• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability Analysis

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Low-discrepancy sampling for structural reliability sensitivity analysis

  • Cao, Zhenggang;Dai, Hongzhe;Wang, Wei
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.125-140
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    • 2011
  • This study presents an innovative method to estimate the reliability sensitivity based on the low-discrepancy sampling which is a new technique for structural reliability analysis. Two advantages are contributed to the method: one is that, by developing a general importance sampling procedure for reliability sensitivity analysis, the partial derivative of the failure probability with respect to the distribution parameter can be directly obtained with typically insignificant additional computations on the basis of structural reliability analysis; and the other is that, by combining various low-discrepancy sequences with the above importance sampling procedure, the proposed method is far more efficient than that based on the classical Monte Carlo method in estimating reliability sensitivity, especially for problems of small failure probability or problems that require a large number of costly finite element analyses. Examples involving both numerical and structural problems illustrate the application and effectiveness of the method developed, which indicate that the proposed method can provide accurate and computationally efficient estimates of reliability sensitivity.

Evaluation of Partial Safety Factors of Armor Units by Inverse-Reliability Analysis (역해석법에 의한 피복재의 부분안전계수 산정)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung;Park, Dong-Heon
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.28 no.B
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2008
  • A reliability model of Level II AFDA is developed to analyze the stability of armor units on the sloped coastal structures. Additionally, the partial safety factors of random variables related to armor units can be straightforwardly evaluated by applying the inverse-reliability method in which influence coefficients and uncertainties of random variables, and target probability of failure are combined directly. In particular, a design equation for armor units is derived in terms of the same criteria as deterministic design method in order to apply the reliability-based design method of Level I without some understanding to the reliability analysis. Finally, it is confirmed that several results redesigned by the reliability-based design method of Level I have satisfactorily agreement with results of CEM as well as those of Level II AFDA.

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Time Dependent Reliability Analysis of the Degrading RC Containment Structures Subjected to Earthquake Load (지진하중을 받는 RC 격납건물의 열화에 따른 신뢰성 해석)

  • 오병환
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.233-240
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    • 2000
  • Nuclear power plant structures may be exposed to aggressive environmental effects than may cause their strength and stiffness to decrease over their service lives, Although the physics of these damage mechanisms are reasonably well understood and quantitative evaluation of their effects on time-dependent structural behavior is possible in some instances such evaluations are generally very difficult and remain novel. The assessment of existing RC containment in nuclear power plants for continued service must provide quantitative evidence that they are able to withstand future extreme loads during a service period with an acceptable level of reliability. Rational methodologies to perform the reliability assessment can be developed from mechanistic models of structural deterioration using time-dependent structural reliability analysis to take earthquake loading uncertainties into account. The final goal of this study is to develop the reliability analysis of RC containment structures. The cause of the degrading is first clarified and the reliability assessment has been conducted. By introducing stochastic analysis based on random vibration theory the reliability analysis which can determine the failure probabilities has been established.

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Sensitivity and Reliability Analysis of Elate (판 구조물의 감도해석 및 신뢰성해석)

  • 김지호;양영순
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1991.10a
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 1991
  • For the purpose of developing the method for efficiently calculating the design sensitivity and the reliability for the complicated structure such as ship structure, the probabilistic finite element method is introduced to formulate the deterministic design sensitivity analysis method and incorporated with the second moment reliability methods such as MVFOSM, AFOSM and SORM. Also, the probabilistic design sensitivity analysis needed in the reliability-based design is performed. The reliability analysis is carried out for the initial yielding failure, in which the derivative derived in the deterministic desin sensitivity is used. The present PFEM-based reliability method shows good agreement with Monte Carlo method in terms with the variance of response and the associated probability of failure even at the first or first few iteration steps. The probabilistic design sensitivity analysis evaluates explicitly the contribution of each random variable to probability of failure. Further, the reliability index variation can be easily predicted by the variation of the mean and the variance of the random variables.

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Reliability Analysis of Auxiliary Power System of Korea High Speed Train (한국형 고속열차 보조전원 시스템의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Seo Sung-Il;Park Choon-Soo;Han Young-Jae;Lee Tae-Hyung;Kim Ki-Hwan;Park Tae-Geun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.06a
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    • pp.1440-1443
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, to assess and enhance the reliability of Korea High Speed Train, auxiliary power is selected and reliability analysis is carried out. The auxiliary power system is classified into subsystems and functional analysis is conducted. Reliability block diagrams are drawn. and reliability parametric analysis is performed. Analysis results show that the reliability of auxiliary power system depends on critical items. To grow the system reliability, activities have been concentrated on improvement of critical items and the results were successful.

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Reliability analysis of latticed steel towers against wind induced displacement

  • Khan, M.A.;Siddiqui, N.A.;Abbas, H.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.9-21
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    • 2004
  • The present study aims at the reliability analysis of steel towers against the limit state of deflection. For this purpose tip deflection of the tower has been obtained after carrying out the dynamic analysis of the tower using modal method. This tip deflection is employed for subsequent reliability analysis. A limit state function based on serviceability criterion of deflection is derived in terms of random variables. A complete procedure of reliability computation is then presented. To study the influence of various random variables on tower reliability, sensitivity analysis has been carried out. Design points, important for probabilistic design of towers, are also located on the failure surface. Some parametric studies have also been included to obtain the results of academic and field interest.

A study on the Reliability Analysis of Nuclear Steel Containment Structures Subject to Internal Pressure (내압을 받는 원전 강재격납건물의 신뢰성 해석)

  • 오병환;최성철
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1999.04a
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    • pp.229-232
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    • 1999
  • Nuclear power plant structures may be exposed to aggressive environmental effects that may cause their damage mechanisms are reasonably well understood and quantitative evaluation of their effects on time-dependent structural behavior is possible in some instances, such evaluations are generally very difficult and remain novel. The assessment of existing steel containment in nuclear power plants for continued service must provide quantitative evidence that they are able to withstand future extreme loads during a service period with an acceptable level of reliability. Rational methodologies to perform the reliability assessment can be developed from mechanistic models of structural deterioration, using time-dependent structural reliability analysis to take loading and strength uncertainties into account. The final goal of this study is to develop the analysis method for the analysis for the reliability of containment structures. The cause and mechanism of corrosion is first clarified and the reliability assessment method has been established. By introducing the equivalent normal distribution, the procedure of reliability analysis which can determine the failure probabilities has been established.

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Commercial Finite Element Program-based Reliability Analysis of Dam Structures (상용 유한요소 프로그램에 기초한 댐 구조물의 신뢰성해석)

  • 허정원;이정학
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2003
  • A hybrid structural reliability analysis method that integrates a commercial finite element program and a reliability analysis algorithm is proposed to estimate the safety of real structures in this paper. Since finite element method (FEM) is most commonly and widely used in the analysis and design practice of real structures, it appears to be necessary to use general FEM program in the structural reliability analysis. In this case, simple conventional reliability methods cannot be used because the limit state function can only be expressed in an algorithmic form. The response surface method(RSM)-based reliability algorithm with the first-order reliability method (FORM) found to be ideal in this respect and is used in this paper. The intention of use of RSM is to develop, albeit approximately, an explicit expression of the limit state function for real structures. The applicability of the proposed method to real structures is examined with help of the example in consideration of a concrete dam. Both the strength and serviceability limit states are considered in this example.

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FMEA for Facility Reliability Analysis of A Hydro-power Plant (수력발전소 설비 신뢰성 분석을 위한 FMEA)

  • Kwon, Chang-Seob;Jeon, Tae-Bo
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.26 no.B
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2006
  • The significance of hydro-power plant is increasing in its public roles such as flood control and water supply as well as electric power production. Even if high level of reliability in facility operation is required, no specific reliability research has been made. This specifically stems from the lack of technology and research investments. The eventual goal of this study is to secure a methodology for reliability analysis of hydro-power plant so that an appropriate decision for operation and investment can be made. Specific effort was put to develop a reliability model for water supply system within hydro-power plant. For this study, we briefly examined the overview of the hydro-power plant including the electric power generation facility system. We then discussed the facility reliability analysis methodology for hydro-power plant. Based on rigorous examination of the water supply system and components roles, we drew major failure modes for each component and examined their effects.

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Reliability Analysis Modeling for LRFD Design of Bridge Abutments (LRFD 설계를 위한 교대의 신뢰성 해석 모델)

  • Eom, Jun-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.30 no.8
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    • pp.5-11
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    • 2014
  • The objective of this paper is to develop a rational reliability analysis procedure for the LRFD design provisions of bridge substructures. A bridge abutments is considered in this study. The reliability analysis is applied to determine the relationship between the major design parameters for bridge abutment and reliability index. The considered load components include dead load, vertical and horizontal earth pressure, earth surcharge, and vehicle live load. Several limit states are considered: foundation bearing capacity, sliding, and overturning. The analysis results show that the most important parameter in the reliability analysis is the effective stress friction angle of the soil. The reliability indices are calculated using Monte Carlo simulations for a selected bridge abutment. The results of the sensitivity analysis indicate that reliability index is most sensitive with regard to resistance factor and horizontal earth pressure factor.