. The impact of the uncertainty of wind and earthquake loads, which are entirely regional condition dependent and have a high degree of uncertainty, are quantified. In this study, the design situation is modeled by generating thousands of numbers for load effect ratios, and the reliability level of steel elements for all load combinations and different load ratios is established and compared to the target reliability. This approach is applied to the Iranian structural steel code as a case study. The results indicate that the Iranian structural steel code lacks safety in some load combinations, such as gravity and earthquake load combinations, and is conservative for other load combinations. The present procedure can be applied to the assessment of the reliability level of other national codes.

Reliability-based condition assessment of a deteriorated concrete bridge

  • Ghodoosi, Farzad;Bagchi, Ashutosh;Zayed, Tarek;Zaki, Adel R.
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.357-369
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    • 2014
  • In the existing bridge management systems, assessment of the structural behavior is based on the results of visual inspections in which corresponding condition states are assigned to individual elements. In this process, limited attention is given to the correlation between bridge elements from structural perspective. Also, the uncertainty of parameters which affect the structural capacity is ignored. A system reliability-based assessment model is potentially an appropriate replacement for the existing procedures. The aim of this research is to evaluate the system reliability of existing conventional Steel-Reinforced bridge decks over time. The developed method utilizes the reliability theory and evaluates the structural safety for such bridges based on their failure mechanisms. System reliability analysis has been applied to simply-supported concrete bridge superstructures designed according to the Canadian Highway Bridge Design Code (CHBDC-S6) and the deterioration pattern is achieved based on the reliability estimates. Finally, the bridge condition index of an old existing bridge in Montreal has been estimated using the developed deterioration pattern. The results obtained from the developed reliability-based deterioration model and from the evaluation done by bridge engineers have been found to be in accordance.

Sensitivity Analysis for Reliability Growth Projection Model based on NHPP (NHPP 기반의 신뢰성 성장 예측 모델에 대한 민감도 분석)

  • Cho, K.H.;Lee, H.C.;Jang, J.S.;Park, S.C.
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.305-312
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to provide a sensitivity analysis of system reliability for recognizing effectiveness of changing of BD mode failures using reliability growth projection model based on NHPP. Methods: Crow extended reliability projection model (CERPM) is used to analyze the changing of two factors 1) the number of BD mode failures, 2) fix effectiveness factor (FEF) values. Results: The system reliability has increased in accordance with the number of BD mode failures and FEF values have increased. Conclusion: It is necessary to design failure modes and FEF values to supervise the reliability.