• 제목/요약/키워드: Regressive Analysis

검색결과 157건 처리시간 0.029초

동적 모형에 의한 예측치의 정도 향상에 관한 연구 (A Study on increasing the fitness of forecasts using Dynamic Model)

  • 윤석환;윤상원;신용백
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제19권40호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 1996
  • We develop a dynamic demand forecasting model compared to regression analysis model and AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA) model. The dynamic model can apply to the current dynamic data to forecasts through introducing state equation. A multiple regression model and ARIMA model using given data are designed via the model analysis. The forecasting fitness evaluation between the designed models and the dynamic model is compared with the criterion of sum of squared error.

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ARIM모형을 활용한 모듈러 건축시장 현황 조사 (Survey on the Market of Modular Building Using ARIMA Model)

  • 박남천;김균태;이유리
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2014년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.14-15
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    • 2014
  • The modular construction is as yet early stage of market in Korea. So It is have difficulty of market demand forecast of the modular building. Therefore, this study was done analysis for market trends of the modular building using ARIMA(Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) model by time series data.

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Prediction of Hydrogen Masers' Behaviors Against UTCr with R

  • Lee, Ho Seong;Kwon, Taeg Yong;Lee, Young Kyu;Yang, Sung-hoon;Yu, Dai-Hyuk
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2020
  • Prediction of clock behaviors is necessary to generate very high stable system time which is essential for a satellite navigation system. For the purpose, we applied the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model to the prediction of two hydrogen masers' behaviors with respect to the rapid Coordinated Universal Time (UTCr). Using the packaged programming language R, we made an analysis and prediction of time series data of [UTCr - clocks]. The maximum variation width of the residuals which were obtained by the difference between the predicted and measured values, was 6.2 ns for 106 days. This variation width was just one-sixth of [UTCr-UTC (KRIS)] published by the BIPM for the same period. Since the two hydrogen masers were found to be strongly correlated, we applied the Vector Auto-Regressive Moving Average (VARMA) model for more accurate prediction. The result showed that the prediction accuarcy was improved by two times for one hydrogen maser.

일본어 회화문에 나타난 축약형의 음운론적 해석과 음향음성학적 분석 (Acoustical Analysis of Phonological Reduction in Conversational Japanese)

  • 최영숙
    • 음성과학
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.229-241
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    • 2001
  • Using eighteen texts from various genera of present-day Japanese, I collected phonologically reduced forms frequently observed in conversational Japanese, and classified them in search of a unified. explanation of phonological phenomena. I found 7,516 cases of reduced forms which I divided into 43 categories according to the types of phonological changes they have undergone. The general tendencies are that deletion and fusion of a phoneme or an entire syllable takes place frequently, resulting in the decrease in the number of syllables. From a morphosyntactic point of view, phonological reduction often occurs at the NP and VP morpheme boundaries. The following findings are drawn from phonetical observations of reduction. (1) Vowels are more easily deleted than consonants. (2) Bilabials ([m], [b], and [w]) are the most likely candidates for deletion. (3) In a concatenation of vowels, closed vowels are absorbed into open vowels, or two adjacent vowels come to create another vowel, in which case reconstruction of the original sequence is not always predictable. (4) Alveolars are palatalized under the influence of front vowels. (5) Regressive assimilation takes place in a syllable starting with [r], changing the entire syllable into a phonological choked sound or a syllabic nasal, depending on the voicing of the following phoneme.

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소득수준과 주택특성에 따른 난방에너지 소비의 역진적 인과구조 (The Regressive Causal Structure of Heating Energy Consumption Affected by Household Income and Housing Characteristics)

  • 최막중;정이레
    • 국토계획
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.101-116
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    • 2018
  • Paying an attention to the issue of energy poverty of low-income households and ensuing regressivity of energy consumption, this study empirically analyzes the effects of both household and housing characteristics on heating energy consumption in an integrated way and identifies their causal structure based on the 2016 Korea Housing Survey data provided by the Korean government. Multiple regression analysis shows that household income and deteriorated level of housing, such as age and degree of cracks have positive effects and floor area of housing has a negative effect on the heating energy consumption per unit area of housing (HECPUH). Path analyses further reveal that the direct effect of household income on HECPUH is offset by the indirect effects that are mediated by deteriorated level and floor area of housing, making the total effect statistically insignificant. As a result, there is no significant difference in HECPUH across all income strata, implying that low-income (high-income) households pay more (less) heating costs relative to their income level, since they reside in the houses with relatively low (high) energy efficiency. To deal with this regressive causal structure of energy consumption, a policy option is recommended to improve energy efficiency of low-income housing through the government assistance in its maintenance and repair.

개선된 정준상관분석을 이용한 신호 분리 알고리듬 (Improved Blind Signal Separation Based on Canonical Correlation Analysis)

  • 강동훈;이용욱;오왕록
    • 대한전자공학회논문지SP
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.105-110
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    • 2012
  • 정준상관분석 (canonical correlation analysis, CCA)은 두 변수집단 사이의 선형 관계를 측정하는 확률적 분석 기법으로 이를 이용하여 다수의 신호가 혼재되어 수신된 신호로부터 각각의 신호원을 분리하는 것이 가능하다. 기존에 CCA와 자기회귀(auto regressive) 기법을 이용하여 혼재된 신호를 분리하는 기법이 제안되었으나 신호원 분리를 효과적으로 수행하기 위해서는 높은 신호 대 잡음비 (signal-to-noise ratio)가 요구되는 문제가 있다. 본 논문에서는 자기회귀 기법의 파라미터 계산시 잡음성분이 포함되어있는 자기공분산 행렬의 주대각 원소를 제거하여 잡음의 영향을 최소화하고 이를 통하여 신호원 분리 성능을 개선하는 방안을 제안한다. 제안하는 기법은 기존에 제안된 CCA와 자기회귀을 이용한 신호 분리 기법에 비하여 더 우수한 신호 분리 성능을 보일 뿐 만 아니라 신호원 분리 과정에서 요구되는 계산량을 줄일 수 있다.

A practical coherency model for spatially varying ground motions

  • Yang, Qing-Shan;Chen, Ying-Jun
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2000
  • Based on the discussion about some empirical coherency models resulted from earthquake-induced ground motion recordings at the SMART-1 array in Taiwan, and a heuristic model of the coherency function from elementary notions of stationary random process theory and a few simplifying assumptions regarding the propagation of seismic waves, a practical coherency model for spatially varying ground motions, which can be applied in aseismic analysis and design, is proposed, and the regressive coefficients are obtained using least-square fitting technique from the above recordings.

Quantitative Trait Loci Affecting Rous Sarcoma Virus Induced Tumor Regression Trait in F2 Intercross Chickens

  • Uemoto, Y.;Saburi, J.;Sato, S.;Odawara, S.;Ohtake, T.;Yamamoto, R.;Miyata, T.;Suzuki, K.;Yamashita, H.;Irina, C.;Plastow, G.;Mitsuhashi, T.;Kobayashi, E.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제22권10호
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    • pp.1359-1365
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    • 2009
  • We performed a genome-wide linkage and quantitative trait locus (QTL) analysis to confirm the existence of QTL affecting Rous Sarcoma Virus (RSV) induced tumor regression, and to estimate their effects on phenotypic variance in an F2 resource population. The F2 population comprised 158 chickens obtained by crossing tumor regressive White Leghorn (WL) and tumor progressive Rhode Island Red (RIR) lines was measured for tumor formation after RSV inoculation. Forty-three tumor progressive and 28 tumor regressive chickens were then used for genome-wide linkage and QTL analysis using a total of 186 microsatellite markers. Microsatellite markers were mapped on 20 autosomal chromosomes. A significant QTL was detected with marker LEI0258 located within the MHC B region on chromosome 16. This QTL had the highest F ratio (9.8) and accounted for 20.1% of the phenotypic variation. Suggestive QTL were also detected on chromosomes 4, 7 and 10. The QTL on chromosome 4 were detected at the 1% chromosome-wide level explaining 17.5% of the phenotypic variation, and the QTLs on chromosome 7 and 10 were detected at the 5% chromosome-wide level and explained 11.1% and 10.5% of the phenotypic variation, respectively. These results indicate that the QTLs in the non-MHC regions play a significant role in RSV-induced tumor regression. The present study constitutes one of the first preliminary reports in domestic chickens for QTLs affecting RSV-induced tumor regression outside the MHC region.

색의대비 기반 템플릿을 이용한 색상 변환 (Color Transfer using Color Contrast Based Templates)

  • 박영섭;윤경현;이은석
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.633-643
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 다양한 색상을 가지는 입력 영상의 화질올 잘 유지하면서, 객체들 간 시각적인 차이를 뚜렷하게 표현하기 위해 색의대비 기반 템플릿을 이용하는 색상 변환 알고리즘을 제안한다. 이 방법은 CIE $L^{\ast}a^{\ast}b^{\ast}$색상 공간 중 유채색의 $a^{\ast}b^{\ast}$평면상에 분포된 입력 영상파 템플릿의 색상 데이터를 이용한다. 템플릿은 색상간의 대비효과를 고려하여 만들어지며, 사용자가 임의로 지정한 가준 색상들을 기반한 그라데이션 영상의 색상 분포를 표시하는 칙선 또는 곡선의 형태를 가진다. 또한, 만들어진 템플릿을 스플라인 곡선으로 모델링하고, 모텔링된 곡선의 제어점을 변형함으로써 간단하게 다른 기준 색상을 가지는, 새로운 탱플릿을 만들 수도 있다. 탬플릿을 이용한 색상 변환은 회귀분석과 칼라 매칭을 통해 이루어지며, 입력 영상의 색상분포를 템플릿의 색상 분포와 유사하게 변형함으로써 입력 영상의 색상 일관성올 유지하였다.

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시계열 분석을 이용한 진동만의 용존산소량 예측 (Prediction of Dissolved Oxygen in Jindong Bay Using Time Series Analysis)

  • 한명수;박성은;최영진;김영민;황재동
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.382-391
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 인공지능기법을 이용하여 진동만의 용존산소량 예측을 하였다. 관측자료에 존재하는 결측 구간을 보간하기 위해 양방향재귀신경망(BRITS, Bidirectional Recurrent Imputation for Time Series) 딥러닝 알고리즘을 이용하였고, 대표적 시계열 예측 선형모델인 ARIMA(Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average)과 비선형모델 중 가장 많이 이용되고 있는 LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) 모델을 이용하여 진동만의 용존산소량을 예측하고 그 성능을 평가했다. 결측 구간 보정 실험은 표층에서 높은 정확도로 보정이 가능했으나, 저층에서는 그 정확도가 낮았으며, 중층에서는 실험조건에 따라 정확도가 불안정하게 나타났다. 실험조건에 따라 정확도가 불안정하게 나타났다. 결과로부터 LSTM 모델이 중층과 저층에서 ARIMA 모델보다 우세한 정확도를 보였으나, 표층에서는 ARIMA모델의 정확도가 약간 높은 것으로 나타났다.