• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability Prediction Model

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Carbon/Epoxy 복합재료의 피로수명예측에 관한 신뢰성 해석 (A Reliability Analysis on the Fatigue Life Prediction in Carbon/Epoxy Composite Material)

  • 장성수
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.143-147
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    • 2007
  • In recents years, the statistical properties has become an important quantity for reliability based design of a component. The effects of the materials and test conditions for parameter estimation in residual strength degradation model are studied in carbon/epoxy laminate. It is shown that the correlation between the experimental results and the theoretical prediction on the fatigue life distribution using the life distribution convergence method is very reasonable.

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Telcordia를 이용한 형광등용 전자식 안정기의 신뢰성 모형 수립 (Reliability Modeling of Electronic Ballasts for the Fluorescent Lamp Using Telcordia)

  • 전태보
    • 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국품질경영학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2006
  • As the level of technology and the standard of living improve, product reliability plays an Increasingly significant role. This study has been performed to build a reliability model of electronic ballasts for the low wattage fluorescent lamp. Telcordia SR-332, one of the most widely used reliability specifications, was selected for the model development. We briefly reviewed the basic concepts of the electronic ballast. We then developed a reliability model for the ballast using SR-332 concepts and the reliability has been examined.

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한국형고속철도 열차제어시스템 하부구성요소 신뢰도입증에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Demonstration for Korea High Speed Train Control System)

  • 이재호;이강미;김용규;신덕호
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.732-738
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    • 2006
  • This research provides a scheme for Highly Accelerated Stress Test that is necessary to demonstrate reliability prediction of Korean Rapid Transit Railway Train Control System sub-equipment, which is calculated by a relevant standard for failure rate prediction of electronic products. Although determining failure information generated in the process of trial running by statistic analysis is widely accepted as a measure of confirmation for reliability prediction, this research suggests the modeling for System Life Test determined by accelerating stress factors as a measure of confirmation for reliability prediction of sub-equipment unit that is generated ahead of a trial running in System Life Cycle. Consequently, the research demonstrates sub-equipment unit reliability test, which is based on the model derived from Accelerated Stress Test, according to accuracy level and the number of samples, and conducts an official experiment by making out a reliability test procedure sheet based on test time as well.

신뢰도 예측 규격의 민감도 분석: MIL-HDBK-217F, RiAC-HDBK-217Plus, FIDES를 중심으로 (Sensitivity Analysis for Reliability Prediction Standard: Focusing on MIL-HDBK-217F, RiAC-HDBK-217Plus, FIDES)

  • 오재윤;박상철;장중순
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.92-102
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Reliability prediction standards consider environmental conditions, such as temperature, humidity and vibration in order to predict the reliability of the electronics components. There are many types of standards, and each standard has a different failure rate prediction model, and requires different environmental conditions. The purpose of this study is to make a sensitivity analysis by changing the temperature which is one of the environmental conditions. By observing the relation between the temperature and the failure rate, we perform the sensitivity analysis for standards including MIL-HDBK-217F, RiAC-HDBK-217Plus and FIDES. Methods: we establish environmental conditions in accordance with maneuver weapon systems's OMS/MP and mission scenarios then predict the reliability using MIL-HDBK-217F, RiAC-HDBK-217Plus and FIDES through the case of DC-DC Converter. Conclusion: Reliability prediction standards show different sensitivities of their failure rates with respect to the changing temperatures.

데이터 마이닝 기법을 이용한 특별고압 파급고장 발생가능 고객 예측모델 구축 및 신뢰도 향상방안에 관한 연구 (A study on Reliability Enhancement Method and the Prediction Model Construction of Medium-Voltage Customers Causing Distribution Line Fault Using Data Mining Techniques)

  • 배성환;김자희;홍정식;임한승
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권10호
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    • pp.1869-1880
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    • 2009
  • Distribution line fault has been reduced gradually by the efforts on improving the quality of electrical materials and distribution system maintenance. However faults caused by medium voltage customers have been increased gradually even though we have done many efforts. The problem is that we don't know which customer will cause the fault. This paper presents the concept to find these customers using data mining techniques, which is based on accumulated fault records of medium voltage customers in the past. It also suggests the prediction model construction of medium voltage customers causing distribution line fault and methods to enhance the reliability of distribution system. We expect that we can effectively reduce faults resulted from medium voltage customers, which is 30% of total faults.

MIL-HDBK-217을 이용한 형광등용 전자식 안정기의 신뢰성 모형 (A Reliability Model of Electronic Ballasts for the Fluorescent Lamp using MIL-HDBK-217)

  • 전태보
    • 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국품질경영학회 2006년도 추계 학술대회
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    • pp.327-332
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    • 2006
  • A study to build a reliability model of electronic ballasts for the fluorescent lamp has been performed in this paper. We selected the widely being used specification, MIL-HDBK-217 for the study. We briefly reviewed the basic concepts of the electronic ballast with the selected reliability specification. We then developed a reliability model for the ballast using MIL-HDBK-217 and predicted the reliability.

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열화되는 성능 파라메터를 가지는 시스템의 신뢰성 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Reliability Prediction of System with Degrading Performance Parameter)

  • 김연수;정영배
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.142-148
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    • 2015
  • Due to advancements in technology and manufacturing capability, it is not uncommon that life tests yield no or few failures at low stress levels. In these situations it is difficult to analyse lifetime data and make meaningful inferences about product or system reliability. For some products or systems whose performance characteristics degrade over time, a failure is said to have occurred when a performance characteristic crosses a critical threshold. The measurements of the degradation characteristic contain much useful and credible information about product or system reliability. Degradation measurements of the performance characteristics of an unfailed unit at different times can directly relate reliability measures to physical characteristics. Reliability prediction based on physical performance measures can be an efficient and alternative method to estimate for some highly reliable parts or systems. If the degradation process and the distance between the last measurement and a specified threshold can be established, the remaining useful life is predicted in advance. In turn, this prediction leads to just in time maintenance decision to protect systems. In this paper, we describe techniques for mapping product or system which has degrading performance parameter to the associated classical reliability measures in the performance domain. This paper described a general modeling and analysis procedure for reliability prediction based on one dominant degradation performance characteristic considering pseudo degradation performance life trend model. This pseudo degradation trend model is based on probability modeling of a failure mechanism degradation trend and comparison of a projected distribution to pre-defined critical soft failure point in time or cycle.

The Designs for Prediction of Future Reliability Using the Stochastic Reliabilit

  • Oh, Chung-Hwan;Kim, Bok-Mahn
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.131-139
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    • 1993
  • The newly proposed model of the future reliability results in earlier fault-fixes having a greater effect than the fault which make the greatest contribution to the overall failure rate tend to show themselves earlier, and so are fixed earlier. The suggested model allows a variety of reliability measures to be calculated. Predictions of total execution time(debugging time) is to achieve a target reliability. This model could also apply to computer-hardware reliability growth resulting from the elimination of design error and fault.

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항공기용 유압 시스템 신뢰도 및 정비도 분석 프로세스 고찰 (A Study on the Reliability and Maintainability Analysis Process for Aircraft Hydraulic System)

  • 한창환;김근배
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2016
  • An aircraft must be designed to minimize system failure rate for obtaining the aircraft safety, because the aircraft system failure causes a fatal accident. The safety of the aircraft system can be predicted by analyzing availability, reliability, and maintainability of the system. In this study, the reliability and the maintainability of the hydraulic system are analysed except the availability, and therefore the reliability and the maintainability analysis process and the results are presented for a helicopter hydraulic system. For prediction of the system reliability, the failure rate model presented in MIL-HDBK-217F is used, and MTBF is calculated by using the Part Stress Analysis Prediction and quality/temperature/environmental factors described in NPRD-95 and MIL-HDBK-338B. The maintainability is predicted by FMECA(Failure Mode, Effect & Criticality Analysis) based on MIL-STD-1629A.

무기체계 신뢰도 예측시 임무주기 적용 방안에 대한 연구 (Methodologies of Duty Cycle Application in Weapon System Reliability Prediction)

  • 윤희성;정다운;이은학;강태원;이승헌;허만옥
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.433-445
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    • 2011
  • Duty cycle is determined as the ratio of operating time to total time. Duty cycle in reliability prediction is one of the significant factors to be considered. In duty cycle application, non-operating time failure rate has been easily ignored even though the failure rate in non-operating period has not been proved to be small enough. Ignorance of non-operating time failure rate can result in over-estimated system reliability calculation. Furthermore, utilization of duty cycle in reliability prediction has not been evaluated in its effectiveness. In order to address these problems, two reliability models, such as MIL-HDBK-217F and RIAC-HDBK-217Plus, were used to analyze non-operating time failure rate. This research has proved that applying duty cycle in 217F model is not reasonable by the quantitative comparison and analysis.