• 제목/요약/키워드: Relative Weighting

검색결과 130건 처리시간 0.022초

Hierarchical Bayesian Model을 이용한 GCMs 의 최적 Multi-Model Ensemble 모형 구축 (Optimal Multi-Model Ensemble Model Development Using Hierarchical Bayesian Model Based)

  • 권현한;민영미
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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    • pp.1147-1151
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we address the problem of producing probability forecasts of summer seasonal rainfall, on the basis of Hindcast experiments from a ensemble of GCMs(cwb, gcps, gdaps, metri, msc_gem, msc_gm2, msc_gm3, msc_sef and ncep). An advanced Hierarchical Bayesian weighting scheme is developed and used to combine nine GCMs seasonal hindcast ensembles. Hindcast period is 23 years from 1981 to 2003. The simplest approach for combining GCM forecasts is to weight each model equally, and this approach is referred to as pooled ensemble. This study proposes a more complex approach which weights the models spatially and seasonally based on past model performance for rainfall. The Bayesian approach to multi-model combination of GCMs determines the relative weights of each GCM with climatology as the prior. The weights are chosen to maximize the likelihood score of the posterior probabilities. The individual GCM ensembles, simple poolings of three and six models, and the optimally combined multimodel ensemble are compared.

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A Model Predictive Controller for The Water Level of Nuclear Steam Generators

  • Na, Man-Gyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.102-110
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    • 2001
  • In this work, the model predictive control method was applied to a linear model and a nonlinear model of steam generators. The parameters of a linear model for steam generators are very different according to the power levels. The model predictive controller was designed for the linear steam generator model at a fixed power level. The proposed controller at the fixed power level showed good performance for any other power levels by designed changing only the input-weighting factor. As the input-weighting factor usually increases, its relative stability does so. The steam generator has some nonlinear characteristics. Therefore, the proposed algorithm has been implemented for a nonlinear model of the nuclear steam generator to verify its real performance and also, showed good performance.

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The μ-synthesis and analysis of water level control in steam generators

  • Salehi, Ahmad;Kazemi, Mohammad Hosein;Safarzadeh, Omid
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제51권1호
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    • pp.163-169
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    • 2019
  • The robust controller synthesis and analysis of the water level process in the U-tube system generator (UTSG) is addressed in this paper. The parameter uncertainties of the steam generator (SG) are modeled as multiplicative perturbations which are normalized by designing suitable weighting functions. The relative errors of the nominal SG model with respect to the other operating power level models are employed to specify the weighting functions for normalizing the plant uncertainties. Then, a robust controller is designed based on ${\mu}$-synthesis and D-K iteration, and its stability robustness is verified over the whole range of power operations. A gain-scheduled controller with $H_{\infty}$-synthesis is also designed to compare its robustness with the proposed controller. The stability analysis is accomplished and compared with the previous QFT design. The ${\mu}$-analysis of the system shows that the proposed controller has a favorable stability robustness for the whole range of operating power conditions. The proposed controller response is simulated against the power level deviation in start-up and shutdown stages and compared with the other concerning controllers.

어메니티자원과 인적자원을 고려한 농촌마을의 관광잠재력 평가기법 개발 (Development of Green-Tourism Potential Evaluation Method for Rural Villages Considering Amenity and Human Resources)

  • 김대식;최현성
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2007
  • This study aims to develop an evaluation method of green-tourism potential in village level with amenity resources of rural villages, considering human resources of the village. The amenity resources evaluation system was classified into three sub-classes with social, industrial, and natural resources. The system consisted of a relationship diagram between three classes resources and tourists' behavior. The new methodology considers human resources as a key factor for green-tourism potential evaluation of villages, including the amenity resources of three sub-classes. In quantitative method for the criteria, this study adopted a new method of continuous linear score method, which is applying fuzzy theory, not to give score with the existing discrete scoring method with several steps. The weighting values of the evaluation criteria were calculated from the step wise pair-comparision results by AHP(Analytic Hierachy Process) method, which industrial, natural, and social resources have relative weighting values of 523/1000, 319/1000, and 158/1000, respectively. In evaluation of another weighting value by the same methodology, the results showed that the amenity and the human resources have weighting values of 627/100 and 373/1000, respectively. The new evaluation method was applied to make the potential evaluation for rural villages of the study area, which located on Narial-myun, Keumsan-gun, Chungnam province. The development priority among the villages could be suggested reasonably by the new findings of this study, according to the evaluation results showing that the village with high possibility for development in green-tourism has high score in the potential evaluation.

포화 다공질 매체의 Arbitrary Lagrangian Eulerian (ALE) 정식화 (Arbitrary Lagrangian Eulerian (ALE) Formulations of Saturated Porous Media)

  • 박대효;정소찬
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2003년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.235-242
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    • 2003
  • The solids and the fluids in porous media have a relative velocity to each other. Due to physically and chemically different material properties and their relative velocity, the behavior of saturated porous media is extremely complicated. Thus, in order to describe and clarify the deformation behavior of saturated porous media, constitutive models for deformation of porous media coupling several effects such as flow of the fluids or thermodynanical change need to be developed in frame of Arbitrary Lagrangian Eulerian (ALE) description. The aim of ALE formulations is to maximize the advantages of Lagrangian and Eulerian elements, and to minimize the disadvantages. Therefore, this method is appropriate for the analysis of porous media that are considered for the behavior of the solids and the fluids. In this work, governing equations of porous media based on ALE description are obtained from governing equations in frame of updated Lagrangian description. Then, weak forms of these equations are derived using arbitrary weighting functions.

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위험 요인 평가를 위한 FMEA의 일반 RPN 모형과 활용에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Common RPN Model of Failure Mode Evaluation Analysis(FMEA) and its Application for Risk Factor Evaluation)

  • 조성우;이한솔;강주영
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제50권1호
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    • pp.125-138
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) is a widely utilized technique to measure product reliability by identifying potential failure modes. Even though FMEA techniques have been studied, the form of Risk Priority Number (RPN) used to evaluate risk priority in FMEA is still questionable because of its shortcomings. In this study, we suggest common RPN(cRPN) to resolve shortcomings of the traditional RPN and show the extensibility of cRPN. Methods: We suggest cRPN which is based on Cobb-Douglas production function, and represent the various application on weighting risk factors, weighted RPN in a mathematical way, and show the possibility of statistical approach. We also conduct numerical study to examine the difference of the traditional RPN and cRPN as well as the potential application from the analysis on marginal effects of each risk factor. Results: cRPN successfully integrates previously suggested approaches especially on the relative importance of risk factors and weighting RPN. Moreover, we analyze the effect of corrective actions in terms of econometric analysis using cRPN. Since cRPN is rely on the reliable mathematical model, there would be numerous applications using cRPN such as smart factory based on A.I. techniques. Conclusion: We propose a reliable mathematical model of RPN based on Cobb-Douglas production function. Our suggested model, cRPN, resolves various shortcomings such as consideration of the relative importance, the effect of combinations among risk factors. In addition, by adopting a reliable mathematical model, quantitative approaches are expected to be applied using cRPN. We find that cRPN can be utilized to the field of industry because it is able to be applied without modifying the entire systems or the conventional actions.

기후변화에 따른 극한기상의 취약성 지수 정량화 연구 - 태풍을 중심으로 - (Quantification of Climate Change Vulnerability Index for Extreme Weather - Focused on Typhoon case -)

  • 김철희;남기표;이종재
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.190-203
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    • 2015
  • 기후노출, 민감도, 적응능력의 3가지 항목의 함수로 정의되는 취약성-탄력성 지수인 VRI(Vulnerability-Resilience Index)를 이용하여 기후변화로 더 심각해 질 것으로 예상되는 극한 기상 현상인 태풍을 대상으로 기후변화 취약성 지수 정량화 연구를 수행하였다. 기존 취약성 지수인 VRI는 기후변화 취약성에 대한 지자체별 상대적 차이만을 보여 주므로 그 정량화 연구는 매우 필수불가결하며 우리나라 기후변화 대응 정책에도 매우 중요하다. VRI의 정량화를 위하여 과거 20년간 태풍으로 인한 피해액, 발생횟수, 주요 피해지역 등의 통계 정보가 사용되었고, 기후노출 대용변수들에 가중치를 부여하기 이전과 이후의 계산되는 VRI를 각각 지자체별로 분석하였다. VRI의 정량화를 위하여 각 기후노출 대용변수를 하나씩 이용하여 계산한 다음 계산된 VRI를 태풍 피해액과의 상관계수(R)를 구하였고, 이 값에 비례하여 각 기후노출 대용변수들의 가중치를 결정하였다. 그 결과 가중치 없이 계산한 지역별 VRI는 상당 지역에서 피해액과의 상관성이 없는 등 상당한 차이를 보였으나 가중치를 부여한 결과 계산된 VRI는 지역별 피해액과 높은 상관관계를 보이는 등 많은 오류가 크게 줄었다. 이 결과를 토대로 VRI를 정량화하여 그 피해액을 추정해본 결과 VRI=1 일 경우 약 5백억원의 지자체 피해액을 유발하는 것으로 해석할 수 있었다. 이러한 기후변화 취약성 지수의 정량화 연구는 우리나라 미래기후 시나리오연구에 효과적으로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

소변 중 메트암페타민, 암페타민 및 대마 대사체 LC-MS/MS 정량분석에서 검량선 작성을 위한 R을 활용한 회귀모델 선택 (Regression model for the preparation of calibration curve in the quantitative LC-MS/MS analysis of urinary methamphetamine, amphetamine and 11-nor-Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol-9-carboxylic acid using R)

  • 김진영;신동원
    • 분석과학
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2021
  • 검량선 작성은 기기분석을 통해 생체시료에서 분석물질의 농도를 측정하는 정량분석법 개발과 측정값의 정확도 향상에 있어서 필수적인 요소이다. 본 연구에서는 R 기반 통계분석기법을 이용하여 개별 분석물질 정량에 적합한 가중계수와 회귀모델 선정하기 위한 단계별 선택 기준을 적용하여 분석 프로그램을 설정하였다. 국내에서 남용빈도가 가장 높은 필로폰과 대마 복용여부 확인을 위해 액체크로마토그래피-질량분석법(LC-MS/MS)이 적용되었으며, 분석물질로 마약의 복용 여부를 확인에 일반적으로 사용되는 대상 마약의 모체와 대사체를 소변 시료에서 분석하였다. 검량선 작성에 있어서 가중계수 적용여부는 원본데이터의 이분산성 검정을 통해 확인하였고, 가중계수가 필요하다고 판단된 경우 분산분석을 통해 적정 가중계수를 선정하였다. 다음으로 편분산분석을 이용하여 회귀모델에 적합한 차수를 결정하였다. 분석물질인 메트암페타민, 암페타민, 대마 대사체에 대해 R 기반 프로그램에 적용한 결과, 단계별 결과 및 최종 모델식을 직관적으로 이해하기 쉽고 신속하게 얻을 수 있었다. 이러한 결과는 문서 파일로 저장이 가능하여 보관의 편의성을 제고하였으며, 본 연구를 통해 제작된 R 기반 프로그램을 활용하여 검량선 작성을 필요로 하는 다양한 약물분석 분야에 확대 적용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

하천흐름해석을 위한 상향가중의 3차원 유한요소모형 개발 (Development of Three-Dimensional Finite Element Model Using Upwind Weighting Scheme for River Flow)

  • 한건연;백창현;최승용
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.409-413
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    • 2005
  • Even though the relative importance of length scale of flow system allow us to simplify three dimensional flow problem to one or two dimensional representation, many systems still require three dimensional analysis. The objective of this study is to develop an efficient and accurate finite element model for analyzing and predicting three dimensional flow features in natural rivers and to offend to model spreading of pollutants and transport of sediments in the future. Firstly, three dimensional Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes equations with the hydrostatic pressure assumption in generalized curvilinear coordinates were combined with the kinematic free-surface condition. Secondly. to simulate realistic high Reynolds number flow, the model employed the Streamline Upwind/Petrov-Galerkin(SU/PG) scheme as a weighting function for the finite element method in conjunction with an appropriate turbulence model(Smagorinsky scheme for the horizontal plain and Mellor-Yamada scheme for the vertical direction). Several tests is performed for the purpose of validation and verification of the developed model. A simple rectangular channel, 5-shaped and U-shaped channel are used for tests and comparisons are made with RMA-10 model. Runs for each case is converged stably without a oscillation and calculated water-surface deformation, longitudinal and transversal velocities, and velocity vector fields are in good agreement with the results of RMA-10 model.

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광주광역시 치과위생사의 NCS 기반 직업기초능력 우선순위 분석 (Priority analysis of NCS based vocational core competency of dental hygienists in Gwangju)

  • 홍남희
    • 한국치위생학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.337-346
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: This study aims to investigate and analyzed the priority of vocational core competency factors in dental hygienists in Gwangju. Methods: Expert survey was conducted and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) was applied to evaluate the weighting factors. First, we established the vocational core competency defined in NCS as AHP analysis model. The vocational core competency has 10 categories and 34 sub-categories. Secondly, AHP survey was conducted by 195 dental hygienists in Gwangju. Finally, the weights representing relative importance of each factor were calculated by using AHP method. Results: The AHP analysis on 10 categories showed that the weighting of interpersonal skills(0.165) was higher than any other categories while that of numeracy(0.035) was at the bottom, and the analysis on sub-categories revealed that the most important factors in each categories included the teamwork skills(interpersonal skills), problem-solving capability(problem-solving skills), listening skills(communication skills), ethical community(professional ethics), ability to understand business(ability to understand organizational structure), applicable technical skills(technical skills), self-management skills(self-development capability), information processing capabilities(information capacity), ability to manage time(resource management capabilities) and basic math skills(numeracy). Conclusions: The results in this study can be used as basic data for the development of liberal arts curriculum for dental hygiene education.