• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability Physical Model

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Estimation of Accident Probability for Dynamic Risk Assessment (동적 위험 분석을 위한 사고확률 추정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Byeong-Cheol Park;Chae-Og Lim;In-Hyuk Nam;Sung-Chul Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.2_2
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2023
  • Recently, various dynamic risk analysis methods have been suggested for estimating the risk index by predicting the possibility of accidents and damage. It is necessary to maintain and support the safety system for responding to accidents by continuously updating the probability of accidents and the results of accidents, which are quantitative standards of ship risk. In this study, when a LNG leakage that may occur in the LN G Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) room during LN G bunkering operation, a reliability physical model was prepared by the change in monitoring data as physical parameters to estimate the accident probability. The scenario in which LNG leakage occur were configured with FT (Fault Tree), and the coefficient of the covariate model and Weibull distribution was estimated based on the monitoring data. The possibility of an LNG leakage, which is the top event of FT, was confirmed by changes in time and monitoring data. A method for estimating the LNG leakage based on the reliability physical analysis is proposed, which supports fast decision-making by identifying the potential LNG leakage at the accident.

Comparison of the Perception of Service Quality Between Patients and Physical Therapists (물리치료환자와 치료사간의 물리치료서비스품질에 대한 지각 비교)

  • Bang, Sang-Bun;Lee, Yong-Seok
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2010
  • This study purposed to analyze difference in the perception of service quality between physical therapy patients and physical therapists and to provide basic materials for maintaining high service quality that meets patients' expectation in each service area. For this study, we conducted a questionnaire survey with physical therapy patients and physical therapists in Jeju from the 6 to 30 of January, 2010. In the survey, we received 133 questionnaires from patients and 125 from physical therapists, and used them in analysis. The instrument used in this study to measure service quality was prepared by the researcher through adapting and supplementing the SERVQUAL model developed by Parasuraman et al (1991). For our physical therapy environment, and it consisted of a total of 23 questions in five areas, namely, tangibility, reliability, responsiveness, assurance, and empathy. Patients' perception of service quality was high in order of reliability, assurance, empathy, responsiveness, and tangibility. In four areas with exception of reliability, quality perceived by patients was lower than that perceived by physical therapists, and particularly in responsiveness(t=2.82, p=.00) and empathy(t=2.02, p=.04), the difference between patients and physical therapists was statistically significant. In order to reduce the difference in the perception of service quality between patients and physical therapists, it is considered necessary to enhance physical therapists' perception of service quality and to prepare measures for improving service equality so that services would be provided through respectful communication with maintaining the dignity of patients, rather than focusing on disease.

Reliability Modeling and Computational Algorithm of Network Systems with Dependent Components (구성요소가 서로 종속인 네트워크시스템의 신뢰성모형과 계산알고리즘)

  • 홍정식;이창훈
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.88-96
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    • 1989
  • General measure in the reliability is the k-terminal reliability, which is the probability that the specified vertices are connected by the working edges. To compute the k-terminal reliability components are usually assumed to be statistically independent. In this study the modeling and analysis of the k-terminal reliability are investigated when dependency among components is considered. As the size of the network increases, the number of the joint probability parameter to represent the dependency among components is increasing exponentially. To avoid such a difficulty the structured-event-based-reliability model (SERM) is presented. This model uses the combination of the network topology (physical representation) and reliability block diagram (logical representation). This enables us to represent the dependency among components in a network form. Computational algorithms for the k-terminal reliability in SERM are based on the factoring algorithm Two features of the ractoring algorithm are the reliability preserving reduction and the privoting edge selection strategy. The pivoting edge selction strategy is modified by two different ways to tackle the replicated edges occuring in SERM. Two algorithms are presented according to each modified pivoting strategy and illustrated by numerical example.

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Condition Parameter-based On-line Performance Reliability (상태 파라메터 기반의 온라인 성능 신뢰도)

  • Kim, Yon-Soo;Chung, Young-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents the conceptual framework for estimating and predicting system's susceptibility to failure as function of condition parameter value which is representing the current status of performance measure using on-line performance reliability. The performance of such system depends on one parameter with a probability distribution that degrades with time gracefully. Performance reliability represents the probability that physical performance will remain satisfactory over a finite period of time or usage cycles in the future. An empirical physical performance function is constructed to incorporate explanatory variables (operating and environmental conditions) over a time or usage dimension. This function enables one to model device performance and the associated classical reliability measures simultaneously, in the performance domain and time domain. The conditional performance reliability structure developed represents a tool to predict system performance over time or usage for next usage period. By enabling such a framework, it can bring us more efficient planning and execution in system's operation control as well as maintenance to reduce costs and/or increase profits.

Development of Integrated Model for Accelerated Life Test Using Linkage Parameter (연계모수를 이용한 가속수명시험 통합모형의 개발)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2007
  • This paper is to present linkage parameter to integrate statistical models and physical models for accelerated life test. Statistical models represent the relationship of probability distribution and life. Physical models show the relationship of life and stress. Moreover, this study proposes the four steps for construction of integrated models for accelerated life test using linkage parameter. Finally, this paper develops new integrated models such as extreme value distribution-general Eyring, linearly increasing failure rate function-general Eyring, etc., and estimates various reliability measures.

Integrating Resilient Tier N+1 Networks with Distributed Non-Recursive Cloud Model for Cyber-Physical Applications

  • Okafor, Kennedy Chinedu;Longe, Omowunmi Mary
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.2257-2285
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    • 2022
  • Cyber-physical systems (CPS) have been growing exponentially due to improved cloud-datacenter infrastructure-as-a-service (CDIaaS). Incremental expandability (scalability), Quality of Service (QoS) performance, and reliability are currently the automation focus on healthy Tier 4 CDIaaS. However, stable QoS is yet to be fully addressed in Cyber-physical data centers (CP-DCS). Also, balanced agility and flexibility for the application workloads need urgent attention. There is a need for a resilient and fault-tolerance scheme in terms of CPS routing service including Pod cluster reliability analytics that meets QoS requirements. Motivated by these concerns, our contributions are fourfold. First, a Distributed Non-Recursive Cloud Model (DNRCM) is proposed to support cyber-physical workloads for remote lab activities. Second, an efficient QoS stability model with Routh-Hurwitz criteria is established. Third, an evaluation of the CDIaaS DCN topology is validated for handling large-scale, traffic workloads. Network Function Virtualization (NFV) with Floodlight SDN controllers was adopted for the implementation of DNRCM with embedded rule-base in Open vSwitch engines. Fourth, QoS evaluation is carried out experimentally. Considering the non-recursive queuing delays with SDN isolation (logical), a lower queuing delay (19.65%) is observed. Without logical isolation, the average queuing delay is 80.34%. Without logical resource isolation, the fault tolerance yields 33.55%, while with logical isolation, it yields 66.44%. In terms of throughput, DNRCM, recursive BCube, and DCell offered 38.30%, 36.37%, and 25.53% respectively. Similarly, the DNRCM had an improved incremental scalability profile of 40.00%, while BCube and Recursive DCell had 33.33%, and 26.67% respectively. In terms of service availability, the DNRCM offered 52.10% compared with recursive BCube and DCell which yielded 34.72% and 13.18% respectively. The average delays obtained for DNRCM, recursive BCube, and DCell are 32.81%, 33.44%, and 33.75% respectively. Finally, workload utilization for DNRCM, recursive BCube, and DCell yielded 50.28%, 27.93%, and 21.79% respectively.

Application of Rasch Analysis to the Gross Motor Function Measure: A Preliminary Study (대동작 기능 평가도구(GMFM)의 Rasch분석)

  • Yi, Chung-Hwi;Park, So-Yeon
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study was to validate the Korean version of the Gross Motor Function Measure (GMFM) using Rasch analysis. The data was obtained from the assessments of 59 children with cerebral palsy in Korea and were applied to Rasch's rating scale model to estimate the difficulty and goodness-of-fit of each item. Rasch modeling helped us to identify 76 items from the original 88-item GMFM that form an unidimensional hierarchical scale to rearrange 76 items in order of difficulty. Reliability coefficients of the 88-item and 76-item GMFM were .99 and .99, respectively. In this preliminary report, the Korean version of GMFM seems to have significant validity and reliability. These results may be useful in assessment of gross motor functions in children with cerebral palsy.

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A Knowledge Based Physical Activity Evaluation Model Using Associative Classification Mining Approach (연관 분류 마이닝 기법을 활용한 지식기반 신체활동 평가 모델)

  • Son, Chang-Sik;Choi, Rock-Hyun;Kang, Won-Seok
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.215-223
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    • 2018
  • Recently, as interest of wearable devices has increased, commercially available smart wristbands and applications have been used as a tool for personal healthy management. However most previous studies have focused on evaluating the accuracy and reliability of the technical problems of wearable devices, especially step counts, walking distance, and energy consumption measured from the smart wristbands. In this study, we propose a physical activity evaluation model using classification rules, induced from the associative classification mining approach. These rules associated with five physical activities were generated by considering activities and walking times in target heart rate zones such as 'Out-of Zone', 'Fat Burn Zone', 'Cardio Zone', and 'Peak Zone'. In the experiment, we evaluated the prediction power of classification rules and verified its effectiveness by comparing classification accuracies between the proposed model and support vector machine.

New generalized inverse Weibull distribution for lifetime modeling

  • Khan, Muhammad Shuaib;King, Robert
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.147-161
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    • 2016
  • This paper introduces the four parameter new generalized inverse Weibull distribution and investigates the potential usefulness of this model with application to reliability data from engineering studies. The new extended model has upside-down hazard rate function and provides an alternative to existing lifetime distributions. Various structural properties of the new distribution are derived that include explicit expressions for the moments, moment generating function, quantile function and the moments of order statistics. The estimation of model parameters are performed by the method of maximum likelihood and evaluate the performance of maximum likelihood estimation using simulation.

A Dependability Modeling of Software Under Memory Faults for Digital System in Nuclear Power Plants

  • Park, Jong-Gyun;Seong, Poong-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.433-443
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    • 1997
  • In this work, an analytic approach to the dependability of software in the operational phase is suggested with special attention to the hardware fault effects on the software behavior : The hardware faults considered are memory faults and the dependability measure in question is the reliability. The model is based on the simple reliability theory and the graph theory which represents the software with graph composed of nodes and arcs. Through proper transformation, the graph can be reduced to a simple two-node graph and the software reliability is derived from this graph. Using this model, we predict the reliability of an application software in the digital system (ILS) in the nuclear power plant and show the sensitivity of the software reliability to the major physical parameters which affect the software failure in the normal operation phase. We also found that the effects of the hardware faults on the software failure should be considered for predicting the software dependability accurately in operation phase, especially for the software which is executed frequently. This modeling method is particularly attractive for the medium size programs such as the microprocessor-based nuclear safety logic program.

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